CO2 emissions and economic activity: Short- and long-run economic determinants of scale, energy intensity and carbon intensity

Energy Policy ◽  
2013 ◽  
Vol 61 ◽  
pp. 1285-1294 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fredrik N.G. Andersson ◽  
Peter Karpestam
2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 101-114
Author(s):  
Vivid Amalia Khusna ◽  
Deni Kusumawardani

ASEAN is a region with high carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions, accompanied by an increase in population, gross domestic product (GDP) and energy consumption. Population, GDP, and energy consumption can be linked to CO2 emissions through an identity equation called the Rich Identity. This research is based on Kaya identity to describe CO2 emissions to calculate the impact of population, economic activity, energy intensity and carbon intensity on CO2 emissions in ASEAN and 8 ASEAN countries (i.e., Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand, Philippines, Vietnam, Myanmar and Brunei Darussalam) from 1990 to 2017. The method used is the Logarithmic Mean Division Index (LMDI). The data used are from the International Energy Agency (IEA) and the World Bank. Four effects measured and main findings showed that population, economic activity and carbon intensity factor increased by 293.02 MtCO2, 790.0 MtCO2, and 195.51 MtCO2, respectively. Meanwhile, energy intensity effect made ASEAN's CO2 emissions decrease by 283.13 MtCO2. Regarding contributions to the increase in CO2 emissions in all ASEAN countries, the population effect increases CO2 emissions in all countries in ASEAN and the economic activity effect is also the same, except in Brunei Darussalam which makes CO2 emissions in this country decreased by 1.07 MtCO2. Meanwhile, the effects of energy and carbon intensity are different. The effect of energy intensity causes CO2 emissions in lower-middle income countries to decrease, while in upper-middle and high-income countries, it increases carbon emissions. In contrast to the effect of carbon intensity, that actually makes CO2 emissions increase in lower-middle income countries and reduces carbon emissions in upper-middle and high-income countries.


2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (9) ◽  
pp. 3867 ◽  
Author(s):  
Perry Sadorsky

The 2008–2009 financial crisis, often referred to as the Great Recession, presented one of the greatest challenges to economies since the Great Depression of the 1930s. Before the financial crisis, and in response to the Kyoto Protocol, many countries were making great strides in increasing energy efficiency, reducing carbon dioxide (CO2) emission intensity and reducing their emissions of CO2. During the financial crisis, CO2 emissions declined in response to a decrease in economic activity. The focus of this research is to study how energy related CO2 emissions and their driving factors after the financial crisis compare to the period before the financial crisis. The logarithmic mean Divisia index (LMDI) method is used to decompose changes in country level CO2 emissions into contributing factors representing carbon intensity, energy intensity, economic activity, and population. The analysis is conducted for a group of 19 major countries (G19) which form the core of the G20. For the G19, as a group, the increase in CO2 emissions post-financial crisis was less than the increase in CO2 emissions pre-financial crisis. China is the only BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa) country to record changes in CO2 emissions, carbon intensity and energy intensity in the post-financial crisis period that were lower than their respective values in the pre-financial crisis period. Compared to the pre-financial crisis period, Germany, France, and Italy also recorded lower CO2 emissions, carbon intensity and energy intensity in the post-financial crisis period. Germany and Great Britain are the only two countries to record negative changes in CO2 emissions over both periods. Continued improvements in reducing CO2 emissions, carbon intensity and energy intensity are hard to come by, as only four out of nineteen countries were able to achieve this. Most countries are experiencing weak decoupling between CO2 emissions and GDP. Germany and France are the two countries that stand out as leaders among the G19.


Author(s):  
Hasan Rüstemoğlu ◽  
Sevin Uğural

There exists an important awareness for reduction of CO2 emissions to obtain a sustainable world. Together with this, there is a great deal of interest for decomposition analysis to see the accelerating and decelerating factors of CO2 emissions. The aim of this project is to decompose CO2 emissions in economic sectors for the two superpowers of Middle East, Iran and Turkey, over the time period between 1990 and 2010, for Turkey obtained a rapid growth performance in recent years and Iran which is the energy superpower of the world. Refined Laspeyres Index decomposition method and a consistent data gathered from the World Bank’s and UN’s databases have been used during the analysis. Five main sectors (agriculture, manufacturing, transportation, construction and other service sectors) and four main impacts (scale effect, composition effect, energy intensity effect and carbon intensity effect) have been considered to see the increasing and decreasing factors of CO2 emissions. Various interesting results are observed for both of the countries, for each of the economic sectors. Generally scale effect and energy intensity effect are the dominant impacts for all sectors of both countries. However composition effect and carbon intensity effect are also important contributors for economic activities of these two countries. Overall, our analysis showed that these two countries should pay attention for energy intensity and sustainable economic growth.


Author(s):  
Abdulkadir BEKTAŞ

In this study, CO2 emissions of the Turkish economy are decomposed for the 1998–2017 period for four sectors; agriculture, forestry and fishery, manufacturing industries and construction, public electricity and heat production, transport, and residential. The analyses are conducted for five fuel types; liquid, solid, gaseous fuels, biomass, and other fuels. In decomposition analysis, Log Mean Divisia Index (LMDI) method is used. The analysis results point out that energy intensity is one of the determining factors behind the change in CO2 emissions, aside from economic activity. The fuel mix component, especially for the manufacturing industries and construction sector, lowers CO2 emissions during the crisis periods when the economic activity declines. Mainly, it is found that changes in total industrial activity and energy intensity are the primary factors determining the changes in CO2 emissions during the study period. Among GDP sectors, manufacturing industries and construction and public electricity and heat production are the two sectors that dominate the change in CO2 emissions. Additionally, the residential and transport sectors’ contributions have gained importance during recent years. Among the manufacturing industries and construction, the non-metallic minerals sector contributes to CO2 emissions, followed by the chemicals sector.


