Financial Variables Analysis by Inequality Decomposition

2018 ◽  
pp. 301-308
Author(s):  
Michele Costa
Keyword(s):  
Inequality Decomposition ◽  
Financial Variables

DAMPAK VARIABEL KEUANGAN TERHADAP PENCAPAIAN KEUNTUNGAN PERUSAHAAN KELOMPOK INDUSTRI KONSTRUKSI DI BURSA EFEK JAKARTA

2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Akhmad Sodiqin
Keyword(s):  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Construction Industry ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
T Test ◽  
Current Ratio ◽  
Return On Equity ◽  
Industry Group ◽  
Financial Variables ◽  
Equity Ratio ◽  
Ratio Variables

<em>This study aims to determine the effect of financial variables, namely the current ratio and debt to equity ratio of companies in the construction industry group listed on the Indonesia stock exchange either partially or simultaneously. The data used includes construction industry group companies. Data were analyzed using regression analysis using the   F-test and t test. Based on the results of the analysis it is known that the current ratio variables and the debt to equity ratio affect the return on equity variable in the construction industry stocks on the Indonesia stock exchange. Partially the current variable and debt to equity ratio also partially influence</em>.

Classification of Operational and Financial Variables Affecting the Bullwhip Effect in Indian Sectors: A Machine Learning Approach

2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 171-179 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sachin Gupta ◽  
Anurag Saxena
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Data Mining ◽  
Supply Chain ◽  
Supply Chain Management ◽  
Product Life Cycle ◽  
Consumer Preference ◽  
Bullwhip Effect ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Chain Management ◽  
Financial Variables

Background: The increased variability in production or procurement with respect to less increase of variability in demand or sales is considered as bullwhip effect. Bullwhip effect is considered as an encumbrance in optimization of supply chain as it causes inadequacy in the supply chain. Various operations and supply chain management consultants, managers and researchers are doing a rigorous study to find the causes behind the dynamic nature of the supply chain management and have listed shorter product life cycle, change in technology, change in consumer preference and era of globalization, to name a few. Most of the literature that explored bullwhip effect is found to be based on simulations and mathematical models. Exploring bullwhip effect using machine learning is the novel approach of the present study. Methods: Present study explores the operational and financial variables affecting the bullwhip effect on the basis of secondary data. Data mining and machine learning techniques are used to explore the variables affecting bullwhip effect in Indian sectors. Rapid Miner tool has been used for data mining and 10-fold cross validation has been performed. Weka Alternating Decision Tree (w-ADT) has been built for decision makers to mitigate bullwhip effect after the classification. Results: Out of the 19 selected variables affecting bullwhip effect 7 variables have been selected which have highest accuracy level with minimum deviation. Conclusion: Classification technique using machine learning provides an effective tool and techniques to explore bullwhip effect in supply chain management.

scholarly journals A Comparative Analysis on Probability of Volatility Clusters on Cryptocurrencies, and FOREX Currencies

2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (7) ◽  
pp. 308
Author(s):  
Usha Rekha Chinthapalli
Keyword(s):  
Investment Decision ◽  
Theoretical Work ◽  
Financial Asset ◽  
Dynamic Features ◽  
Asset Return ◽  
Financial Variables ◽  
Ann Models ◽  
Hidden Layer ◽  
Association Structure ◽  
The Impact

In recent years, the attention of investors, practitioners and academics has grown in cryptocurrency. Initially, the cryptocurrency was designed as a viable digital currency implementation, and subsequently, numerous derivatives were produced in a range of sectors, including nonmonetary activities, financial transactions, and even capital management. The high volatility of exchange rates is one of the main features of cryptocurrencies. The article presents an interesting way to estimate the probability of cryptocurrency volatility clusters. In this regard, the paper explores exponential hybrid methodologies GARCH (or EGARCH) and through its portrayal as a financial asset, ANN models will provide analytical insight into bitcoin. Meanwhile, more scalable modelling is needed to fit financial variable characteristics such as ANN models because of the dynamic, nonlinear association structure between financial variables. For financial forecasting, BP is contained in the most popular methods of neural network training. The backpropagation method is employed to train the two models to determine which one performs the best in terms of predicting. This architecture consists of one hidden layer and one input layer with N neurons. Recent theoretical work on crypto-asset return behavior and risk management is supported by this research. In comparison with other traditional asset classes, these results give appropriate data on the behavior, allowing them to adopt the suitable investment decision. The study conclusions are based on a comparison between the dynamic features of cryptocurrencies and FOREX Currency’s traditional mass financial asset. Thus, the result illustrates how well the probability clusters show the impact on cryptocurrency and currencies. This research covers the sample period between August 2017 and August 2020, as cryptocurrency became popular around that period. The following methodology was implemented and simulated using Eviews and SPSS software. The performance evaluation of the cryptocurrencies is compared with FOREX currencies for better comparative study respectively.

