scholarly journals The establishment of a stroke-associated pneumonia predictive scoring system

2021 ◽  
Vol 26 (3) ◽  
pp. 485-490
Author(s):  
Yan Wang ◽  
Zhisheng Wu

Background & Objective: Stroke-associated pneumonia (SAP) is a common complication of ischemic stroke, increasing the length of hospital stay and costs, and affecting prognosis. This study aimed to determine the incidence of SAP, investigate the risk factors that lead to SAP to facilitate a more targeted response to the prevention of SAP. Methods: A retrospective study was performed to analyze the factors that predict SAP in an acute stroke population from a university affiliated hospital in Fujian, China. A SAP risk score table was constructed. Results: A total of 1,016 patients with acute cerebral infarction were enrolled. The incidence of SAP was 13.58%. Multivariate regression analysis found that age, NIHSS, GCS scores, dysphagia, heart failure, creatinine, and proton pump inhibitors (PPIs) use were independently associated with SAP. Based on the data, a SAP risk score table was constructed with age > 75 years -2 points, NIHSS ≥ 16 -2 points, GCS score ≤ 8 -1.5 points, dysphagia - 5 points, heart failure - 1.5 points, creatinine - 1 point, PPIs use - 1.5 points, a total of 14.5 points. The optimal value was 3 points. Conclusions: Age, NIHSS, GCS score, dysphagia, heart failure, creatinine, and PPIs use were predictive of SAP.

Circulation ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 142 (Suppl_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ryuji Okamoto ◽  
Ryotaro Hashizume ◽  
Noboru Suzuki ◽  
Hiroshi Kiyonari ◽  
Kaoru Dohi

Introduction: Brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) levels are relatively higher in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) than heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF); however, the mechanism remains unclear. BNP is induced by undetermined stretch-activated receptors including mechanically gated channels, which can be activated by a mechanical stimulus alone, and mechanically modulated channels, which require nonmechanical stimuli such as agonists. Thus it is possible that serum-induced expression of BNP may contribute to the increase of BNP in patients. Purpose: Our purpose is to examine whether serum-induced BNP expression (iBNP) partly contributes to the increase in BNP in patients with HFpEF. Methods: We generated the BNP reporter mice by knocking luciferase cDNA in the initiation site of NPPB . Neonatal cardiomyocytes were isolated and cultured from 2-day-old neonates. These cardiomyocytes were stimulated for 24 hours with 20% serum from patients with HFpEF or HFrEF (n=114 and 82, respectively) and the luciferase activity was examined as iBNP and the ratio of iBNP to BNP was measured. The patients’ characteristics and clinical parameters were compared and multivariate regression analysis was performed using SPSS version 25. Results: The mean ages were 71 yrs in HFpEF and 67 yrs in HFrEF. The female gender was higher in HFpEF (46% vs 32%). The prevalence of atrial fibrillation and hypertension and the use of calcium channel blocker (CCB) were higher in HFpEF than in HFrEF (31 vs 17%, 66 vs 43%, 28 vs 18%). The prevalence of coronary artery disease, chronic kidney disease and diabetes mellitus were lower in HFpEF than HFrEF (21 vs 42%, 44 vs 74%, 25 vs 44%). The ratio of iBNP to BNP was significantly higher in HFpEF than in HFrEF (26.9 vs 16.1, P<0.001). Multivariate regression analysis showed the existence of HFpEF was an independent predictor for the ratio of iBNP to BNP after adjusting all other measurements (β=0.154, P=0.032). Age, hemoglobin, the use of CCB and the deceleration time were also independent predictors (β=0.167, P=0.025; β=0.203, P=0.006; β=0.138, P=0.049; β=0.143, P=0.049, respectively). Conclusions: These results indicate the elevation of BNP in patients with HFpEF is partly due to the iBNP from heart.


