Abstract. Long-distance seawater intrusion has been widely observed through the
subsurface conduit system in coastal karst aquifers as a source of groundwater
contaminant. In this study, seawater intrusion in a dual-permeability karst
aquifer with conduit networks is studied by the two-dimensional
density-dependent flow and transport SEAWAT model. Local and global
sensitivity analyses are used to evaluate the impacts of boundary conditions
and hydrological characteristics on modeling seawater intrusion in a karst
aquifer, including hydraulic conductivity, effective porosity, specific
storage, and dispersivity of the conduit network and of the porous medium.
The local sensitivity analysis evaluates the parameters' sensitivities for modeling
seawater intrusion, specifically in the Woodville Karst Plain (WKP). A more
comprehensive interpretation of parameter sensitivities, including the
nonlinear relationship between simulations and parameters, and/or parameter
interactions, is addressed in the global sensitivity analysis. The conduit
parameters and boundary conditions are important to the simulations in the
porous medium because of the dynamical exchanges between the two systems.
The sensitivity study indicates that salinity and head simulations in the karst
features, such as the conduit system and submarine springs, are critical for
understanding seawater intrusion in a coastal karst aquifer. The evaluation
of hydraulic conductivity sensitivity in the continuum SEAWAT model may be
biased since the conduit flow velocity is not accurately calculated by
Darcy's equation as a function of head difference and hydraulic
conductivity. In addition, dispersivity is no longer an important parameter
in an advection-dominated karst aquifer with a conduit system, compared to the
sensitivity results in a porous medium aquifer. In the end, the extents of
seawater intrusion are quantitatively evaluated and measured under different
scenarios with the variabilities of important parameters identified from
sensitivity results, including salinity at the submarine spring with
rainfall recharge, sea level rise, and a longer simulation time under an
extended low rainfall period.