scholarly journals Development of a Cloud-Based Real-Time Building Health Monitoring and Prediction System Using AI and IoT Sensors

2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (6) ◽  
pp. 31-39
Author(s):  
Chang-Wan Ha ◽  
Byungtae Ahn ◽  
Young-Sik Shin ◽  
Jinseong Park ◽  
Jai-Kyung Lee ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Real Time ◽  
Health Monitoring ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Dimensional Structure ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Prediction System ◽  
Real Earthquake ◽  
Building Condition ◽  
Building Health Monitoring

In this study, a cloud-based real-time building health monitoring and prediction system using AI and IoT sensors was developed. To predict the building condition, which constitutes time-series data, statistical-based ARIMA and AI-based LSTM prediction models were designed, and the effectiveness of the proposed prediction models was experimentally verified using a 1/8-scaled miniaturized structure. The prediction accuracy in terms of MAPE (less than 1%) was experimentally confirmed to be satisfactory. Moreover, a method for analyzing dimensional structure deformation was developed by combining multiple sensor measurements, and its effectiveness was verified through the case study of a real earthquake-damaged building.

scholarly journals Adaptive, Unlabeled and Real-time Approximate-Learning Platform (AURA) for Personalized Epileptic Seizure Forecasting

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yikai Yang ◽  
Nhan Duy Truong ◽  
Jason K. Eshraghian ◽  
Armin Nikpour ◽  
Omid Kavehei
Keyword(s):  
Real Time ◽  
Event Detection ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Detection System ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Patient Specific ◽  
Forecasting Model ◽  
Detection Model ◽  
Learning Platform

A high performance event detection system is all you need for some predictive studies. Here, we present AURA: an Adaptive forecasting model trained with Unlabeled, Real-time data using internally generated Approximate labels on-the-fly. By harnessing the correlated nature of time-series data, a pair of detection and prediction models are coupled together such that the detection model generates labels automatically, which are then used to train the prediction model. AURA relies on several simple principles and assumptions: (i) the performance of an event prediction/forecasting model in the target application remains below the performance of an event detection model, (ii) detected events are treated as weak labels and deemed reliable enough for online training of a predictive model, and (iii) system performance and/or system responsive feedback characteristics can be tuned for a subject-under-test. For example, in medical patient monitoring, this enables personalization of the forecasting model. Seizure prediction is identified as an ideal test case of AURA, as preictal brainwaves are patient-specific and tailoring models to individual patients can significantly improve forecasting performance. AURA is used to generate an individual forecasting model for 5 patients, showing an average relative improvement in sensitivity by 33.33% and reduction in false alarms by 13.62%.

scholarly journals Traffic sensor health monitoring using spatiotemporal graphical modeling

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Linjiang Wu ◽  
Chao Liu ◽  
Tingting Huang ◽  
Anuj Sharma ◽  
Soumik Sarkar
Keyword(s):  
Health Status ◽  
Real Time ◽  
Sensor Network ◽  
Health Monitoring ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Spatiotemporal Pattern ◽  
Graphical Modeling ◽  
Traffic Sensors ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Sensor Health

Accurate traffic sensor data is essential for traffic operation management systems and acquisition of real-time traffic surveillance data depends heavily on the reliability of the traffic sensors (e.g., wide range detector, automatic traffic recorder). Therefore, detecting the health status of the sensors in a traffic sensor network is critical for the departments of transportation as well as other public and private entities, especially in the circumstances where real-time decision is required. With the purpose of efficiently determining the sensor health status and identifying the failed sensor(s) in a timely manner, this paper proposes a graphical modeling approach called spatiotemporal pattern network (STPN). Traffic speed and volume measurement sensors are used in this paper to formulate and analyze the proposed sensor health monitoring system and historical time-series data from a network of traffic sensors on the Interstate 35 (I-35) within the state of Iowa is used for validation. Based on the validation results, we demonstrate that the proposed approach can: (i) extract spatiotemporal dependencies among the different sensors which leads to an efficient graphical representation of the sensor network in the information space, and (ii) distinguish and quantify a sensor issue by leveraging the extracted spatiotemporal relationship of the candidate sensor(s) to the other sensors in the network.

scholarly journals ANALISIS KORELASI CURAH HUJAN DAN SUHU PERMUKAAN LAUT WILAYAH INDONESIA, SERTA IMPLIKASINYA UNTUK PRAKIRAAN CURAH HUJAN (STUDI KASUS KABUPATEN CILACAP) (CORRELATION ANALYSIS OF RAINFALL AND INDONESIA SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE, AND ITS ...

