scholarly journals Actual quantification of probabilities for selected bridge failure scenarios

2021 ◽  
Vol 1921 ◽  
pp. 012094
Author(s):  
Maciej Hildebrand
Keyword(s):  
2013 ◽  
Vol 19 (3) ◽  
pp. 326-334 ◽  
Author(s):  
Caitlyn Davis-McDaniel ◽  
Mashrur Chowdhury ◽  
Weichiang Pang ◽  
Kakan Dey

2017 ◽  
Vol 17 (8) ◽  
pp. 1393-1409 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rob Lamb ◽  
Willy Aspinall ◽  
Henry Odbert ◽  
Thorsten Wagener

Abstract. Scour (localised erosion) during flood events is one of the most significant threats to bridges over rivers and estuaries, and has been the cause of numerous bridge failures, with damaging consequences. Mitigation of the risk of bridges being damaged by scour is therefore important to many infrastructure owners, and is supported by industry guidance. Even after mitigation, some residual risk remains, though its extent is difficult to quantify because of the uncertainties inherent in the prediction of scour and the assessment of the scour risk. This paper summarises findings from an international expert workshop on bridge scour risk assessment that explores uncertainties about the vulnerability of bridges to scour. Two specialised structured elicitation methods were applied to explore the factors that experts in the field consider important when assessing scour risk and to derive pooled expert judgements of bridge failure probabilities that are conditional on a range of assumed scenarios describing flood event severity, bridge and watercourse types and risk mitigation protocols. The experts' judgements broadly align with industry good practice, but indicate significant uncertainty about quantitative estimates of bridge failure probabilities, reflecting the difficulty in assessing the residual risk of failure. The data and findings presented here could provide a useful context for the development of generic scour fragility models and their associated uncertainties.


2016 ◽  
Vol 68 ◽  
pp. 101-112 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abolfazl Eslami ◽  
Sara Heidarie Golafzani ◽  
Reza Jamshidi Chenari

2008 ◽  
Vol 33-37 ◽  
pp. 617-622
Author(s):  
Wei Shen Zhu ◽  
Bin Sui ◽  
Wen Tao Wang ◽  
Shu Cai Li

Two-phase modelling testing was performed to study the shear strength of rock bridges of jointed rock mass in this paper. The failure process of rock sample containing multiple collinear cracks was observed. Based on theory of fracture mechanics and analytical method, a rock-bridge failure model was proposed and the expression of shear strength was derived. Comparison of calculated shear strength and the model test results was made and they agree well.


2014 ◽  
Vol 28 (1) ◽  
pp. 85-95 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tso-Ren Wu ◽  
Helsin Wang ◽  
Yung-Yen Ko ◽  
Jiunn-Shyang Chiou ◽  
Shih-Chun Hsieh ◽  
...  

1975 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 10-21 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cliff D. Smith

This paper gives details of the hydraulic investigation carried out for the proposed new bridge crossing over the Carrot River on Highway No. 23, near Carrot River, Saskatchewan. Geotechnical studies indicated that due to the very low shear strength of the highly plastic clay comprising the banks of the Carrot River, the river banks would not be capable of supporting the approach fills to the bridge. Highways Department engineers came up with the rather novel idea of placing a compacted clay fill or berm across the river at the bridge site in order to stabilize the banks. This introduced the problem of passing river flows through and over the berm. It was proposed that low flows should be carried through the berm by a culvert, and high flows should be passed over the berm by a spillway. Hence, the design envisaged a bridge over an earth fill and a spillway over a culvert, all at one site. A model study was considered essential because of the uncertain hydraulics and because a hydraulic failure could result in bridge failure.


Water ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (11) ◽  
pp. 2212 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ainal Hoque Gazi ◽  
Mohammad Saud Afzal ◽  
Subhasish Dey

In this review article, the current status of research on pier scour under waves is presented. This includes a summary of different bridge failure events due to scour, scour mechanism, scour depth predictors under waves, influence of pier shape on scour depth formation, shape of scour hole around piers, and many others. Further, this article describes the scour process, development of scour depth predictors, and the complexity involved in the scour related calculations. Finally, the future scope of research is delineated.


2013 ◽  
Vol 330 ◽  
pp. 900-904 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chung Wei Feng ◽  
Hsun Yi Huang

Scouring around bridge piers is one of the major reasons for bridge failures and makes disaster since it tends to occur suddenly and without prior warning. However, the mechanism of water flow around the pier structure is complicated, which makes it is very difficult to develop a generic model to evaluate the scour bridge condition and provide a safety level. In this study, an integrated model that combines support vector machine (SVM) and finite element simulation technology is introduced to estimate the scour depth and determinate the safety level of scour bridge by using the natural frequency of the bridge structure. The proposed model in this study provides effective way to have a prior understanding of scour bridge condition and avoid the disaster of bridge failure.


Author(s):  
Dipankar Biswas ◽  
Steven A. Lottes ◽  
Pradip Majumdar ◽  
Milivoje Kostic

Bridges are a significant component of the ground transportation infrastructure in the United States. With about sixty percent of bridge failures due to hydraulic causes, primarily scour, application of computational fluid dynamics (CFD) analysis techniques to the assessment of risk of bridge failure under flood conditions can provide increased accuracy in scour risk assessment at a relatively low cost. The analysis can be used to make optimum use of limited federal and state funds available to maintain and replace bridges and ensure public safety while traveling on the nation’s roads and highways during and after floods. Scour is the erosion of riverbed material during high flow conditions, such as floods. When scouring of the supporting soil around the piers and abutments of bridges takes place, risk of bridge failure increases. A simulation methodology to conservatively predict equilibrium shape and size of the scour hole under pressure flow conditions for flooded bridge decks using commercial CFD software was developed. The computational methodology has been developed using C++ to compute changes in the bed contour outside of the CFD software and generate a re-meshing script to change the bed boundary contour. STAR-CD was used to run the hydrodynamic analysis to obtain bed shear stress, and a BASH script was developed to automate cycling between computing bed shear stress with the CFD software and computing changes in the bed contour due to scour predicted using the computed shear stress for the current bed contour. A single-phase moving boundary formulation has been developed to compute the equilibrium scour hole contour that proceeds through a series of quasi-steady CFD computations. It is based on CFD analysis of the flow fields around the flooded bridge deck and shear stress computed at the bed modeled as a rough wall. A high Reynolds number k-ε turbulence model with standard wall functions, based on a Reynolds-Averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) turbulence model, was used to compute bed shear stress. The scour sites on the bed were identified as those sites where the computed shear stress exceeded the critical shear stress computed from a published correlation for flat bed conditions. Comparison with experimental data obtained from the Turner-Fairbank Highway Research Center (TFHRC), McLean, VA, USA, revealed larger discrepancies than anticipated between the bridge inundation ratio and the scour hole depth. Although scour hole slopes were small for the cases tested, a correction to critical shear stress to account for bed slope was also tested. It did not significantly improve the correlation between CFD prediction and experimental observations. These results may be a consequence of using only excess shear stress above critical as a criteria for scour when other physical mechanisms also contribute to the initiation of scour. Prediction of scour depth using federal guidelines over predicts scour depth by as much as an order of magnitude in some cases. Over prediction is acceptable for purposes of ensuring bridge safety. CFD methods for scour prediction can be a significant improvement of current methods as long as under prediction of scour depth is avoided. Conservative scour prediction using CFD methods can be achieved by using conservative values of parameters such as critical shear stress and effective bed roughness.


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