Sources of the Intermodel Spread in Projected Global Monsoon Hydrological Sensitivity

2020 ◽  
Vol 47 (18) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jian Cao ◽  
Bo Wang ◽  
Bin Wang ◽  
Haikun Zhao ◽  
Chao Wang ◽  
...  
The Holocene ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. 095968362110190
Author(s):  
Tsai-Wen Lin ◽  
Stefanie Kaboth-Bahr ◽  
Kweku Afrifa Yamoah ◽  
André Bahr ◽  
George Burr ◽  
...  

The East Asian Winter Monsoon (EAWM) is a fundamental part of the global monsoon system that affects nearly one-quarter of the world’s population. Robust paleoclimate reconstructions in East Asia are complicated by multiple sources of precipitation. These sources, such as the EAWM and typhoons, need to be disentangled in order to understand the dominant source of precipitation influencing the past and current climate. Taiwan, situated within the subtropical East Asian monsoon system, provides a unique opportunity to study monsoon and typhoon variability through time. Here we combine sediment trap data with down-core records from Cueifong Lake in northeastern Taiwan to reconstruct monsoonal rainfall fluctuations over the past 3000 years. The monthly collected grain-size data indicate that a decrease in sediment grain size reflects the strength of the EAWM. End member modelling analysis (EMMA) on sediment core and trap data reveals two dominant grain-size end-members (EMs), with the coarse EM 2 representing a robust indicator of EAWM strength. The downcore variations of EM 2 show a gradual decrease over the past 3000 years indicating a gradual strengthening of the EAWM, in agreement with other published EAWM records. This enhanced late-Holocene EAWM can be linked to the expansion of sea-ice cover in the western Arctic Ocean caused by decreased summer insolation.


2017 ◽  
Vol 174 ◽  
pp. 84-121 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pin Xian Wang ◽  
Bin Wang ◽  
Hai Cheng ◽  
John Fasullo ◽  
ZhengTang Guo ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Arindam Chakraborty ◽  
Chetankumar Jalihal ◽  
Jayaraman Srinivasan

<p>Monsoons were traditionally considered to be land-based systems. Recent definitions of monsoons based on either the seasonal reversal of winds or the local summer precipitation accounting for more than 50% of the annual precipitation suggests that monsoon domains extend over oceanic regions as well. The concept of global monsoon combines all the monsoon domains into a single entity. Modern observations show that the variations in precipitation are nearly coherent across all the individual monsoon domains on decadal timescales. Using a transient simulation of the global climate over the last 22,000 years as well as reanalysis data of the modern climate, we have shown that tropical precipitation has different characteristics over land and ocean grids. This is due to the differences in the energetics of monsoon over land and ocean grids. With a lower thermal heat capacity, the net surface energy flux over land is negligible, whereas it is quite large over the ocean. In fact, the orbital scale variability of net energy flux into the atmosphere over the ocean is controlled by the surface energy flux. Another major difference between land and ocean grids of the global monsoon is in the vertical profile of the vertical pressure velocity. It is bottom-heavy over land and top-heavy over the ocean. This results in smaller vertical transport of moist static energy (which has a minimum in the lower troposphere) over land, and a larger vertical transport over the ocean. These differences between the land and ocean, suggest that the land and ocean grids should not be combined as is traditionally done. Global monsoon-land and global monsoon-ocean should be studied separately.</p>


2018 ◽  
Vol 39 (3) ◽  
pp. 1490-1503 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zixuan Han ◽  
Tao Su ◽  
Bicheng Huang ◽  
Taichen Feng ◽  
Shulin Qu ◽  
...  

2013 ◽  
Vol 70 (2) ◽  
pp. 583-599 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wenchang Yang ◽  
Richard Seager ◽  
Mark A. Cane

