scholarly journals Antarctic sea ice variability and trends, 1979–2010

2012 ◽  
Vol 6 (4) ◽  
pp. 871-880 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. L. Parkinson ◽  
D. J. Cavalieri

Abstract. In sharp contrast to the decreasing sea ice coverage of the Arctic, in the Antarctic the sea ice cover has, on average, expanded since the late 1970s. More specifically, satellite passive-microwave data for the period November 1978–December 2010 reveal an overall positive trend in ice extents of 17 100 ± 2300 km2 yr−1. Much of the increase, at 13 700 ± 1500 km2 yr−1, has occurred in the region of the Ross Sea, with lesser contributions from the Weddell Sea and Indian Ocean. One region, that of the Bellingshausen/Amundsen Seas, has (like the Arctic) instead experienced significant sea ice decreases, with an overall ice extent trend of −8200 ± 1200 km2 yr−1. When examined through the annual cycle over the 32-yr period 1979–2010, the Southern Hemisphere sea ice cover as a whole experienced positive ice extent trends in every month, ranging in magnitude from a low of 9100 ± 6300 km2 yr−1 in February to a high of 24 700 ± 10 000 km2 yr−1 in May. The Ross Sea and Indian Ocean also had positive trends in each month, while the Bellingshausen/Amundsen Seas had negative trends in each month, and the Weddell Sea and western Pacific Ocean had a mixture of positive and negative trends. Comparing ice-area results to ice-extent results, in each case the ice-area trend has the same sign as the ice-extent trend, but the magnitudes of the two trends differ, and in some cases these differences allow inferences about the corresponding changes in sea ice concentrations. The strong pattern of decreasing ice coverage in the Bellingshausen/Amundsen Seas region and increasing ice coverage in the Ross Sea region is suggestive of changes in atmospheric circulation. This is a key topic for future research.

2012 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 931-956 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. L. Parkinson ◽  
D. J. Cavalieri

Abstract. In sharp contrast to the decreasing sea ice coverage of the Arctic, in the Antarctic the sea ice cover has, on average, expanded since the late 1970s. More specifically, satellite passive-microwave data for the period November 1978–December 2010 reveal an overall positive trend in ice extents of 17 100 ± 2300 km2 yr−1. Much of the increase, at 13 700 ± 1500 km2 yr−1, has occurred in the region of the Ross Sea, with lesser contributions from the Weddell Sea and Indian Ocean. One region, that of the Bellingshausen/Amundsen Seas, has, like the Arctic, instead experienced significant sea ice decreases, with an overall ice extent trend of −8200 ± 1200 km2 yr−1. When examined through the annual cycle over the 32-yr period 1979–2010, the Southern Hemisphere sea ice cover as a whole experienced positive ice extent trends in every month, ranging in magnitude from a low of 9100 ± 6300 km2 yr−1 in February to a high of 24 700 ± 10 000 km2 yr−1 in May. The Ross Sea and Indian Ocean also had positive trends in each month, while the Bellingshausen/Amundsen Seas had negative trends in each month, and the Weddell Sea and Western Pacific Ocean had a mixture of positive and negative trends. Comparing ice-area results to ice-extent results, in each case the ice-area trend has the same sign as the ice-extent trend, but differences in the magnitudes of the two trends identify regions with overall increasing ice concentrations and others with overall decreasing ice concentrations. The strong pattern of decreasing ice coverage in the Bellingshausen/Amundsen Seas region and increasing ice coverage in the Ross Sea region is suggestive of changes in atmospheric circulation. This is a key topic for future research.


MAUSAM ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 62 (4) ◽  
pp. 633-640
Author(s):  
SANDIP R.OZA ◽  
R.K.K. SINGH ◽  
ABHINAV SRIVASTAVA ◽  
MIHIR K.DASH ◽  
I.M.L. DAS ◽  
...  

