scholarly journals Trends in pluviometric precipitation and climatic water balance in the hydrographic region of Paraguaçu – BA

2021 ◽  
Vol 31 (67) ◽  
pp. 952
Author(s):  
Tailan Santos de Souza ◽  
Patricia dos Santos Nascimento

Trend analysis of hydroclimatic data is essential in the development of water resources management, as it can envisage changes in the pattern of behaviour, helping develop strategies for adaptation in the face of imminent climate change. This study aimed to investigate possible annual and seasonal trends in rainfall and climatological water balance in the hydrographic region of Paraguaçu - BA. From the historical series of precipitation, deficiency and water surpluses, between 1989 and 2018, two analysis scenarios were conducted: the first to verify the annual and seasonal trends of each station, using the traditional Mann-Kendall (MK) methods and Sen’s estimator; and the second for each sub-region of Paraguaçu, by comparing MK with the Innovative Trend Analysis (ITA). The results of the annual series, regardless of the methodology adopted, point to negative trends in rainfall, positive trends in deficit and negative trends in water surplus. Seasonally, in the autumn and winter seasons, generally considered to be drought, there were more trends of increasing rainfall and decreasing water deficiency. A comparison between the MK and ITA models showed that both have similar results for indicating trends in the sub-regions of Paraguaçu. However, the ITA has shown a higher number of significant trends.

2021 ◽  
Vol 15 (3) ◽  
pp. 367-380
Author(s):  
Allan Remor Lopes ◽  
Marcelo Dotto ◽  
Elouize Xavier ◽  
Camila Moreno Giarola ◽  
Kelli Pirola

The study of climatic conditions of Paranavaí region is necessary due to its importance in the national agricultural scenario. The study aimed to calculate the climatological water balance (CWB) as well as performing the climate classification by the method of Thornthwaite e Mather for the municipality of Paranavaí, Paraná. Data from a historical series from 1975 to 2018 were used. For the calculation of the CWB was adopted the value of 100 mm for the available water capacity (AWC). The municipality studied presentes na annual average of 1523,8 mm precipitation and 1090,62 evapotranspiration. The municipality presented a trend climate o fone month of water deficiency (August) and eleven months of water excess (Setember to July). Regarding climate classification, was found C1dA’a’ climate, characterized as a mesothermic climate, with little or no water deficiency.  


2015 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 617-636 ◽  
Author(s):  
E. Teferi ◽  
S. Uhlenbrook ◽  
W. Bewket

Abstract. A long-term decline in ecosystem functioning and productivity, often called land degradation, is a serious environmental challenge to Ethiopia that needs to be understood so as to develop sustainable land use strategies. This study examines inter-annual and seasonal trends of vegetation cover in the Upper Blue Nile (UBN) or Abbay Basin. The Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR)-based Global Inventory, Monitoring, and Modeling Studies (GIMMS) normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) was used for long-term vegetation trend analysis at low spatial resolution. Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) NDVI data (MOD13Q1) were used for medium-scale vegetation trend analysis. Harmonic analyses and non-parametric trend tests were applied to both GIMMS NDVI (1981–2006) and MODIS NDVI (2001–2011) data sets. Based on a robust trend estimator (Theil–Sen slope), most parts of the UBN (~ 77 %) showed a positive trend in monthly GIMMS NDVI, with a mean rate of 0.0015 NDVI units (3.77 % yr−1), out of which 41.15 % of the basin depicted significant increases (p < 0.05), with a mean rate of 0.0023 NDVI units (5.59 % yr−1) during the period. However, the MODIS-based vegetation trend analysis revealed that about 36 % of the UBN showed a significant decreasing trend (p < 0.05) over the period 2001–2011 at an average rate of 0.0768 NDVI yr−1. This indicates that the greening trend of the vegetation condition was followed by decreasing trend since the mid-2000s in the basin, which requires the attention of land users and decision makers. Seasonal trend analysis was found to be very useful to identify changes in vegetation condition that could be masked if only inter-annual vegetation trend analysis was performed. Over half (60 %) of the Abay Basin was found to exhibit significant trends in seasonality over the 25-year period (1982–2006). About 17 and 16 % of the significant trends consisted of areas experiencing a uniform increase in NDVI throughout the year and extended growing season, respectively. These areas were found primarily in shrubland and woodland regions. The study demonstrated that integrated analysis of inter-annual and intra-annual trends based on GIMMS and MODIS enables a more robust identification of changes in vegetation condition.


