scholarly journals Pandemic and Indonesia Stock Market Performance

2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (4) ◽  
pp. 254-262
Author(s):  
Intan Surya Lesmana ◽  
Siti Saadah
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Market Performance ◽  
Government Policies ◽  
Likelihood Method ◽  
Symmetric Model ◽  
Asymmetric Model ◽  
Government Response ◽  
Stock Market Performance ◽  
The Impact

This study aims to analyze the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on Indonesia’s stock market performance. Considering the characteristics of daily stock return data that shows the characteristics of volatility clustering, the analytical method used is to develop a heteroscedastic model specification whose parameters are estimated using the maximum likelihood method. Based on data from March 2020 to January 2021, this study finds that the Exponential-GARCH asymmetric model is the best model compared to the Standard-GARCH symmetric model or the asymmetric Threshold-GARCH model. The inference analysis conducted on the Exponential-GARCH asymmetric model in this study shows that the stock market's performance that is significantly affected by this pandemic is the volatility of its returns. Stock price volatility is one of the important variables in stock market performance. This study produces empirical findings that government policies on social restrictions contribute significantly to suppressing stock market volatility. As for government policies in mitigating the risk of the spread of the epidemic, in this study, it is measured through a stringency index. This index was released by the Oxford COVID-19 Government Response Tracker (OxCGRT) which monitors the government's response to the coronavirus in 160 countries and is a parameter that evaluates the policies taken by a country's government based on nine metrics. This index does not measure the effectiveness of a country's government response, but only the level of tightness. However, the results of the tests carried out in this study did not find a significant impact of pandemic indicators, the number of cases, and the number of daily deaths related to COVID-19 on stock returns.

scholarly journals Capital Market Response to COVID-19 Pandemic – A Systematic Review on Stock Volatility and Performance

2021 ◽  
pp. 27-49
Author(s):  
Janga Bahadur Hamal ◽  
Rishi Raj Gautam
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Investor Sentiment ◽  
Market Volatility ◽  
Stock Market Volatility ◽  
Stock Volatility ◽  
Government Response ◽  
Stock Market Performance ◽  
Policy Measures ◽  
And Performance ◽  
The Impact

This paper aims to identify the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on stock market volatility and market return as well as the impact of government response to the COVID-19 pandemic on stock market performance. To analyze the same, the paper has adopted Systematic Literature Review (SLR) approach and conducted a review of 40 journal articles published between between2020 to mid-2021. The paper identified that the short-term impact of the COVID-19 outbreak and government policy measures had a significant and adverse impact on stock market volatility, return and overall performance. In the longer term, the stock markets slowly started to stabilize and revive. This effect on the stock market was also attributed to investor sentiment and thus, in the later stages, targeted government response had a positive effect on boosting investor confidence towards the market.

Contribution of StockMarket Towards Economic Growth: An Empirical Study on Bangladesh Economy

2017 ◽  
Vol 13 (4) ◽  
pp. 238 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sonia Rezina ◽  
Nusrat Jahan ◽  
Mohitul Ameen Ahmed Mustafi
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Market Performance ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Stock Market Development ◽  
Stock Market Performance ◽  
Augmented Dickey Fuller ◽  
Johansen Cointegration Test ◽  
The Impact

The economic growth of a country is influenced by many different factors. This study aims to investigate the causal relationship between stock market development and economic growth in Bangladesh as well as the impact of stock market performance upon the economic growth of Bangladesh. The stock market performance has been measured by market capitalization ratio, number of listed companies, total value traded and turnover ratio; and the economic growth was represented by real gross domestic product. The periods taken for study were from year 1994 to year 2015.The effect of the stock market reform will also be addressed to explain the relationship. The study has been conducted using Augmented Dickey- Fuller Unit Root Test, Johansen Cointegration Test and the Granger Causality Test. The findings of the research should help the policy makers and regulators to look after their interest in the financial sector of the country.

