scholarly journals A gridded inventory of Canada's anthropogenic methane emissions

Author(s):  
Tia R Scarpelli ◽  
Daniel J Jacob ◽  
Michael D Moran ◽  
Frances Reuland ◽  
Deborah Gordon

Abstract Canada's anthropogenic methane emissions are reported annually to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) through Canada's National Inventory Report (NIR). Evaluation of this policy-relevant inventory using observations of atmospheric methane requires prior information on the spatial distribution of emissions but that information is lacking in the NIR. Here we spatially allocate the NIR methane emissions for 2018 on a 0.1º x 0.1º grid (≈ 10 km x 10 km) for individual source sectors and subsectors, with further resolution by source type for the oil/gas sector, using an ensemble of national and provincial geospatial datasets and including facility-level information from Canada's Greenhouse Gas Reporting Program. The highest emissions are from oil/gas production and livestock in western Canada, and landfills in eastern Canada. We find 11 hotspots emitting more than 1 metric ton h-1 on the 0.1º x 0.1º grid. Oil sands mines in northeast Alberta contribute 3 of these hotspots even though oil sands contribute only 4% of national oil/gas emissions. Our gridded inventory shows large spatial differences with the EDGAR v5 inventory commonly used for inversions of atmospheric methane observations, which may reflect EDGAR's reliance on global geospatial datasets. Comparison of our spatially resolved inventory to atmospheric measurements in oil/gas production fields suggests that the NIR underestimates these emissions. We also find strong spatial overlap between oil/gas, livestock, and wetland emissions in western Canada that may complicate source attribution in inversions of atmospheric data.

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jian-Xiong Sheng ◽  
Daniel J. Jacob ◽  
Alexander J. Turner ◽  
Joannes D. Maasakkers ◽  
Melissa P. Sulprizio ◽  
...  

Abstract. We use observations of boundary layer methane from the SEAC4RS aircraft campaign over the Southeast US in August–September 2013 to estimate methane emissions in that region through an inverse analysis with up to 0.25 ° x 0.3125 ° (25 x 25 km2) resolution and with full error characterization. The Southeast US accounts for about half of total US anthropogenic emissions according to the gridded EPA national inventory and also has extensive wetlands. Our inversion uses state-of-science emission inventories as prior estimates, including a gridded version of the anthropogenic EPA Greenhouse Gas Inventory and the mean of the WetCHARTs ensemble for wetlands. Inversion results are independently verified by comparison with surface (NOAA/ESRL) and column (TCCON) methane observations. Our posterior estimates for the Southeast US are 12.8 ± 0.9 Tg a−1 for anthropogenic sources (no significant change from the gridded EPA inventory) and 9.4 ± 0.8 Tg a−1 for wetlands (27 % decrease from the mean in the WetCHARTs ensemble). The largest source of error in the WetCHARTs wetlands ensemble is the landcover map specification of wetland areal extent. We find no regional bias in the anthropogenic EPA inventory, including for different source sectors, in contrast with previous inverse analyses that found the EPA inventory to be too low at national scales. These previous inversions relied on prior anthropogenic source patterns from the EDGAR v4.2 inventory that have considerable error, and also assumed low wetland emissions. Despite the regional-scale consistency, we find significant local errors in the EPA inventory for oil/gas production fields, suggesting that emission factors are more variable than assumed in the inventory.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joannes D. Maasakkers ◽  
Daniel J. Jacob ◽  
Melissa P. Sulprizio ◽  
Tia R. Scarpelli ◽  
Hannah Nesser ◽  
...  