The growth and decay of sea ice are complex processes and have important feedback onto the oceanic and atmospheric circulation. In the Antarctic, sea ice variability significantly affects the primary productivity in the Southern Ocean and thereby negatively influences the performance and survival of species in polar ecosystem. In present days, the awareness on the sea ice variability in the Antarctic is not as matured as it is for the Arctic region. The present paper focuses on the inter-annual trends (1999-2009) observed in the monthly fractional sea ice cover in the Antarctic at 1 × 1 degree level, for the November and February months, derived from QuikSCAT scatterometer data. OSCAT scatterometer data from India’s Oceansat-2 satellite were used to asses the sea ice extent (SIE) observed in the month of November 2009 and February 2010 and its deviation from climatic maximum (1979-2002) sea ice extent (CMSIE). Large differences were observed between SIE and CMSIE, however, trend results show that it is due to the high inter-annual variability in sea ice cover. Spatial distribution of trends show the existence of positive and negative trends in the parts of Western Pacific Ocean, Ross Sea, Amundsen and Bellingshausen Seas (ABS), Weddell Sea and Indian ocean sector of southern ocean. Sea ice trends are compared with long-term SST trends (1982-2009) observed in the austral summer month of February. Large-scale cooling trend observed around Ross Sea and warming trend in ABS sector are the distinct outcome of the study.


1982 ◽  
Vol 3 ◽  
pp. 350-350
Author(s):  
H.J. Zwally ◽  
J.C. Comiso ◽  
C.L. Parkinson ◽  
F.D. Carsey ◽  
W.J. Campbell ◽  
...  

A quantitative comparison of seasonal and interannual Antarctic sea-ice coverage over the four years 1973-76 has been accomplished through the use of passive microwave imagery from the Nimbus-5 satellite. For the entire Southern Ocean both the total ice extent (area with ice concentration greater than 15%) and the actual ice area (the spatially-integrated ice concentration) have decreased over this period of 4 a, but not uniformly in all regions. From 1973 to 1976 the annual-mean value of total ice extent decreased from 13.8 × 106 km2 to 12.1 × 106 km2, yielding an average decrease of 4.0% a−1. The inter-annual difference is greatest during the spring, as the ice decays, with the decrease in the December-mean averaging 8.4% a−1, the largest of any month. The decrease in the November-mean averaged 4.5% a−1. The overall decrease was principally due to the consistent yearly decrease of ice In the Weddell Sea sector (60°W to 20°E). Other sectors show less consistency. For instance, the ice in the Ross Sea sector (130°W to 160°E) increased from 1973 to 1974 and then decreased from 1974 to 1976, and no consistent trend is apparent in the ice extent between 20°E and 160°E. The total ice extent in the Bellingshausen- Amundsen seas sector (60°W to 130°W) actually increased slightly from 1973 to 1976. The area of the open water within the ice pack behaved differently from the total ice area, Increasing each year from February to November but having no clear interannual trend. A detailed analysis of the passive microwave imagery for the Antarctic region is planned for publication in an atlas.


2019 ◽  
Vol 116 (29) ◽  
pp. 14414-14423 ◽  
Author(s):  
Claire L. Parkinson

Following over 3 decades of gradual but uneven increases in sea ice coverage, the yearly average Antarctic sea ice extents reached a record high of 12.8 × 106 km2 in 2014, followed by a decline so precipitous that they reached their lowest value in the 40-y 1979–2018 satellite multichannel passive-microwave record, 10.7 × 106 km2, in 2017. In contrast, it took the Arctic sea ice cover a full 3 decades to register a loss that great in yearly average ice extents. Still, when considering the 40-y record as a whole, the Antarctic sea ice continues to have a positive overall trend in yearly average ice extents, although at 11,300 ± 5,300 km2⋅y−1, this trend is only 50% of the trend for 1979–2014, before the precipitous decline. Four of the 5 sectors into which the Antarctic sea ice cover is divided all also have 40-y positive trends that are well reduced from their 2014–2017 values. The one anomalous sector in this regard, the Bellingshausen/Amundsen Seas, has a 40-y negative trend, with the yearly average ice extents decreasing overall in the first 3 decades, reaching a minimum in 2007, and exhibiting an overall upward trend since 2007 (i.e., reflecting a reversal in the opposite direction from the other 4 sectors and the Antarctic sea ice cover as a whole).


1982 ◽  
Vol 3 ◽  
pp. 350 ◽  
Author(s):  
H.J. Zwally ◽  
J.C. Comiso ◽  
C.L. Parkinson ◽  
F.D. Carsey ◽  
W.J. Campbell ◽  
...  

