scholarly journals A Nomogram for Predicting Lymph Node Metastasis in Submucosal Colorectal Cancer

2017 ◽  
Vol 102 (3-4) ◽  
pp. 102-108
Author(s):  
Shiki Fujino ◽  
Norikatsu Miyoshi ◽  
Masayuki Ohue ◽  
Masayoshi Yasui ◽  
Keijiro Sugimura ◽  
...  

In colorectal cancer (CRC), the possibility of lymph node (LN) metastasis is an important consideration when deciding on treatment. We developed a nomogram for predicting lymph node metastasis of submucosal (SM) CRC. The medical records of 509 patients with SM CRC from 1984 to 2012 were retrospectively investigated. All the patients underwent curative surgical resection at the Osaka Medical Center for Cancer and Cardiovascular Diseases. A total 113 patients with inadequate data were excluded. Using a group of 293 patients who underwent surgery from 1984 to 2008, a logistic regression model was used to develop a prediction model for LN metastasis. The prediction model was validated in an additional group of 103 patients who underwent surgery from 2009 to 2012. Univariate analysis of pathologic factors showed the influence of low histologic grade (muc, por, sig; P < 0.001), positive lymphatic invasion (P < 0.001), positive vascular invasion (P = 0.036), and tumor SM invasion depth (P = 0.098) in LN metastasis. Using these variables, a nomogram predicting LN metastasis was constructed using a logistic regression model with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.717. The prediction model was validated by an external dataset in an independent patient group with an AUC of 0.920. We developed a novel and reliable nomogram predicting LN metastasis through the integration of 4 pathologic factors. This prediction model may help clinicians to decide on personalized treatment following endoscopic resection.

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuntai Cao ◽  
Jing Zhang ◽  
Haihua Bao ◽  
Guojin Zhang ◽  
Xiaohong Yan ◽  
...  

ObjectiveThis study aimed to develop a dual-energy spectral computed tomography (DESCT) nomogram that incorporated both clinical factors and DESCT parameters for individual preoperative prediction of lymph node metastasis (LNM) in patients with colorectal cancer (CRC).Material and MethodsWe retrospectively reviewed 167 pathologically confirmed patients with CRC who underwent enhanced DESCT preoperatively, and these patients were categorized into training (n = 117) and validation cohorts (n = 50). The monochromatic CT value, iodine concentration value (IC), and effective atomic number (Eff-Z) of the primary tumors were measured independently in the arterial phase (AP) and venous phase (VP) by two radiologists. DESCT parameters together with clinical factors were input into the prediction model for predicting LNM in patients with CRC. Logistic regression analyses were performed to screen for significant predictors of LNM, and these predictors were presented as an easy-to-use nomogram. The receiver operating characteristic curve and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to evaluate the clinical usefulness of the nomogram.ResultsThe logistic regression analysis showed that carcinoembryonic antigen, carbohydrate antigen 199, pericolorectal fat invasion, ICAP, ICVP, and Eff-ZVP were independent predictors in the predictive model. Based on these predictors, a quantitative nomogram was developed to predict individual LNM probability. The area under the curve (AUC) values of the nomogram were 0.876 in the training cohort and 0.852 in the validation cohort, respectively. DCA showed that our nomogram has outstanding clinical utility.ConclusionsThis study presents a clinical nomogram that incorporates clinical factors and DESCT parameters and can potentially be used as a clinical tool for individual preoperative prediction of LNM in patients with CRC.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wei Chen ◽  
Jun-Wen Ye ◽  
Xiao-ping Tan ◽  
Yan Zhang ◽  
Jing-Lin Liang ◽  
...  

