Demonstration of a global modeling methodology to determine the relative importance of local and long-distance sources

2007 ◽  
Vol 41 (4) ◽  
pp. 776-789 ◽  
Author(s):  
Roland R. Draxler
1990 ◽  
Vol 22 (03) ◽  
pp. 657-675 ◽  
Author(s):  
Keith W. Ross ◽  
Danny Tsang

We develop a performance modeling methodology for product-form circuit-switched networks. These networks allow for: arbitrary topology and link capacities; Poisson and finite population arrivals; multiple classes of calls, each class with a different route and bandwidth requirement; conference as well as point-to-point calls. The methodology is first applied to generalized tree networks, which consist of multiple access links feeding into a common link. Each access link may support multiple ‘long-distance' classes (requiring circuits only on the access link and on the common link) and multiple ‘local' classes (requiring circuits only on the access link). For generalized tree networks an efficient algorithm is given to determine the blocking probabilities. The methodology is then applied to hierarchical tree networks, where traffic is repeatedly merged in the direction of a root node. We also establish a ‘Norton' theorem for product-form circuit-switched networks. This theorem implies that for any given calling class, the entire network can be replaced by an Erlang loss system with a state-dependent arrival rate, without modifying the equilibrium probabilities for the particular calling class.


Author(s):  
Ewa Malchrowicz-Mośko ◽  
Zbigniew Waśkiewicz

The aim of this study was to investigate how family life and marital status influence the motivations of ultramarathoners. Two-hundred-sixty-seven Polish athletes participated in the diagnostic survey during the Karkonosze Winter Ultramarathon. The Polish version of the Motivation of Marathoner Scale was used. The motivations of ultra-runners were investigated among the following groups of respondents: people in a relationship/marriage; singles; people with children vs. childless people; people who run alone and with a partner; people who parted with a partner because of lack of support for running. Research results can be useful for sport managers–e.g., findings show the relative importance of modern sport for singles in the second half of life. Research has also shown how people in relationships and people with children can be realized through demanding long-distance running. We also found that running ultramarathons can pose a threat to a relationship.


2010 ◽  
Vol 38 (3) ◽  
pp. 281-293 ◽  
Author(s):  
David R. Dunaetz

Effective ways of conflict management must be found for missionaries when no trusted mediator in the region is available. Home office management or leaders in other regions can intervene through context rich media such as the telephone and video conferencing to provide help. Intervention through context poor media, such as email, is much less likely to succeed. Effective managerial intervention involving interaction with each party can lead to reframing the conflict into an opportunity to cooperate and find mutually beneficial solutions. The manager can present information, ask questions, and help the parties see that resolution is possible by addressing key issues such as the relative importance of the consequences, the potential win-win nature of the solution, each party's sense of victimization, and the certainty of continued interaction in the relationship.


Author(s):  
A. Katz ◽  
D. Zaidel ◽  
A. Elgrishi

A controlled experiment was conducted to determine the relative importance of pedestrian, vehicle, and situational factors in influencing drivers to give way to crossing pedestrians. The following variables were combined in a complete factorial design: (1) type of crossing; (2) distance between oncoming vehicle and pedestrian; (3) orientation of pedestrian; (4) number of pedestrians; and (5) approach velocity of vehicle. Trained pedestrians performed the start of an ordinary street crossing attempt and interacted with regular drivers whose response was measured in terms of changes in vehicle velocity. The experiment was replicated at two sites for a total of 960 crossing trials. The results show that drivers slowed down, or stopped more, for crossing pedestrians when: (1) the approach speed of the vehicle was low; (2) the crossing took place on a marked crosswalk; (3) there was a relatively long distance between the vehicle and the pedestrian's point of entry into the road; (4) a group of pedestrians, rather than an individual, attempted to cross; and, (5) the pedestrian did not look at the approaching vehicle. Additionally, female drivers and older drivers slowed down more than other drivers. Implications of the results for pedestrian safety, road design, and further research are discussed.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Robert Dunaetz

Effective ways of conflict management must be found for missionaries when no trusted mediator in the region is available. Home office management or leaders in other regions can intervene through context rich media, such as the telephone and video conferencing, to provide help. Intervention through context poor media, such as email, is much less likely to succeed. Effective managerial intervention involving interaction with each party can lead to reframing the conflict into an opportunity to cooperate and find mutually beneficial solutions. The manager can present information, ask questions, and help the parties see that resolution is possible by addressing key issues such as the relative importance of the consequences, the potential win-win nature of the solution, each party’s sense of victimization, and the certainty of continued interaction in the relationship.


