Widespread natural methane and oil leakage from sub-marine Arctic reservoirs

Parceling the anthropogenic and natural (geological) sources of fossil methane in the atmosphere remains problematic due to a lack of distinctive chemical markers for their discrimination. In this light, understanding the distribution and contribution of potential geological methane sources is important. We present empirical observations of hitherto undocumented, widespread and extensive methane and oil release from geological reservoirs to the Arctic Ocean. Methane fluxes from >7,000 seeps significantly deplete in seawater, but nevertheless reach the sea surface and may transfer to the air. Oil slick emission spots and gas ebullition are persistent across multi-year observations and correlate to formerly glaciated geological structures, which have experienced km-scale glacial erosion that has left hydrocarbon reservoirs partially uncapped since the last deglaciation ~15,000 years ago. Such persistent, geologically controlled, natural hydrocarbon release may be characteristic of formerly glaciated hydrocarbon-bearing basins which are common across polar continental shelves, and could represent an underestimated source of natural fossil methane within the global carbon cycle.

Millennial variability of terrigenous transport to the central-southern Peruvian margin during the last deglaciation (18–13 kyr BP)

Reconstructing precipitation and wind from the geological record could help to understand the potential changes in precipitation and wind dynamics in response to climate change in Peru. The last deglaciation offers natural experimental conditions to test precipitation and wind dynamics response to high latitude forcing. While considerable research has been done to reconstruct precipitation variability during the last deglaciation in the Atlantic sector of South America, the Pacific sector of South America has received little attention. This work aims to fill this gap by reconstructing types of terrigenous transport to the central-southern Peruvian margin (12° S and 14º S) during the last deglaciation (18–13 kyr BP). For this purpose, we used grain-size distribution in sediments of marine core M77/2-005-3 (Callao, 12º S) and G14 (Pisco, 14º S). We analyzed end-members (EM) to identify grain-size components and reconstruct potential sources and transport processes of terrigenous material across time. We identified four end-members for both Callao and Pisco sediments. In Callao, we propose that changes in EM4 (101 μm) and EM2 (58 μm) contribution mainly reflect hydrodynamic energy and diffuse sources, respectively, while EM3 (77 um) and EM1 (11 μm) variations reflect changes in aeolian and fluvial inputs, respectively. In Pisco, changes in the contribution of EM1 (10 μm) reflect changes in river inputs while EM2 (52 μm), EM3 (75 μm) and EM4 (94 μm) reflect an aeolian origin linked to surface winds. At millennial-scale, our record shows an increase of the fluvial inputs during the last part of Heinrich Stadial 1 (~ 16–14.7 kyr BP) at both locations. This increase was linked to higher precipitation in Andes related to a reduction of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation and meltwater discharge in North Atlantic. In contrast, during Bølling-Allerød (~ 14.7–13 kyr BP), there was an aeolian input increase, associated with stronger winds and lower precipitation that indicate an expansion of the South Pacific Subtropical High. These conditions would correspond to a northern displacement of the Intertropical Convergence Zone-South Subtropical High system associated with a stronger Walker circulation. Our results suggest that variations in river discharge and changes in surface wind intensity in the western margin of South America during the last deglaciation were sensitive to Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation variations and Walker circulation on millennial timescales. In the context of global warming, large-scale precipitation and fluvial discharge increases in the Andes related to Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation decline and southward displacement of the Intertropical Convergence Zone should be considered.

Deglacial climate and ice sheet evolution of the Ross Embayment, Antarctica

<p>Reconstructing past grounding-line evolution can help inform future sea level projections by constraining marine ice sheet sensitivities to changes in climate. The Ross Embayment, the largest sector of Antarctica, experienced substantial grounding-line retreat since the Last Glacial Maximum. However, different interpretations for the timing and spatial pattern of deglacial grounding-line retreat in this region persist, suggesting either very high or low sensitivity to external forcings. Complicating matters is the sparse paleoclimate record, which is limited spatially and temporally. In this thesis, I address these issues by analysing the output of two transient climate simulations in relation to Antarctic ice core and marine sediment records, and performing and analysing the largest ensemble to date of regional ice sheet model simulations of the last deglaciation in the Ross Sea. The climate models and paleoclimate proxy records exhibit key differences in the timing, magnitude and duration of millennial-scale climate change events through the deglacial period. Using this diverse set of deglacial climate trajectories as ocean and atmosphere forcings, the ice sheet model ensemble produces a wide range of ice sheet responses, supporting the view that external forcings are the main drivers of past grounding-line retreat in the region. The simulations demonstrate that atmospheric conditions early in the deglacial period can enhance or diminish ice sheet sensitivity to rising ocean temperatures, thereby controlling the initial timing and spatial pattern of grounding-line retreat. Through the Holocene, grounding-line position is more sensitive to sub-shelf melt rates as the ocean cavity below the ice shelf expands. Model parameters that control the physical properties of the bed, deformation of the continental shelf, and rheological properties of the ice strongly influence the sensitivity of ice sheets to external forcing. Basin-wide differences in these forcings, driven by oceanic and atmospheric circulation, and spatial heterogeneity of bed properties likely contribute to the asynchronous pattern of retreat in the eastern and western parts of the embayment, as indicated by marine and terrestrial proxy records.</p>