A quantitative comparison of seasonal and interannual Antarctic sea-ice coverage over the four years 1973-76 has been accomplished through the use of passive microwave imagery from the Nimbus-5 satellite. For the entire Southern Ocean both the total ice extent (area with ice concentration greater than 15%) and the actual ice area (the spatially-integrated ice concentration) have decreased over this period of 4 a, but not uniformly in all regions. From 1973 to 1976 the annual-mean value of total ice extent decreased from 13.8 × 106 km2 to 12.1 × 106 km2, yielding an average decrease of 4.0% a−1. The inter-annual difference is greatest during the spring, as the ice decays, with the decrease in the December-mean averaging 8.4% a−1, the largest of any month. The decrease in the November-mean averaged 4.5% a−1. The overall decrease was principally due to the consistent yearly decrease of ice In the Weddell Sea sector (60°W to 20°E). Other sectors show less consistency. For instance, the ice in the Ross Sea sector (130°W to 160°E) increased from 1973 to 1974 and then decreased from 1974 to 1976, and no consistent trend is apparent in the ice extent between 20°E and 160°E. The total ice extent in the Bellingshausen- Amundsen seas sector (60°W to 130°W) actually increased slightly from 1973 to 1976. The area of the open water within the ice pack behaved differently from the total ice area, Increasing each year from February to November but having no clear interannual trend. A detailed analysis of the passive microwave imagery for the Antarctic region is planned for publication in an atlas.


1992 ◽  
Vol 338 (1285) ◽  
pp. 243-250 ◽  

Southern Ocean sea-ice coverage undergoes a large seasonal cycle, with a nearly fivefold increase in areal ice extents from the minimum in February to the maximum in September, and significant interannual variations. Results presented here show in a variety of forms some of the variability that occurred in Southern Ocean sea-ice distributions and extents over the 1970s and 1980s. Interannual variability is examined by identifying changes in three measures: sea-ice extents, sea-ice distributions, and the length of the sea-ice season. Regarding these three: (i) Maximum ice extents varied by approximately 12%, decreasing during the mid-1970s, followed by increases over the next few years and a levelling off for much of the 1980s. (ii) The area of interannual variability in monthly average sea-ice distributions in summer far exceeds the summertime area of consistent ice coverage, in sharp contrast to the wintertime situation, when the area of consistent ice coverage is considerably larger. In winter, the ice-distribution variability is largely confined to two regions: a relatively narrow outer band (generally 2-5° of latitude) surrounding the region of consistent ice coverage, and, for the mid-1970s, the region of an occasional large open water area within the ice pack of the Weddell Sea, termed the Weddell polynya. The Weddell and other polynyas within the ice cover allow intensified heat, mass, and momentum exchanges between ocean and atmosphere, thereby affecting regional oceanic and atmospheric circulations, (iii) The length of the sea-ice season, calculated for the years 1979-1986, with satellite passive-microwave data coverage through all months of the year, showed increases over that period in the Ross Sea but decreases in the Weddell and Bellingshausen seas. In both cases it appears, through comparisons with data from 1973-1976, that the 1979-1986 changes more likely reflect a fluctuating behaviour of the ice cover than a long-term trend. The changes in the ice cover have influences not only on the ocean and the atmosphere but on aquatic plant and animal life as well.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tian R. Tian ◽  
Alexander D. Fraser ◽  
Noriaki Kimura ◽  
Chen Zhao ◽  
Petra Heil

Abstract. Antarctic sea ice kinematic plays a crucial role in shaping the polar climate and ecosystems. Satellite passive microwave-derived sea ice motion data have been used widely for studying sea ice motion and deformation processes, and provide daily, global coverage at a relatively low spatial-resolution (in the order of 60 × 60 km). In the Arctic, several validated data sets of satellite observations are available and used to study sea ice kinematics, but far fewer validation studies exist for the Antarctic. Here, we compare the widely-used passive microwave-derived Antarctic sea ice motion product by Kimura et al. (2013) with buoy-derived velocities, and interpret the effects of satellite observational configuration on the representation of Antarctic sea ice kinematics. We identify two issues in the Kimura et al. (2013) product: (i) errors in two large triangular areas within the eastern Weddell Sea and western Amundsen Sea relating to an error in the input satellite data composite, and (ii) a more subtle error relating to invalid assumptions for the average sensing time of each pixel. Upon rectification of these, performance of the daily composite sea ice motion product is found to be a function of latitude, relating to the number of satellite swaths incorporated (more swaths further south as tracks converge), and the heterogeneity of the underlying satellite signal (brightness temperature here). Daily sea ice motion vectors calculated using ascending- and descending-only satellite tracks (with a true ~24 h time-scale) are compared with the widely-used combined product (ascending and descending tracks combined together, with an inherent ~39 h time-scale). This comparison reveals that kinematic parameters derived from the shorter time-scale velocity datasets are higher in magnitude than the combined dataset, indicating a high degree of sensitivity to observation time-scale. We conclude that the new generation of “swath-to-swath” (S2S) sea ice velocity datasets, encompassing a range of observational time scales, is necessary to advance future research into sea ice kinematics.


