scholarly journals Does American Stock Market React Differently to Expected Versus Surprise Ratings During Crisis Period? The Case of the 2008 Worldwide Financial Crisis

2018 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
pp. 108
Author(s):  
Abdelkader Boudriga ◽  
Dorsaf Azouz Ghachem
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Market Reaction ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Good News ◽  
Crisis Period ◽  
Rating Agencies

We study the rating impact on American stock market during crisis period by distinguishing expected versus surprise announcements. If unexpected ratings generate stronger reaction than expected ones, which means that rating agencies maintain credibility and influence on investors’ decisions. Otherwise, they have to revise their methodologies and procedures in order to recover place on financial markets. Results show that during crisis period market reaction to bad and neutral expected rating announcements is negative and more accentuated than reaction to surprise announcements; on contrary to good news that produce a short positive impact when they are unexpected and are not perceived by the market otherwise. Results reflect once more market distrust to rating agencies and faith loss towards announcements.

The Financial Crisis

2019 ◽  
pp. 1-12
Author(s):  
Alan N. Rechtschaffen
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Economic Impact ◽  
Free Fall ◽  
Regulatory Framework ◽  
Subprime Lending ◽  
Crisis Period ◽  
The U.S ◽  
Trump Administration

This chapter discusses the origins of the 2007 financial crisis, subprime lending, and government-sponsored entities. It argues that the events driving financial markets to the precipice of collapse during the global financial meltdown gave rise to a regulatory framework that may have been a rational response to a market in free fall, but need to be reassessed in an era of recovery. In 2018, the U.S. economy may be, by many measures, viewed as wholly recovered from the economic impact of the crisis. The stock market is trading at record highs, having erased all the losses of the crisis period and then some. With this recovery, the Trump administration seeks to restrain the regulatory burden imposed during the crisis.

scholarly journals Value relevance of accounting data and financial crisis in Europe: an empirical analysis

2012 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 201 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alain Devalle
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Value Relevance ◽  
Net Income ◽  
Accounting Data ◽  
Book Value ◽  
Crisis Period ◽  
Comprehensive Income ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship

This paper aims at verifying the relationship between book value and  market value for a four years period (2006-2009) in Europe, under IFRS. In particular, I used value relevance approach to measure whether net income or comprehensive income are more useful to understand the relationship between market data and financial data. Moreover, the paper analyzes the impact of financial crisis on the value relevance of accounting data. The examination period runs from a pre-crisis period (2006-2007) to an in-crisis period (2008-2009). Results shows that comprehensive income is more value relevant than net income. Furthermore, the financial crisis has a positive impact on value relevance.  

Measuring Dependence Between the USA and the Asian Economies: A Time-varying Copula Approach

2019 ◽  
Vol 20 (4) ◽  
pp. 962-980 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shegorika Rajwani ◽  
Dilip Kumar
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Tail Dependence ◽  
Time Varying ◽  
The Us ◽  
Asian Economies ◽  
Copula Approach

During the past few years, many of the financial markets have gone through devastating effects due to the crisis in one or the other economy of the world. The recent global financial crisis has triggered dramatic movements in various stock markets which may arise from interdependence or contagion between the markets. This article attempts to measure the contagion between the equity markets of Asia and the US stock market. The countries considered in the Asian group are China, India, Indonesia, South Korea, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Malaysia and Japan. Most of the Asian economies have experienced drastic higher volatility and uncertainty in the financial markets. If the markets are contagious, then the investors will be unable to reap benefits through international diversification of the portfolio. In such a case, the policymakers will further frame policies so that they can insulate themselves from inflicting heavy damage from various crises. To achieve our goal, we make use of the time-varying copula approach which helps us to study the joint behaviour of the series based on their marginal distribution. Time-varying copula approach can also capture the non-linear dependence in the series and exhibits a rich pattern of tail behaviour. Our findings support the contagion between the Asian stock markets and the US stock market during the global financial crisis. This article also highlights that the increased tail dependence is an important factor for the contagion between the Asian stock markets and the US market.

The Impact of Government Intervention in Banks on Corporate Borrowers’ Stock Returns

2013 ◽  
Vol 48 (5) ◽  
pp. 1635-1662 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lars Norden ◽  
Peter Roosenboom ◽  
Teng Wang
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Support Programs ◽  
Government Interventions ◽  
Stock Market Performance ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The U.S

AbstractWe investigate whether and how government interventions in the U.S. banking sector influence the stock market performance of corporate borrowers during the financial crisis of 2007–2009. We measure firms’ exposures to government interventions with an intervention score that is based on combined information on the firms’ structure of bank relationships and their banks’ participation in government capital support programs. We find that government capital infusions in banks have a significantly positive impact on borrowing firms’ stock returns. The effect is more pronounced for riskier and bank-dependent firms and for those that borrow from banks that are less capitalized and smaller.

scholarly journals Econometric Modelling: Testing of Randomness,Volatility, Casualty and Cointegration of Emerging Stock Market Indices of India and MIST Countries

2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 1402-1417
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Good News ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Stock Market Index ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Lm Test ◽  
The Impact

In general, stock market indices are widely interrelated to the other global markets to detect the impact of diversification opportunities. The present research paper empirically examines randomness and long term equilibrium affiliation amongst the emerging stock market of India and Mexico, Indonesia, South Korea and Turkey from the monthly time series data during February 2008 to October 2019. The researcher employs by the way, Run test, Pearson’s correlation test, Johnsen’s multivariate cointegration test, VECM and Granger causality test with reference to post-September 2008 Global financial crisis. The test results of the above finds that Nifty 50 and BSE Sensex is significantly cointegrated either among themselves or with MIST countries particularly during the post-September Global financial crisis. No random walk is found during the study period. The ADF (Augmented DickeyFuller) and PP (Phillips Pearson) tests evidenced stationarity at the level, but converted into non-stationarity in first difference. Symmetric and asymmetric volatility behaviors are studied using GARCH, EGARCH and TARCH models in order to test which model has the best forecasting ability. Leverage effect was apparent during the study period. So the influx of bad news has a bigger shock or blow on the conditional variance than the influx of good news. The residual diagnostic test (Correlogram-Squared residuals test, ARCH LM test and Jarque-Bera test) confirms GARCH (1,1) as the best suited model for estimating volatility andforecasting stock market index.

