scholarly journals Model of erosion–landslide interaction in the context of the reservoir water level variations (East Siberia, Russia): Factors, environment and mechanisms

2013 ◽  
Vol 122 (6) ◽  
pp. 1515-1531 ◽  
Author(s):  
OKSANA MAZAEVA ◽  
VIKTORIA KHAK ◽  
ELENA KOZYREVA
2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Ruiz-Barajas ◽  
M. A. Santoyo ◽  
M. B. Benito Oterino ◽  
G. E. Alvarado ◽  
A. Climent

Author(s):  
Kalpna Gahalaut

ABSTRACT Impoundment of hydroelectric water reservoir influences the stability of nearby faults that may lead to reservoir-triggered seismicity (RTS). Various qualitative empirical relations, relating reservoir water-level variations with earthquake triggering and their frequency, have been deduced. With the goal to give a theoretical causation (in terms of time) to these empirical relations, a detailed theoretical analysis of the physical mechanism of RTS phenomenon, in terms of mechanical loading and changes in the pore-fluid boundary condition in the underlying rockmass, is undertaken. Three components, namely elastic stress, diffusion pore pressure, and stress-induced pore pressure, are simulated by considering a simple and schematic reservoir water-level time series using the Green’s function solution of poroelastic equations and frictional failure criterion. Various factors may influence the occurrence of RTS, but here definite role and nature of the poroelastic components in governing the empirical relations are simulated. The analysis suggests that (1) all the components contribute in RTS cases that are associated with higher reservoir water level, (2) diffusion pore pressure contributes mainly in RTS cases that are associated with longer duration of high reservoir water level, and (3) contribution of stress-induced pore pressure dominates in the RTS cases that are associated with rate of change of reservoir water level. Further, detailed simulations corroborate that the rapid type of earthquake triggering in RTS cases is mainly influenced by the immediate increase of stress and stress-induced pore pressure, whereas delayed type of triggering is mainly influenced by the diffusion pore pressure, and continuing type of triggering, inter alia, is influenced by the effect of dynamic changes in seasonal water cycle on the three components. The analyses lead us to conclude that the empirical relations are governed by the physical mechanism of RTS within the ambit of poroelastic theory.


Geofluids ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-14 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bing Han ◽  
Bin Tong ◽  
Jinkai Yan ◽  
Chunrong Yin ◽  
Liang Chen ◽  
...  

Reservoir landslide is a type of commonly seen geological hazards in reservoir area and could potentially cause significant risk to the routine operation of reservoir and hydropower station. It has been accepted that reservoir landslides are mainly induced by periodic variations of reservoir water level during the impoundment and drawdown process. In this study, to better understand the deformation characters and controlling factors of the reservoir landslide, a multiparameter-based monitoring program was conducted on a reservoir landslide—the Hongyanzi landslide located in Pubugou reservoir area in the southwest of China. The results indicated that significant deformation occurred to the landslide during the drawdown period; otherwise, the landslide remained stable. The major reason of reservoir landslide deformation is the generation of seepage water pressure caused by the rapidly growing water level difference inside and outside of the slope. The influences of precipitation and earthquake on the slope deformation of the Hongyanzi landslide were insignificant.


Water ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (15) ◽  
pp. 2011
Author(s):  
Pablo Páliz Larrea ◽  
Xavier Zapata Ríos ◽  
Lenin Campozano Parra

Despite the importance of dams for water distribution of various uses, adequate forecasting on a day-to-day scale is still in great need of intensive study worldwide. Machine learning models have had a wide application in water resource studies and have shown satisfactory results, including the time series forecasting of water levels and dam flows. In this study, neural network models (NN) and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference systems (ANFIS) models were generated to forecast the water level of the Salve Faccha reservoir, which supplies water to Quito, the Capital of Ecuador. For NN, a non-linear input–output net with a maximum delay of 13 days was used with variation in the number of nodes and hidden layers. For ANFIS, after up to four days of delay, the subtractive clustering algorithm was used with a hyperparameter variation from 0.5 to 0.8. The results indicate that precipitation was not influencing input in the prediction of the reservoir water level. The best neural network and ANFIS models showed high performance, with a r > 0.95, a Nash index > 0.95, and a RMSE < 0.1. The best the neural network model was t + 4, and the best ANFIS model was model t + 6.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 1381
Author(s):  
Xiuzhen Li ◽  
Shengwei Li