Agromet ◽  
2007 ◽  
Vol 21 (2) ◽  
pp. 46 ◽  
Author(s):  
W. Estiningtyas ◽  
F. Ramadhani ◽  
E. Aldrian
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Surface Temperature ◽  
Sea Surface Temperature ◽  
Negative Correlation ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Sea Surface ◽  
Rainfall Pattern ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Rainfall Prediction

<p>Significant decrease in rainfall caused extreme climate has significant impact on agriculture sector, especialy food crops production. It is one of reason and push developing of rainfall prediction models as anticipate from extreme climate events. Rainfall prediction models develop base on time series data, and then it has been included anomaly aspect, like rainfall prediction model with Kalman filtering method. One of global parameter that has been used as climate anomaly indicator is sea surface temperature. Some of research indicate, there are relationship between sea surface temperature and rainfall. Relationship between Indonesian rainfall and global sea surface temperature has been known, but its relationship with Indonesian’s sea surface temperature not know yet, especialy for rainfall in smaller area like district. So, therefore the research about relationship between rainfall in distric area and Indonesian’s sea surface temperature and it application for rainfall prediction is needed. Based on Indonesian’s sea surface temperature time series data Januari 1982 until Mei 2006 show there are zona of Indonesian’s sea surface temperature (with temperature more than 27,6 0C) dominan in Januari-Mei and moved with specific pattern. Highest value of spasial correlation beetwen Cilacap’s rainfall and Indonesian’s sea surface temperature is 0,30 until 0,50 with different zona of Indonesian’s sea surface temperature. Highest positive correlation happened in March and July. Negative correlation is -0,30 until -0,70 with highest negative correlation in May and June. Model validation resulted correlation coeffcient 85,73%, fits model 20,74%, r2 73,49%, RMSE 20,5% and standart deviation 37,96. Rainfall prediction Januari-Desember 2007 period indicated rainfall pattern is near same with average rainfall pattern, rainfall less than 100/month. The result of this research indicate Indonesian’s sea surface temperature can be used as indicator rainfall condition in distric area, that means rainfall in district area can be predicted based on Indonesian’s sea surface temperature in zona with highest correlation in every month.</p><p>------------------------------------------------------------------</p><p>Penurunan curah hujan yang cukup signifikan akibat iklim ekstrim telah membawa dampak yang cukup signifikan pula pada sektor pertanian, terutama produksi tanaman pangan. Hal ini menjadi salah satu alasan yang mendorong semakin berkembangnya model-model prakiraan hujan sebagai upaya antipasi terhadap kejadian iklim ekstrim. Model prakiraan hujan yang pada awalnya hanya berbasis pada data time series, kini telah berkembang dengan memperhitungkan aspek anomali iklim, seperti model prakiraan hujan dengan metode filter Kalman. Salah satu indikator global yang dapat digunakan sebagai indikator anomali iklim adalah suhu permukaan laut. Dari berbagai hasil penelitian diketahui bahwa suhu permukaan laut ini memiliki keterkaitan dengan kejadian curah hujan. Hubungan curah hujan Indonesia dengan suhu permukaan laut global sudah banyak diketahui, tetapi keterkaitannya dengan suhu permukaan laut wilayah Indonesia belum banyak mendapat perhatian, terutama untuk curah hujan pada cakupan yang lebih sempit seperti kabupaten. Oleh karena itu perlu dilakukan penelitian yang mengkaji hubungan kedua parameter tersebut serta mengaplikasikannya untuk prakiraan curah hujan pada wilayah Kabupaten. Hasil penelitian berdasarkan data suhu permukaan laut wilayah Indonesia rata-rata Januari 1982 hingga Mei 2006 menunjukkan zona dengan suhu lebih dari 27,6 0C yang dominan pada bulan Januari-Mei dan bergerak dengan pola yang cukup jelas. Korelasi spasial antara curah hujan kabupaten Cilacap dengan SPL wilayah Indonesia rata-rata bulan Januari-Desember menunjukkan korelasi positip tertinggi antara 0,30 hingga 0,50 dengan zona SPL yang beragam. Korelasi tertinggi terjadi pada bulan Maret dan Juli. Sedangkan korelasi negatip berkisar antara -0,30 hingga -0,70 dengan korelasi negatip tertinggi pada bulan Mei dan Juni. Validasi model prakiraan hujan menghasilkan nilai koefisien korelasi 85,73%, fits model 20,74%, r2 sebesar 73,49%, RMSE 20,5% dan standar deviasi 37,96. Hasil prakiraan hujan bulanan periode Januari-Desember 2007 mengindikasikan pola curah hujan yang tidak jauh berbeda dengan rata-rata selama 19 tahun (1988-2006) dengan jeluk hujan kurang dari 100 mm/bulan. Hasil penelitian mengindikasikan bahwa SPL wilayah Indonesia dapat digunakan sebagai indikator untuk menunjukkan kondisi curah hujan di suatu wilayah (kabupaten), artinya curah hujan dapat diprediksi berdasarkan perubahan SPL pada zona-zona dengan korelasi yang tertinggi pada setiap bulannya.</p>

