scholarly journals Effects of climate change and episodic heat events on cyanobacteria in a eutrophic polymictic lake

2019 ◽  
Vol 693 ◽  
pp. 133414 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maciej Bartosiewicz ◽  
Anna Przytulska ◽  
Bethany N. Deshpande ◽  
Dermot Antoniades ◽  
Alicia Cortes ◽  
...  
Author(s):  
Andrew E. McKechnie

The direct impacts of higher temperatures on birds are manifested over timescales ranging from minutes and hours to years and decades. Over short timescales, acute exposure to high temperatures can lead to hyperthermia or dehydration, which among arid-zone species occasionally causes catastrophic mortality events. Over intermediate timescales of days to weeks, high temperatures can have chronic sub-lethal effects via body mass loss or reduced nestling growth rates, negatively affecting sev eral fitness components. Long-term effects of warming manifested over years to decades involve declining body mass or changes in appendage size. Key directions for future research include elucidating the role of phenotypic plasticity and epigenetic processes in avian adaptation to climate change, examining the role of stress pathways in mediating responses to heat events, and understanding the consequences of higher temperatures for species that traverse hot regions while migrating.


2018 ◽  
Vol 43 (4) ◽  
pp. 506-512 ◽  
Author(s):  
Timothy L. Sutton ◽  
Jane L. DeGabriel ◽  
Markus Riegler ◽  
James M. Cook

2014 ◽  
Vol 29 (1-2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Tania Busch Isaksen ◽  
Michael Yost ◽  
Elizabeth Hom ◽  
Richard Fenske

2019 ◽  
Vol 131 (1) ◽  
pp. 53 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lynette Bettio ◽  
John R. Nairn ◽  
Steven C. McGibbony ◽  
Pandora Hope ◽  
Andrew Tupper ◽  
...  

The Australian Bureau of Meteorology monitors, researches, predicts and communicates Australia’s weather and climate. Australia’s mean temperature has risen by over 1°C since 1910, leading to an increase in the frequency of extreme heat events. Extreme heat can profoundly impact human health, infrastructure and the environment. Research conducted at the Bureau and elsewhere shows that climate change is impacting the intensity and frequency of extreme heat events. One way that the Bureau has responded to this challenge is by providing a forecast service specifically targeted at identifying heatwaves. The heatwave service identifies areas expected to be impacted by three or more consecutive days of unusually high maximum and minimum temperatures on a national map. The service has been developed with clear impact-based categories of heatwave severity. This heatwave service is now available operationally on the Bureau’s website during the heatwave season (nominally November to March) and is proving a valuable tool for engaging the community, including emergency services, with forecasts and warnings of extreme heat.


2010 ◽  
Vol 102 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 159-186 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Elizabeth Jackson ◽  
Michael G. Yost ◽  
Catherine Karr ◽  
Cole Fitzpatrick ◽  
Brian K. Lamb ◽  
...  

2011 ◽  
Vol 50 (11) ◽  
pp. 2247-2266 ◽  
Author(s):  
Radley M. Horton ◽  
Vivien Gornitz ◽  
Daniel A. Bader ◽  
Alex C. Ruane ◽  
Richard Goldberg ◽  
...  

AbstractThis paper describes a time-sensitive approach to climate change projections that was developed as part of New York City’s climate change adaptation process and that has provided decision support to stakeholders from 40 agencies, regional planning associations, and private companies. The approach optimizes production of projections given constraints faced by decision makers as they incorporate climate change into long-term planning and policy. New York City stakeholders, who are well versed in risk management, helped to preselect the climate variables most likely to impact urban infrastructure and requested a projection range rather than a single “most likely” outcome. The climate projections approach is transferable to other regions and is consistent with broader efforts to provide climate services, including impact, vulnerability, and adaptation information. The approach uses 16 GCMs and three emissions scenarios to calculate monthly change factors based on 30-yr average future time slices relative to a 30-yr model baseline. Projecting these model mean changes onto observed station data for New York City yields dramatic changes in the frequency of extreme events such as coastal flooding and dangerous heat events. On the basis of these methods, the current 1-in-10-year coastal flood is projected to occur more than once every 3 years by the end of the century and heat events are projected to approximately triple in frequency. These frequency changes are of sufficient magnitude to merit consideration in long-term adaptation planning, even though the precise changes in extreme-event frequency are highly uncertain.


2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Heidelinde Trimmel ◽  
Philipp Weihs ◽  
David Leidinger ◽  
Herbert Formayer ◽  
Gerda Kalny

Abstract. The influence of expected changes in heat wave intensity during the 21st century on the temperatures of an pre-alpine river are simulated and the mitigating effects of riparian vegetation shade on the radiant and turbulent energy fluxes analysed. Minor stream water temperature increases are modelled within the first half of the century, but a more significant increase is predicted for the period 2071–2100. The magnitude of maximum, mean and minimum stream temperature rises for a 20 year return period heat event was estimated to be in the region of 3 °C. Additional riparian vegetation is not able to fully mitigate the expected temperature rise caused by climate change, but can reduce maximum, mean and minimum stream temperatures by 1 to 2° C. Removal of existing vegetation amplifies stream temperature increases. Maximum stream temperatures could increase by more than 4 °C even in yearly heat events.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mavra Qamar ◽  
Sierra Cheng ◽  
Rebecca Plouffe ◽  
Stephanie Nanos ◽  
David N Fisman ◽  
...  

Abstract BackgroundSuicide prevention is a salient public health responsibility, as it is one of the top ten leading causes of premature mortality in the United States. Risk factors of suicide transcend the individual and societal level as risk can increase based on climatic variables. Previous studies have been country-based. Currently, studies focused solely on regions, provinces, or states, such as California, are limited. The present study holds two purposes: i) to assess the effect of maximum temperature on suicides, and ii) to evaluate the effect of number of monthly heat events on suicide rates, in California from 2008-2017.MethodsThe exposure was measured as the average Californian daily maximum temperature within each month, and the number of monthly heat events, which was calculated as a count of the days exhibiting a >15% increase from the historical monthly temperature. The outcome was measured as California’s monthly suicide rate. Negative binomial regression models assessed the relationship between maximum temperature and suicides, and heat events and suicide. A seasonal decomposition of a time series and auto-correlogram further analyzed the seasonality of suicide and the trend from 2008-2017. ResultsThere were 40,315 deaths by suicide in California between 2008-2017. Negative binomial regression indicated a 6.1% increase in suicide incidence rate ratio (IRR) per 10°F increase in maximum temperature (IRR=1.00590 per 1°F, 95% CI: 1.00387, 1.00793, p<0.0001) and a positive, non-significant association between suicide rates and number of heat events adjusted for month of occurrence (IRR 1.00148 per heat event, 95% CI: 0.99636, 1.00661, p=0.572). The time series analysis and auto-correlogram suggested seasonality of deaths by suicide.ConclusionThe present study provided preliminary evidence that will generate future directions for research. We must seek to further illuminate the relationship of interest and apply our findings to public health interventions that will lower the rates of death by suicide as we are confronted with the effects of climate change.


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