Use of Composites in Analysis of Individual Time Series: Implications for Person-Specific Dynamic Parameters

Author(s):  
Kristine D. O’Laughlin ◽  
Siwei Liu ◽  
Emilio Ferrer
2019 ◽  
Vol 31 (3) ◽  
pp. 777-787 ◽  
Author(s):  
Werner Zellinger ◽  
Thomas Grubinger ◽  
Michael Zwick ◽  
Edwin Lughofer ◽  
Holger Schöner ◽  
...  

Abstract This paper describes a new transfer learning method for modeling sensor time series following multiple different distributions, e.g. originating from multiple different tool settings. The method aims at removing distribution specific information before the modeling of the individual time series takes place. This is done by mapping the data to a new space such that the representations of different distributions are aligned. Domain knowledge is incorporated by means of corresponding parameters, e.g. physical dimensions of tool settings. Results on a real-world problem of industrial manufacturing show that our method is able to significantly improve the performance of regression models on time series following previously unseen distributions. Graphic abstract


2010 ◽  
Vol 41 (3-4) ◽  
pp. 253-268 ◽  
Author(s):  
Johanna Korhonen ◽  
Esko Kuusisto

This paper presents characteristics of the discharge regime, long-term trends and variability in Finland. A selection of long-term discharge records including both unregulated and regulated rivers and lake outlets were analysed up to the year 2004. In addition to individual time series, monthly and annual discharges from the territory of Finland were calculated for the period 1912–2004. The observed drought and flood periods are also discussed, as well as the connection between discharge regime and climate. Moreover, the periodicity of the time series is examined for a couple of sites. The Mann–Kendall trend test was applied to assess changes in annual, monthly and seasonal mean discharges, maximum and minimum flows and, in addition, the date of the annual peak flow. The trend analysis revealed no changes in mean annual flow in general, but the seasonal distribution of streamflow has changed. Winter and spring mean monthly discharges have increased at most of the observation sites. The spring peak has moved to an earlier date at over one-third of the sites. However, the magnitudes of spring high flow have not changed. Autumn flow did not show trends in general. Minimum flows have increased at about half of the unregulated sites.


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-49
Author(s):  
Peter Domonkos ◽  
José A. Guijarro ◽  
Victor Venema ◽  
Manola Brunet ◽  
Javier Sigró

AbstractThe aim of time series homogenization is to remove non-climatic effects, such as changes in station location, instrumentation, observation practices, etc., from observed data. Statistical homogenization usually reduces the non-climatic effects, but does not remove them completely. In the Spanish MULTITEST project, the efficiencies of automatic homogenization methods were tested on large benchmark datasets of a wide range of statistical properties. In this study, test results for 9 versions, based on 5 homogenization methods (ACMANT, Climatol, MASH, PHA and RHtests) are presented and evaluated. The tests were executed with 12 synthetic/surrogate monthly temperature test datasets containing 100 to 500 networks with 5 to 40 time series in each. Residual centred root mean square errors and residual trend biases were calculated both for individual station series and for network mean series.The results show that a larger fraction of the non-climatic biases can be removed from station series than from network-mean series. The largest error reduction is found for the long-term linear trends of individual time series in datasets with a high signal-to-noise ratio (SNR), there the mean residual error is only 14 – 36% of the raw data error. When the SNR is low, most of the results still indicate error reductions, although with smaller ratios than for large SNR. Generally, ACMANT gave the most accurate homogenization results. In the accuracy of individual time series ACMANT is closely followed by Climatol, while for the accurate calculation of mean climatic trends over large geographical regions both PHA and ACMANT are recommended.


2010 ◽  
Vol 33 (2-3) ◽  
pp. 159-160 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Brian Hood ◽  
Benjamin J. Lovett

AbstractCramer et al.'s account of comorbidity comes with a substantive philosophical view concerning the nature of psychological disorders. Although the network account is responsive to problems with extant approaches, it faces several practical and conceptual challenges of its own, especially in cases where the individual differences in network structures require the analysis of intra-individual time-series data.


2009 ◽  
Vol 48 (9) ◽  
pp. 1961-1970 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andreas Muhlbauer ◽  
Peter Spichtinger ◽  
Ulrike Lohmann

Abstract In this study, robust parametric regression methods are applied to temperature and precipitation time series in Switzerland and the trend results are compared with trends from classical least squares (LS) regression and nonparametric approaches. It is found that in individual time series statistically outlying observations are present that influence the LS trend estimate severely. In some cases, these outlying observations lead to an over-/underestimation of the trends or even to a trend masking. In comparison with the classical LS method and standard nonparametric techniques, the use of robust methods yields more reliable trend estimations and outlier detection.


2019 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Vladimir Afanasev

An article presents an overview on influence of environmental factors on the dynamic response of bridge beams. Examples of the determination of the technical condition by taking into account the influence of the environment on real bridges are given. The process of damage identification based on operational modal analysis with filtering effects is presented. Author considered an influence of temperature effect of the environment on eigenfrequencies of beam bridges. A numerical experiment was performed using a large road collapsible bridge as an example: bridge temperature was determined with additional heating of the girder from solar radiation and without it; the values of dynamic parameters of the girder from the change in temperature during the calendar year were calculated; the dependence of eigenfrequency of the girder on changes in temperature of the bridge is constructed. Further, an analysis of a time series formed from the eigenfrequency changes of the girder was made. Two different methods were used to describe the time series: a model based on a statistical pattern in the given data and a model of a recurrent neural network. Before applying the statistical autoregressive integrated moving average model, the time series was decomposed into additive components: trend, seasonal component, residuals and noise. After that, construction of a mathematical model describing the stationary residuals of the time series was performed. Second method – based on recurrent neural networks, can be rephrased as a question of constructing a regression model. on the basis of the training and test data sets, a network was formed containing a visible layer with 1 input signal, a hidden layer with 4 blocks and an output level that makes one prediction value.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document