scholarly journals Dynamic Spillovers between REITs and Stock Markets in Global Financial Markets

Author(s):  
Jose E. Gomez-Gonzalez ◽  
Jorge Hirs-Garzon
2020 ◽  
Vol 16 (02) ◽  
pp. 1-8
Author(s):  
Kamaldeep Kaur Sarna

COVID-19 is aptly stated as a Black Swan event that has stifled the global economy. As coronavirus wreaked havoc, Gross Domestic Product (GDP) contracted globally, unemployment rate soared high, and economic recovery still seems a far-fetched dream. Most importantly, the pandemic has set up turbulence in the global financial markets and resulted in heightened risk elements (market risk, credit risk, bank runs etc.) across the globe. Such uncertainty and volatility has not been witnessed since the Global Financial Crisis of 2008. The spread of COVID-19 has largely eroded investors’ confidence as the stock markets neared lifetimes lows, bad loans spiked and investment values degraded. Due to this, many turned their backs on the risk-reward trade off and carted their money towards traditionally safer investments like gold. While the banking sector remains particularly vulnerable, central banks have provided extensive loan moratoriums and interest waivers. Overall, COVID-19 resulted in a short term negative impact on the financial markets in India, though it is making a way towards V-shaped recovery. In this context, the present paper attempts to identify and evaluate the impact of the pandemic on the financial markets in India. Relying on rich literature and live illustrations, the influence of COVID-19 is studied on the stock markets, banking and financial institutions, private equities, and debt funds. The paper covers several recommendations so as to bring stability in the financial markets. The suggestions include, but are not limited to, methods to regularly monitor results, establishing a robust mechanism for risk management, strategies to reduce Non-Performing Assets, continuous assessment of stress and crisis readiness of the financial institutions etc. The paper also emphasizes on enhancing the role of technology (Artificial Intelligence and Virtual/Augmented Reality) in the financial services sector to optimize the outcomes and set the path towards recovery.


Equilibrium ◽  
2009 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 61-68
Author(s):  
Tomasz Chruściński

This article presents information about taxonometric methods in classification stock-markets and selected Multivariate GARCH models. The main emphasis is placed on which market (country) influences others. Research has been geared towards three kinds of measurement: diagonal VECH models, diagonal BEKK models and Constant Conditional Correlation. The results obtained for the DBEKK model is optimal for most data-sets.


2000 ◽  
Vol 03 (03) ◽  
pp. 309-330 ◽  
Author(s):  
Huimin Chung ◽  
William T. Lin ◽  
Soushan Wu

One of the important questions in studies of asset return and volatility has been how long the effects of shocks persist. In this article, the modified R/S statistic of Lo (1991) and the robust semiparametric method of Lobato and Robinson (1997) are applied to investigate the long memory properties in return and volatility of Asian financial markets. For the return series, we find little evidence of long memory, while the empirical results support the hypothesis of long memory in volatility for Asia-Pacific stock markets. We also discuss the possible causes of spurious long memory effect in volatility, namely aggregation, size distortion, and shifts in variance. Our empirical evidence shows that spurious long memory effect in volatility might occur as a result of shifts in variance for some Asian stock markets.


2021 ◽  
Vol 31 (09) ◽  
pp. 2150128
Author(s):  
Guyue Qin ◽  
Pengjian Shang

Complexity is an important feature of complex time series. In this paper, we construct a weighted dispersion pattern and propose a new entropy plane using past Tsallis entropy and past Rényi entropy by using weighted dispersion pattern (PTEWD and PREWD, respectively), to quantify the complexity of time series. Through analyzing simulated data and actual data, we have verified the reliability of the entropy plane method. This entropy plane successfully distinguishes American and Chinese stock indexes, as well as developed and emergent stock markets. We introduce PTEWD and PREWD into multiscale settings, which could also well distinguish different stock markets. The results show that the new entropy plane could be used as an effective tool to distinguish financial markets.


Complexity ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-18
Author(s):  
Shanglei Chai ◽  
Zhen Zhang ◽  
Mo Du ◽  
Lei Jiang

Financial internationalization leads to similar fluctuations and spillover effects in financial markets around the world, resulting in cross-border financial risks. This study examines comovements across G20 international stock markets while considering the volatility similarity and spillover effects. We provide a new approach using an ICA- (independent component analysis-) based ARMA-APARCH-M model to shed light on whether there are spillover effects among G20 stock markets with similar dynamics. Specifically, we first identify which G20 stock markets have similar volatility features using a fuzzy C-means time series clustering method and then investigate the dominant source of volatility spillovers using the ICA-based ARMA-APARCH-M model. The evidence has shown that the ICA method can more accurately capture market comovements with nonnormal distributions of the financial time series data by transforming the multivariate time series into statistically independent components (ICs). Our findings indicate that the G20 stock markets are clustered into three categories according to volatility similarity. There are spillover effects in stock market comovements of each group and the dominant source can be identified. This study has important implications for investors in international financial markets and for policymakers in G20 countries.


