scholarly journals New 2019 Risk-Targeted Ground Motions for Spectral Design Criteria in Indonesian Seismic Building Code

2020 ◽  
Vol 156 ◽  
pp. 03010
Author(s):  
I Wayan Sengara ◽  
Masyhur Irsyam ◽  
Indra Djati Sidi ◽  
Andri Mulia ◽  
Muhamad Asrurifak ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Seismic Hazard ◽  
Spectral Response ◽  
Ground Surface ◽  
Seismic Hazard Assessment ◽  
Design Criteria ◽  
Hazard Maps ◽  
Building Collapse ◽  
Structural Capacity ◽  
Seismic Amplification ◽  
Log Normal

Indonesia has followed development of new seismic design criteria in the new seismic building codes, from hazard-based in the former SNI-03-1726-2002 to the current risk-based SNI-1726-2012. The major changes in SNI-1726-2012 are using Risk-Targeted Maximum Considered Earthquake (MCER) Spectral Response Acceleration maps. Five years later (2017), the seismic hazard maps have been updated adopting the most recent data and current state of knowledge in probabilistic and deterministic seismic hazard assessment methodologies. To establish the New 2019 Risk Targeted Ground Motion (RTGM) of spectral acceleration (Ss and S1), and risk coefficients (CRS and CR1), for both short (T=0.2s) and 1-second (T=1s) periods, respectively have been developed based on the 2017 Indonesian hazard maps. The RTGM was calculated as the spectral value resulting in 1% probability of building collapse in 50 years through numerical integration of hazard curves and structural capacity. The log-normal standard deviation (?) of the structural capacity envelope has been revised from 0.70 to 0.65. This paper presents the new resulted RTGM maps. Furthermore, the paper also presents revision of seismic amplification factors for 0, 0.2, and 1 second periods (FPGA, Fa, and, Fv) to generate ground surface maximum and design spectra associated with the siteclassifications.

scholarly journals Empirical Correlation between Inelastic and Elastic Spectral Displacement Demands

2016 ◽  
Vol 32 (3) ◽  
pp. 1419-1448 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peter J. Stafford ◽  
Timothy J. Sullivan ◽  
Domenico Pennucci
Keyword(s):  
Seismic Hazard ◽  
Hazard Assessment ◽  
Spectral Response ◽  
Seismic Hazard Assessment ◽  
Assessment Process ◽  
Earthquake Intensity ◽  
Empirical Relationships ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Performance Based Seismic Design ◽  
Displacement Demand

Inelastic spectral displacement demand is arguably one of the most effective, simplified means of relating earthquake intensity to building damage. However, seismic hazard assessment is typically conducted using empirical ground-motion prediction equations (GMPEs) that only provide indications of elastic spectral response quantities, which an engineer subsequently relates to inelastic demands using empirical relationships such as the equal-displacement rule. An alternative approach is to utilize relationships for the inelastic spectral displacement demand directly within the seismic hazard assessment process. Such empirical relationships are developed in this work, as a function of magnitude, distance, building period, and yield strength coefficient, for four different hysteretic models that are representative of a wide range of possible structural typologies found in practice. The new relationships are likely to be particularly useful for performance-based seismic design and assessment.

scholarly journals Seismogenic nodes as a viable alternative to seismogenic zones and observed seismicity for the definition of seismic hazard at regional scale

2019 ◽  
Vol 41 (4) ◽  
pp. 289-304 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paolo Rugarli ◽  
Franco Vaccari ◽  
Giuliano Panza
Keyword(s):  
Seismic Hazard ◽  
Safety Factor ◽  
Seismic Moment ◽  
Regional Scale ◽  
Seismic Hazard Assessment ◽  
Hazard Maps ◽  
Earthquake Catalogues ◽  
Definition Of ◽  
Partial Factor ◽  
Seismogenic Nodes

