Diagnosing surfzone impacts on inner-shelf flow spatial variability using realistic model experiments with and without surface gravity waves

Rip currents are generated by surfzone wave breaking and are ejected offshore inducing inner-shelf flow spatial variability (eddies). However, surfzone effects on the inner-shelf flow spatial variability have not been studied in realistic models that include both shelf and surfzone processes. Here, these effects are diagnosed with two nearly identical twin realistic simulations of the San Diego Bight over summer to fall where one simulation includes surface gravity waves (WW) and the other that does not (NW). The simulations include tides, weak to moderate winds, internal waves, submesoscale processes, and have surfzone width Lsz of 96(±41) m (≈ 1 m significant wave height). Flow spatial variability metrics, alongshore root mean square vorticity, divergence, and eddy cross-shore velocity, are analyzed in a Lsz normalized cross-shore coordinate. At the surface, the metrics are consistently (> 70%) elevated in the WW run relative to NW out to 5Lsz offshore. At 4Lsz offshore, WW metrics are enhanced over the entire water column. In a fixed coordinate appropriate for eddy transport, the eddy cross-shore velocity squared correlation betweenWWand NW runs is < 0.5 out to 1.2 km offshore or 12 time-averaged Lsz. The results indicate that the eddy tracer (e.g., larvae) transport and dispersion across the inner-shelf will be significantly different in the WW and NW runs. The WW model neglects specific surfzone vorticity generation mechanisms. Thus, these inner-shelf impacts are likely underestimated. In other regions with larger waves, impacts will extend farther offshore.

Understanding the Role of Mean and Eddy Momentum Transport in the Rapid Intensification of Hurricane Irma (2017) and Hurricane Michael (2018)

The prediction of rapid intensification (RI) in tropical cyclones (TCs) is a challenging problem. In this study, the RI process and factors contributing to it are compared for two TCs: an axis-symmetric case (Hurricane Irma, 2017) and an asymmetric case (Hurricane Michael, 2018). Both Irma and Michael became major hurricanes that made significant impacts in the United States. The Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting (HWRF) Model was used to examine the connection between RI with forcing from the large-scale environment and the subsequent evolution of TC structure and convection. The observed large-scale environment was reasonably reproduced by HWRF forecasts. Hurricane Irma rapidly intensified in an environment with weak-to-moderate vertical wind shear (VWS), typically favorable for RI, leading to the symmetric development of vortical convective clouds in the cyclonic, vorticity-rich environment. Conversely, Hurricane Michael rapidly intensified in an environment of strong VWS, typically unfavorable for RI, leading to major asymmetries in the development of vortical convective clouds. The tangential wind momentum budget was analyzed for these two hurricanes to identify similarities and differences in the pathways to RI. Results suggest that eddy transport terms associated with convective processes positively contributed to vortex spin up in the early stages of RI and inhibited spin up in the later stages of RI in both TCs. In the early stages of RI, the mean transport terms exhibited notable differences in these TCs; they dominated the spin-up process in Irma and were of secondary importance to the spin-up process in Michael. Favorable aspects of the environment surrounding Michael appeared to aid in the RI process despite hostile VWS.

Twenty-First Century Trends in Mixing Barriers and Eddy Transport in the Lower Stratosphere

&lt;p&gt;Future trends in isentropic mixing in the lower stratosphere remain largely unexplored, in contrast with the advective component of the Brewer-Dobson circulation. This study examines trends in effective diffusivity (&amp;#954;&lt;sub&gt;eff&lt;/sub&gt; ), a measure of the potential of the flow to produce isentropic mixing, in recent chemistry-climate model simulations. The results highlight substantial reduction of &amp;#954;&lt;sub&gt;eff&lt;/sub&gt;&amp;#160; in the upper flanks of the subtropical jets from fall to spring, which are strengthened in response to greenhouse gas increases. This contrasts with stronger eddy transport, associated with increased wave drag in the region, peaking in summer near the critical lines. The projected ozone recovery leads to enhanced &amp;#954;&lt;sub&gt;eff&lt;/sub&gt; in polar austral spring and summer, associated with a weaker and shorter-lived austral polar vortex by the end of the 21st century. &lt;/p&gt;

Observations of Mesoscale Eddies in Satellite SSS and Inferred Eddy Salt Transport

Observations of sea surface salinity (SSS) from NASA’s Soil Moisture Active-Passive (SMAP) and ESA’s Soil Moisture and Ocean Salinity (SMOS) satellite missions are used to characterize and quantify the contribution of mesoscale eddies to the ocean transport of salt. Given large errors in satellite retrievals and, consequently, SSS maps, we evaluate two products from the two missions and also use two different methods to assess the eddy transport of salt. Comparing the two missions, we find that the estimates of the eddy transport of salt agree very well, particularly in the tropics and subtropics. The transport is divergent in the subtropical gyres (eddies pump salt out of the gyres) and convergent in the tropics. The estimates from the two satellites start to differ regionally at higher latitudes, particularly in the Southern Ocean and along the Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC), resulting, presumably, from a considerable increase in the level of noise in satellite retrievals (because of poor sensitivity of the satellite radiometer to SSS in cold water), or they can be due to insufficient spatial resolution. Overall, our study demonstrates that the possibility of characterizing and quantifying the eddy transport of salt in the ocean surface mixed layer can rely on the use of satellite observations of SSS. Yet, new technologies are required to improve the resolution capabilities of future satellite missions in order to observe mesoscale and sub-mesoscale variability, improve the signal-to-noise ratio, and extend these capabilities to the polar oceans.

Evaluation of the Grell–Freitas Convective Scheme in the Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting (HWRF) Model

The Developmental Testbed Center (DTC) tested two convective parameterization schemes in the Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting (HWRF) Model and compared them in terms of performance of forecasting tropical cyclones (TCs). Several TC forecasts were conducted with the scale-aware Simplified Arakawa Schubert (SAS) and Grell–Freitas (GF) convective schemes over the Atlantic basin. For this sample of over 100 cases, the storm track and intensity forecasts were superior for the GF scheme compared to SAS. A case study showed improved storm structure for GF when compared with radar observations. The GF run had increased inflow in the boundary layer, which resulted in higher angular momentum. An angular momentum budget analysis shows that the difference in the contribution of the eddy transport to the total angular momentum tendency is small between the two forecasts. The main difference is in the mean transport term, especially in the boundary layer. The temperature tendencies indicate higher contribution from the microphysics and cumulus heating above the boundary layer in the GF run. A temperature budget analysis indicated that both the temperature advection and diabatic heating were the dominant terms and they were larger near the storm center in the GF run than in the SAS run. The above results support the superior performance of the GF scheme for TC intensity forecast.