2019 ◽  
Vol 65 (11) ◽  
pp. 1384-1390
Author(s):  
Fatih Aksoy ◽  
Ali Bagcı

SUMMARY BACKGROUND: The AnTicoagulation and Risk factors In Atrial fibrillation (ATRIA) risk score used to detect the thromboembolic and hemorrhagic risk in atrial fibrillation patients has been shown recently to predict poor clinical outcomes in patients with acute myocardial infarction (ACS), regardless of having atrial fibrillation (AF). We aimed to analyze the relationship between different risk scores and contrast-induced nephropathy (CIN) development in patients with ACS who underwent urgent percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) and compare the predictive ability of the ATRIA risk score with the MEHRAN risk score. METHODS: We analyzed 429 patients having St-segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction (STEMI) who underwent urgent PCI between January 2016 and February 2017. Patients were divided into two groups: those with and those without CIN and both groups were compared according to clinical, laboratory, and demographic features, including the CHA2DS2-VASc and ATRIA risk score. Predictors of CIN were determined by multivariate regression analysis. Receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve analysis was used to analyze the prognostic value of CHA2DS2-VASc and ATRIA risk score for CIN, following STEMI. RESULTS: Multivariate regression analysis showed that Athe TRIA risk score, Opaque/Creatinine Clearance ratio, and low left ventricular ejection fraction was an independent predictor of CIN. The C-statistics for the ATRIA risk score and CHA2DS2-VASC risk score were 0.66 and 0.64 (p<0.001, and p<0.001), respectively. A pair-wise comparison of ROC curves showed that both scores were not inferior to the MEHRAN score in predicting CIN. CONCLUSION: The ATRIA and CHA2DS2-VASC scoring systems were useful for detecting CIN following STEMI.


Author(s):  
Mahmoud A. Saad ◽  
Ahmed F. Alarag ◽  
Randa M. Abdul Mageed ◽  
Seham F. Badr

Objectives: to study the relation between atrial fibrillation (AF) and in-hospital outcome in patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS) who were treated by primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). Methods: This study was conducted on 80 patients admitted with ACS and treated with primary PCI at cardiovascular medicine department Tanta university hospitals starting from January 2020 till January 2021. The primary end points are all cause mortality and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) including a composite of death, nonfatal re-infarction, target vessel revascularization (TVR), new onset congestive heart failure, contrast induced nephropathy (CIN), or stroke during hospitalization. Patients was divided into 2 groups: Group 1: consisted of 40 consecutive AF-patients treated by primary PCI. Group 2: consisted of 40 consecutive sinus rhythm-patients treated by primary PCI. Results: Patients in AF group showed significantly older age, lower systolic and diastolic blood pressure, higher heart rate, higher Killip class II-IV, more inferior STEMI presentation, higher CK-MB, more RCA as infarction related artery, more moderate to sever mitral regurgitation, more patient developed congestive heart failure during hospitalization, and higher overall MACE during hospitalization. Univariate and multivariate regression analysis were performed to investigate the possible predictors of AF in the study population. In univariate regression analysis, older age, higher CKMB level, higher degree of mitral regurgitation, enlarged left atrium, and RCA as infarction related artery were correlated with AF. In the multivariate regression analysis, using model adjusted for aforementioned parameters, older age, higher CK-MB level, enlarged left atrium diameter, and RCA as infarction related artery independently predicted AF. Univariate and multivariate regression analyses were performed to investigate the possible predictors of overall in-hospital MACE in the study population. In univariate regression analysis, smoking, Killip II-IV, high creatinine level, lower ejection fraction, higher end systolic diameter, and AF were correlated with MACE. In the multivariate regression analysis, using model adjusted for aforementioned parameters, Killip II-IV, higher creatinine level, and AF independently predicted MACE. Conclusion: Patients older in age, with higher CK-MB level, enlarged left atrial diameter, and RCA as infarction related artery had higher incidence of AF during ACS. Patient with AF who presented with ACS had a higher incidence of heart failure during hospitalization. The independent predictors of MACE in our study were AF, Killip II-IV, and higher creatinine level.