A fixed increment of magnitude is equivalent to multiply the seismic moment by a factor γEM related to the partial factor γq acting on the seismic moment representing the fault. A comparison is made between the hazard maps obtained with the Neo-Deterministic Seismic Hazard Assessment (NDSHA), using two different approaches: one based on the events magnitude, listed in parametric earthquake catalogues compiled for the study areas, with sources located within the seismogenic zones; the other uses the seismogenic nodes identified by means of pattern recognition techniques applied to morphostructural zonation (MSZ), and increases the reference magnitude by a constant amount tuned by the safety factor γEM.Using γEM=2.0, in most of the territory the two approaches produce totally independent, comparable hazard maps, based on the quite long Italian catalogue. This represents a validation of the seismogenic nodes method and a tuning of the safety factor γEM at about 2.

scholarly journals Neo-deterministic seismic hazard assessment of Corsica-Sardinia block

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Enrico Brandmayr ◽  
Franco Vaccari ◽  
Giuliano Francesco Panza
Keyword(s):  
Seismic Hazard ◽  
Ground Motion ◽  
Hazard Assessment ◽  
Seismic Hazard Assessment ◽  
Earthquake Ground Motion ◽  
Earthquake Catalog ◽  
Hazard Maps ◽  
Source Information ◽  
Deterministic Seismic Hazard ◽  
Seismogenic Nodes

AbstractThe Corsica-Sardinia lithospheric block is commonly considered as a region of very low seismicity and the scarce reported seismicity for the area has till now precluded the reliable assessment of its seismic hazard. The time-honored assumption has been recently questioned and the historical seismicity of Sardinia has been reevaluated. Even more, several seismogenic nodes capable of M5 + have been recognized in the Corsica-Sardinia block exploiting the morphostructural zonation technique, calibrated to earlier results obtained for the Iberian peninsula, which has structural lithospheric affinities with the Corsica-Sardinia block. All this allows now for the computation of reliable earthquake hazard maps at bedrock conditions exploiting the power of Neo Deterministic Seismic Hazard Assessment (NDSHA) evaluation. NDSHA relies upon the fundamental physics of wave generation and propagation in complex geologic structures and generates realistic time series from which several earthquake ground motion parameters can be readily extracted. NDSHA exploits in an optimized way all the available knowledge about lithospheric mechanical parameters, seismic history, seismogenic zones and nodes. In accordance with continuum mechanics, the tensor nature of earthquake ground motion is preserved computing realistic signals using structural models obtained by tomographic inversion and earthquake source information readily available in literature. The way to this approach has been open by studies focused on continental Italy and Sicily, where the agreement between hazard maps obtained using seismogenic zones, informed by earthquake catalog data, and the maps obtained using only seismogenic nodes are very good.

scholarly journals Neo-deterministic seismic hazard maps of Kosovo

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Enrico Brandmayr ◽  
Vaccari Franco ◽  
Romanelli Fabio ◽  
Vlahovic Gordana ◽  
Panza Giuliano Francesco
Keyword(s):  
Seismic Hazard ◽  
Ground Motion ◽  
Seismic Hazard Assessment ◽  
Active Regions ◽  
Earthquake Hazard ◽  
Earthquake Ground Motion ◽  
Hazard Maps ◽  
Source Information ◽  
Deterministic Seismic Hazard ◽  
Traditional Construction

Kosovo is one of the most seismically active regions in Europe, lying within the Alpine-Mediterranean tectonic belt. Historical records for the region show several catastrophic earthquakes with epicentral intensity IX (MCS). However, due to Kosovo’s high population density, high prevalence of traditional construction, and insufficient enforcement of building codes, Kosovo is vulnerable to earthquake damage. In this study, we present earthquake hazard maps for bedrock conditions in Kosovo based on the well-known Neo-deterministic Seismic Hazard Assessment (NDSHA) method. NDSHA relies upon the fundamental physics of wave generation and propagation in complex geologic structures to generate realistic time series, used as input for the computation of several ground motion parameters, integrating the available knowledge of seismic history, seismogenic zones and morphostructural nodes. In accordance with continuum mechanics, the tensor nature of earthquake ground motion is preserved, producing realistic signals using structural models obtained by tomographic inversion and earthquake source information readily available in literature. Our maps are generally consistent with the observed intensity IX (MCS) and suggest that, in some instances, intensity X could be reached.

scholarly journals 25,000 Years Long Seismic Cycle in a Slow Deforming Continental Region of Mongolia

