scholarly journals Sensitivity analysis of an Ocean Carbon Cycle Model in the North Atlantic: an investigation of parameters affecting the air-sea CO<sub>2</sub> flux, primary production and export of detritus

2010 ◽  
Vol 7 (6) ◽  
pp. 1977-2012
Author(s):  
V. Scott ◽  
H. Kettle ◽  
C. J. Merchant

Abstract. The sensitivity of the biological parameters in a nutrient-phytoplankton-zooplankton-detritus (NPZD) model in the calculation of the air-sea CO2 flux, primary production and detrital export is analysed. The NPZD model is the Hadley Centre Ocean Carbon Cycle model (HadOCC) from the UK Met Office, used in the Hadley Centre Coupled Model 3 (HadCM3) and FAst Met Office and Universities Simulator (FAMOUS) GCMs. Here, HadOCC is coupled to the 1-D General Ocean Turbulence Model (GOTM) and forced with European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasting meteorology to undertake a sensitivity analysis of its twenty biological parameters. Analyses are performed at three sites in the EuroSITES European Ocean Observatory Network: the Central Irminger Sea (60° N 40° W), the Porcupine Abyssal Plain (49° N 16° W) and the European Station for Time series in the Ocean Canary Islands (29° N 15° W) to assess variability in parameter sensitivities at different locations in the North Atlantic Ocean. Reasonable changes to the values of key parameters are shown to have a large effect on the calculation of the air-sea CO2 flux, primary production, and export of biological detritus to the deep ocean. Changes in the values of key parameters have a greater effect in more productive regions than in less productive areas. We perform the analysis using one-at-a-time perturbations and using a statistical emulator, and compare results. The most sensitive parameters are generic to many NPZD ocean ecosystem models. The air-sea CO2 flux is most influenced by variation in the parameters that control phytoplankton growth, detrital sinking and carbonate production by phytoplankton (the rain ratio). Primary production is most sensitive to the parameters that define the shape of the photosythesis-irradiance curve. Export production is most sensitive to the parameters that control the rate of detrital sinking and the remineralisation of detritus.

Ocean Science ◽  
2011 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 405-419 ◽  
Author(s):  
V. Scott ◽  
H. Kettle ◽  
C. J. Merchant

Abstract. The sensitivity of the biological parameters in a nutrient-phytoplankton-zooplankton-detritus (NPZD) model in the calculation of the air-sea CO2 flux, primary production and detrital export is analysed. We explore the effect on these outputs of variation in the values of the twenty parameters that control ocean ecosystem growth in a 1-D formulation of the UK Met Office HadOCC NPZD model used in GCMs. We use and compare the results from one-at-a-time and all-at-a-time perturbations performed at three sites in the EuroSITES European Ocean Observatory Network: the Central Irminger Sea (60° N 40° W), the Porcupine Abyssal Plain (49° N 16° W) and the European Station for Time series in the Ocean Canary Islands (29° N 15° W). Reasonable changes to the values of key parameters are shown to have a large effect on the calculation of the air-sea CO2 flux, primary production, and export of biological detritus to the deep ocean. Changes in the values of key parameters have a greater effect in more productive regions than in less productive areas. The most sensitive parameters are generally found to be those controlling well-established ocean ecosystem parameterisations widely used in many NPZD-type models. The air-sea CO2 flux is most influenced by variation in the parameters that control phytoplankton growth, detrital sinking and carbonate production by phytoplankton (the rain ratio). Primary production is most sensitive to the parameters that define the shape of the photosynthesis-irradiance curve. Export production is most sensitive to the parameters that control the rate of detrital sinking and the remineralisation of detritus.


Tellus B ◽  
2012 ◽  
Vol 64 (1) ◽  
pp. 18738 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kathrin M. Keller ◽  
Fortunat Joos ◽  
Christoph C. Raible ◽  
Valentina Cocco ◽  
Thomas L. Frölicher ◽  
...  

2007 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 1377-1404 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. F. Tjiputra ◽  
A. M. E. Winguth

Abstract. The regional sensitivity of air-sea CO2 flux to ecosystem components and parameters in a three-dimensional ocean carbon cycle model is estimated using an adjoint model. Adjoint sensitivities to the global air-sea CO2 flux reveal that the biological component of the model is significant in the high latitudes of both hemispheres and in the Equatorial Pacific. More detailed analysis indicates that zooplankton grazing activity plays a major role in the carbon exchange in the above regions. The herbivores' ingestion parameter in the model regulates the flux of remineralized (i.e. regenerated) biogenic nutrients; thus, substantially controls the biological production and the concentration of dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC) in the euphotic zone. Over a 10-year period, reducing the herbivores' ingestion parameter in the model by 25% could increase the global uptake of atmospheric carbon by 6 Pg C. Thus, climate induced changes in the marine ecosystem structure are of importance for the future uptake of atmospheric CO2.