Elem Sci Anth ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 5 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ron Kwok ◽  
Shirley S. Pang ◽  
Sahra Kacimi

Understanding long-term changes in large-scale sea ice drift in the Southern Ocean is of considerable interest given its contribution to ice extent, to ice production in open waters, with associated dense water formation and heat flux to the atmosphere, and thus to the climate system. In this paper, we examine the trends and variability of this ice drift in a 34-year record (1982–2015) derived from satellite observations. Uncertainties in drift (~3 to 4 km day–1) were assessed with higher resolution observations. In a linear model, drift speeds were ~1.4% of the geostrophic wind from reanalyzed sea-level pressure, nearly 50% higher than that of the Arctic. This result suggests an ice cover in the Southern Ocean that is thinner, weaker, and less compact. Geostrophic winds explained all but ~40% of the variance in ice drift. Three spatially distinct drift patterns were shown to be controlled by the location and depth of atmospheric lows centered over the Amundsen, Riiser-Larsen, and Davis seas. Positively correlated changes in sea-level pressures at the three centers (up to 0.64) suggest correlated changes in the wind-driven drift patterns. Seasonal trends in ice edge are linked to trends in meridional winds and also to on-ice/off-ice trends in zonal winds, due to zonal asymmetry of the Antarctic ice cover. Sea ice area export at flux gates that parallel the 1000-m isobath were extended to cover the 34-year record. Interannual variability in ice export in the Ross and Weddell seas linked to the depth and location of the Amundsen Sea and Riiser-Larsen Sea lows to their east. Compared to shorter records, where there was a significant positive trend in Ross Sea ice area flux, the longer 34-year trends of outflow from both seas are now statistically insignificant.


2017 ◽  
Vol 30 (6) ◽  
pp. 2251-2267 ◽  
Author(s):  
Josefino C. Comiso ◽  
Robert A. Gersten ◽  
Larry V. Stock ◽  
John Turner ◽  
Gay J. Perez ◽  
...  

Abstract The Antarctic sea ice extent has been slowly increasing contrary to expected trends due to global warming and results from coupled climate models. After a record high extent in 2012 the extent was even higher in 2014 when the magnitude exceeded 20 × 106 km2 for the first time during the satellite era. The positive trend is confirmed with newly reprocessed sea ice data that addressed inconsistency issues in the time series. The variability in sea ice extent and ice area was studied alongside surface ice temperature for the 34-yr period starting in 1981, and the results of the analysis show a strong correlation of −0.94 during the growth season and −0.86 during the melt season. The correlation coefficients are even stronger with a one-month lag in surface temperature at −0.96 during the growth season and −0.98 during the melt season, suggesting that the trend in sea ice cover is strongly influenced by the trend in surface temperature. The correlation with atmospheric circulation as represented by the southern annular mode (SAM) index appears to be relatively weak. A case study comparing the record high in 2014 with a relatively low ice extent in 2015 also shows strong sensitivity to changes in surface temperature. The results suggest that the positive trend is a consequence of the spatial variability of global trends in surface temperature and that the ability of current climate models to forecast sea ice trend can be improved through better performance in reproducing observed surface temperatures in the Antarctic region.


1993 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 63-75 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. O. Jeffries ◽  
W. F. Weeks

The internal structure of ice cores from western Ross Sea pack ice floes showed considerable diversity. Snow-ice formation made a small, but significant contribution to ice growth. Frazil ice was common and its growth clearly occurred during both the pancake cycle and deformation events. Congelation ice was also common, in both its crystallographically aligned and non-aligned varieties. Platelet ice was found in only one core next to the Drygalski Ice Tongue, an observation adding to the increasing evidence that this unusual ice type occurs primarily in coastal pack ice near ice tongues and ice shelves. The diverse internal structure of the floes indicates that sea ice development in the Ross Sea is as complex as that in the Weddell Sea and more complex than in the Arctic. The mean ice thickness at the ice core sites varied between 0.71 m and 1.52 m. The thinnest ice generally occurred in the outer pack ice zone. Regardless of latitude, the ice thickness data are further evidence that Antarctic sea ice is thinner than Arctic sea ice.


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