Abstract. We use 2010–2015 GOSAT satellite observations of atmospheric methane columns over North America in a high- resolution inversion of methane emissions, including contributions from different sectors and long-term trends. The inversion involves analytical solution to the Bayesian optimization problem for a Gaussian mixture model (GMM) of the emission field with up to 0.5° × 0.625° resolution in concentrated source regions. Analytical solution provides a closed-form characterization of the information content from the inversion and facilitates the construction of a large ensemble of solutions exploring the effect of different uncertainties and assumptions. Prior estimates for the inversion include a gridded version of the EPA Inventory of U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Sinks (GHGI) and the WetCHARTS model ensemble for wetlands. Our best estimate for mean 2010–2015 US anthropogenic emissions is 30.6 (range: 29.4–31.3) Tg a-1, slightly higher than the gridded EPA inventory (28.7 (26.4–36.2) Tg a-1). The main discrepancy is for the oil and gas production sectors where we find higher emissions than the GHGI by 35 % and 22 % respectively. The most recent version of the EPA GHGI revises downward its estimate of emissions from oil production and we find that these are a factor 2 lower than our estimate. Our best estimate of US wetland emissions is 10.2 (5.6–11.1) Tg a-1, on the low end of the prior WetCHARTS inventory uncertainty range (14.2 (3.3–32.4) Tg a-1) and calling for better understanding of these emissions. We find an increasing trend in US anthropogenic emissions over 2010–2015 of 0.4 % a-1, lower than previous GOSAT-based estimates but opposite to the decrease reported by the EPA GHGI. Most of this increase appears driven by unconventional oil/gas production in the eastern US. We also find that oil/gas production emissions in Mexico are higher than in the nationally reported inventory, though there is evidence for a 2010–2015 decrease in emissions from offshore oil production.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tia R. Scarpelli ◽  
Daniel J. Jacob ◽  
Shayna Grossman ◽  
Xiao Lu ◽  
Zhen Qu ◽  
...  

Abstract. We present an updated version of the Global Fuel Exploitation Inventory (GFEI) for methane emissions and evaluate it with results from global inversions of atmospheric methane observations from satellite (GOSAT) and in situ platforms (GLOBALVIEWplus). GFEI allocates methane emissions from oil, gas, and coal sectors and subsectors to a 0.1° × 0.1° grid by using the national emissions reported by individual countries to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) and mapping them to infrastructure locations. Our updated GFEI v2 gives annual emissions for 2010–2019 that incorporate the most recent UNFCCC national reports, new oil/gas well locations, and improved spatial distribution of emissions for Canada, Mexico, and China. Russia's oil/gas emissions decrease by 83 % in its latest UNFCCC report while Nigerian emissions increase sevenfold, reflecting changes in assumed emission factors. Global gas emissions in GFEI v2 show little net change from 2010 to 2019 while oil emissions decrease and coal emissions slightly increase. Global emissions in GFEI v2 are lower than the EDGAR v6 and IEA inventories for all sectors though there is considerable variability in the comparison for individual countries. GFEI v2 estimates higher emissions by country than the Climate TRACE inventory with notable exceptions in Russia, the US, and the Middle East. Inversion results using GFEI as a prior estimate confirm the lower Russian emissions in the latest UNFCCC report but Nigerian emissions are too high. Oil/gas emissions are generally underestimated by the national inventories for the highest emitting countries including the US, Venezuela, Uzbekistan, Canada, and Turkmenistan. Offshore emissions in GFEI tend to be overestimated. Our updated GFEI v2 provides a platform for future evaluation of national emission inventories reported to the UNFCCC using the newer generation of satellite instruments such as TROPOMI with improved coverage and spatial resolution. It responds to recent aspirations of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) to integrate top-down and bottom-up information into the construction of national emission inventories.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Regina Gonzalez Moguel ◽  
Felix Vogel ◽  
Sébastien Ars ◽  
Hinrich Schaefer ◽  
Jocelyn Turnbull ◽  
...  

Abstract. The rapidly expanding and energy intensive production from the Canadian oil sands, one of the largest oil reserves globally, accounts for almost 12 % of Canada’s greenhouse gas emissions according to inventories. Developing approaches for evaluating reported methane (CH4) emission is crucial for developing effective mitigation policies, but only one study has characterized CH4 sources in the Athabasca Oil Sands Region (AOSR). We tested the use of 14C and 13C carbon isotope measurements in ambient CH4 from the AOSR to estimate source contributions from key regional CH4 sources: (1) tailings ponds, (2) surface mines and processing facilities, and (3) wetlands. The isotopic signatures of ambient CH4 indicate that the CH4 enrichments measured at the site were mainly influenced by fossil CH4 emissions from surface mining and processing facilities (53 ± 18 %), followed by fossil CH4 emissions from tailings ponds (36 ± 18 %), and to a lesser extent by modern CH4 emissions from wetlands (10 < 1 %). Our results confirm the importance of tailings ponds in regional CH4 emissions and show that this method can successfully separate wetland CH4 emissions. In the future, the isotopic characterization of CH4 sources, and measurements from different seasons and wind directions are needed to provide a better source attribution in the AOSR.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mengyao Liu ◽  
Ronald Van der A ◽  
Michiel Van Weele ◽  
Henk Eskes ◽  
Xiao Lu ◽  
...  

