scholarly journals Stratospheric influence on North Atlantic marine cold air outbreaks following sudden stratospheric warming events

2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 541-553
Author(s):  
Hilla Afargan-Gerstman ◽  
Iuliia Polkova ◽  
Lukas Papritz ◽  
Paolo Ruggieri ◽  
Martin P. King ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
North Atlantic ◽  
Geopotential Height ◽  
Barents Sea ◽  
Height Anomaly ◽  
Labrador Sea ◽  
Stratospheric Polar Vortex ◽  
Cold Air ◽  
The North ◽  
The North Atlantic ◽  
Cold Air Outbreaks

Abstract. Marine cold air outbreaks (MCAOs) in the northeastern North Atlantic occur due to the advection of extremely cold air over an ice-free ocean. MCAOs are associated with a range of severe weather phenomena, such as polar lows, strong surface winds and intense cooling of the ocean surface. Given these extreme impacts, the identification of precursors of MCAOs is crucial for improved long-range prediction of associated impacts on Arctic infrastructure and human lives. MCAO frequency has been linked to the strength of the stratospheric polar vortex, but the study of connections to the occurrence of extreme stratospheric events, known as sudden stratospheric warmings (SSWs), has been limited to cold extremes over land. Here, the influence of SSW events on MCAOs over the North Atlantic ocean is studied using reanalysis datasets. Overall, SSW events are found to be associated with more frequent MCAOs in the Barents Sea and the Norwegian Sea compared to climatology and less frequent MCAOs in the Labrador Sea. In particular, SSW events project onto an anomalous dipole pattern of geopotential height 500 hPa, which consists of a ridge anomaly over Greenland and a trough anomaly over Scandinavia. By affecting the variability of the large-scale circulation patterns in the North Atlantic, SSW events contribute to the strong northerly flow over the Barents and Norwegian seas and thereby increase the likelihood of MCAOs in these regions. In contrast, the positive geopotential height anomaly over Greenland reduces the probability of MCAOs in the Labrador Sea after SSW events. As SSW events tend to have a long-term influence on surface weather, these results are expected to benefit the predictability of MCAOs in the Nordic Seas for winters with SSW events.

scholarly journals The Quasi-Biweekly Oscillation of Summer Rainfall in Southern China and Its Relationship With the Geopotential Height Anomaly Over the North Atlantic Ocean

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qian Huang ◽  
Xinyu Yin ◽  
Suxiang Yao
Keyword(s):  
Atlantic Ocean ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Geopotential Height ◽  
North Atlantic Ocean ◽  
Southern China ◽  
Summer Precipitation ◽  
Height Anomaly ◽  
Geopotential Height Anomaly ◽  
The North ◽  
The North Atlantic

Summer precipitation in East Asia has significant quasi-biweekly (10–30-day) oscillation characteristics. By using gauge-based precipitation and ERA-Interim reanalysis data, the basic mode of the quasi-biweekly oscillation of summer precipitation in East Asia and the related circulation from 1979 to 2012 were analyzed. It was found that the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River and its south in China were among the key areas for the 10- to 30-day oscillation of summer precipitation. After selecting typical summer precipitation events with 10- to 30-day oscillation characteristics in key areas and conducting composite analysis, it is found that in the dry (wet) phase of quasi-biweekly precipitation in southern China, it is controlled by quasi-biweekly anticyclone (cyclone) at 500 hPa above the key area. During the evolution of quasi-biweekly precipitation, the ridge of the Northwest Pacific Subtropical High is located between 20 and 22°N latitude, and there is no significant variability in the large-scale background circulation. Furthermore, composite analysis of the precursory signal at 500 hPa during quasi-biweekly precipitation in southern China found that there was an obvious quasi-biweekly geopotential height anomaly over the North Atlantic Ocean almost 30 days before the peak day of quasi-biweekly precipitation. While the quasi-biweekly geopotential height anomaly at 500 hPa in the North Atlantic propagates eastward, it also leads the cold air to transport southward. Cold air from high latitudes and warm air from low latitudes converge in southern China, which affects the quasi-biweekly oscillation of precipitation. Hysteresis synthesis of precipitation based on 500 hPa geopotential height’s quasi-biweekly oscillation events over the North Atlantic Ocean comes to almost the same conclusion. Therefore, the 500 hPa geopotential height quasi-biweekly anomaly in the North Atlantic may have important prediction significance for an extended-range forecast of summer rainfall in China.