scholarly journals COVID-19 Outbreak and CO2 Emissions: Macro-Financial Linkages

2020 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 12
Author(s):  
Julien Chevallier
Keyword(s):  
Co2 Emissions ◽  
Fossil Fuels ◽  
Mixed Data ◽  
Energy Information Administration ◽  
Time Varying ◽  
Data Sampling ◽  
Quantitative Finance ◽  
Financial Variables ◽  
Mixed Data Sampling ◽  
The One

In the Dynamic Conditional Correlation with Mixed Data Sampling (DCC-MIDAS) framework, we scrutinize the correlations between the macro-financial environment and CO2 emissions in the aftermath of the COVID-19 diffusion. The main original idea is that the economy’s lock-down will alleviate part of the greenhouse gases’ burden that human activity induces on the environment. We capture the time-varying correlations between U.S. COVID-19 confirmed cases, deaths, and recovered cases that were recorded by the Johns Hopkins Coronavirus Center, on the one hand; U.S. Total Industrial Production Index and Total Fossil Fuels CO2 emissions from the U.S. Energy Information Administration on the other hand. High-frequency data for U.S. stock markets are included with five-minute realized volatility from the Oxford-Man Institute of Quantitative Finance. The DCC-MIDAS approach indicates that COVID-19 confirmed cases and deaths negatively influence the macro-financial variables and CO2 emissions. We quantify the time-varying correlations of CO2 emissions with either COVID-19 confirmed cases or COVID-19 deaths to sharply decrease by −15% to −30%. The main takeaway is that we track correlations and reveal a recessionary outlook against the background of the pandemic.

scholarly journals Credit Risk Management of Property Investments through Multi-Criteria Indicators

Risks ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (6) ◽  
pp. 106
Author(s):  
Marco Locurcio ◽  
Francesco Tajani ◽  
Pierluigi Morano ◽  
Debora Anelli ◽  
Benedetto Manganelli
Keyword(s):  
Real Estate ◽  
Credit Risk ◽  
Risk Index ◽  
Capital Requirements ◽  
Basel Iii ◽  
Participatory Process ◽  
Regulatory Capital ◽  
The Real Estate ◽  
Financial Variables ◽  
Synthetic Index

The economic crisis of 2008 has highlighted the ineffectiveness of the banks in their disbursement of mortgages which caused the spread of Non-Performing Loans (NPLs) with underlying real estate. With the methods stated by the Basel III agreements, aimed at improving the capital requirements of banks and determining an adequate regulatory capital, the banks without the skills required have difficulties in applying the rigid weighting coefficients structures. The aim of the work is to identify a synthetic risk index through the participatory process, in order to support the restructuring debt operations to benefit smaller banks and small and medium-sized enterprises (SME), by analyzing the real estate credit risk. The proposed synthetic risk index aims at overcoming the complexity of Basel III methodologies through the implementation of three different multi-criteria techniques. In particular, the integration of objective financial variables with subjective expert judgments into a participatory process is not that common in the reference literature and brings its benefits for reaching more approved and shared results in the debt restructuring operations procedure. Moreover, the main findings derived by the application to a real case study have demonstrated how important it is for the credit manager to have an adequate synthetic index that could lead to the avoidance of risky scenarios where several modalities to repair the credit debt occur.

scholarly journals The Role of Board Independence and Ownership Structure in Improving the Efficacy of Corporate Financial Distress Prediction Model Evidence from India

2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (7) ◽  
pp. 333
Author(s):  
Shilpa H. Shetty ◽  
Theresa Nithila Vincent
Keyword(s):  
Prediction Model ◽  
Ownership Structure ◽  
Financial Distress ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Receiver Operating Curve ◽  
Financial Measures ◽  
Financial Variables ◽  
Financial Distress Prediction ◽  
Distress Prediction

The study aimed to investigate the role of non-financial measures in predicting corporate financial distress in the Indian industrial sector. The proportion of independent directors on the board and the proportion of the promoters’ share in the ownership structure of the business were the non-financial measures that were analysed, along with ten financial measures. For this, sample data consisted of 82 companies that had filed for bankruptcy under the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code (IBC). An equal number of matching financially sound companies also constituted the sample. Therefore, the total sample size was 164 companies. Data for five years immediately preceding the bankruptcy filing was collected for the sample companies. The data of 120 companies evenly drawn from the two groups of companies were used for developing the model and the remaining data were used for validating the developed model. Two binary logistic regression models were developed, M1 and M2, where M1 was formulated with both financial and non-financial variables, and M2 only had financial variables as predictors. The diagnostic ability of the model was tested with the aid of the receiver operating curve (ROC), area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity and annual accuracy. The results of the study show that inclusion of the two non-financial variables improved the efficacy of the financial distress prediction model. This study made a unique attempt to provide empirical evidence on the role played by non-financial variables in improving the efficiency of corporate distress prediction models.

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