Abstract Objective: To observe the factors related to survival and prognosis of patients with resectable stage T4 colorectal cancer. Methods : 148 patients with resectable stage T4 colorectal cancer who underwent surgery in the first Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University between August, 1994 and December, 2005 were retrospectively analyzed. Univariate and multivariate analyses of associations between clinicopathological variables and survival were analyzed using the Cox regression model. Results: At the end of December of 2010 or death, the 5-year and 10 years OS rates were 49.0% and 32.2% respectively, the median OS was 25 months. The disease free survival rates (DFS) at 5 and 10 years were 44.2% and 30.3% respectively. In univariate analysis, patients with postoperative pathology lymph node metastasis was associated with the prognosis of patients with OS (all P< 0.01), postoperative adjuvant therapy failed to improve OS and DFS (P>0.05). Postoperative pathology lymph node metastasis was associated with DFS too (all P< 0.01). In multivariate analysis, postoperative pathology lymph node metastasis was independent factor affected OS and DFS in colorectal cancer patients. Conclusion: Postoperative prognosis of T4 colorectal cancer patients is poor, postoperative pathology lymph node positive was an independent factor affect OS and DFS.


2020 ◽  
Vol 18 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Masahiro Fukada ◽  
Nobuhisa Matsuhashi ◽  
Takao Takahashi ◽  
Yoshihiro Tanaka ◽  
Naoki Okumura ◽  
...  

Abstract Background The rate of pulmonary metastasectomy from colorectal cancer (CRC) has increased with recent advances in chemotherapy, diagnostic techniques, and surgical procedures. The purpose of this study was to investigate the prognostic factors for response to pulmonary metastasectomy and the efficacy of repeat pulmonary metastasectomy. Methods This study was a retrospective, single-institution study of 126 CRC patients who underwent pulmonary metastasectomy between 2000 and 2019 at the Gifu University Hospital. Results The 3- and 5-year survival rates were 84.9% and 60.8%, respectively. Among the 126 patients, 26 (20.6%) underwent a second pulmonary metastasectomy for pulmonary recurrence after initial pulmonary metastasectomy. Univariate analysis of survival identified seven significant factors: (1) gender (p = 0.04), (2) past history of extra-thoracic metastasis (p = 0.04), (3) maximum tumor size (p = 0.002), (4) mediastinal lymph node metastasis (p = 0.02), (5) preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) level (p = 0.01), (6) preoperative carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) level (p = 0.03), and (7) repeat pulmonary metastasectomy for pulmonary recurrence (p < 0.001). On multivariate analysis, only mediastinal lymph node metastasis (p = 0.02, risk ratio 8.206, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.566–34.962) and repeat pulmonary metastasectomy for pulmonary recurrence (p < 0.001, risk ratio 0.054, 95% CI 0.010–0.202) were significant. Furthermore, in the evaluation of surgical outcomes, the safety of second pulmonary metastasectomy was almost the same as that of initial pulmonary metastasectomy. Conclusions Repeat pulmonary metastasectomy is likely to be safe and effective for recurrent cases that meet the surgical criteria. However, mediastinal lymph node metastasis was a significant independent prognostic factor for worse overall survival.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tamotsu Sugai ◽  
Noriyuki Yamada ◽  
Mitsumasa Osakabe ◽  
Mai Hashimoto ◽  
Noriyuki Uesugi ◽  
...  

BMC Cancer ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhiling Wang ◽  
Shuo Zhang ◽  
Yifei Ma ◽  
Wenhui Li ◽  
Jiguang Tian ◽  
...  

Abstract Background This study aimed to explore the risk factors for lymph node metastasis (LNM) in patients with endometrial cancer (EC) and develop a clinically useful nomogram based on clinicopathological parameters to predict it. Methods Clinical information of patients who underwent staging surgery for EC was abstracted from Qilu Hospital of Shandong University from January 1st, 2005 to June 31st, 2019. Parameters including patient-related, tumor-related, and preoperative hematologic examination-related were analyzed by univariate and multivariate logistic regression to determine the correlation with LNM. A nomogram based on the multivariate results was constructed and underwent internal and external validation to predict the probability of LNM. Results The overall data from the 1517 patients who met the inclusion criteria were analyzed. 105(6.29%) patients had LNM. According the univariate analysis and multivariate logistic regression analysis, LVSI is the most predictive factor for LNM, patients with positive LVSI had 13.156-fold increased risk for LNM (95%CI:6.834–25.324; P < 0.001). The nomogram was constructed and incorporated valuable parameters including histological type, histological grade, depth of myometrial invasion, LVSI, cervical involvement, parametrial involvement, and HGB levels from training set. The nomogram was cross-validated internally by the 1000 bootstrap sample and showed good discrimination accuracy. The c-index for internal and external validation of the nomogram are 0.916(95%CI:0.849–0.982) and 0.873(95%CI:0.776–0.970), respectively. Conclusions We developed and validated a 7-variable nomogram with a high concordance probability to predict the risk of LNM in patients with EC.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 126
Author(s):  
Noshad Peyravian ◽  
Stefania Nobili ◽  
Zahra Pezeshkian ◽  
Meysam Olfatifar ◽  
Afshin Moradi ◽  
...  