Forecasting the development of large-scale landslides is a contentious and complicated issue. In this study, we put forward the use of multi-factor support vector regression machines (SVRMs) for predicting the displacement rate of a large-scale landslide. The relative relationships between the main monitoring factors were analyzed based on the long-term monitoring data of the landslide and the grey correlation analysis theory. We found that the average correlation between landslide displacement and rainfall is 0.894, and the correlation between landslide displacement and reservoir water level is 0.338. Finally, based on an in-depth analysis of the basic characteristics, influencing factors, and development of landslides, three main factors (i.e., the displacement rate, reservoir water level, and rainfall) were selected to build single-factor, two-factor, and three-factor SVRM models. The key parameters of the models were determined using a grid-search method, and the models showed high accuracies. Moreover, the accuracy of the two-factor SVRM model (displacement rate and rainfall) is the highest with the smallest standard error (RMSE) of 0.00614; it is followed by the three-factor and single-factor SVRM models, the latter of which has the lowest prediction accuracy, with the largest RMSE of 0.01644.


2005 ◽  
Vol 56 (8) ◽  
pp. 1137 ◽  
Author(s):  
V. F. Matveev ◽  
L. K. Matveeva

In Lake Hume, a reservoir located in an active agricultural zone of the Murray River catchment, Australia, time series for the abundances of phytoplankton and zooplankton taxa, monitored from 1991 through to 1996, were stationary (without trends), and plankton taxonomic composition did not change. This indicated ecosystem resilience to strong fluctuations in reservoir water level, and to other potential agricultural impacts, for example eutrophication and pollution. Although biological stressors such as introduced fish and invertebrate predators are known to affect planktonic communities and reduce biodiversity in lakes, high densities of planktivorous stages of alien European perch (Perca fluviatilis) and the presence of carp (Cyprinus carpio) did not translate into non-stationary time series or declining trends for plankton in Lake Hume. However, the seasonal successions observed in the reservoir in different years did not conform well to the Plankton Ecology Group (PEG) model. Significant deviations of the Lake Hume successional pattern from the PEG model included maxima for phytoplankton abundance being in winter and the presence of a clear water phase without large zooplankton grazers. The instability of the water level in Lake Hume probably causes the dynamics of most planktonic populations to be less predictable, but did not initiate the declining trends that have been observed in some other Australian reservoirs. Both the PEG model and the present study suggest that hydrology is one of the major drivers of seasonal succession.


2011 ◽  
Vol 255-260 ◽  
pp. 3620-3625
Author(s):  
Hai Wei ◽  
Hua Shu Yang ◽  
Liang Wu ◽  
Yue Gui

There are many factors, such as climate, flood, material, geology, structure, management, to influence dam safety. So dam safety evaluation, involving many fields, is very complicated, and very difficult to establish mathematic model for assessment. Artificial Neural Network (ANN) has many obvious advantages to deal with these problems influenced by multi-factor, consequently is widely used in engineering fields. This paper considered water level, temperature, main factors influencing dam deformation, as random variables, employed ANN and statistical model to establish performance function of dam hidden trouble deformation and abnormal deformation. Then reliability theory was used to analyze dam safety reliability and sensitivity. The results show that temperature has great effect on probability of dam hidden trouble deformation and abnormal deformation than reservoir water level, due to great variability of temperature. Change of Reliability index of dam is contrary to reservoir water level. Temperature, especially average temperature in 10 days and 5 days, has great effect on sensitivity of reliability index than water level.


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