Wildfire Communication and Climate Risk Mitigation

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robyn S. Wilson ◽  
Sarah M. McCaffrey ◽  
Eric Toman
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Risk Management ◽  
Private Property ◽  
Risk Mitigation ◽  
Strategic Communication ◽  
Management Tool ◽  
Wildfire Risk ◽  
The Public ◽  
Resource Managers ◽  
Risk Management Process

Throughout the late 19th century and most of the 20th century, risks associated with wildfire were addressed by suppressing fires as quickly as possible. However, by the 1960s, it became clear that fire exclusion policies were having adverse effects on ecological health, as well as contributing to larger and more damaging wildfires over time. Although federal fire policy has changed to allow fire to be used as a management tool on the landscape, this change has been slow to take place, while the number of people living in high-risk wildland–urban interface communities continues to increase. Under a variety of climate scenarios, in particular for states in the western United States, it is expected that the frequency and severity of fires will continue to increase, posing even greater risks to local communities and regional economies.Resource managers and public safety officials are increasingly aware of the need for strategic communication to both encourage appropriate risk mitigation behavior at the household level, as well as build continued public support for the use of fire as a management tool aimed at reducing future wildfire risk. Household decision making encompasses both proactively engaging in risk mitigation activities on private property, as well as taking appropriate action during a wildfire event to protect personal safety. Very little research has directly explored the connection between climate-related beliefs, wildfire risk perception, and action; however, the limited existing research suggests that climate-related beliefs have little direct effect on wildfire-related action. Instead, action appears to depend on understanding the benefits of different mitigation actions and in engaging the public in interactive, participatory communication programs that build trust between the public and natural resource managers. A relatively new line of research focuses on resource managers as critical decision makers in the risk management process, pointing to the need to thoughtfully engage audiences other than the lay public to improve risk management.Ultimately, improving the decision making of both the public and managers charged with mitigating the risks associated with wildfire can be achieved by carefully addressing several common themes from the literature. These themes are to (1) promote increased efficacy through interactive learning, (2) build trust and capacity through social interaction, (3) account for behavioral constraints and barriers to action, and (4) facilitate thoughtful consideration of risk-benefit tradeoffs. Careful attention to these challenges will improve the likelihood of successfully managing the increasing risks that wildfire poses to the public and ecosystems alike in a changing climate.

A Logic-Based Risk Engineering Approach to Support the Decision-Making Process of Upstream Projects

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Roberto Vimercati ◽  
Filippo Fratoni ◽  
Karin Comploi ◽  
Mirko Petralia ◽  
Filippo Corvi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Risk Management ◽  
Cyber Security ◽  
Risk Mitigation ◽  
Energy Transition ◽  
Innovative Approach ◽  
Past Century ◽  
Project Risk ◽  
Business World ◽  
Risk Management Process

Abstract The exploration and production of hydrocarbons is undeniably a high-risk venture. Uncertainties are in every activity, from the exploration phase up to facilities construction and plants operation. To allow decision makers understanding the uncertainty associated with the decisions they were asked to face, in the 70ies of the past century, when the oil shockwaves upset the entire business world (Bood & Postma, 1997), it was introduced the use of scenario analysis. Since then, stochastic analyses, such as Monte Carlo simulations, started permeating the oil & gas world. Yet, as Lewis et al. (2004) highlighted, despite the benefit greatly outweighs the effort generally required to perform these analyses, managers not seldom refrained themselves from using these tools to support their decision-making processes. And this, as highlighted by Judah (2016), despite risk mitigation is the very core of the oil & gas business as risks at stake are many, namely: drilling risk, subsurface risk, cost & schedule risk, procurement risk, performance risk, health, safety, and environment (HSE) risk, geopolitical risk, and price risk. Today, the energy transition is imposing new challenges to the oil & gas sector. Even amongst those companies that have embraced (quantitative) structured approaches to support their investment decisions, there is another challenge to face: the integration of all risks in one approach capable of capturing the overall complexity of oil & gas projects and highlighting the effects of variations of both endogenous and exogenous risks on the overall profitability of the opportunity at stake (or the portfolio of opportunities). Risks are typically assessed separately by each function with different quantitative approaches that leave grey zones of interpretation where inter-functional risks can grow and create decisional inefficiencies. Aware of this, Eni integrated risk management, started last year a project aimed at enhancing the project risk management process. The innovative approach followed leverages on artificial logic and allows to consider the full life cycle of an investment proposal. In line with the evolution of company's mission and vision, the aim was to assess the project risk in a more comprehensive way by considering endogenous risks (such as permits, drilling, engineering, procurement, construction) jointly with exogenous ones (such as climate change, cyber security, credit, and country). The manuscript explains the methodology used, the results achieved, and the expected benefit for the company in adopting the innovative approach to risk engineering in supporting investments decisions.