Abstract In this paper, zonal momentum balances of the tropical atmospheric circulation during the global monsoon mature months (January and July) are analyzed in three dimensions based on the ECMWF Interim Re-Analysis (ERA-Interim). It is found that the dominant terms in the balance of the atmospheric boundary layer (ABL) in both months are the pressure gradient force, the Coriolis force, and friction. The nonlinear advection term plays a significant role only in the Asian summer monsoon regions within the ABL. In the upper troposphere, the pressure gradient force, the Coriolis force, and the nonlinear advection are the dominant terms. The transient eddy force and the residual force (which can be explained as convective momentum transfer over open oceans) are secondary, yet cannot be neglected near the equator. Zonal-mean equatorial upper-troposphere easterlies are maintained by the absolute angular momentum advection associated with the cross-equatorial Hadley circulation. Equatorial upper-troposphere easterlies over the Asian monsoon regions are also controlled by the absolute angular momentum advection but are mainly maintained by the pressure gradient force in January. The equivalent linear Rayleigh friction, which is widely applied in simple tropical models, is calculated and the corresponding spatial distribution of the local coefficient and damping time scale are estimated from the linear regression. It is found that the linear momentum model is in general capable of crudely describing the tropical atmospheric circulation dynamics, yet the caveat should be kept in mind that the friction coefficient is not uniformly distributed and is even negative in some regions.


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-53
Author(s):  
Meng Zuo ◽  
Wenmin Man ◽  
Tianjun Zhou

AbstractBoth proxy data and climate modeling show divergent responses of global monsoon precipitation to volcanic eruptions. The reason is however unknown. Here, based on analysis of the CESM Last Millennium Ensemble simulation, we show evidences that the divergent responses are dominated by the pre-eruption background oceanic states. We found that under El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) neutral and warm phases initial conditions, the Pacific favors an El Niño-like anomaly after volcanic eruptions, while La Niña-like SST anomalies tend to occur following eruptions under ENSO cold phase initial condition, especially after southern eruptions. The cold initial condition is associated with stronger upper ocean temperature stratification and shallower thermocline over the eastern Pacific than normal. The easterly anomalies triggered by surface cooling over the tropical South America continent can generate changes in SST through anomalous advection and the ocean subsurface upwelling more efficiently, causing La Niña-like SST anomalies. Whereas under warm initial condition, the easterly anomalies fail to develop and the westerly anomalies still play a dominant role, thus forms an El Niño-like SST anomaly. Such SST response further regulates the monsoon precipitation changes through atmospheric teleconnection. The contribution of direct radiative forcing and indirect SST response to precipitation changes show regional differences, which will further affect the intensity and sign of precipitation response in submonsoon regions. Our results imply that attention should be paid to the background oceanic state when predicting the global monsoon precipitation responses to volcanic eruptions.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Meng Zuo ◽  
Tianjun Zhou ◽  
Wenmin Man

<p>Both proxy data and climate modeling show divergent responses of global monsoon precipitation to volcanic eruptions. The reason is however unknown. Here, based on analysis of the CESM Last Millennium Ensemble simulation, we show evidences that the divergent responses are dominated by the pre-eruption background oceanic states. We found that under El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) neutral and warm phases initial conditions, the Pacific favors an El Niño-like anomaly after volcanic eruptions, while La Niña-like SST anomalies tend to occur following eruptions under ENSO cold phase initial condition, especially after southern eruptions. The cold initial condition is associated with stronger upper ocean temperature stratification and shallower thermocline over the eastern Pacific than normal. The easterly anomalies triggered by surface cooling over the tropical South America continent can generate changes in SST through anomalous advection and the ocean subsurface upwelling more efficiently, causing La Niña-like SST anomalies. Whereas under warm initial condition, the easterly anomalies fail to develop and the westerly anomalies still play a dominant role, thus forms an El Niño-like SST anomaly. Such SST response further regulates the monsoon precipitation changes through atmospheric teleconnection. The contribution of direct radiative forcing and indirect SST response to precipitation changes show regional differences, which will further affect the intensity and sign of precipitation response in submonsoon regions. Our results imply that attention should be paid to the background oceanic state when predicting the global monsoon precipitation responses to volcanic eruptions.</p>


2015 ◽  
Vol 51 (3) ◽  
pp. 275-290 ◽  
Author(s):  
June-Yi Lee ◽  
Bin Wang ◽  
Kyong-Hwan Seo ◽  
Kyung-Ja Ha ◽  
Akio Kitoh ◽  
...  

2014 ◽  
Vol 32 (1) ◽  
pp. 10-31 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yihui Ding ◽  
Yanju Liu ◽  
Yafang Song ◽  
Jin Zhang

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document