2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (20) ◽  
pp. 8581
Author(s):  
Wenjing Xie ◽  
João Paulo Vieito ◽  
Ephraim Clark ◽  
Wing-Keung Wong

This study investigates whether the merger of NASDAQ and OMX could reduce the portfolio diversification possibilities for stock market investors and whether it is necessary to implement national policies and international treaties for the sustainable development of financial markets. Our study is very important because some players in the stock markets have not yet realized that stock exchanges, during the last decades, have moved from government-owned or mutually-owned organizations to private companies, and, with several mergers having occurred, the market is tending gradually to behave like a monopoly. From our analysis, we conclude that increased volatility and reduced diversification opportunities are the results of an increase in the long-run comovement between each pair of indices in Nordic and Baltic stock markets (Denmark, Sweden, Finland, Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania) and NASDAQ after the merger. We also find that the merger tends to improve the error-correction mechanism for NASDAQ so that it Granger-causes OMX, but OMX loses predictive power on NASDAQ after the merger. We conclude that the merger of NASDAQ and OMX reduces the diversification possibilities for stock market investors and our findings provide evidence to support the argument that it is important to implement national policies and international treaties for the sustainable development of financial markets.


2019 ◽  
Vol 20 (4) ◽  
pp. 962-980 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shegorika Rajwani ◽  
Dilip Kumar

During the past few years, many of the financial markets have gone through devastating effects due to the crisis in one or the other economy of the world. The recent global financial crisis has triggered dramatic movements in various stock markets which may arise from interdependence or contagion between the markets. This article attempts to measure the contagion between the equity markets of Asia and the US stock market. The countries considered in the Asian group are China, India, Indonesia, South Korea, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Malaysia and Japan. Most of the Asian economies have experienced drastic higher volatility and uncertainty in the financial markets. If the markets are contagious, then the investors will be unable to reap benefits through international diversification of the portfolio. In such a case, the policymakers will further frame policies so that they can insulate themselves from inflicting heavy damage from various crises. To achieve our goal, we make use of the time-varying copula approach which helps us to study the joint behaviour of the series based on their marginal distribution. Time-varying copula approach can also capture the non-linear dependence in the series and exhibits a rich pattern of tail behaviour. Our findings support the contagion between the Asian stock markets and the US stock market during the global financial crisis. This article also highlights that the increased tail dependence is an important factor for the contagion between the Asian stock markets and the US market.


Author(s):  
Mustapha Chaffai ◽  
Imed Medhioub

Purpose This paper aims to examine the presence of herd behaviour in the Islamic Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) stock markets following the methodology given by Chiang and Zheng (2010). Generalized auto regressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH)-type models and quantile regression analysis are used and applied to daily data ranging from 3 January 2010 to 28 July 2016. Results show evidence of herd behaviour in the GCC stock markets. When the data are divided into down and up market periods, herd information is found to be statistically significant and negative during upward market periods only. These results are similar to those reported in some emerging markets such as China, Japan and Hong Kong, where stock returns perform more similarly during down market periods and differently during rising markets. Design/methodology/approach The authors present a brief literature on herd behaviour. Second, the authors provide some specificity of the GCC Islamic stock market, followed by the presentation of the methodology and the data, results and their interpretation. Findings The authors take into account the difference existing in market conditions and find evidence of herding behaviour during rising markets only for GCC markets. This result was confirmed after using the quantile regression method, as evidence of herding was observed only in highly extreme periods. Stock returns perform more similarly when market is down in Islamic GCC stock market. Research limitations/implications The research limitation consists in the fact that this work can be extended to compare the GCC stock markets with other markets in Asia such as Malaysia and Indonesia. Practical implications The principal implication consists in the fact that herding behaviour is limited in the GCC markets and Islamic finance can have an important contribution to moderate the behaviour in the financial markets. Social implications The work focusses on the role of ethics in the financial markets and their ability to reduce the impact of behavioural biases. Originality/value The paper studies the behaviour of investors in the Islamic financial markets and gives an idea about the importance of the behaviour in this particular market regarding its characteristics.


2015 ◽  
Vol 23 (1) ◽  
pp. 125-153
Author(s):  
Young Sook Suh

This study examines how FX OTC derivatives transactions of foreign banks’ branches funded by short term borrowings affect the volatility of stock markets and FX markets in Korea based on historical data. It founds that they use call money for FX-derivatives trading, rather than borrowings from their Head Quarter. This result also proves that their derivatives trading is funded by call market increasing stock markets’ volatility in Korea, even if foreign banks’ branches have been using various funding sources. Also the role of foreign banks’ branches as FX money supplier for the korean local banks effects to stock markets by increasing the volatility via call markets. On the other hands, derivatives liabilities of foreign banks’ branches tend to increase volatility of the korean stock markets, but their derivatives assets tend to decrease the volatility. This result together with O/N dollar call volatility should be regarded as a kind of liquidity risk because they could give serious impacts to Korean financial markets if shocks break out. When considering the main revenue source of foreign banks’ branches, derivatives trading creates much higher leverage effects to them than korean local banks, and their roles in financial and capital markets of Korea this study provides with a reason that regulators should give complex and multilateral attentions to foreign banks’ branches.


2008 ◽  
Vol 193 ◽  
pp. 65-83 ◽  
Author(s):  
Scott Kennedy

AbstractAlthough China has had difficulty improving the performance of its banks and stock markets, it has struggled even more to develop a credit rating industry. Credit rating agencies (CRA), which provide bond ratings, are vital to financial markets in advanced capitalist countries, but China's credit rating companies are weak and have had little influence over the behaviour of those who issue or invest in bonds. Some argue that CRAs gain authority through their strong reputation in the eyes of market participants, but the experience of rating agencies in China supports evidence from elsewhere that their private authority is largely dependent on government mandate, a benefit China's CRAs have only recently begun to enjoy. Many private actors, from trade associations to charity groups, are struggling to gain public influence in China, but credit rating agencies may be the best barometer to measure the Chinese government's general stance towards private authority.


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