The Impact of Government Intervention in Banks on Corporate Borrowers’ Stock Returns

2013 ◽  
Vol 48 (5) ◽  
pp. 1635-1662 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lars Norden ◽  
Peter Roosenboom ◽  
Teng Wang
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Support Programs ◽  
Government Interventions ◽  
Stock Market Performance ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The U.S

AbstractWe investigate whether and how government interventions in the U.S. banking sector influence the stock market performance of corporate borrowers during the financial crisis of 2007–2009. We measure firms’ exposures to government interventions with an intervention score that is based on combined information on the firms’ structure of bank relationships and their banks’ participation in government capital support programs. We find that government capital infusions in banks have a significantly positive impact on borrowing firms’ stock returns. The effect is more pronounced for riskier and bank-dependent firms and for those that borrow from banks that are less capitalized and smaller.

scholarly journals THE VOLATILITY TRANSMISSION OF MAIN GLOBAL STOCK'S RETURN TO INDONESIA

2017 ◽  
Vol 20 (2) ◽  
pp. 229-256
Author(s):  
Linda Karlina Sari ◽  
Noer Azam Achsani ◽  
Bagus Sartono
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Stock Return ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Symmetric Model ◽  
Return Volatility ◽  
Stock Return Volatility ◽  
Volatility Transmission ◽  
The Impact

Stock return volatility is a very interesting phenomenon because of its impact on global financial markets. For instance, an adverse shocks in one country’s market can be transmitted to other countries’ market through a particular mechanism of transmission, causing the related markets to experience financial instability as well (Liu et al., 1998). This paper aims to determine the best model to describe the volatility of stock returns, to identify asymmetric effect of such volatility, as well as to explore the transmission of stocks return volatilities in seven countries to Indonesia’s stock market over the period 1990-2016, on a daily basis. Modeling of stock return volatility uses symmetric and asymmetric GARCH, while analysis of stock return volatility transmission utilizes Vector Autoregressive system. This study found that the asymmetric model of GARCH, resulted from fitting the right model for all seven stock markets, provides a better estimation in portraying stock return volatility than symmetric model. Moreover, the model can reveal the presence of asymmetric effects on those seven stock markets. Other finding shows that Hong Kong and Singapore markets play dominant roles in influencing volatility return of Indonesia’s stock market. In addition, the degree of interdependence between Indonesia’s and foreign stock market increased substantially after the 2007 global financial crisis, as indicated by a drastic increase of the impact of stock return volatilities in the US and UK market on the volatility of Indonesia’s stock return.

scholarly journals Evaluation of the Impact of Macroeconomic Variables on Stock Market Performance in Nigeria

2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 34 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cordelia Onyinyechi Omodero ◽  
Sunday Mlanga
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Price Index ◽  
Market Performance ◽  
Share Price ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Stock Market Performance ◽  
The Impact

Stock market is an essential part of a nation’s economy and requires adequate evaluation of all factors that militate against its performance. This study investigates the role of macroeconomic variables in determining the stock market performance in Nigeria using annual time series data covering a period from 2009 to 2018. These data have been sourced from the World Bank Development Indicators, International Monetary Fund and CBN Statistical Bulletin. The results from the regression analysis indicate that exchange rate and interest rate do not have significant impact on share price index while inflation rate exerts a significant negative influence on share price index. On the contrary and in line with the concept of GDP and stock market performance, GDP significantly and positively impacts on share price index. The study among others suggests that the growth of the economy should be maintained to keep stock market flourishing while macroeconomic variables such as inflation, interest rate and exchange rate should be appropriately regulated by the relevant authorities to curtail all negative influences on stock market performance.

scholarly journals Dynamic impact of Gold Prices, Oil Prices and Exchange Rate on Stock Market Performance: A Case of Pakistan’s Stock Exchange (KSE 100 Index)

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-12
Author(s):  
Asif Ali ◽  
Muhammad Kamran Khan ◽  
Hamid Ullah
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Market Performance ◽  
Oil Prices ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Term Relation ◽  
Stock Market Performance ◽  
The Impact

Currently emerging markets are passing through economic turmoil due to considerable increases in the prices of oil and gold with significant variation in the foreign exchange market. All the macroeconomic variables are touching the highest value which was never occurred in the history of Pakistan. Taking advantages of the current situation the study has examined the impact of gold prices, oil prices and exchange rate on stock market performance. For this purpose, the study has used daily data of these macroeconomic variables for the period of 2003 to 2018. By using time series data analysis, it reveals that there is no co-integration or long-term relation among these variables; however, the vector autoregressive model showed significant short-term relation among the securities market performance, foreign exchange rate, prices of oil and gold. The analysis also suggests that significant changes in the prices of oil, foreign exchange rates and the prices of gold have a negative lagged effect on the performance of the stock market.

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