scholarly journals The Global Financial Crisis, Inflation Rate And Stock Market Returns In Kenya

2017 ◽  
Vol 13 (19) ◽  
pp. 191
Author(s):  
Donald A. Otieno ◽  
Rose W. Ngugi ◽  
Nelson H. W. Wawire
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Regression Model ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Moderating Effect ◽  
Market Returns ◽  
Stock Market Returns ◽  
Crisis Period ◽  
Product Term

The moderating effect of events such as the 2008 Global Financial Crisis (GFC) on the relation between stock market returns and macroeconomic variables has attracted very little attention. This study investigates the extent to which the 2008 GFC moderated the relationship between inflation rate and stock market returns. The study uses month-onmonth inflation rate and year-on-year inflation rate from 1st January 1993 to 31st December 2015 and divides the sample data into pre-crisis period (from 1st January 1993 to 31st December 2007); crisis period (from 1st January 2008 to 30th June 2009); and post-crisis period (from 1st July 2009 to 31st December 2015). It uses a product-term regression model instead of the most widely applied additive regression model. Results indicate that a unit increase in the both measures of inflation rate had significant depressing effects on stock market returns after the crisis compared to before the crisis. Likewise, the results reveal that average stock market returns were significantly higher after the crisis compared to before the crisis at low rather than medium or high values of the two measures of inflation rate. These results suggest that the Kenyan stock market is highly sensitive to variations in inflation rate, especially as it emerges from a financial or political turmoil. This study is empirically innovative in the sense that it is the first to examine the moderating effect of the 2008 GFC on the relation between inflation rate and stock market returns in Kenya using a product-term model.

scholarly journals Contagion of the shareholder market: cases of Colombia, México, Perú, Chile and Argentina

2019 ◽  
Vol 18 ((1)) ◽  
Author(s):  
Marcos Vera Leyton
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Time Window ◽  
Sum Of Squares ◽  
Conditional Correlation ◽  
Cumulative Sum ◽  
Crisis Period ◽  
Dynamic Conditional Correlation ◽  
Highly Sensitive ◽  
Before And After

This document study the existence of financial crisis contagion, it defined like the transmission of the shocks between countries, which translates in increasing in the correlation anything beyond or fundamental link, taking as a source of contagion by EEUU, Brasil, and analyzing Mexico, Colombia, Peru, Chile and Argentina like “Infected” countries, for the period covered between July 3 of 2001, date of unification of the Colombia Stock Market, to July 3 of 2010. To identify crisis period, and to evoid volatility overestimation, it used the algorithm iterative cumulative sum of squares ICCS, developed by Inclan y Tiao (1994), additionally calculated the dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) Engle Model (2002). The document includes a review of several studies, concepts, and transmission (Contagion) methodologies, and it constitutes one of the few studies that includes Colombia like analysis source.  So this study verifies the existence of contagion in the countries studies, except Argentina, but warns that the measure of impact that a crisis in a given country has over other countries is highly sensitive to the way we choose the time window before and after the crisis.

scholarly journals The Spillover and Transmission of Chinese Financial Markets Risk

2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (8) ◽  
pp. 66
Author(s):  
Sha Zhu
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Financial Market ◽  
Spillover Effect ◽  
Financial Stress ◽  
Stress Index ◽  
2008 Financial Crisis ◽  
The Us ◽  
Financial Stress Index

After the 2008 financial crisis, the whole world financial markets became more fluctuates, the same to China also. It is necessary to pay great attention to high volatility problem in Chinese market, and also the uncertainty problem, risk accumulation and spillover effect come along with it. This paper calculates stock market return and builds financial stress index to explore the risk spillover effect. Empirical results show that the Chinese financial market have higher volatility than other countries. The Chinese stock market had higher dynamic market co-movement with international financial markets after 2008 financial crisis. What’s more, this article also finds the financial risk spreads between China and US. When the US financial stress index increases, China's financial stress index experiences a larger increase. However, after the change in China's financial stress index, the US financial stress index has no obvious trend of change. So we should pay more attention to periods of Chinese financial market risk and its spillover.

Evaluating Good and Bad News During Pre and Post Financial Meltdown: Nigerian Stock Market Evidence

2019 ◽  
Vol 64 (3) ◽  
pp. 1-22
Author(s):  
Kamaldeen Ibraheem Nageri
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Bad News ◽  
Good News ◽  
Share Price ◽  
Policy Responses ◽  
Negative News ◽  
On Line ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis

Abstract The Nigerian stock market, prior to the 2007-09 global financial crisis witnessed growth but the market encountered sharp reversal from 2007 due to the global financial crisis. This study evaluates good and bad news on the Nigerian stock market with regards to the policy responses as a result of the meltdown. The study used the TGARCH, EGARCH and PGARCH models under three error distributional assumptions for data covering January 2010 to December 2016 using the All Share Index to generate the return series. Findings shows that good news impact return more than negative news of the same magnitude before the meltdown while bad news insignificantly impact return more than positive news after the meltdown. The study concludes that there is information asymmetry in the Nigerian stock market. Thus, it is recommended that on-line real time access to share price movement for investors should be introduced to improve liquidity level and enhance free flow of relevant securities information.

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