2001 ◽  
Vol 49 (3) ◽  
pp. 357 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mike S. Pole

New Zealand is generally thought to have been physically isolated from the rest of the world for over 60 million years. But physical isolation may not mean biotic isolation, at least on the time scale of millions of years. Are New Zealand’s present complement of plants the direct descendants of what originally rafted from Gondwana? Or has there been total extinction of this initial flora with replacement through long-distance dispersal (a complete biotic turnover)? These are two possible extremes which have come under recent discussion. Can the fossil record be used to decide the relative importance of the two endpoints, or is it simply too incomplete and too dependent on factors of chance? This paper suggests two approaches to the problem—the use of statistics to apply levels of confidence to first appearances in the fossil record and the analysis of trends based on the entire palynorecord. Statistics can suggest that the first appearance of a taxon was after New Zealand broke away from Gondwana—as long as the first appearance in the record was not due to an increase in biomass from an initially rare state. Two observations can be drawn from the overall palynorecord that are independent of changes in biomass: (1) The first appearance of palynotaxa common to both Australia and New Zealand is decidedly non-random. Most taxa occur first in Australia. This suggests a bias in air or water transport from west to east. (2) The percentage of endemic palynospecies in New Zealand shows no simple correlation with the time New Zealand drifted into isolation. The conifer macrorecord also hints at complete turnover since the Cretaceous.


2014 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 464-472 ◽  
Author(s):  
David L. Gorchov ◽  
Steven M. Castellano ◽  
Douglas A. Noe

AbstractTo investigate the relative importance of long-distance dispersal vs. diffusion in the invasion of a nonnative plant, we used age structure to infer the contribution to recruitment of external propagule rain vs. within-population reproduction. We quantified the age structure of 14 populations of Amur honeysuckle in a landscape where it recently invaded, in Darke County, OH. We sampled the largest honeysuckle individuals in each population (woodlots), and aged these by counting annual rings in stem cross sections. Individuals in the oldest four 1-yr age classes are assumed to be from external recruitment, given the minimum age at which shrubs reproduce. We used these recruitment rates to model external recruitment over the next 5 yr and used observed age structures to estimate total recruitment. We used the difference between total and external recruitment to infer the rate of internal recruitment. Our findings indicate that recruitment from within the population is of about the same magnitude as immigration in the fifth to seventh year after population establishment, but by years 8 to 9 internal recruitment dominates. At the landscape scale, the temporal-spatial pattern of population establishment supports a stratified dispersal model, with the earliest populations establishing in widely spaced woodlots, about 4 km from existing populations, and these serving as “nascent foci” for diffusion to nearby woodlots. Understanding the relative importance of long-distance dispersal vs. diffusion will inform management, e.g., whether it is more effective to scout for isolated shrubs or remove reproducing shrubs at the edge of invaded areas.


2013 ◽  
Vol 91 (1) ◽  
pp. 41-45 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chad L. Seewagen

I examined the relationship between total mercury (THg) and plasma triglyceride (TRIG; an indicator of body mass change) levels in the blood of migrating Northern Waterthrushes (Parkesia noveboracensis (Gmelin, 1789)) to test the hypothesis that mercury has a negative influence on the stopover refueling rates of migratory birds. THg levels averaged 0.42 ppm and ranged 0.09–2.08 ppm. Model selection indicated that THg was not important for explaining variation in TRIG relative to capture time, body mass, and year. Summed model weights also indicated that THg had low relative importance. Capture time appeared alone in the global best model and had the greatest relative importance. Subsets of birds in the 25th and 75th percentiles of THg level did not have different levels of TRIG. THg in most birds was higher than mean blood levels reported for several other long-distance migrants from the same geographic region, but below the lowest blood level recently determined to cause adverse effects (reduced reproductive success) in a passerine (0.7 ppm). Blood THg levels in this study did not seem to affect foraging efficiency or other attributes of Northern Waterthrushes enough to reduce their stopover refueling rate. Research is needed to identify mercury effect levels for neurological, physiological, and behavioral changes that would impair the migration performance of passerine birds.


1990 ◽  
Vol 22 (3) ◽  
pp. 657-675 ◽  
Author(s):  
Keith W. Ross ◽  
Danny Tsang

We develop a performance modeling methodology for product-form circuit-switched networks. These networks allow for: arbitrary topology and link capacities; Poisson and finite population arrivals; multiple classes of calls, each class with a different route and bandwidth requirement; conference as well as point-to-point calls. The methodology is first applied to generalized tree networks, which consist of multiple access links feeding into a common link. Each access link may support multiple ‘long-distance' classes (requiring circuits only on the access link and on the common link) and multiple ‘local' classes (requiring circuits only on the access link). For generalized tree networks an efficient algorithm is given to determine the blocking probabilities. The methodology is then applied to hierarchical tree networks, where traffic is repeatedly merged in the direction of a root node.We also establish a ‘Norton' theorem for product-form circuit-switched networks. This theorem implies that for any given calling class, the entire network can be replaced by an Erlang loss system with a state-dependent arrival rate, without modifying the equilibrium probabilities for the particular calling class.


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