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Laurent Bollinger ◽  
Yann Klinger ◽  
Steven Forman ◽  
Odonbaatar Chimed ◽  
Amgalan Bayasgalan ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Seismic Hazard ◽  
Active Faults ◽  
Ground Surface ◽  
Slip Rate ◽  
Seismic Hazard Assessment ◽  
Return Time ◽  
Fault Behavior ◽  
Seismogenic Structures ◽  
Cumulative Deformation ◽  
Large Earthquakes

Abstract The spatial distribution of large earthquakes in Slowly Deforming Continental Regions (SDCR) is poorly documented and, thus, has often been deemed to be random. Unlike in high strain regions, where seismic activity concentrates cyclically along major active faults, earthquakes in SDCR may seem to occur more erratically in space and time. This questions classical fault behavior models, posing paramount issues for seismic hazard assessment. Here, we investigate the M7, 1967, Mogod earthquake in Mongolia, a region recognized as a SDCR. Despite the absence of visible cumulative deformation at the ground surface, we found evidence for at least 3 surface rupturing earthquakes during the last 50,000 years, associated to a slip-rate of 0,06 ± 0,01 mm/yr. These results show that in SDCR, like in faster deforming regions, deformation localizes on specific structures. However, the excessive length of return time for large earthquakes along these structures makes it more difficult to recognize earthquake series, and could conversely lead to the misconception that in SDCR earthquakes would be randomly located. Thus, our result emphasizes the need for systematic appraisal of the potential seismogenic structures in SDCR in order to lower the uncertainties associated with the seismogenic sources in seismic hazard models.

Nationwide 7.5-Arc-Second Japan Engineering Geomorphologic Classification Map and Vs30 Zoning

2013 ◽  
Vol 8 (5) ◽  
pp. 904-911 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kazue Wakamatsu ◽  
◽  
Masashi Matsuoka ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Seismic Hazard ◽  
Local Governments ◽  
Seismic Hazard Assessment ◽  
Shear Velocity ◽  
Hazard Maps ◽  
Seismic Risk Analysis ◽  
Average Shear ◽  
Ground Conditions ◽  
Estimation System ◽  
Ground Condition

Local geological and ground conditions play important roles in characterizing and estimating hazards in seismic hazard assessment. The authors recently constructed the Japan Engineering Geomorphologic Classification Map (JEGM), which is a systematically standardized GIS-based ground-condition map containing attributes of geomorphologic classification in grid cells of 7.5 arc-seconds in latitude × 11.25 arc-seconds in longitude for Japan nationwide. This paper introduces the concept of developing the 7.5-arc-second JEGM, and presents sample JEGM images. As an example of the database’s application in estimating hazards, the average shear velocity of the ground in the upper 30m, Vs30 is estimated and mapped for Japan nationwide. Other applications being released include seismic hazard maps of Japan, seismic risk analysis by Central Disaster Prevention Council and local governments, and a Quick Estimation System for Earthquake Maps Triggered by Observation Records (QuiQuake).

Seismic hazard analysis: a comparative study

2006 ◽  
Vol 33 (9) ◽  
pp. 1156-1171 ◽  
Author(s):  
H P Hong ◽  
K Goda ◽  
A G Davenport
Keyword(s):  
Seismic Hazard ◽  
Seismic Hazard Assessment ◽  
Historical Seismicity ◽  
Hazard Maps ◽  
Uniform Hazard Spectra ◽  
Attenuation Relations ◽  
Seismic Hazard Maps ◽  
Cell Method ◽  
Thiessen Polygon ◽  
The Impact

The quantitative seismic hazard maps for the 1970s National Building Code of Canada were evaluated using the Davenport–Milne method. The Cornell–McGuire method is employed to develop recent seismic hazard maps of Canada. These methods incorporate the information on seismicity, magnitude-recurrence relations, and ground motion (or response) attenuation relations. The former preserves and depends completely on details of the historical seismicity; the latter smoothes the irregular spatial occurrence pattern of the historical seismicity into seismic source zones. Further, the Epicentral Cell method, which attempts to incorporate the preserving and smoothing aspect of these methods, has been developed. However, the impact of the adopted assumptions on the estimated quantitative seismic hazard has not been investigated. This study provides a comparative seismic hazard assessment using the above-mentioned methods and simulation-based algorithms. The analysis results show that overall the Davenport–Milne method gives quasi-circular seismic hazard contours near significant historical events, and the Cornell–McGuire method smoothes the transition of contours. The Epicentral Cell method provides estimates approximately within the former and the latter. Key words: epicentral cell method, probability, seismic hazard, Thiessen polygon, Voronoi, uniform hazard spectra.