scholarly journals O contrato de seguro de responsabilidade civil para diretores e gestores na administração pública direta no Brasil

2019 ◽  
Vol 278 (3) ◽  
pp. 87
Author(s):  
Alexandre Marques da Silva Martins ◽  
Osiris Vargas Pellanda
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Risk Management ◽  
Corporate Governance ◽  
Economic Analysis ◽  
Public Administration ◽  
Civil Liability ◽  
Liability Insurance ◽  
Management Tool ◽  
The Public ◽  
Directors And Officers

<p>Directors and Officers Liability Insurance (D&amp;O) contracted by the direct public administration in Brazil</p><p> </p><p>O presente artigo pretende oferecer uma análise sobre os aspectos relacionados com a contratação de seguros de responsabilidade civil para diretores e gestores públicos (D&amp;O) pela administração pública direta no Brasil. Neste contexto, proceder-se-á a uma investigação dos fundamentos do seguro de responsabilidade civil que, por conseguinte, permitirá esclarecer as nuances do D&amp;O cujos beneficiários são diretores e agentes públicos que gozam de alta discricionariedade em processos decisórios. Assim, será demonstrado que, se um governo deseja utilizar de maneira eficiente o D&amp;O, que é uma ferramenta de gerenciamento de risco, é necessária não só a aplicação da análise econômica do direito e de princípios de governança corporativa, mas também de princípios que regem a administração pública em seus negócios jurídicos.</p><p> </p><p>This article aims to analyze the Directors and Officers Liability Insurance (D&amp;O) contracted by the direct public administration in Brazil. In this context, an understanding of the underpinnings of civil liability insurance sheds light on the nuances of the D&amp;O, whose beneficiaries are usually managers and public agents enjoying high-discretion decision-making power. Hence, this study will demonstrate that if a government wishes to make efficient use of D&amp;O, a risk management tool, it is necessary to apply not only the Economic Analysis of the Law and principles of corporate governance but also general principles governing the public administration in its transactions.</p>

Water Management by Farmers

2018 ◽  
pp. 796-813
Author(s):  
Laurence Smith
Keyword(s):  
Water Management ◽  
Decision Making ◽  
Stakeholder Participation ◽  
Coordination Mechanisms ◽  
Policy Mix ◽  
The Public ◽  
Multifunctional Land Use ◽  
Resource Managers ◽  
Policy Challenge ◽  
Communication And Coordination

Analyzing the public policy challenge of multifunctional land use, for which farmers are required to be food producers, water resource managers and environmental stewards, it is argued that a location-sensitive policy mix is required, consisting of appropriate regulation complemented by advice provision, voluntarism, and well-targeted incentive schemes. The case is further made for adaptive management, local deliberation and stakeholder participation, and hence for governance that is open, delegated, and collaborative. Assessment, planning, and decision making need to be delegated to the most appropriate governmental level and spatial scale to achieve desired outcomes, whilst effective mechanisms for vertical and horizontal coordination of the resulting multilevel and polycentric governance are essential. Hydrographic catchments have significant advantages as spatial units for analysis, planning, coordination, and policy delivery. However, catchment-based working creates further need for cross-level, sector, and scale communication and coordination. Mechanisms for this merit further attention.

scholarly journals Analysis of the Risk Management Process on the Development of the Public Sector Information Technology Master Plan

Information ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 9 (10) ◽  
pp. 248 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sérgio Andrade deFreitas ◽  
Edna Canedo ◽  
Rodrigo Santos Felisdório ◽  
Heloise Leão
Keyword(s):  
Risk Management ◽  
Public Sector ◽  
Information And Communication Technology ◽  
Communication Technology ◽  
Master Plan ◽  
Public And Private ◽  
The Public ◽  
Management Processes ◽  
Risk Management Process ◽  
Information And Communication