2013 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 379-385

The decrease of available water resources, the water quality degradation as well as the rapid increase of population combined with the growth of human activities, impose today the development of a science that concerns the Management of Water Resources. Lake Volvi faces a lot of problems, the most important being the water level drop, which is mostly due to the big quantities of water flowing through to Rihios River and to the wrong management of irrigation water. The study area of the present research consists of the watershed of Lake Volvi, situated in Northern Greece, 39 km away from the city of Thessaloniki. The objective of this study is the estimation of the water balance of the hydrologic basin of Lake Volvi with a Corporate Management program, using Visual Fortran and the creation of scenarios for better management of the water resources of the region. Lake Volvi is situated next to Lake Koronia, both of them belonging to a wider region that forms the geological basin of Mygdonia. Lake Volvi is the recipient of the water draining from Lake Koronia. The water that drains from Lake Volvi is discharged into the gulf of Strymonikos through Rihios River. Firstly, a close analysis is attempted for the estimation of the water balance of the entire hydrologic basin of Lake Volvi with the method of Turc, which is used widely throughout the world. Next, in order to simulate the lake, an administrative model is used, written in Visual Fortran. A rational management of the hydrological elements of the region is attempted with the creation of four alternative scenarios. After the execution of the Corporate Management program, the results show that the main problem for Lake Volvi is the water leaking to Rihios River. Moreover, the research also shows that it is important to reduce the water used for irrigation. As a final result, it is an imperative need to develop water resources management plans for the restoration of the entire region.


2013 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 199-210 ◽  
Author(s):  
Milan Gocic ◽  
Slavisa Trajkovic

The data of 12 water quality parameters have been daily monitored at the Nis station on the Nisava River during 2000-2004. The trend analysis was performed on monthly, seasonal and annual time series using the Mann-Kendall test, the Spearman?s Rho test and the linear regression at the 5% significance level. The monthly results showed that significant trends were found only in pH, total hardness, Ca and SO4 data. The results in seasonal series indicated that the significant trends were detected in pH, total hardness, Cl, Ca and SO4 data. In annual series, the trends were insignificant at the 5% significance level.


MAUSAM ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 68 (2) ◽  
pp. 375-382
Author(s):  
S. PRADHAN ◽  
V. K. SEHGAL ◽  
K. K. BANDYOPADHYAY ◽  
J. MUKHERJEE ◽  
D. K. DAS ◽  
...  

Irriga ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-17
Author(s):  
Mariana Alexandre de Lima Sales ◽  
RODRIGO MÁXIMO SÁNCHEZ ROMÁN ◽  
LEONOR RODRÍGUEZ SINOBAS ◽  
RAIMUNDO NONATO FARIAS MONTEIRO ◽  
JOÃO VICTOR RIBEIRO DA SILVA DE SOUZA