2020 ◽  
Vol 7 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. S785-S786
Author(s):  
Robert Tipping ◽  
Jiejun Du ◽  
Maria C Losada ◽  
Michelle L Brown ◽  
Katherine Young ◽  
...  

Abstract Background In the RESTORE-IMI 2 trial, imipenem/cilastatin/relebactam (IMI/REL) was non-inferior to PIP/TAZ for treating hospital-acquired/ventilator-associated bacterial pneumonia (HABP/VABP) in the primary endpoint of Day 28 all-cause mortality (D28 ACM) and the key secondary endpoint of clinical response (CR) at early follow-up (EFU; 7-14 d after end of therapy). We performed a multivariate regression analysis to determine independent predictors of treatment outcomes in this trial. Methods Randomized, controlled, double-blind, phase 3, non-inferiority trial comparing IMI/REL 500 mg/250 mg vs PIP/TAZ 4 g/500 mg, every 6 h for 7-14 d, in adult patients (pts) with HABP/VABP. Stepwise-selection logistic regression modeling was used to determine independent predictors of D28 ACM and favorable CR at EFU, in the MITT population (randomized pts with ≥1 dose of study drug, except pts with only gram-positive cocci at baseline). Baseline variables (n=19) were pre-selected as candidates for inclusion (Table 1), based on clinical relevance. Variables were added to the model if significant (p &lt; 0.05) and removed if their significance was reduced (p &gt; 0.1) by addition of other variables. Results Baseline variables that met criteria for significant independent predictors of D28 ACM and CR at EFU in the final selected regression model are in Fig 1 and Fig 2, respectively. As expected, APACHE II score, renal impairment, elderly age, and mechanical ventilation were significant predictors for both outcomes. Bacteremia and P. aeruginosa as a causative pathogen were predictors of unfavorable CR, but not of D28 ACM. Geographic region and the hospital service unit a patient was admitted to were found to be significant predictors, likely explained by their collinearity with other variables. Treatment allocation (IMI/REL vs PIP/TAZ) was not a significant predictor for ACM or CR; this was not unexpected, since the trial showed non-inferiority of the two HABP/VABP therapies. No interactions between the significant predictors and treatment arm were observed. Conclusion This analysis validated known predictors for mortality and clinical outcomes in pts with HABP/VABP and supports the main study results by showing no interactions between predictors and treatment arm. Table 1. Candidate baseline variables pre-selected for inclusion Figure 1. Independent predictors of greater Day 28 all-cause mortality (MITT population; N=531) Figure 2. Independent predictors of favorable clinical response at EFU (MITT population; N=531) Disclosures Robert Tipping, MS, Merck & Co., Inc. (Employee, Shareholder) Jiejun Du, PhD, Merck & Co., Inc. (Employee, Shareholder) Maria C. Losada, BA, Merck & Co., Inc. (Employee, Shareholder) Michelle L. Brown, BS, Merck & Co., Inc. (Employee, Shareholder) Katherine Young, MS, Merck & Co., Inc. (Employee, Shareholder)Merck & Co., Inc. (Employee, Shareholder) Joan R. Butterton, MD, Merck & Co., Inc. (Employee, Shareholder) Amanda Paschke, MD MSCE, Merck & Co., Inc. (Employee, Shareholder) Luke F. Chen, MBBS MPH MBA FRACP FSHEA FIDSA, Merck & Co., Inc. (Employee, Shareholder)Merck & Co., Inc. (Employee, Shareholder)


2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
T Kuznetsova ◽  
M Druzhilov

