scholarly journals A probabilistic study of monsoon daily rainfall at Calcutta by Markovian model and trend of rainfall during monsoon season

MAUSAM ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 52 (2) ◽  
pp. 371-378
Author(s):  
G. C. BASU ◽  
SANJIB KUMAR BASU
Keyword(s):  
Monsoon Season ◽  
Daily Rainfall ◽  
Markovian Model ◽  
Monsoon Period ◽  
Rainfall Characteristics ◽  
Transitional State ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Probabilistic Study ◽  
Probability Matrices ◽  
Heavy Rains

One-step transitional probability matrices are obtained by Markovian model from one transitional state to other for different rainfall characteristics (such as, non-rainy days, light rains, moderate rains, heavy rains and very heavy rains) at Calcutta (Alipore) for different monsoon months. The disorderness (unvertainty) of the transitional system of the monsoon rainfall characteristics are studied by Shannon’s model. The favourable or unfavourable condition of different states are also studied by redundancy test during monsoon period at Caluctta. A Long-run probability vectors of such rainfall characteristics are found out from probability matrices. A trend in rainfall amounts during monsoon period at Calcutta for each of the monsoon month, June to September, has also been studied here.

scholarly journals Precipitation characteristics over Paradeep

MAUSAM ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 49 (3) ◽  
pp. 321-324
Author(s):  
T. R. SIVARAMAKRISHNAN ◽  
J. R. PRASAD
Keyword(s):  
Monsoon Season ◽  
Daily Rainfall ◽  
Annual Rainfall ◽  
Monsoon Period ◽  
Mean Annual Rainfall ◽  
Precipitation Characteristics ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Rainfall Climatology

The daily rainfall records since 1976 and the SRRG records after its installation in 1982 at Paradeep have been analysed and rainfall climatology has been worked out. The heaviest 24-hour rainfall recorded at the station is 264 mm on 4 June 1982. The mean annual rainfall is 1475 mm. January and December are near dry months while August is the wettest month getting about 339 mm rainfall. The variability of annual rainfall here is 20 %. Light rainspells giving a total rain of 10 mm or less form about 50% occasions in pre-monsoon period and 63% of occasions in monsoon period. The extended rainspells lasting for more than 4 hours form about 10% of occasions in pre-monsoon season and 6% occasions in monsoon season. While morning (04-08 hr IST) period gets the rainfall in both pre-monsoon and monsoon months, early night gets the peak rainfall activity during the pre-monsoon months.

scholarly journals A study on summer monsoon season and rainfall characteristics in summer monsoon season over Southern Vietnam in 1981-2014 period

2017 ◽  
Vol 17 (4B) ◽  
pp. 44-50
Author(s):  
Huong Ngo-Thi-Thanh ◽  
Hang Vu-Thanh
Keyword(s):  
Summer Monsoon ◽  
Monsoon Season ◽  
Extreme Rainfall ◽  
Rain Gauge ◽  
Summer Monsoon Season ◽  
Monsoon Period ◽  
Rain Gauge Data ◽  
Rainfall Characteristics ◽  
Southern Vietnam ◽  
The Mean

This study determines the summer monsoon season over Southern Vietnam in 1981-2014 period by using observed daily rain-gauge data and reanalyzed daily 850 hPa wind data. The results show that the mean onset and retreat dates of summer monsoon over Southern Vietnam occur on May 15 and October 13, with standard deviations of 14.12 and 13.55 days, respectively. The results also show that the onset and retreat dates tend to precede in the recent years. In summer monsoon period, the values of RX1day and RX5day are high in Rach Gia and Ca Mau but low in Can Tho, CDD of all stations are low. In all stations, the values of extreme rainfall indices in 1998-2014 period are higher compared to those in 1981-1997 period.

scholarly journals The Wet and Dry Spells across India during 1951–2007

2010 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 26-45 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nityanand Singh ◽  
Ashwini Ranade
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Rainfall Intensity ◽  
Total Duration ◽  
Daily Rainfall ◽  
Annual Rainfall ◽  
Change Scenario ◽  
Monsoon Period ◽  
Northwestern India ◽  
Area Of Interest ◽  
Dry Spells