scholarly journals In situ measurements of cloud microphysical and aerosol properties during the break-up of stratocumulus cloud layers in cold air outbreaks over the North Atlantic

2018 ◽  
Vol 18 (23) ◽  
pp. 17191-17206 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gary Lloyd ◽  
Thomas W. Choularton ◽  
Keith N. Bower ◽  
Martin W. Gallagher ◽  
Jonathan Crosier ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Boundary Layer ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
In Situ Measurements ◽  
Cold Air ◽  
The North ◽  
The North Atlantic ◽  
Break Up ◽  
The Uk ◽  
Cold Air Outbreaks

Abstract. A key challenge for numerical weather prediction models is representing boundary layer clouds in cold air outbreaks (CAOs). One important aspect is the evolution of microphysical properties as stratocumulus transitions to open cellular convection. Abel et al. (2017) have shown, for the first time from in situ field observations, that the break-up in CAOs over the eastern Atlantic may be controlled by the development of precipitation in the cloud system while the boundary layer becomes decoupled. This paper describes that case and examines in situ measurements from three more CAOs. Flights were conducted using the UK Facility for Airborne Atmospheric Measurements (FAAM) British Aerospace-146 (BAe-146) aircraft in the North Atlantic region around the UK, making detailed microphysical measurements in the stratiform boundary layer. As the cloudy boundary layer evolves prior to break-up, increasing liquid water paths (LWPs) and drop sizes and the formation of liquid precipitation are observed. Small numbers of ice particles, typically a few per litre, are also observed. Eventually LWPs reduce significantly due to loss of water from the stratocumulus cloud (SC) layer. In three of the cases, aerosols are removed from the boundary layer across the transition. This process appears to be similar to those observed in warm clouds and pockets of open cells (POCs) in the subtropics. After break-up, deeper convective clouds form with bases warm enough for secondary ice production (SIP), leading to rapid glaciation. It is concluded that the precipitation is strongly associated with the break-up, with both weakening of the capping inversion and boundary layer decoupling also observed.

Characteristics of Cold Air Outbreaks and associated Polar Mesoscale Cyclones in the North-Atlantic region

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Annick Terpstra ◽  
Ian Renfrew ◽  
Denis Sergeev
Keyword(s):  
North Atlantic ◽  
Surface Fluxes ◽  
Labrador Sea ◽  
Air Mass ◽  
Cold Air ◽  
Norwegian Sea ◽  
Air Masses ◽  
The North ◽  
Mesoscale Cyclones ◽  
Cold Air Outbreaks

<p>Geographically confined, equatorward excursions of cold air masses into ice-free regions account for the majority of oceanic heat loss in key regions for deepwater formation in the North Atlantic. These cold-air outbreaks (CAO) are frequently accompanied by the development of severe mesoscale weather features, such as intense low-level jets and polar lows. Exchange of heat, moisture and momentum between the ocean and atmosphere in response to mesoscale features, either directly, or indirectly via modulating the longevity and intensity of the cold air mass modulates the wind-driven oceanic gyres. Yet, it remains unclear how often mesoscale cyclones accompany cold-air outbreaks, and how mesoscale features modify the air-sea interactions. </p><p>Focusing on two key regions, the Labrador Sea and the Greenland/Norwegian Sea, we outline the temporal evolution of CAO events and associated mesoscale cyclogenesis. We apply objective detection to both CAO events and mesoscale cyclones and introduce an alternative metric to characterize the cold air mass. Despite the nearly 20 degrees difference in latitude, CAOs over both regions exhibit rather similar evolution, surface fluxes, and thermodynamic structure. The large scale configuration during CAO onset comprises a very cold upper level through over the CAO region and a surface cyclone downstream. As the CAO matures the cold air mass extends towards the south-east, accompanied by enhanced surface fluxes and destabilization of the CAO airmass. About 2/3 of the CAO events are accompanied by mesoscale cyclogenesis, with the majority of mesoscale cyclones originating inside the cold air masses. Neither the duration nor the maturity of the CAO event is relevant for the initiation of mesoscale cyclogenesis. Genesis conditions for mesoscale cyclogenesis during CAOs over the Labrador Sea are moister and exhibit stronger surface fluxes compared to their Norwegian Sea counterparts.</p>