&lt;p&gt;The high-resolution Tropospheric Monitoring Instrument (TROPOMI) satellite observations of atmospheric methane offer a powerful tool to identify emission hot spots and quantify regional emissions. The divergence of horizontal fluxes of NO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; has already been proven to be an efficient way to resolve and quantify high sources on a global scale. Since the lifetime of CH&lt;sub&gt;4&lt;/sub&gt; is in the order of 10 years, the sinks can be ignored at the synoptic time scale which makes the divergence method even more applicable to CH&lt;sub&gt;4 &lt;/sub&gt;than to short-lived NO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt;.&amp;#160;&lt;br&gt;Because plumes of newly emitted CH&lt;sub&gt;4 &lt;/sub&gt;disperse within the Planetary Boundary Layer (PBL), we first convert the satellite observed total column average (XCH&lt;sub&gt;4&lt;/sub&gt;) to a regional enhancement of methane in the PBL (&amp;#8710;XCH&lt;sub&gt;4_PBL&lt;/sub&gt;) by using the CAMS global methane background reanalysis fields above the PBL. These model fields represent the transport- and chemically-modulated large-scale distribution of methane. Secondly, the divergence of &amp;#8710;XCH&lt;sub&gt;4_PBL&lt;/sub&gt; is derived by the use of the wind speeds halfway within the PBL. Based on the divergence, methane emissions are estimated on a 0.25&amp;#176;&amp;#215; 0.25&amp;#176; grid. We tested our new method for Texas in the United States and quantified methane emissions from the well-known oil-gas fields in the Permian Basin, as well as from &amp;#8211; less well quantitatively established &amp;#8211; oil-gas fields located in southern coastal areas.&amp;#160;&lt;br&gt;Compared to traditional inverse methods, our method is not restricted by an a priori emission inventory and so far unidentified local sources (i.e. emissions from livestock in feed yards) may be found. Due to its computational efficiency, the method might be applied in the near future globally on the current spatial resolution.&lt;/p&gt;


2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael Buchwitz ◽  
Oliver Schneising ◽  
Maximilian Reuter ◽  
Jens Heymann ◽  
Sven Krautwurst ◽  
...  

Abstract. Methane is an important atmospheric greenhouse gas and an adequate understanding of its emission sources is needed for climate change assessments, predictions and the development and verification of emission mitigation strategies. Satellite retrievals of near-surface-sensitive column-averaged dry-air mole fractions of atmospheric methane, i.e., XCH4, can be used to quantify methane emissions. Here we present a simple and fast method to estimate emissions of methane hotspots from satellite-derived XCH4 maps. We apply this method to an ensemble of XCH4 data products consisting of two products from SCIAMACHY/ENVISAT and two products from TANSO-FTS/GOSAT covering the time period 2003–2014. We obtain annual emissions of the source areas Four Corners in the southwestern USA, for the southern part of Central Valley, California, and for Azerbaijan and Turkmenistan. We find that our estimated emissions are in good agreement with independently derived estimates for Four Corners and Azerbaijan. For the Central Valley and Turkmenistan our estimated annual emissions are higher compared to the EDGAR v4.2 anthropogenic emission inventory. For Turkmenistan we find on average about 50 % higher emissions with our annual emission uncertainty estimates overlapping with the EDGAR emissions. For the region around Bakersfield in the Central Valley we find a factor of 6–9 higher emissions compared to EDGAR albeit with large uncertainty. Major methane emission sources in this region are oil/gas and livestock. Our findings corroborate recently published studies based on aircraft and satellite measurements and new bottom-up estimates reporting significantly underestimated methane emissions of oil/gas and/or livestock in this area in inventories.


