scholarly journals A novel approach for analyzing data on recurrent events with duration to estimate the combined cumulative rate of both variables over time

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 ◽  
pp. 50-56
Author(s):  
Sudipta Bhattacharya
2020 ◽  
Vol 42 (1) ◽  
pp. 37-103
Author(s):  
Hardik A. Marfatia

In this paper, I undertake a novel approach to uncover the forecasting interconnections in the international housing markets. Using a dynamic model averaging framework that allows both the coefficients and the entire forecasting model to dynamically change over time, I uncover the intertwined forecasting relationships in 23 leading international housing markets. The evidence suggests significant forecasting interconnections in these markets. However, no country holds a constant forecasting advantage, including the United States and the United Kingdom, although the U.S. housing market's predictive power has increased over time. Evidence also suggests that allowing the forecasting model to change is more important than allowing the coefficients to change over time.


2011 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 61-66 ◽  
Author(s):  
Byung-Cheol Kim ◽  
Seungwoo Oh ◽  
Kwangyun Wohn

We present a novel approach to woven-cloth simu-lation in order to generate persistent wrinkles and folds. For a couple of decades, our community has identified and mimicked non-linear buckling of cloth based on the mechanical measure-ment of cloth. It has, however, scarcely paid attention to another important aspect of the measurement, the hysteresis of cloth be-haviors, which is the lag of the amount of forces between stress and relaxation. Our interpretation of the measurement indicates that persistent wrinkles and folds develop in part from the hyste-resis of cloth and its associated energy loss. Thus, we establish an adaptive energy model which takes stiffness coefficients and rest posture values not as constants but as variables over time and behavior. As stiffness coefficients and rest posture values change in proportion to the amount of the energy loss, they appear as persistent wrinkles and folds. Consequently, the clothes simulated by our method bring more realism with respect to visual identi-fication for past behaviors of cloth.


2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 34
Author(s):  
Luigi Barazzetti ◽  
Mattia Previtali ◽  
Marco Scaioni

The identification of deterioration mechanisms and their monitoring over time is an essential phase for conservation. This work aimed at developing a novel approach for deterioration mapping and monitoring based on 360° images, which allows for simple and rapid data collection. The opportunity to capture the whole scene around a 360° camera reduces the number of images needed in a condition mapping project, resulting in a powerful solution to document small and narrow spaces. The paper will describe the implemented workflow for deterioration mapping based on 360° images, which highlights pathologies on surfaces and quantitatively measures their extension. Such a result will be available as standard outputs as well as an innovative virtual environment for immersive visualization. The case of multi-temporal data acquisition will be considered and discussed as well. Multiple 360° images acquired at different epochs from slightly different points are co-registered to obtain pixel-to-pixel correspondence, providing a solution to quantify and track deterioration effects.


2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (23) ◽  
pp. 3974
Author(s):  
Marino Mangeruga ◽  
Alessandro Casavola ◽  
Francesco Pupo ◽  
Fabio Bruno

In scientific and technical diving, the survey of unknown or partially unexplored areas is a common task that requires an accurate planning for ensuring the optimal use of resources and the divers’ safety. In particular, in any kind of diving activity, it is essential to foresee the “dive profile” that represents the diver’s exposure to pressure over time, ensuring that the dive plan complies with the specific safety rules that have to be applied in accordance with the diver’s qualification and the environmental conditions. This paper presents a novel approach to dive planning based on an original underwater pathfinding algorithm that computes the best 3D path to follow during the dive in order to be able to maximise the number of points of interest (POIs) visited, while taking into account the safety limitations. The proposed approach, for the first time, considers the morphology of the 3D space in which the dive takes place to compute the best path, taking into account the decompression limits and avoiding the obstacles through the analysis of a 3D map of the site. Moreover, three different cost functions are proposed and evaluated to identify the one that could suit the divers’ needs better.


2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (9) ◽  
pp. 1449
Author(s):  
Steven Gayder ◽  
Michael Parcey ◽  
Darlene Nesbitt ◽  
Alan J. Castle ◽  
Antonet M. Svircev

Bacteriophages are viruses capable of recognizing with high specificity, propagating inside of, and destroying their bacterial hosts. The phage lytic life cycle makes phages attractive as tools to selectively kill pathogenic bacteria with minimal impact on the surrounding microbiome. To effectively harness the potential of phages in therapy, it is critical to understand the phage–host dynamics and how these interactions can change in complex populations. Our model examined the interactions between the plant pathogen Erwinia amylovora, the antagonistic epiphyte Pantoea agglomerans, and the bacteriophages that infect and kill both species. P. agglomerans strains are used as a phage carrier; their role is to deliver and propagate the bacteriophages on the plant surface prior to the arrival of the pathogen. Using liquid cultures, the populations of the pathogen, carrier, and phages were tracked over time with quantitative real-time PCR. The jumbo Myoviridae phage ϕEa35-70 synergized with both the Myoviridae ϕEa21-4 and Podoviridae ϕEa46-1-A1 and was most effective in combination at reducing E. amylovora growth over 24 h. Phage ϕEa35-70, however, also reduced the growth of P. agglomerans. Phage cocktails of ϕEa21-4, ϕEa46-1-A1, and ϕEa35-70 at multiplicities of infections (MOIs) of 10, 1, and 0.01, respectively, no longer inhibited growth of P. agglomerans. When this cocktail was grown with P. agglomerans for 8 h prior to pathogen introduction, pathogen growth was reduced by over four log units over 24 h. These findings present a novel approach to study complex phage–host dynamics that can be exploited to create more effective phage-based therapies.