California Historical Intensity Mapping Project (CHIMP): A Consistently Reinterpreted Dataset of Seismic Intensities for the Past 162 Yr and Implications for Seismic Hazard Maps

2020 ◽  
Vol 91 (5) ◽  
pp. 2631-2650 ◽  
Author(s):  
Leah Salditch ◽  
Molly M. Gallahue ◽  
Madeleine C. Lucas ◽  
James S. Neely ◽  
Susan E. Hough ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Seismic Hazard ◽  
Seismic Hazard Assessment ◽  
Seismic Intensity ◽  
Hazard Models ◽  
Historical Period ◽  
Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Assessment ◽  
Intensity Data ◽  
Hazard Maps ◽  
Intensity Mapping ◽  
Intensity Information

Abstract Historical seismic intensity data are useful for myriad reasons, including assessment of the performance of probabilistic seismic hazard assessment (PSHA) models and corresponding hazard maps by comparing their predictions to a dataset of historically observed intensities in the region. To assess PSHA models for California, a long and consistently interpreted intensity record is needed. For this purpose, the California Historical Intensity Mapping Project (CHIMP) has compiled a dataset that combines and reinterprets intensity information that has been stored in disparate and sometimes hard-to-access locations. The CHIMP dataset also includes new observations of intensity from archival research and oral history collection. Version 1 of the dataset includes 46,502 intensity observations for 62 earthquakes with estimated magnitudes ranging from 4.7 to 7.9. The 162 yr of shaking data show observed shaking lower than expected from seismic hazard models. This discrepancy is reduced, but persists, if historical intensity data for the largest earthquakes are smoothed to reduce the effects of spatial undersampling. Possible reasons for this discrepancy include other limitations of the CHIMP dataset, the hazard models, and the possibility that California seismicity throughout the historical period has been lower than the long-term average. Some of these issues may also explain similar discrepancies observed for Italy and Japan.

Seismic Hazard Assessment for Japan: Reconsiderations After the 2011 Tohoku Earthquake

2013 ◽  
Vol 8 (5) ◽  
pp. 848-860 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hiroyuki Fujiwara ◽  
◽  
Nobuyuki Morikawa ◽  
Toshihiko Okumura ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Seismic Hazard ◽  
Hazard Assessment ◽  
Strong Motion ◽  
Seismic Hazard Assessment ◽  
Tohoku Earthquake ◽  
Lessons Learned ◽  
2011 Tohoku Earthquake ◽  
Hazard Maps ◽  
The 2011 Tohoku Earthquake ◽  
Seismic Hazard Maps

Under the guidance of the Headquarters for Earthquake Research Promotion of Japan, we have been carrying out seismic hazard assessment for Japan since the 1995 Hyogo-ken Nanbu Earthquake and have made the National Seismic Hazard Maps for Japan to estimate strong motion caused by earthquakes that could occur in Japan in the future, and show estimated results on these maps. The Hazard Maps consist of two kinds of maps. One kind is a probabilistic seismic hazard map that shows the relation between seismic intensity value and its probability of exceedance within a certain period. The other kind is a scenario earthquake shaking map. In order to promote the use of the National Seismic Hazard Maps, we have developed an open Web system to provide information interactively, and have named this system the Japan Seismic Hazard Information Station (J-SHIS). The 2011 Tohoku Earthquake (Mw9.0) was the largest such event in the recorded history of Japan. This megathrust earthquake was not considered in the National Seismic Hazard Maps for Japan. Based on lessons learned from this earthquake disaster and on experience we have had in the seismic hazardmapping project of Japan, we consider problems and issues to be resolved for seismic hazard assessment and make proposals to improve seismic hazard assessment for Japan.

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