Marine cold air outbreaks in Fram Strait – General increase in March and a special case in 2020

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sandro Dahlke ◽  
Amelie Solbes ◽  
Marion Maturilli
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Potential Temperature ◽  
Fram Strait ◽  
Near Surface ◽  
Cold Air ◽  
The North ◽  
The North Atlantic ◽  
Ice Edge ◽  
Cold Air Outbreaks

<p>Marine Cold Air Outbreaks (MCAOs) are common features above the open water surfaces of the Nordic Seas. They are characterized by marked vertical temperature gradients, which typically persist over several days, and strongly shape air-sea heat exchanges, convection, weather and boundary layer characteristics in the affected region. Based on the novel ERA-5 reanalysis product, we are analyzing climatological and recent aspects of MCAOs in the Fram Strait region of the North Atlantic, which is a “hot spot” particularly during winter and early spring. MCAOs in Fram Strait occur preferably when persistent low pressure systems occupy Northern Scandinavia and the Barents/Kara Sea, which exerts strong zonal pressure gradients across Fram Strait. Based on the vertical gradients of potential temperature, occurrence frequencies of MCAOs of different strengths are investigated.  It is found that MCAOs of moderate strength occur at an average of 7-9 days per month between December and March, while especially strong MCAOs occur at an average of 1-3 days in that time. Regarding the former, March is the only month for which a significant trend of +1.7 days/month/decade was found over the 1979-2020 period. While regional MCAO expression is dependent on both the relative location of the ice edge and on the atmospheric circulation, MCAO increase in Fram Strait in March can be explained mainly with the latter and the associated zonal pressure gradient.</p><p>February and March 2020 serve as examples of particularly strong and persistent MCAOs in Fram Strait. The record-breaking strong polar vortex at that time, which had received global attention in the media and literature, had left its associated footprint in near surface and tropospheric circulation fields, hence providing anomalous northerly flow across the ice edge in Fram Strait. While this clearly shaped MCAOs in Fram Strait, associated anomalies were also observed in the North Atlantic Sea Ice edge, and were even detected in upper air profiles and sea ice conditions on Svalbard.</p><p>For the detailed study of such northerly advection events, atmospheric data gathered during the year-long MOSAiC expedition 2019/2020 in the central Arctic are expected to provide valuable information in the upstream direction of the anomalies in Fram Strait.</p>

Stratospheric modulation of cold air outbreaks and winter storms in the North Atlantic region and impacts on predictability

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hilla Afargan-Gerstman ◽  
Iuliia Polkova ◽  
Lukas Papritz ◽  
Paolo Ruggieri ◽  
Martin P. King ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
North Atlantic ◽  
Storm Track ◽  
Polar Vortex ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Damage Potential ◽  
Stratospheric Polar Vortex ◽  
Winter Storms ◽  
Cold Air ◽  
The North ◽  
Cold Air Outbreaks

<div> <p>Variability of the stratospheric polar vortex has the potential to influence surface weather by imposing negative North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) conditions, associated with cold air outbreaks in the Arctic and a southward shift of the extratropical storm track. In particular, the likelihood of cold temperature extremes over the ocean, known as marine cold air outbreaks (MCAOs), have been associated with a range of hazardous conditions, including strong surface winds and the occurrence of extreme cyclones known as Polar Lows (PLs), posing risks for Arctic marine activity and infrastructure. Likewise, winter storms can lead to high damage potential in the extratropics due to their associated extreme winds.</p> </div><div> <p>Skillful predictions of MCAOs and extratropical winter storms on subseasonal timescales have been linked to the strength of the stratospheric polar vortex. Using ERA-Interim reanalysis (1979-2019) and ECMWF forecasts from the S2S Prediction Project database we investigate the stratospheric influence on surface extremes such as MCAOs and high-impact winter storms. Following weak stratospheric vortex extremes, anomalous circulation patterns accompanied by increased storminess over the eastern North Atlantic are found to be strong indicators for enhanced MCAOs in high- and mid-latitudes. Understanding the role of the stratosphere in subseasonal variability and predictability of cold air outbreaks and storm tracks during winter can provide a key for a reliable forecast of severe impacts.</p> </div>

scholarly journals In-Situ Measurements of Cloud Microphysical and Aerosol Properties during the Breakup of Stratocumulus Cloud Layers in Cold Air Outbreaks over the North Atlantic