AVALIAÇÃO DA DISPONIBILIDADE HÍDRICA NA SUB-BACIA DO BOI BRANCO ATRAVÉS DO BALANÇO HÍDRICO CLIMATOLÓGICO E DE CULTIVO  MARIANA ALEXANDRE DE LIMA SALES1; RODRIGO MÁXIMO SÁNCHEZ ROMÁN2; LEONOR RODRÍGUEZ SINOBAS3; RAIMUNDO NONATO FARIAS MONTEIRO4; JOÃO VICTOR RIBEIRO DA SILVA DE SOUZA5. 1 Tecnóloga em Irrigação e Drenagem, Doutoranda em Agronomia (Irrigação e Drenagem) – FCA/UNESP. Rua José Barbosa de Barros, 1780, CEP 18610-307, Botucatu – SP, e-mail: [email protected] Eng. de Irrigação e Drenagem, Prof. Doutor FCA/UNESP. Rua José Barbosa de Barros, 1780, CEP 18610-307, Botucatu, SP. Fone: (14) 3711-7100. E-mail: [email protected] Eng. Agrônoma, Profa. Doutora ETSIA/UPM, Ciudad Universitaria, 28040 Madri, Espanha. e-mail: [email protected] Tecnólogo em Recursos Hídricos/Irrigação, Doutor em Agronomia (Irrigação e Drenagem) – FCA/UNESP. Rua José Barbosa de Barros, 1780, CEP 18610-307, Botucatu – SP, e-mail: [email protected] Eng. Agrônomo, Doutorando em Agronomia (Irrigação e Drenagem) – FCA/UNESP. Rua José Barbosa de Barros, 1780, CEP 18610-307, Botucatu – SP, e-mail: [email protected].  1 RESUMO Uma das formas de contabilizar a quantidade de água de um determinado sistema é por meio do balanço hídrico, o qual é uma importante ferramenta para o processo de avaliação do ciclo da água em uma determinada região. O objetivo deste trabalho foi determinar o balanço hídrico na sub-bacia hidrográfica do Boi Branco-SP, para servir como ferramenta ao planejamento hidroagrícola e ambiental da região. Para o balanço hídrico climatológico, utilizaram-se dados da série histórica da região (1971 a 1995). Os dados de evapotranspiração foram estimados pelo método de Thornthwaite. O balanço hídrico climatológico mostrou déficit hídrico total anual de 10,1 mm, e um excedente de 319,7 mm, tendo no mês de janeiro um excedente de 92,6 mm, para a precipitação média mensal; com a precipitação efetiva mensal com probabilidade de 75%, déficit hídrico no solo é de 238,8 mm e o excedente 56,8 mm. Quando se adiciona a esses dados os das culturas implantadas na área de estudo, como coeficiente de cultivo e fator de depleção da umidade do solo, observa-se que todas as culturas do estudo apresentaram déficit hídrico em todos os meses em que estiveram no campo. Palavras-chave: Planejamento hidroagrícola, capacidade de água disponível no solo, evapotranspiração.  SALES, M. A. L.; SÁNCHEZ-ROMÁN, R. M.; SONOBAS, L. R.; MONTEIRO, R. N. F.; SOUZA, J. V. R. S.ASSESSMENT OF WATER AVAILABILITY AT BOI BRANCO WATERSHED   THROUGH CLIMATIC WATER BALANCE AND GROWING  2 ABSTRACT One way to calculate the amount of water in a determined system is by means of the water balance, an important tool for the assessment of the water cycle in a specific region. The main goal of this work was to establish the water balance in the watershed Boi Branco-SP, so that it can be used as a tool for the hydro-agricultural and environmental planning of the region. For the climatic water balance, data of the historical series of the region (1971 - 1995) were used. Evapotranspiration data were estimated by the Thornthwaite method. The climatic water balance showed  total annual water deficit  of 10.1 mm, and surplus of 319.7 mm, with January presenting surplus  of  92.6 in the average monthly precipitation; given that the effective monthly precipitation presenting probability of 75%,  water deficit  in the soil  is 238.8 mm and surplus is 56.8 mm. When these data are added to the ones of the crop, as a crop coefficient and soil humidity depletion factor, it is observed that all crops studied showed water deficit  in all the months covered. Keyword: Water agricultural planning, water capability available in the soil, evapotranspiration.