Abstract Objective Arterial hypertension (HTN) is one of the most common diseases associated with obesity. Visceral obesity (VO) with dysfunctional visceral adipose tissue plays the main role in obesity induced HTN. Direct criteria of VO including echocardiographic epicardial fat thickness (EFT) may become an additional predictor of HTN. Purpose The aim was to assess the role of echocardiographic EFT (EEFT) as a predictor of HTN in normotensive patients with abdominal obesity (AO). Methods 526 normotensive men (according to ambulatory blood pressure monitoring (ABPM) without therapy) with AO (waist circumference (WC) &gt;94 cm) and SCORE &lt;5%, without cardiovascular diseases and diabetes mellitus were examined (age 45.1±5.0 years). The lipid and glucose profiles, creatinine, uric acid and C-reactive protein blood levels, albuminuria evaluation, echocardiography, carotid ultrasound, bifunctional ABPM were performed. The values of EEFT ≥75 percentile for persons 35–45 years and 46–55 years were 4.8 mm and 5.8 mm respectively. These values used as epicardial VO criteria. Patients with subclinical carotid atherosclerosis due to the lipid-lowering therapy administration (n=98) were excluded from the follow-up. Re-examination with ABPM was conducted on average through 46.3±5.1 months. Data were summarized as mean ± standard error, statistical analysis conducted with paired two-tailed t-tests, Pearson χ2 criterion and multivariate regression analysis. Results Data of 406 persons were available for analysis. HTN as average daily blood pressure ≥130/80 mm Hg was detected in 157 (38.7%) patients. These patients were characterized by initially higher values of age (45.9±4.6 years vs 44.3±4.9 years, p&lt;0.001), waist circumference (106.9±7.3 cm vs 104.2±7.3 cm, p&lt;0.001), body mass index (BMI) (32.0±3.3 kg/m2 vs 30.9±3.2 kg/m2, p&lt;0.001), average daily systolic and diastolic blood pressure (120.7/74.5±4.6/3.4 mm Hg vs 118.2/73.2±5.5/3.9 mm Hg, p&lt;0.001), EEFT (5.2±0.7 mm vs 4.4±1.0 mm, p&lt;0.001). The epicardial VO was initially detected in 95 (23.3%) patients. In patients with HTN the initial prevalence of epicardial VO was greater (58.0% vs 23.3%, p&lt;0.001). As predictors for the multivariate regression analysis the clinical and laboratory examinations data and EEFT were evaluated. According to the results a mathematical model for estimating the probability HTN was obtained: 0.696*fasting blood glucose + 0.198*systolic BP + 2.844*EFT – 40.166 (constant). Among these predictors EEFT was characterized by the highest standardized regression coefficient (0.302, p&lt;0.001) (0.295, p&lt;0.01 for fasting blood glucose, 0.035, p&lt;0.001 for systolic BP). The Hosmer-Lemeshow test value was 0.863, the total percentage of correct classifications was 86%, the area under the ROC-curve was 0.913. Conclusions EEFT (4.8 mm for persons 35–45 years and 5.8 mm for persons 46–55 years) may be an additional predictor of HTN in normotensive patients with AO. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: None


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Hirak Shah ◽  
Thomas Murray ◽  
Jessica Schultz ◽  
Ranjit John ◽  
Cindy M. Martin ◽  
...  

AbstractThe EUROMACS Right-Sided Heart Failure Risk Score was developed to predict right ventricular failure (RVF) after left ventricular assist device (LVAD) placement. The predictive ability of the EUROMACS score has not been tested in other cohorts. We performed a single center analysis of a continuous-flow (CF) LVAD cohort (n = 254) where we calculated EUROMACS risk scores and assessed for right ventricular heart failure after LVAD implantation. Thirty-nine percent of patients (100/254) had post-operative RVF, of which 9% (23/254) required prolonged inotropic support and 5% (12/254) required RVAD placement. For patients who developed RVF after LVAD implantation, there was a 45% increase in the hazards of death on LVAD support (HR 1.45, 95% CI 0.98–2.2, p = 0.066). Two variables in the EUROMACS score (Hemoglobin and Right Atrial Pressure to Pulmonary Capillary Wedge Pressure ratio) were not predictive of RVF in our cohort. Overall, the EUROMACS score had poor external discrimination in our cohort with area under the curve of 58% (95% CI 52–66%). Further work is necessary to enhance our ability to predict RVF after LVAD implantation.


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