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gary Lloyd ◽  
Thomas W. Choularton ◽  
Keith N. Bower ◽  
Martin W. Gallagher ◽  
Jonathan Crosier ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Boundary Layer ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Weather Prediction ◽  
In Situ Measurements ◽  
Cold Air ◽  
The North ◽  
The North Atlantic ◽  
The Uk ◽  
Cold Air Outbreaks

Abstract. A key challenge for numerical weather prediction models is representing boundary layer clouds in Cold Air Outbreaks. One important aspect is the evolution of microphysical properties as stratocumulus transitions to open cellular convection. Abel et al. (2017) has for the first time from in-situ field observations shown that the breakup in cold air outbreaks over the eastern Atlantic may be controlled by the development of precipitation in the cloud system while the boundary layer becomes decoupled. This paper describes that case and examines in-situ measurements from 3 more cold air outbreaks. Flights were conducted using the UK FAAM BAe-146 aircraft in the North Atlantic region around the UK making detailed microphysical measurements in the stratiform boundary layer. As the cloudy boundary layer evolves prior to breakup, increasing liquid water paths, drop sizes and the formation of liquid precipitation is observed. Small numbers of ice particles are also observed. Eventually LWPs reduce significantly due to loss of water from the Sc cloud layer. In 3 of the cases, aerosols are removed from the boundary layer across the transition. This process appears to be similar to those observed in warm clouds and pockets of open cells in the subtropics. After breakup, deeper convective clouds form with bases warm enough for secondary ice production, leading to rapid glaciation. It is concluded that the precipitation is strongly associated with the break-up, with both weakening of the capping inversion and boundary layer decoupling also observed.

Late Quaternary palaeo-oceanography of the Denmark Strait overflow pathway, South-East Greenland margin

1998 ◽  
Vol 180 ◽  
pp. 163-167
Author(s):  
Antoon Kuijpers ◽  
Jørn Bo Jensen ◽  
Simon R . Troelstra ◽  
And shipboard scientific party of RV Professor Logachev and RV Dana
Keyword(s):  
North Atlantic ◽  
Deep Water ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Conveyor Belt ◽  
Water Masses ◽  
Labrador Sea ◽  
Greenland Sea ◽  
The North ◽  
Denmark Strait ◽  
The North Atlantic

Direct interaction between the atmosphere and the deep ocean basins takes place today only in the Southern Ocean near the Antarctic continent and in the northern extremity of the North Atlantic Ocean, notably in the Norwegian–Greenland Sea and Labrador Sea. Cooling and evaporation cause surface waters in the latter region to become dense and sink. At depth, further mixing occurs with Arctic water masses from adjacent polar shelves. Export of these water masses from the Norwegian–Greenland Sea (Norwegian Sea Overflow Water) to the North Atlantic basin occurs via two major gateways, the Denmark Strait system and the Faeroe– Shetland Channel and Faeroe Bank Channel system (e.g. Dickson et al. 1990; Fig.1). Deep convection in the Labrador Sea produces intermediate waters (Labrador Sea Water), which spreads across the North Atlantic. Deep waters thus formed in the North Atlantic (North Atlantic Deep Water) constitute an essential component of a global ‘conveyor’ belt extending from the North Atlantic via the Southern and Indian Oceans to the Pacific. Water masses return as a (warm) surface water flow. In the North Atlantic this is the Gulf Stream and the relatively warm and saline North Atlantic Current. Numerous palaeo-oceanographic studies have indicated that climatic changes in the North Atlantic region are closely related to changes in surface circulation and in the production of North Atlantic Deep Water. Abrupt shut-down of the ocean-overturning and subsequently of the conveyor belt is believed to represent a potential explanation for rapid climate deterioration at high latitudes, such as those that caused the Quaternary ice ages. Here it should be noted, that significant changes in deep convection in Greenland waters have also recently occurred. While in the Greenland Sea deep water formation over the last decade has drastically decreased, a strong increase of deep convection has simultaneously been observed in the Labrador Sea (Sy et al. 1997).