The Information and Communication Technology Master Plan—ICTMP—is an important tool for the achievement of the strategic business objectives of public and private organizations. In the public sector, these objectives are closely related to the provision of benefits to society. Information and Communication Technology (ICT) actions are present in all organizational processes and involves size-able budgets. The risks inherent in the planning of ICT actions need to be considered for ICT to add value to the business and to maximize the return on investment to the population. In this context, this work intends to examine the use of risk management processes in the development of ICTMPs in the Brazilian public sector.

scholarly journals Impact of Quality Risk Management Process in Pharmaceutical Industry to Curtail the Non Conformity

2013 ◽  
Vol 11 (01) ◽  
pp. 74-82
Author(s):  
Aachchhadita Sharma ◽  
Raju Mari Jeyaprakash ◽  
Raju Mari Jeyaprakash ◽  
Rinchi Bora ◽  
Abinash Chandra
Keyword(s):  
Risk Management ◽  
Risk Mitigation ◽  
Drug Product ◽  
Management Process ◽  
Ground Rule ◽  
Quality Risk Management ◽  
Risk Management Process ◽  
Regulatory Bodies ◽  
Quality Risk ◽  
Risk Scale

Risk is intertwined with every drug product in a market. This article’s intent is to provide ground rule and praxis of different tools for Quality Risk Management (QRM) in various aspects of pharmaceutical science. QRM comprises of tools and processes which helps in establishing objectives. Hence they are also known as Enablers. Enablers help in risk mitigation of product quality throughout a lifecycle in such a way that benefit outweighs the risk. The key properties of Enablers or QRM, i.e., attempts made, solemnness and records shall be compatible with risk scale. The Enablers accomplishment gives recognized, obvious and steps of Enabler process produced by regeneratable methods which is based on customary comprehension to evaluate feasibility, ability to find out risk prejudice. The QRM or Enabler tools can assist the manufacturing company and regulatory bodies to scrutinize, handle, notify, and inspect the risk.

Integration of a Risk Management Tool and an Analytical Simulator for Assisted Decision-Making in IOR

2006 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vladimir Alvarado ◽  
Eva-Maria Reich ◽  
Yi Yunfeng ◽  
Klaus Potsch
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Risk Management ◽  
Management Tool

scholarly journals Development of methodological approaches to establishing an integrated risk management framework for leasing transactions in Ukraine

2017 ◽  
pp. 49-63
Author(s):  
Anzhela Kuznietsova ◽  
Oleksandr Levchenko
Keyword(s):  
Risk Management ◽  
Product Life Cycle ◽  
Risk Mitigation ◽  
Management Framework ◽  
Risk Management Framework ◽  
Integrated Risk ◽  
Credit Mechanism ◽  
Risk Management Process ◽  
Low Efficiency ◽  
Integrated Risk Management

Based on studies of domestic and foreign researchers, the article gives a modified and extended classification of risks related to leasing transactions which includes a new classify cation attribute ‘by types of leasing activities’ (in terms of risk management). Risk mitigation techniques for leasing transactions are described in detail, as well as their essence, ways of introducing and expected outcomes. The advantages of securitization are summarized and key reasons for low efficiency of this method in the domestic leasing market are identified. For these reasons, the domestic stock market is less developed and Ukraine’s current legislation on leasing is imperfect. It is pointed out that success in development of Ukraine’s financial market relies on the growth of leasing along with the efficiency of financial and credit mechanism that supports leasing transactions and determines the quality of risk management framework as an integral part of such a mechanism. The process of risk management for leasing transactions is formalized. A comparative analysis of fragmentary and complex approaches applied in Ukraine towards establishing a risk management framework for leasing companies is undertaken. The paper justifies the necessity of establishing an integrated risk management framework for leasing transactions as part of financial and credit mechanism that supports leasing transactions. The need for establishing such a framework is driven by the following market trends: globalization; increased competition; company consolidation; product standardization; product life cycle decrease; technological innovation; increased attention to risks given by the state, society, stockholders and board of directors. It is stated that establishing an integrated risk management framework for leasing transactions involves the following progressive steps: setting goals and targets, identifying and evaluating risks, planning for potential risks, monitoring risks and introducing risk management process. The article highlights the main goal of an integrated risk management framework for leasing transactions, long-term tasks for achieving this goal, major function that the framework should perform and principles that it should preserve.