Deglacial climate and ice sheet evolution of the Ross Embayment, Antarctica

<p>Reconstructing past grounding-line evolution can help inform future sea level projections by constraining marine ice sheet sensitivities to changes in climate. The Ross Embayment, the largest sector of Antarctica, experienced substantial grounding-line retreat since the Last Glacial Maximum. However, different interpretations for the timing and spatial pattern of deglacial grounding-line retreat in this region persist, suggesting either very high or low sensitivity to external forcings. Complicating matters is the sparse paleoclimate record, which is limited spatially and temporally. In this thesis, I address these issues by analysing the output of two transient climate simulations in relation to Antarctic ice core and marine sediment records, and performing and analysing the largest ensemble to date of regional ice sheet model simulations of the last deglaciation in the Ross Sea. The climate models and paleoclimate proxy records exhibit key differences in the timing, magnitude and duration of millennial-scale climate change events through the deglacial period. Using this diverse set of deglacial climate trajectories as ocean and atmosphere forcings, the ice sheet model ensemble produces a wide range of ice sheet responses, supporting the view that external forcings are the main drivers of past grounding-line retreat in the region. The simulations demonstrate that atmospheric conditions early in the deglacial period can enhance or diminish ice sheet sensitivity to rising ocean temperatures, thereby controlling the initial timing and spatial pattern of grounding-line retreat. Through the Holocene, grounding-line position is more sensitive to sub-shelf melt rates as the ocean cavity below the ice shelf expands. Model parameters that control the physical properties of the bed, deformation of the continental shelf, and rheological properties of the ice strongly influence the sensitivity of ice sheets to external forcing. Basin-wide differences in these forcings, driven by oceanic and atmospheric circulation, and spatial heterogeneity of bed properties likely contribute to the asynchronous pattern of retreat in the eastern and western parts of the embayment, as indicated by marine and terrestrial proxy records.</p>

Gas origin linked to paleo BSR

The Central-South Chile margin is an excellent site to address the changes in the gas hydrate system since the last deglaciation associated with tectonic uplift and great earthquakes. However, the dynamic of the gas hydrate/free gas system along south central Chile is currently not well understood. From geophysical data and modeling analyses, we evaluate gas hydrate/free gas concentrations along a seismic line, derive geothermal gradients, and model past positions of the Bottom Simulating Reflector (BSR; until 13,000 years BP). The results reveal high hydrate/free gas concentrations and local geothermal gradient anomalies related to fluid migration through faults linked to seafloor mud volcanoes. The BSR-derived geothermal gradient, the base of free gas layers, BSR distribution and models of the paleo-BSR form a basis to evaluate the origin of the gas. If paleo-BSR coincides with the base of the free gas, the gas presence can be related to the gas hydrate dissociation due to climate change and geological evolution. Only if the base of free gas reflector is deeper than the paleo-BSR, a deeper gas supply can be invoked.

Abrupt climate changes in the last two deglaciations simulated with different Northern ice sheet discharge and insolation

There were significant differences between the last two deglaciations, particularly in Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) and Antarctic warming in the deglaciations and the following interglacials. Here, we present transient simulations of deglaciation using a coupled atmosphere–ocean general circulation model for the last two deglaciations focusing on the impact of ice sheet discharge on climate changes associated with the AMOC in the first part, and the sensitivity studies using a Northern Hemisphere ice sheet model in the second part. We show that a set of abrupt climate changes of the last deglaciation, including Bolling–Allerod warming, the Younger Dryas, and onset of the Holocene were simulated with gradual changes of both ice sheet discharge and radiative forcing. On the other hand, penultimate deglaciation, with the abrupt climate change only at the beginning of the last interglacial was simulated when the ice sheet discharge was greater than in the last deglaciation by a factor of 1.5. The results, together with Northern Hemisphere ice sheet model experiments suggest the importance of the transient climate and AMOC responses to the different orbital forcing conditions of the last two deglaciations, through the mechanisms of mass loss of the Northern Hemisphere ice sheet and meltwater influx to the ocean.