The Metasomatized Mantle beneath the North Atlantic Craton: Insights from Peridotite Xenoliths of the Chidliak Kimberlite Province (NE Canada)

2019 ◽  
Vol 60 (10) ◽  
pp. 1991-2024 ◽  
Author(s):  
M G Kopylova ◽  
E Tso ◽  
F Ma ◽  
J Liu ◽  
D G Pearson
Keyword(s):  
North Atlantic ◽  
Thermal State ◽  
Mineral Chemistry ◽  
Mantle Metasomatism ◽  
Labrador Sea ◽  
The North ◽  
Rock Types ◽  
History Of ◽  
The North Atlantic ◽  
North Atlantic Craton

Abstract We studied the petrography, mineralogy, thermobarometry and whole-rock chemistry of 120 peridotite and pyroxenite xenoliths collected from the 156–138 Ma Chidliak kimberlite province (Southern Baffin Island). Xenoliths from pipes CH-1, -6, -7 and -44 are divided into two garnet-bearing series, dunites–harzburgites–lherzolites and wehrlites–olivine pyroxenites. Both series show widely varying textures, from coarse to sheared, and textures of late formation of garnet and clinopyroxene. Some samples from the lherzolite series may contain spinel, whereas wehrlites may contain ilmenite. In CH-6, rare coarse samples of the lherzolite and wehrlite series were derived from P = 2·8 to 5·6 GPa, whereas predominant sheared and coarse samples of the lherzolite series coexist at P = 5·6–7·5 GPa. Kimberlites CH-1, -7, -44 sample mainly the deeper mantle, at P = 5·0–7·5 GPa, represented by coarse and sheared lherzolite and wehrlite series. The bulk of the pressure–temperature arrays defines a thermal state compatible with 35–39 mW m–2 surface heat flow, but a significant thermal disequilibrium was evident in the large isobaric thermal scatter, especially at depth, and in the low thermal gradients uncharacteristic of conduction. The whole-rock Si and Mg contents of the Chidliak xenoliths and their mineral chemistry reflect initial high levels of melt depletion typical of cratonic mantle and subsequent refertilization in Ca and Al. Unlike the more orthopyroxene-rich mantle of many other cratons, the Chidliak mantle is rich (∼83 vol%) in forsteritic olivine. We assign this to silicate–carbonate metasomatism, which triggered wehrlitization of the mantle. The Chidliak mantle resembles the Greenlandic part of the North Atlantic Craton, suggesting the former contiguous nature of their lithosphere before subsequent rifting into separate continental fragments. Another, more recent type of mantle metasomatism, which affected the Chidliak mantle, is characterized by elevated Ti in pyroxenes and garnet typical of all rock types from CH-1, -7 and -44. These metasomatic samples are largely absent from the CH-6 xenolith suite. The Ti imprint is most intense in xenoliths derived from depths equivalent to 5·5–6·5 GPa where it is associated with higher strain, the presence of sheared samples of the lherzolite series and higher temperatures varying isobarically by up to 200 °C. The horizontal scale of the thermal-metasomatic imprint is more ambiguous and could be as regional as tens of kilometers or as local as <1 km. The time-scale of this metasomatism relates to a conductive length-scale and could be as short as <1 Myr, shortly predating kimberlite formation. A complex protracted metasomatic history of the North Atlantic Craton reconstructed from Chidliak xenoliths matches emplacement patterns of deep CO2-rich and Ti-rich magmatism around the Labrador Sea prior to the craton rifting. The metasomatism may have played a pivotal role in thinning the North Atlantic Craton lithosphere adjacent to the Labrador Sea from ∼240 km in the Jurassic to ∼65 km in the Paleogene.

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