Author(s):  
N. Penny Holliday ◽  
Stephanie Henson

The growth, distribution, and variability of phytoplankton populations in the North Atlantic are primarily controlled by the physical environment. This chapter provides an overview of the regional circulation of the North Atlantic, and an introduction to the key physical features and processes that affect ecosystems, and especially plankton, via the availability of light and nutrients. There is a natural seasonal cycle in primary production driven by physical processes that determine the light and nutrient levels, but the pattern has strong regional variations. The variations are determined by persistent features on the basin scale (e.g. the main currents and mixed layer regimes of the subtropical and subpolar gyres), as well as transient mesoscale features such as eddies and meanders of fronts.


2012 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 1347-1389
Author(s):  
R. Séférian ◽  
L. Bopp ◽  
D. Swingedouw ◽  
J. Servonnat

Abstract. Several recent observation-based studies suggest that ocean anthropogenic carbon uptake has slowed down due to the impact of anthropogenic forced climate change. However, it remains unclear if detected changes over the recent time period can really be attributed to anthropogenic climate change or to natural climate variability (internal plus naturally forced variability). One large uncertainty arises from the lack of knowledge on ocean carbon flux natural variability at the decadal time scales. To gain more insights into decadal time scales, we have examined the internal variability of ocean carbon fluxes in a 1000-yr long preindustrial simulation performed with the Earth System Model IPSL-CM5A-LR. Our analysis shows that ocean carbon fluxes exhibit low-frequency oscillations that emerge from their year-to-year variability in the North Atlantic, the North Pacific, and the Southern Ocean. In our model, a 20-yr mode of variability in the North Atlantic air-sea carbon flux is driven by sea surface temperature variability and accounts for ~40% of the interannual regional variance. The North Pacific and the Southern Ocean carbon fluxes are also characterized by decadal to multi-decadal modes of variability (10 to 50 yr) that account for 30–40% of the interannual regional variance. But these modes are driven by the vertical supply of dissolved inorganic carbon through the variability of Ekman-induced upwelling and deep-mixing events. Differences in drivers of regional modes of variability stem from the coupling between ocean dynamics variability and the ocean carbon distribution, which is set by large-scale secular ocean circulation.


2008 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 1727-1764 ◽  
Author(s):  
G. Charria ◽  
I. Dadou ◽  
J. Llido ◽  
M. Drévillon ◽  
V. Garçon

Abstract. An eddy-permitting coupled ecosystem-circulation model including dissolved organic matter is used to estimate the dissolved organic nitrogen (DON) supply sustaining primary production in the subtropical North Atlantic Ocean. After an analysis of the coupled model performances compared to the data, a sensitivity study demonstrates the strong impact of parameter values linked to the hydrolysis of particulate organic nitrogen and remineralisation of dissolved organic nitrogen on surface biogeochemical concentrations. The physical transport of dissolved organic nitrogen contributes to maintain the level of primary production in this subtropical gyre. It is dominated by the meridional component. We estimate a meridional net input of 0.039 molN.m−2.yr−1 over the domain (13°–35° N and 71–40° W) in the subtropical gyre. This supply is driven by the Ekman transport in the southern part and by non-Ekman transport (meridional current components, eddies, meanders and fronts) in the northern part of the subtropical gyre. At 12° N, our estimate (18 kmolN.s-1) confirms the estimation (17.9 kmolN.s-1) made by Roussenov et al. (2006) using a simplified biogeochemical model in a large scale model. This DON meridional input is within the range (from 0.05 up to 0.24 molN.m−2.yr-1) (McGillicuddy and Robinson, 1997; Oschlies, 2002) of all other possible mechanisms (mesoscale activity, nitrogen fixation, atmospheric deposition) fuelling primary production in the subtropical gyre. The present study confirms that the lateral supply of dissolved organic nitrogen might be important in closing the N budget over the North Atlantic Ocean and quantifies the importance of meridional input of dissolved organic nitrogen.


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