This study aimed at building a prognostic signature based on a candidate gene panel whose expression may be associated with lymph node metastasis (LNM), thus potentially able to predict colorectal cancer (CRC) progression and patient survival. The mRNA expression levels of 20 candidate genes were evaluated by RT-qPCR in cancer and normal mucosa formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded (FFPE) tissues of CRC patients. Receiver operating characteristic curves were used to evaluate the prognosis performance of our model by calculating the area under the curve (AUC) values corresponding to stage and metastasis. A total of 100 FFPE primary tumor tissues from stage I–IV CRC patients were collected and analyzed. Among the 20 candidate genes we studied, only the expression levels of VANGL1 significantly varied between patients with and without LNMs (p = 0.02). Additionally, the AUC value of the 20-gene panel was found to have the highest predictive performance (i.e., AUC = 79.84%) for LNMs compared with that of two subpanels including 5 and 10 genes. According to our results, VANGL1 gene expression levels are able to estimate LNMs in different stages of CRC. After a proper validation in a wider case series, the evaluation of VANGL1 gene expression and that of the 20-gene panel signature could help in the future in the prediction of CRC progression.


Pathology ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 47 ◽  
pp. S105
Author(s):  
Nav Gill ◽  
Christopher W. Toon ◽  
Nicole Watson ◽  
Anthony J. Gill

2006 ◽  
Vol 63 (5) ◽  
pp. AB216 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hitoshi Yamauchi ◽  
Kazutomo Togashi ◽  
Hiroshi Kawamura ◽  
Junichi Sasaki ◽  
Masaki Okada ◽  
...  

2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Naohisa Yoshida ◽  
Masayoshi Nakanishi ◽  
Ken Inoue ◽  
Ritsu Yasuda ◽  
Ryohei Hirose ◽  
...  

Background and Aims. Various risk factors for lymph node metastasis (LNM) have been reported in colorectal T1 cancers. However, the factors available are insufficient for predicting LNM. We therefore investigated the utility of the new histological factor “pure well-differentiated adenocarcinoma” (PWDA) as a safe factor for predicting LNM in T1 and T2 cancers. Materials and Methods. We reviewed 115 T2 cancers and 202 T1 cancers in patients who underwent surgical resection in our center. We investigated the rates of LNM among various clinicopathological factors, including PWDA. PWDA was defined as a lesion comprising only well-differentiated adenocarcinoma. The consistency of the diagnosis of PWDA was evaluated among two pathologists. In addition, 72 T1 cancers with LNM from 8 related hospitals over 10 years (2008–2017) were also analyzed. Results. The rates of LNM and PWDA were 23.5% and 20.0%, respectively, in T2 cancers. Significant differences were noted between patients with and without LNM regarding lymphatic invasion (81.5% vs. 36.4%, p<0.001), poor histology (51.9% vs. 19.3%, p=0.008), and PWDA (3.7% vs. 25.0%, p=0.015). The rates of LNM and PWDA were 8.4% and 36.1%, respectively, in T1 cancers. Regarding the 73 PWDA cases and 129 non-PWDA cases, the rates of LNM were 0.0% and 13.2%, respectively (p<0.001). Among the 97 cases with lymphatic or venous invasion, the rates of LNM in 29 PWDA cases and 68 non-PWDA were 0% and 14.7%, respectively (p=0.029). The agreement of the two pathologists for the diagnosis of PWDA was acceptable (kappa value > 0.5). A multicenter review showed no cases of PWDA among 72 T1 cancers with LNM. Conclusions. PWDA is considered to be a safe factor for LNM in T1 cancer.


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