Abstract Characteristics of wet spells (WSs) and intervening dry spells (DSs) are extremely useful for water-related sectors. The information takes on greater significance in the wake of global climate change and climate-change scenario projections. The features of 40 parameters of the rainfall time distribution as well as their extremes have been studied for two wet and dry spells for 19 subregions across India using gridded daily rainfall available on 1° latitude × 1° longitude spatial resolution for the period 1951–2007. In a low-frequency-mode, intra-annual rainfall variation, WS (DS) is identified as a “continuous period with daily rainfall equal to or greater than (less than) daily mean rainfall (DMR) of climatological monsoon period over the area of interest.” The DMR shows significant spatial variation from 2.6 mm day−1 over the extreme southeast peninsula (ESEP) to 20.2 mm day−1 over the southern-central west coast (SCWC). Climatologically, the number of WSs (DSs) decreases from 11 (10) over the extreme south peninsula to 4 (3) over northwestern India as a result of a decrease in tropical and oceanic influences. The total duration of WSs (DSs) decreases from 101 (173) to 45 (29) days, and the duration of individual WS (DS) from 12 (18) to 7 (11) days following similar spatial patterns. Broadly, the total rainfall of wet and dry spells, and rainfall amount and rainfall intensity of actual and extreme wet and dry spells, are high over orographic regions and low over the peninsula, Indo-Gangetic plains, and northwest dry province. The rainfall due to WSs (DSs) contributes ∼68% (∼17%) to the respective annual total. The start of the first wet spell is earlier (19 March) over ESEP and later (22 June) over northwestern India, and the end of the last wet spell occurs in reverse, that is, earlier (12 September) from northwestern India and later (16 December) from ESEP. In recent years/decades, actual and extreme WSs are slightly shorter and their rainfall intensity higher over a majority of the subregions, whereas actual and extreme DSs are slightly (not significantly) longer and their rainfall intensity weaker. There is a tendency for the first WS to start approximately six days earlier across the country and the last WS to end approximately two days earlier, giving rise to longer duration of rainfall activities by approximately four days. However, a spatially coherent, robust, long-term trend (1951–2007) is not seen in any of the 40 WS/DS parameters examined in the present study.

scholarly journals Spatial structures and directionalities in Monsoonal precipitation over South Asia

2010 ◽  
Vol 17 (5) ◽  
pp. 371-381 ◽  
Author(s):  
N. Malik ◽  
N. Marwan ◽  
J. Kurths
Keyword(s):  
Indian Subcontinent ◽  
Monsoon Season ◽  
Daily Rainfall ◽  
Heavy Rain ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Spatial Structures ◽  
Break Phase ◽  
Rainfall Events ◽  
Monsoonal Precipitation ◽  
Rain Events

Abstract. Precipitation during the monsoon season over the Indian subcontinent occurs in form of enormously complex spatiotemporal patterns due to the underlying dynamics of atmospheric circulation and varying topography. Employing methods from nonlinear time series analysis, we study spatial structures of the rainfall field during the summer monsoon and identify principle regions where the dynamics of monsoonal rainfall is more coherent or homogenous. Moreover, we estimate the time delay patterns of rain events. Here we present an analysis of two separate high resolution gridded data sets of daily rainfall covering the Indian subcontinent. Using the method of event synchronization (ES), we estimate regions where heavy rain events during monsoon happen in some lag synchronised form. Further using the delay behaviour of rainfall events, we estimate the directionalities related to the progress of such type of rainfall events. The Active (break) phase of a monsoon is characterised by an increase(decrease) of rainfall over certain regions of the Indian subcontinent. We show that our method is able to identify regions of such coherent rainfall activity.

Frequency Modes of Monsoon Precipitation in Arizona and New Mexico

2006 ◽  
Vol 134 (12) ◽  
pp. 3774-3781 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anne W. Nolin ◽  
Eileen A. Hall-McKim
Keyword(s):  
New Mexico ◽  
Wavelet Analysis ◽  
Monsoon Season ◽  
Intraseasonal Variability ◽  
Low Frequency ◽  
North American Monsoon ◽  
Monsoon Precipitation ◽  
Monsoon Period ◽  
The North ◽  
Spectral Analysis Method

