Comparison of compression estimations under the penalty functions of different violent crimes on campus through deep learning and linear spatial autoregressive models

To reduce the probability of violent crimes, the deep learning (DL) technology and linear spatial autoregressive models (ARMs) are utilised to estimate the model parameters through different penalty functions. In addition, under a determinate space, the influences of environmental factors on violent crimes are discussed. By taking campus violence cases as examples, the major influencing factors of violent crimes are found through data analysis. The results show that campus violence cases are usually caused by the complex surrounding environments and persons. Also, campus security measures only cover a small range, and the security management is difficult. In the meantime, due to the younger ages and lack of self-protection awareness, students may easily become the targets of criminals. Therefore, the results have a positive significance for authorities to analyse the crime rates in a determinate area and take preventive measures against violent crimes.

Modeling Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2019 (SARS-CoV-19) Incidence across Conterminous US Counties: A Spatial Perspective

This study examines the spatial distribution of COVID-19 incidence and mortality rates across the counties in the conterminous US in the first 604 days of the pandemic. The dataset was acquired from Emory University, Atlanta, United States, which includes socio-economic variables and health outcomes variables (N = 3106). OLS estimates accounted for 31% of the regression plain (adjusted R2 = 0.31) with AIC value of 9263, and Breusch-Pagan test for heteroskedasticity indicated 472.4, and multicollinearity condition number of 74.25. This result necessitated spatial autoregressive models, which were performed on GeoDa 1.18 software. ArcGIS 10.7 was used to map the residuals and selected significant variables. Generally, the Spatial Lag Model (SLM) and Spatial Error Model (SEM) models accounted for substantial percentages of the regression plain. While the efficiency of the models is the order of SLM (AIC: 8264.4: BreucshPagan test: 584.4; Adj. R2 = 0.56) > SEM (AIC: 8282.0; Breucsh-Pagan test: 697.2; Adj. R2 = 0.56). In this case, the least predictive model is SEM. The significant contribution of male, black race, poverty and urban and rural dummies to the regression plain indicated that COVID-19 transmission is more of a function of socio-economic, and rural/urban conditions rather than health outcomes. Although, diabetes and obesity showed a positive relationship with COVID-19 incidence. However, the relationship was relatively low based on the dataset. This study further concludes that the policymakers and health practitioners should consider spatial peculiarities, rural-urban migration and access to resources in reducing the transmission of COVID-19 disease.

The Application of Spatial Autoregressive Models for Analyzing the Influence of Spatial Factors on Real Estate Prices and Values

The spatial distribution of real estate in specific geographic locations, real estate transactions, and the prices and values of properties are a highly complex spatial phenomena that should be analyzed with the use of multidimensional methods. Spatial factors are taken into account in the modeling process to increase the reliability of real estate market analyses, and spatial autoregressive models are applied to determine the effect of spatial factors on real estate prices and values. The present study relies on a review of the literature and the results of an experiment. The concept and principles of market analysis were designed with the use of spatial autoregressive models, and the influence of selected spatial factors on real estate prices was presented on maps. Analyses involving autoregressive models enable reliable modeling and support correct interpretation of the observed processes.

Contributions from Spatial Models to Non-Life Insurance Pricing: An Empirical Application to Water Damage Risk

This paper explores the application of spatial models to non-life insurance data focused on the multi-risk home insurance branch. In the pricing modelling and rating process, spatial information should be considered by actuaries and insurance managers because frequencies and claim sizes may vary by region and the premium should be different considering this rating variable. In addition, it is relevant to examine the spatial dependence due to the fact that the frequency of claims in neighbouring regions is often expected to be more closely related than those in regions far from each other. In this paper, a comparison between spatial models, such as spatial autoregressive models (SAR), the spatial error model (SEM), and the spatial Durbin model (SDM), and a non-spatial model has been developed. The data used for this analysis are for a home insurance portfolio located in Spain, from which we have selected peril of water coverage.

Bayesian Analysis of Partially Linear Additive Spatial Autoregressive Models with Free-Knot Splines

This article deals with symmetrical data that can be modelled based on Gaussian distribution. We consider a class of partially linear additive spatial autoregressive (PLASAR) models for spatial data. We develop a Bayesian free-knot splines approach to approximate the nonparametric functions. It can be performed to facilitate efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) tools to design a Gibbs sampler to explore the full conditional posterior distributions and analyze the PLASAR models. In order to acquire a rapidly-convergent algorithm, a modified Bayesian free-knot splines approach incorporated with powerful MCMC techniques is employed. The Bayesian estimator (BE) method is more computationally efficient than the generalized method of moments estimator (GMME) and thus capable of handling large scales of spatial data. The performance of the PLASAR model and methodology is illustrated by a simulation, and the model is used to analyze a Sydney real estate dataset.

Impact of Check-In Data on Urban Vitality in the Macao Peninsula

High activity is an important manifestation of the stable development of urban social economy. Quantitative research on urban development based on the geographical label perception of urban vitality is a new technical means and way to study urban vitality. In this paper, points of interest and Weibo check-in geographic markers are used to analyze urban vitality indicators and urban vitality distribution patterns. Through the application of different indexes, the ordinary linear regression and spatial autoregressive models between urban vitality and built environment are established to explore the factors that affect urban vitality. Results of the research show that interest points and social media check-in data can better indicate urban vitality. The urban vitality of the Macao Special Administrative Region is mainly affected by the density of land use, buildings, and public transportation.