Abstract
This paper aims to study the trend of aircraft emission in China. The multiyear emission inventories of HC, CO, NOX, SO2 and PM2.5 in the period 2010–2030 were developed. Results show that the total amount of all targeted pollutants from China's civil airports climbed from approximately 82407 tons in 2010 to 164275 tons in 2019. It is expected that the total amount of pollutants will reach 400845 tons by 2030. Pollutant emissions had the lowest growth rate in 2019 and the highest growth rate in 2013 (4.1% and 13.3%, respectively). From 2013 to 2019, the rate of increase in airport pollutant emissions began to decline. In 2019, the emissions of HC, CO, NOX, SO2 and PM2.5 are 6251, 53614, 97059, 6248 and 1102 tons, respectively. COVID-19 had a significant impact on airport emissions. By comparing the statistical value and the predicted value of airport emissions in 2020, we found that COVID-19 reduced the emissions of ZHHH and national by 46.33% and 30.45% respectively. In 2019, the East has the highest contribution rate of 27.6%, and Xinjiang has the lowest contribution rate of 3.6%. The emissions of the seven aviation regions were in the order of east > central south > southwest > north > northeast > northwest > Xinjiang.