An efficient online sequential extreme learning machine model based on feature selection and parameter optimization using cuckoo search algorithm for multi-step wind speed forecasting

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rashmi P. Shetty ◽  
A. Sathyabhama ◽  
P. Srinivasa Pai
2018 ◽  
Vol 42 (1) ◽  
pp. 3-21 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sizhou Sun ◽  
Jingqi Fu ◽  
Feng Zhu ◽  
Dajun Du

Influenced by various environmental and meteorological factors, wind speed presents stochastic and unstable characteristics, which makes it difficult to forecast. To enhance the forecasting accuracy, this study contributes to short-term multi-step hybrid wind speed forecasting (WSF) models using wavelet packet decomposition (WPD), feature selection (FS) and an extreme learning machine (ELM) with parameter optimization. In the model, the WPD technique is applied to decompose the empirical wind speed data into different, relatively stable components to reduce the influence of the unstable characteristics of wind speed. A hybrid particle swarm optimization gravitational search algorithm (HPSOGSA) combining conventional PSOGSA with binary PSOGSA (BPSOGSA) is utilized to realize the FS and parameter optimization simultaneously. The PSOGSA is employed to tune the parameter combination of input weights and biases in ELM, while BPSOGSA is exploited to select the most suitable features from the candidate input variables determined by a partial autocorrelation function for reconstruction of the input matrix for ELM. The proposed forecasting strategy carries out multi-step short-term WSF using mean half-hour historical wind speed data collected from a wind farm situated in Anhui, China. To investigate the forecasting results of the hybrid model, a lot of comparisons and analyses are executed. Simulation results illustrate that the proposed WPD-ELM model with FS and parameter optimization can effectively catch the non-linear characteristics hidden in wind speed data and provide satisfactory WSF performance.


2018 ◽  
Vol 8 (10) ◽  
pp. 1754 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tongxiang Liu ◽  
Shenzhong Liu ◽  
Jiani Heng ◽  
Yuyang Gao

Wind speed forecasting plays a crucial role in improving the efficiency of wind farms, and increases the competitive advantage of wind power in the global electricity market. Many forecasting models have been proposed, aiming to enhance the forecast performance. However, some traditional models used in our experiment have the drawback of ignoring the importance of data preprocessing and the necessity of parameter optimization, which often results in poor forecasting performance. Therefore, in order to achieve a more satisfying performance in forecasting wind speed data, a new short-term wind speed forecasting method which consists of Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition (EEMD) for data preprocessing, and the Support Vector Machine (SVM)—whose key parameters are optimized by the Cuckoo Search Algorithm (CSO)—is developed in this paper. This method avoids the shortcomings of some traditional models and effectively enhances the forecasting ability. To test the prediction ability of the proposed model, 10 min wind speed data from wind farms in Shandong Province, China, are used for conducting experiments. The experimental results indicate that the proposed model cannot only improve the forecasting accuracy, but can also be an effective tool in assisting the management of wind power plants.


Author(s):  
Yibo Li ◽  
Chao Liu ◽  
Senyue Zhang ◽  
Wenan Tan ◽  
Yanyan Ding ◽  
...  

Conventional kernel support vector machine (KSVM) has the problem of slow training speed, and single kernel extreme learning machine (KELM) also has some performance limitations, for which this paper proposes a new combined KELM model that build by the polynomial kernel and reproducing kernel on Sobolev Hilbert space. This model combines the advantages of global and local kernel function and has fast training speed. At the same time, an efficient optimization algorithm called cuckoo search algorithm is adopted to avoid blindness and inaccuracy in parameter selection. Experiments were performed on bi-spiral benchmark dataset, Banana dataset, as well as a number of classification and regression datasets from the UCI benchmark repository illustrate the feasibility of the proposed model. It achieves the better robustness and generalization performance when compared to other conventional KELM and KSVM, which demonstrates its effectiveness and usefulness.


2020 ◽  
Vol 14 ◽  
pp. 174830262092250
Author(s):  
Yan Li ◽  
Yigang He ◽  
Wenxin Yu

The study of nonlinear chaotic systems and their control is an important topic. In this paper, a hybrid control strategy based on cuckoo search algorithm and extreme learning machine is proposed. Cuckoo search algorithm is used in a hybrid control strategy in order to optimise the weights and biases in extreme learning machine leading to the improvement of its performance. Simulations indicate that the proposed method is able to fit nonlinear chaotic systems and control chaotic systems effectively. Data used in the nonlinear chaotic system are also tested for uncertainty and unknown systems. Simulation results confirm that the proposed method shows robustness for noisy data and perturbed parameters.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
Qinwei Fan ◽  
Tongke Fan

Extreme learning machine (ELM), as a new simple feedforward neural network learning algorithm, has been extensively used in practical applications because of its good generalization performance and fast learning speed. However, the standard ELM requires more hidden nodes in the application due to the random assignment of hidden layer parameters, which in turn has disadvantages such as poorly hidden layer sparsity, low adjustment ability, and complex network structure. In this paper, we propose a hybrid ELM algorithm based on the bat and cuckoo search algorithm to optimize the input weight and threshold of the ELM algorithm. We test the numerical experimental performance of function approximation and classification problems under a few benchmark datasets; simulation results show that the proposed algorithm can obtain significantly better prediction accuracy compared to similar algorithms.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-13
Author(s):  
Jicheng Quan ◽  
Li Shang

Short-term wind speed forecasting is crucial to the utilization of wind energy, and it has been employed widely in turbine regulation, electricity market clearing, and preload sharing. However, the wind speed has inherent fluctuation, and accurate wind speed prediction is challenging. This paper aims to propose a hybrid forecasting approach of short-term wind speed based on a novel signal processing algorithm, a wrapper-based feature selection method, the state-of-art optimization algorithm, ensemble learning, and an efficient artificial neural network. Variational mode decomposition (VMD) is employed to decompose the original wind time-series into sublayer modes. The binary bat algorithm (BBA) is used to complete the feature selection. Bayesian optimization (BO) fine-tuned online sequential extreme learning machine (OSELM) is proposed to forecast the low-frequency sublayers of VMD. Bagging-based ensemble OSELM is proposed to forecast high-frequency sublayers of VMD. Two experiments were conducted on 10 min datasets from the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL). The performances of the proposed model were compared with various representative models. The experimental results indicate that the proposed model has better accuracy than the comparison models. Among the thirteen models, the proposed VMD-BBA-EnsOSELM model can obtain the best prediction accuracy, and the mean absolute percent error (MAPE) is always less than 0.09.


2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
pp. 523 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ping Yu ◽  
Jie Cao ◽  
Veeriah Jegatheesan ◽  
Xianjun Du

It is difficult to capture the real-time online measurement data for biochemical oxygen demand (BOD) in wastewater treatment processes. An optimized extreme learning machine (ELM) based on an improved cuckoo search algorithm (ICS) is proposed in this paper for the design of soft BOD measurement model. In ICS-ELM, the input weights matrices of the extreme learning machine and the threshold of the hidden layer are encoded as the cuckoo's nest locations. The best input weights matrices and threshold are obtained by using the strong global search ability of improved cuckoo search algorithm. The optimal results can be used to improve the precision of forecasting based on less number of neurons of the hidden layer in ELM. Simulation results show that the soft sensor model has good real-time performance, high prediction accuracy, and stronger generalization performance for BOD measurement of the effluent quality compared to other modeling methods such as back propagation (BP) network in most cases.


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