2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (17) ◽  
pp. 6924
Author(s):  
Wankeun Oh ◽  
Jonghyun Yoo

Korea is one of the fastest-growing CO2-emitting countries but has recently experienced a dramatic slowdown in emissions. The objective of the study is to examine the driving factors of long-term increases (1990–2015) and their slowdown (2012–2015) in emissions of Korea. This study uses an extended index decomposition analysis model that better fits Korea’s emission trends of the last 25 years by encompassing 19 energy end-use sectors (18 economic sectors and a household sector) and three energy types. The results show that emission increases in the long term (1990–2015) come from economic growth and population growth. However, improvements in energy intensity, carbon intensity, and economic structure offset large portions of CO2 emissions. The recent slowdown (2012–2015) mainly resulted from a decline in energy intensity and carbon intensity in the economic sectors. Among the different energy types, electricity has played a significant role in decreasing emissions because industries have reduced the consumption of electricity per output and the source of electricity generation has shifted to cleaner energies. These results imply that the Korean government should support strategies that reduce energy intensity and carbon intensity in the future to reduce CO2 emissions and maintain sustainable development.


2015 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
pp. 47-74 ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhammad SHAHBAZ ◽  
Farooq Ahmed JAM ◽  
Sadia BIBI ◽  
Nanthakumar LOGANATHAN

The present study aims to investigate the relationship between economic growth, energy intensity and CO2 emissions by incorporating financial development in CO2 emissions function using Portuguese annual data over the period of 1971–2011. The unit root problem of variables is examined by applying Zivot-Andrews unit root test and the ARDL bounds testing approach is for long run relationship. The direction of causal relationship between the series is examined by the VECM Granger causality approach and robustness of causality analysis is tested by innovative accounting approach (IAA). Our empirical evidence confirmed that the variables are cointegrated for long run relationship. The results exposed that economic growth and energy intensity increase CO2 emissions, while financial development condenses it. The VECM Granger causality analysis showed the feedback effect between energy intensity and CO2 emissions, while economic growth and financial development Granger cause CO2 emissions. The study suggests that environment degradation can be controlled by using energy efficient technologies. Financial development can also play its role in improving the environmental quality by encouraging investment in energy efficient technology to enhance domestic production and save the environment from degradation.


Author(s):  
Hasan Rüstemoğlu ◽  
Sevin Uğural

Increasing amount of CO2 emissions and global warming is one of the hottest topics of world’s agenda. At the same time there exists a public awareness about this important chapter. A lot of researcher proved that in order to live in a sustainable world, necessary regulations should be done and CO2 emissions should be reduced immediately. For this study our aim is to decompose the CO2 emissions of the world’s new super powers, China and India, over 1980-2010. In order to see the accelerating and decelerating factors for CO2 emissions, the Refined Laspeyres Index used as a method. Consistent data gathered from the official web sites of the World Bank and United Nations. Five main sectors, agriculture, manufacturing, construction, transportation and other services are used. Four different impacts, scale effect, composition effect, energy intensity effect and carbon intensity effect have been discussed to see the increasing or decreasing factors of CO2 emissions. The results were interesting. The dominant impacts were the scale effect and energy intensity effect. The minor impacts were composition effect and carbon intensity effect. Fuel switching, efficient energy use and increasing usage of renewable resources are efficient tools to reduce the emissions.


Author(s):  
Abdulkadir BEKTAŞ

In recent decades, greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions have been a critical priority of global environmental policy. The leading cause of the increase in GHG triggering global warming in the atmosphere is the continuously growing demand for universal energy due to population and economic growth. Energy efficiency and reduction of CO2 emissions in highly-energy consuming sectors of Turkey are critical in deciding a low-carbon transition. In this study, the change of energy-related CO2 emissions in Turkey’s energy-intensive four sectors from 1998 to 2017 is analyzed based on the Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index (LMDI) method. It is used to decompose CO2 equivalent emissions changes in these sectors into five driving forces; changes in economic activity, activity mix, energy intensity, energy mix, and emission factors. Analytical results indicate that economic activity is a vital decisive factor in determining the change in CO2 emissions as well as sectoral energy intensity. The activity effect has raised CO2 emissions, while energy intensity has decreased. This method indicates that the impact of the energy intensity could be the first key determinant of GHG emissions. Turkey's efforts to be taken in these sectors in adopting low carbon growth policies and reducing energy-related emissions to tackle climate change are clarified in detail.


Energies ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 407 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kamalova Mariyakhan ◽  
Elyas Abdulahi Mohamued ◽  
Muhammad Asif Khan ◽  
József Popp ◽  
Judit Oláh

Interest in the rapid growth of CO2 emissions, together with the economic performance of various countries continues to attract researchers and practitioners’ interest. Alongside, concerns regarding global warming and its effects on human and animal health, and thus sustainable development, escalate. The present study employs the nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag to identify short- and long-run dynamics and the asymmetric nexus between absorptive capacity, and CO2 emissions intensity from 1970 to 2018 in the case of the USA and China. In the short-run, an increase in technology transfer based on human resources increases CO2 emissions in China. Contrarily, the decrease in technology transfer based on infrastructure has an emissions-decreasing effect in China. In the long-run, the effects of an increase in absorptive capacity based on innovation and infrastructure developments provide positive and significant impetus to mitigate the carbon intensity in China and the USA. The results are robust using GHG intensity. Thus, policymakers and researchers have to consider the pivotal role of absorptive capacity in facilitating sustainable development.


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