A Novel Approach to Time Series Forecasting Using Model-Free Adaptive Control Framework

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Meenakshi Narayan ◽  
Ann Majewicz Fey
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Adaptive Control ◽  
Real Time ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Force Sensor ◽  
Sensor Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Model Free ◽  
Control Framework

Abstract Sensor data predictions could significantly improve the accuracy and effectiveness of modern control systems; however, existing machine learning and advanced statistical techniques to forecast time series data require significant computational resources which is not ideal for real-time applications. In this paper, we propose a novel forecasting technique called Compact Form Dynamic Linearization Model-Free Prediction (CFDL-MFP) which is derived from the existing model-free adaptive control framework. This approach enables near real-time forecasts of seconds-worth of time-series data due to its basis as an optimal control problem. The performance of the CFDL-MFP algorithm was evaluated using four real datasets including: force sensor readings from surgical needle, ECG measurements for heart rate, and atmospheric temperature and Nile water level recordings. On average, the forecast accuracy of CFDL-MFP was 28% better than the benchmark Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) algorithm. The maximum computation time of CFDL-MFP was 49.1ms which was 170 times faster than ARIMA. Forecasts were best for deterministic data patterns, such as the ECG data, with a minimum average root mean squared error of (0.2±0.2).

scholarly journals Study on Fractal Multistep Forecast for the Prediction of Driving Behavior

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Longhai Yang ◽  
Hong Xu ◽  
Xiqiao Zhang ◽  
Shuai Li ◽  
Wenchao Ji
Keyword(s):  
Prediction Model ◽  
Real Time ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Vehicle Speed ◽  
Trajectory Data ◽  
Time Data ◽  
Characteristic Analysis ◽  
Real Time Data

The application and development of new technology make it possible to acquire real-time data of vehicles. Based on these real-time data, the behavior of vehicles can be analyzed. The prediction of vehicle behavior provides data support for the fine management of traffic. This paper proposes speed and acceleration have fractal features by R/S analysis of the time series data of speed and acceleration. Based on the characteristic analysis of microscopic parameters, the characteristic indexes of parameters are quantified, the fractal multistep prediction model of microparameters is established, and the BP (back propagation neural networks) model is established to estimate predictable step of fractal prediction model. The fractal multistep prediction model is used to predict speed acceleration in the predictable step. NGSIM trajectory data are used to test the multistep prediction model. The results show that the proposed fractal multistep prediction model can effectively realize the multistep prediction of vehicle speed.

A hybrid fuzzy quantum time series and linear programming model: Special application on TAIEX index dataset

2019 ◽  
Vol 34 (25) ◽  
pp. 1950201 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pritpal Singh ◽  
Gaurav Dhiman ◽  
Sen Guo ◽  
Ritika Maini ◽  
Harsimran Kaur ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Linear Programming ◽  
Real Time ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Programming Model ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Quantum Model ◽  
Quantum Time ◽  
Degree Of Membership ◽  
Quantum Approach

The supremacy of quantum approach is able to provide the solutions which are not practically feasible on classical machines. This paper introduces a novel quantum model for time series data which depends on the appropriate length of intervals. In this study, the effects of these drawbacks are elaborately illustrated, and some significant measures to remove them are suggested, such as use of degree of membership along with mid-value of the interval. All these improvements signify the effective results in case of quantum time series, which are verified and validated with real-time datasets.

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