Abstract The interannual and intraseasonal variability of the North American monsoon is of great interest because a large proportion of the annual precipitation for Arizona and New Mexico arrives during the summer monsoon. Forty-one years of daily monsoon season precipitation data for Arizona and New Mexico were studied using wavelet analysis. This time-localized spectral analysis method reveals that periodicities of less than 8 days are positively correlated with mean daily precipitation during the 1 July–15 September monsoon period. Roughly 17% of the years indicate no significant periodicity during the monsoon period for either region and are associated with low monsoon precipitation. High- and low-frequency modes explain an equivalent percentage of the variance in monsoon precipitation in both Arizona and New Mexico, and in many years concurrent multiple periodicities occur. Wavelet analysis was effective in identifying the contribution of high-frequency modes that had not been discerned in previous studies. These results suggest that precipitation processes during the monsoon season are modulated by phenomena operating at synoptic (2–8 days) and longer (>8 days) time scales and point to the need for further studies to better understand the associated atmospheric processes.

scholarly journals Accurate Quantification of Seasonal Rainfall and Associated Climate–Wildfire Relationships

2010 ◽  
Vol 49 (12) ◽  
pp. 2559-2573 ◽  
Author(s):  
Matthew G. Slocum ◽  
William J. Platt ◽  
Brian Beckage ◽  
Steve L. Orzell ◽  
Wayne Taylor
Keyword(s):  
Daily Rainfall ◽  
Seasonal Rainfall ◽  
Wet Season ◽  
Rainfall Characteristics ◽  
Central Florida ◽  
South Central ◽  
Multiple Regression Technique ◽  
Precise Quantification ◽  
Rainfall Anomalies ◽  
Force Range

Abstract Wildfires are often governed by rapid changes in seasonal rainfall. Therefore, measuring seasonal rainfall on a temporally finescale should facilitate the prediction of wildfire regimes. To explore this hypothesis, daily rainfall data over a 58-yr period (1950–2007) in south-central Florida were transformed into cumulative rainfall anomalies (CRAs). This transformation allowed precise estimation of onset dates and durations of the dry and wet seasons, as well as a number of other variables characterizing seasonal rainfall. These variables were compared with parameters that describe ENSO and a wildfire regime in the region (at the Avon Park Air Force Range). Onset dates and durations were found to be highly variable among years, with standard deviations ranging from 27 to 41 days. Rainfall during the two seasons was distinctive, with the dry season having half as much as the wet season despite being nearly 2 times as long. The precise quantification of seasonal rainfall led to strong statistical models describing linkages between climate and wildfires: a multiple-regression technique relating the area burned with the seasonal rainfall characteristics had an of 0.61, and a similar analysis examining the number of wildfires had an of 0.56. Moreover, the CRA approach was effective in outlining how seasonal rainfall was associated with ENSO, particularly during the strongest and most unusual events (e.g., El Niño of 1997/98). Overall, the results presented here show that using CRAs helped to define the linkages among seasonality, ENSO, and wildfires in south-central Florida, and they suggest that this approach can be used in other fire-prone ecosystems.

The role of El Niño Southern Oscillation on the patterns of cycling rates observed over India during the monsoon season

2014 ◽  
Vol 5 (4) ◽  
pp. 696-706 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. V. Lakshmi Kumar ◽  
K. Koteswara Rao ◽  
R. Uma ◽  
K. Aruna
Keyword(s):  
Water Vapor ◽  
El Niño ◽  
Hydrological Cycle ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Monsoon Season ◽  
Precipitable Water ◽  
Spatiotemporal Variability ◽  
Monsoon Period ◽  
Sw Monsoon

Trend and interannual variability of total integrated precipitable water vapor (PWV) has been studied over India for the period 1979–2004 using NCEP/National Centre for Atmospheric Research reanalysis data with 2.5° × 2.5° resolution. The spatiotemporal variability of cycling rates (CR; units: per day), obtained from the ratio of rainfall to the PWV were presented not only for the long term (1979–2004) but also during El Niño (EN) and La Niña (LN) years of the study period to understand the intensity of hydrological cycle. The paper then dwells on obtaining the monthly atmospheric residences times over India to infer the stay of water vapor before it precipitates. The results of the present study are: all India PWV shows decreasing trend in association with the increasing/decreasing trends of Niño 3 SST/Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) for the southwest (SW) monsoon period of 1979–2004; the spatial pattern of temporal correlations of CR with SOI and Niño 3 SST displayed the significant positive and negative values in peninsular and central Indian portions of India respectively; all India atmospheric residence times varied from 9 to 2 days from premonsoon/post monsoon to SW monsoon over India.

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