Risk Communication, A Component of an Integrated Risk Management Process for Pipeline Operators

1996 ◽  
Author(s):  
David C. DeGagne
Keyword(s):  
Risk Management ◽  
Risk Communication ◽  
Management Plan ◽  
Acceptable Level ◽  
External View ◽  
The Public ◽  
Integrated Risk ◽  
Risk Management Process ◽  
Integrated Risk Management ◽  
Level Of Risk

It is essential in today’s socio-economic environment that pipeline operators adopt and utilize a comprehensive approach to managing technical, environmental, economic and public safety risks associated with their business. Clearly, this type of approach to risk management would be integrated and include a variety of considerations. For example, one is the technical assessment of the level of safety or risk inherent within the system itself. Another, is the external view held of that system. While the physical system and its associated risk can be identified, evaluated and to some extent controlled, the external view of the risk, however, is an entirely different matter. Making important decisions about risk requires that both the external and internal views be in agreement. When this is not the case, an integrated management plan needs to include a risk communication component. Simply, risk communication is the purposeful exchange of information about the existence, nature, form, severity or acceptability of risks.1 An effective risk communication strategy will be able to gauge the political and social reaction to a project. If pipeline operators try to establish what a project’s acceptable level of risk is without a purposeful exchange of information with the community the effort will likely fail. The need to look at the “big picture” is paramount. All factors which affect the outcome of the project need to be understood and, in some way, contribute meaningfully to the final product. The most overlooked aspect in risk management is the qualitative assessment of “how does the public perceive the risk?”. Risk analysts use many basic technical assumptions in their risk assessments. They allow their training and faith in the science to be sufficient indicators of the real risk. The public, on the other hand, view risk from a completely different perspective and set of values. Consequently, when attempts are made to quantitatively determine “what is an acceptable level of risk” the outcome must be viewed as incomplete, lacking the critical external input. Experience suggests that the only ones who can truly determine what is an acceptable level of risk are those who must ultimately accept that risk. This is where the power of effective risk communication can play a significant role in the risk management process. While risk analysis can help in understanding the potential of a risk, effective risk communication and public outreach are necessary in understanding the perceptions and concerns of the community. It seems ironic that corporations dedicate tremendous resources deriving a mathematical estimate of risk that most in the community cannot comprehend much less believe what the numbers are supposed to tell them. This paper will help to explain the fundamentals of risk communication, its ethical use and methods for developing a strategy for outreach programs as part of an integrated risk management plan.

scholarly journals Developing Behavioral and Evidence-Based Programs for Wildfire Risk Mitigation

Fire ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (4) ◽  
pp. 66
Author(s):  
Hilary Byerly ◽  
James R. Meldrum ◽  
Hannah Brenkert-Smith ◽  
Patricia Champ ◽  
Jamie Gomez ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Experimental Design ◽  
Private Property ◽  
Behavioral Science ◽  
Risk Mitigation ◽  
Low Cost ◽  
Research Report ◽  
Evidence Based ◽  
Wildfire Risk ◽  
Property Owners ◽  
Evidence Based Programs

The actions of residents in the wildland–urban interface can influence the private and social costs of wildfire. Wildfire programs that encourage residents to take action are often delivered without evidence of effects on behavior. Research from the field of behavioral science shows that simple, often low-cost changes to program design and delivery can influence socially desirable behaviors. In this research report, we highlight how behavioral science and experimental design may advance efforts to increase wildfire risk mitigation on private property. We offer an example in which we tested changes in outreach messaging on property owners’ interest in wildfire risk information. In partnership with a regional wildfire organization, we mailed 4564 letters directing property owners to visit personalized wildfire risk webpages. By tracking visitation, we observed that 590 letter recipients (12%) sought information about their wildfire risk and response varied by community. This research–practice collaboration has three benefits: innovation in outreach, evidence of innovation through experimental design, and real impacts on interest in wildfire mitigation among property owners. Future collaborations may inform behavioral and evidence-based programs to better serve residents and the public interest as the risks from wildfires are projected to grow.

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