Sci ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 38
Author(s):  
Mohan Bahadur Chand ◽  
Bikas Chandra Bhattarai ◽  
Prashant Baral ◽  
Niraj Shankar Pradhananga

Study of spatiotemporal dynamics of temperature is vital to assess changes in climate, especially in the Himalayan region where livelihoods of billions of people living downstream depends on water coming from the melting of snow and glacier ice. To this end, temperature trend analysis is carried out in Narayani river basin, a major river basin of Nepal characterized by three climatic regions: tropical, subtropical and alpine. Temperature data from six stations located within the basin were analyzed. The elevation of these stations ranges from 460 to 3800 m a.s.l. and the time period of available temperature data ranges from 1960–2015. Multiple regression and empirical mode decomposition (EMD) methods were applied to fill in missing data and to detect trends. Annual as well as seasonal trends were analyzed and a Mann-Kendall test was employed to test the statistical significance of detected trends. Results indicate significant cooling trends before 1970s, and warming trends after 1970s in the majority of the stations. The warming trends range from 0.028 °C year−1 to 0.035 °C year−1 with a mean increasing trend of 0.03 °C year−1 after 1971. Seasonal trends show highest warming trends in the monsoon season followed by winter, pre-monsoon, and the post-monsoon season. However, difference in warming rates between different seasons was not significant. An average temperature lapse rate of −0.006 °C m−1 with the steepest value (−0.0064 °C m−1) in pre-monsoon season and least negative (−0.0052 °C m−1) in winter season was observed for this basin. A comparative analysis of the gap-filled data with freely available global climate datasets shows reasonable correlation thus confirming the suitability of the gap filling methods.


Sci ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 21 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohan Chand ◽  
Bikas Bhattarai ◽  
Prashant Baral ◽  
Niraj Pradhananga

Study of spatiotemporal dynamics of temperature is vital to assess changes in climate, especially in the Himalayan region where livelihoods of billions of people living downstream depends on water coming from the melting of snow and glacier. To this end, temperature trend analysis is carried out in Narayani river basin, a major river basin of Nepal characterized by three climatic regions: tropical, subtropical and alpine. Temperature data from six stations located within the basin are analyzed. The elevation of these stations ranges from 460 to 3800 m asl. and the time period of available temperature data ranges from 1960–2015. Multiple regression and empirical mode decomposition (EMD) methods are applied to fill in the missing data. Annual as well as seasonal trends are analyzed and Mann-Kendall test is employed for testing the statistical significance of detected trend. Results indicate significant cooling trends before 1970s, and warming trends after 1970s in the majority of the stations. The warming trends range from 0.028 ∘ C per year to 0.035 ∘ C per year with a mean increasing trend of 0.03 ∘ C per year after 1971. Seasonal trends show highest warming trends in monsoon season followed by winter, pre-monsoon, and post-monsoon season. However, difference in warming rates between different seasons isn’t sufficiently large. An average temperature lapse rate of −0.006 ∘ C per m with the steepest value (−0.0064 ∘ C per m) in pre-monsoon season and least negative (−0.0052 ∘ C per m) in winter season is observed for this basin. A comparative analysis of the gap-filled data with freely available global climate data sets shows reasonable correlation thus confirming the suitability of the gap filling methods.


2012 ◽  
Vol 2012 ◽  
pp. 1-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alberto Daniel Capriolo ◽  
Olga Eugenia Scarpati

This paper presents the soil water deficit and soil water surplus obtained from soil water balance in three drainage areas of Buenos Aires province for the period from 1971 to 2010. The soil water balance had been performed using the evapotranspiration formula of Penman-Monteith and considering the soil water constants: field capacity, soil water moisture, and soil wilting point for all the different types of soils of the region. The obtained soil water deficit and surplus are considered as triggers of extreme hydrologic events. Annual threshold values of 200 mm of soil water deficit and 300 mm of soil water surplus were considered for drought and flood, respectively. It was found that almost the 25% of the floods are severe and extreme while the 50% of droughts were of these intensities. Mann-Kendall statistical test was performed, and significance trends at level 0.1 were found for drought and for two periods, one of twenty years (1991–2010) and the other of ten years (2001–2010). As a sample of the temporal evolution of both events and their trends, the results of one locality (Junin) were deeply analyzed.


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