2015 ◽  
Vol 29 (9) ◽  
pp. 795-807 ◽  
Author(s):  
Susanne Winiwarter ◽  
Brian Middleton ◽  
Barry Jones ◽  
Paul Courtney ◽  
Bo Lindmark ◽  
...  

Author(s):  
Houda Zaim ◽  
Adil Haddi ◽  
Mohammed Ramdani

<p>In this paper, we present an approach for mining change in customer’s behavior for the purpose of maintaining robust profiling model over time. Most of previous studies leave important questions unanswered: In developing B2C e-commerce strategies, how do managers implicitly load customer’s profiles based on their satisfaction over the online store characteristics? And: What kind of feedback segments do they have? Our proposed approach does not force customers to explicitly express their preference information over the online service but rather capture their preference from their online activities. The challenge does not only lay in analyzing how customer’s classifier model change and when it does so but also to adapt it to the customer’s click stream data using a new decision tree generation algorithm which takes as inputs new set of variables; categorical, continuous and fuzzy variables. Customer’s online reviews rates are considered as classes. Experiments show that this work performed well in identifying relevant customer’s stream data to judge the chinese e-commerce website “Tmall”. The extracted values of the website’s features are also useful to identifying the satisfaction level when the customer’s rate is not available.</p><p> </p>


2020 ◽  
pp. 112067212094628
Author(s):  
Aditi Mehta ◽  
Umang Thakur ◽  
Manu Saini ◽  
Sushant Adiga ◽  
Sartaj Singh Grewal ◽  
...  

Purpose: Complex upper eyelid lacerations can present to the emergency department after a myriad of trauma. The goal of the surgical repair is anatomical and functional recovery along with symmetrical cosmesis. Despite meticulous surgery, post traumatic blepharoptosis may develop. We describe an additional step during upper eyelid laceration repair to help mitigate the development of traumatic blepharoptosis. Methods: Patients with traumatic eyelid laceration without head injury, globe injury or associated orbital fractures, who were planned for a primary upper eyelid repair were included. Intraoperatively, wound margins and tissues were identified to establish anatomical continuity. After the LPS muscle was reinserted onto the tarsus, a single, central suture LPS plication – the “ central levator tuck” was performed. This helped in improving the muscle action as well as strengthening its reattachment onto tarsus. Results: Four cases underwent laceration repair with this modified technique. The nature of eyelid injury, surgical technique, and the outcome at 6 months is described. Three patients had a successful outcome, whereas one patient developed early scarring which reduced with scar therapy over time. Conclusion: We describe a simple and effective “central levator tuck” technique for traumatic eyelid laceration repair with optimal functional and cosmetic outcome while reducing the development of blepharoptosis in four patients.


2019 ◽  
Vol 26 (2) ◽  
pp. 630-654
Author(s):  
Ben Clegg

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to improve the efficacy of professional support services and teaching processes within a leading UK university so that they align better to changing academic requirements and external market forces, using a novel systems thinking methodology. A case study is given from a school in a leading UK university. Design/methodology/approach The case uses a novel process modelling methodology known as the process-orientated holonic modelling methodology. Abducted rationalisation is used to reflect upon the 4V’s theoretical concept of operational characteristics (volume, variety, variation over time and visibility). The paper also briefly describes the unique systems thinking principles behind the methodology and its use of abductive rationalisation. Findings The methodology and models show that it is advantageous to simultaneously review strategic processes and operational processes because this enables roles, processes and tasks to be more purposefully redefined and more closely meet endogenous organisational requirements and exogenous market forces. Originality/value This work will interest organisational analysts wishing to use a novel approach to improve strategy and operational processes in higher education and universities. The practical implications of the study are discussed using the 4V’s theoretical concept: volume of throughput, variety of offerings, variation over time and visibility of processes to students. The international context and implications are outlined.


2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael E. W. Varnum ◽  
Jaimie Arona Krems ◽  
Colin Morris ◽  
Igor Grossmann

***DRAFT VERSION, 3/2019. THIS PAPER HAS NOT BEEN PEER REVIEWED. PLEASE DO NOT DISTRIBUTE OR CITE WITHOUT PERMISSION***How has the complexity of cultural products changed over time and what is responsible for these changes? A cultural compression hypothesis (CCH) suggests that changes in simplicity (vs. complexity) of cultural products is associated with shifts in the volume of cultural products, with greater within-domain volume of products facilitating evolution within the domain toward simpler products. To test this hypothesis, we introduce a novel approach to assessing lyrical complexity in popular music over a period of six decades. Consistent with the CCH, we show that the average lyrical compressibility of American popular music (an index of simplicity) has increased over time and that this rise is driven by increases in the amount of music produced annually (an indicator of the amount of cultural products people have to choose from). This relationship holds controlling for a number of potentially-related ecological changes and alternative explanations, and when accounting or correcting for temporal auto-correlation using a variety of methods (including correcting significance thresholds based on observed auto-correlation, partial correlation analysis controlling for year, and using auto.ARIMA to assess the contribution of amount of music produced to compressibility over and above autocorrelation in the two time series). Results of auto.ARIMA forecasts confirm the contribution of amount of music produced to success of more repetitive songs and suggest that the trend of increasing simplicity will continue over the next several decades. We discuss implications of the cultural compression hypothesis for understanding cultural evolution and social change.


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