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joannes D. Maasakkers ◽  
Daniel J. Jacob ◽  
Melissa P. Sulprizio ◽  
Tia R. Scarpelli ◽  
Hannah Nesser ◽  
...  

Abstract. We use 2010–2015 observations of atmospheric methane columns from the GOSAT satellite instrument in a global inverse analysis to improve estimates of methane emissions and their trends over the period, as well as the global concentration of tropospheric OH (the hydroxyl radical, methane's main sink) and its trend. Our inversion solves the Bayesian optimization problem analytically including closed-form characterization of errors. This allows us to (1) quantify the information content from the inversion towards optimizing methane emissions and its trends, (2) diagnose error correlations between constraints on emissions and OH concentrations, and (3) generate a large ensemble of solutions testing different assumptions in the inversion. We show how the analytical approach can be used even when prior error standard deviation distributions are log-normal. Inversion results show large overestimates of Chinese coal emissions and Middle East oil/gas emissions in the EDGAR v4.3.2 inventory, but little error in the US where we use a new gridded version of the EPA national greenhouse gas inventory as prior estimate. Oil/gas emissions in the EDGAR v4.3.2 inventory show large differences with national totals reported to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) and our inversion is generally more consistent with the UNFCCC data. The observed 2010–2015 growth in atmospheric methane is attributed mostly to an increase in emissions from India, China, and areas with large tropical wetlands. The contribution from OH trends is small in comparison. We find that the inversion provides strong independent constraints on global methane emissions (546 Tg a−1) and global mean OH concentrations (atmospheric methane lifetime against oxidation by tropospheric OH of 10.8 ± 0.4 years), indicating that satellite observations of atmospheric methane could provide a proxy for OH concentrations in the future.


2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jian-Xiong Sheng ◽  
Daniel J. Jacob ◽  
Alexander J. Turner ◽  
Joannes D. Maasakkers ◽  
Joshua Benmergui ◽  
...  

Abstract. We use six years (2010–2015) of methane column observations from the Greenhouse Gases Observing Satellite (GOSAT) to examine trends in atmospheric methane concentrations over North America and infer trends in emissions. Local methane enhancements above background are diagnosed in the GOSAT data on a 0.5° × 0.5° grid by estimating the local background as the low (10th–25th) percentiles of the deseasonalized frequency distributions of the data for individual years. Trends in methane enhancements on the 0.5° × 0.5° grid are then aggregated nationally and for individual source sectors, using information from state-of-science bottom-up inventories, to increase statistical power. Our results suggest that US methane emissions increased by 2.1 ± 1.4 % a−1 (mean ± one standard deviation) over the six-year period, with contributions from both oil/gas systems (possibly unconventional oil/gas production) and from livestock in the Midwest (possibly swine manure management). Mexican emissions show a decrease that can be attributed to a decreasing cattle population. Canadian emissions show interannual variability driven by wetlands emissions and correlated with wetland areal extent. The US emission trends inferred from the GOSAT data account for about 20 % of the observed increase in global methane over the 2010–2014 period but may be too small to be detectable with surface observations from the North American Carbon Program (NACP) network.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
John C. Lin ◽  
Ryan Bares ◽  
Benjamin Fasoli ◽  
Maria Garcia ◽  
Erik Crosman ◽  
...  

AbstractMethane, a potent greenhouse gas, is the main component of natural gas. Previous research has identified considerable methane emissions associated with oil and gas production, but estimates of emission trends have been inconsistent, in part due to limited in-situ methane observations spanning multiple years in oil/gas production regions. Here we present a unique analysis of one of the longest-running datasets of in-situ methane observations from an oil/gas production region in Utah’s Uinta Basin. The observations indicate Uinta methane emissions approximately halved between 2015 and 2020, along with declining gas production. As a percentage of gas production, however, emissions remained steady over the same years, at ~ 6–8%, among the highest in the U.S. Addressing methane leaks and recovering more of the economically valuable natural gas is critical, as the U.S. seeks to address climate change through aggressive greenhouse emission reductions.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document