P5649Impact of atrial fibrillation detected by implantable cardioverter-defibrillators on future stroke events in patients with heart failure

2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
M Nakano ◽  
Y Kondo ◽  
M Nakano ◽  
T Kajiyama ◽  
T Hayashi ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common type of arrhythmia. AF-related stroke tends to be more severe, and the mortality rate is higher compared with stroke without AF. The definition of AF in patients with implanted cardioverter-defibrillators (ICDs) is not clear and the appropriate treatment guideline for patients with AF episode has not established yet. Recent ICDs have led to an improvement in the early detection of AF episodes, especially in patients who are asymptomatic. Previous studies showed that atrial high-rate episodes (AHREs) detected by cardiac implantable electronic devices are associated with embolic stroke events. However, little is known about the incidence of AF and stroke events in Japanese heart failure patients with an ICD. Objective The purpose of this study was to identify the incidence of embolic stroke events in heart failure patients with and without AF events detected by ICDs and examine the risk factors of embolic stroke events. Methods We retrospectively analyzed the database of our hospital. Every 6 months, AF events were checked by ICDs. AF30 was defined as AF episodes lasting for ≥30 seconds detected by ICDs. We examined the characteristics and incidence of embolic stroke events and investigated the relationship between AF30 and the incidence of embolic stroke events. Results We enrolled 215 consecutive patients who had no prior AF and took no anticoagulant in this study (follow-up period, 58±35 months; age, 62±15 years; male sex, 75%). The mean CHADS2 score and CHA2DS2-VASc score were 2.4±0.8 points and 3.8±1.2 points, respectively. The mean HAS-BLED score was 2.1±1.0 points. During the follow-up, 14 of 215 patients (6.5%) had embolic stroke events. Nine patients (5.8%/year) and 5 patients (0.65%/year) had embolic stroke events with and without AF30, respectively. The comparison of characteristics among patients with and without embolic stroke events was shown in Table. In multivariate logistic regression analysis, independent predictors for embolic stroke events were new-onset episode of AF30 (odd ratio [OR] 21, 95% confidence interval [CI] 4.8–120, P<0.0001) and an enlarged left atrium ≥40mm (OR 14, 95% CI 2.2–304, P=0.0029). Conclusions Embolic stroke events were common in Japanese heart failure patients with an ICD. AF30 and enlarged left atrium were the risk factors of embolic stroke events in this population. Therefore, when physicians detect new-onset AF in patients with an ICD, they should consider a comprehensive assessment of the risk and benefit of prescribing an anticoagulant.

2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
M Nakano ◽  
Y Kondo ◽  
M Nakano ◽  
T Kajiyama ◽  
T Hayashi ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common type of arrhythmia. AF-related stroke tends to be more severe, and the mortality rate is higher compared with stroke without AF. The definition of AF in patients with cardiac implantable electronic devices (CIEDs) is not clear and the appropriate treatment guideline for patients with AF episode has not established yet. Recent CIEDs have led to an improvement in the early detection of AF episodes, especially in patients who are asymptomatic. Previous studies showed that atrial high-rate episodes (AHREs) detected by CIEDs are associated with embolic stroke events. However, little is known about the incidence of AF and stroke events in Japanese patients with CIEDs who have no prior AF and take no anticoagulant. Objective The purpose of this study was to identify the incidence of embolic stroke events in patients with and without AF events detected by CIEDs and examine the risk factors of embolic stroke events. Methods We retrospectively analyzed the database of our hospital. Every 6 months, AF events were checked by CIEDs. AF30 was defined as AF episodes lasting for ≥30 seconds detected by CIEDs. We examined the characteristics and incidence of embolic stroke events and investigated the relationship between AF30 and the incidence of embolic stroke events. Results We enrolled 348 consecutive patients who had no prior AF and took no anticoagulant in this study (follow-up period, 65±58 months; age, 70±16 years; male sex; 64%; defibrillator, 55%). The mean CHADS2 score and CHA2DS2-VASc score were 1.8±1.1 points and 2.8±1.5 points, respectively. The mean HAS-BLED score was 1.7±1.2 points. During the follow-up, 23 of 348 patients (6.6%) had embolic stroke events. Thirteen patients (4.1%/year) and 10 patients (0.63%/year) had embolic stroke events with and without AF30, respectively. The comparison of characteristics among patients with and without embolic stroke events was shown in Table. In multivariate logistic regression analysis, independent predictors for embolic stroke events were new-onset episode of AF30 (odd ratio [OR] 5.3, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.2–13, P=0.0003) and an enlarged left atrium ≥40mm (OR 3.1, 95% CI 1.2–7.9, P=0.016). Conclusions Embolic stroke events were common in Japanese patients with CIEDs. AF30 and enlarged left atrium were risk factors of embolic stroke events in this population. Therefore, when physicians detect new-onset AF in patients with CIEDs, they should consider a comprehensive assessment of the risk and benefit of prescribing an anticoagulant.


2021 ◽  
Vol 42 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Y Hamatani ◽  
M Iguchi ◽  
K Minami ◽  
K Ishigami ◽  
S Ikeda ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Atrial fibrillation (AF) increases the risk of hospitalization for heart failure (HF), as well as that of thromboembolism. The strategy for prediction of thromboembolism has been well-established; however, little focus has been placed on the risk stratification for and prevention of HF hospitalization in AF patients. Purpose The aim of this study is to investigate the predictors and risk model of HF hospitalization in non-valvular AF patients without pre-existing HF. Methods The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective survey of AF patients in Fushimi-ku, Kyoto, Japan. The inclusion criterion of the registry is the documentation of AF at 12-lead electrocardiogram or Holter monitoring at any time, and there are no exclusion criteria. We started to enroll patients from March 2011, and follow-up data were available for 4,472 patients by the end of October 2020. From the registry, we excluded patients without a pre-existing HF (defined as having one of the following; prior hospitalization for HF, New York Heart Association class ≥2, or left ventricular ejection fraction [LVEF] &lt;40%), and those with valvular AF (mitral stenosis or prosthetic heart valve). Among 3,188 non-valvular AF patients without pre-existing HF, we explored the risk factors for the HF hospitalization during follow-up period. The risk model for predicting HF hospitalization was determined by the cumulative numbers of risk factors which were significant on multivariate analysis. Results The mean age was 72.4±10.8 years, 1197 were female and 1787 were paroxysmal AF. The mean CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores were 1.7±1.2 and 2.9±1.6, respectively. During the median follow-up period of 5.1 years, HF hospitalization occurred in 285 (8.9%), corresponding to an annual incidence of 1.8 events per 100 person-years. In multivariable Cox regression analysis, advanced age (≥75 years), valvular heart disease, coronary artery disease, reduced LVEF (&lt;60%), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and anemia were independently associated with the higher incidence of HF hospitalization (all P&lt;0.001) (Picture 1). A risk model based on these 6 variables could stratify the incidence of HF hospitalization during follow-up period (log-rank; P&lt;0.001) (Picture 2). Patients with ≥3 risk factors had an 11-fold higher incidence of HF hospitalization compared with those not having any of these risk factors (hazard ratio: 11.3, 95% confidence interval: 7.0–18.4; P&lt;0.001). Conclusions Advanced age, coronary artery disease, valvular heart disease, reduced LVEF, COPD and anemia were independently associated with the risk of HF hospitalization in AF patients without pre-existing HF. There was good prediction for endpoint of HF hospitalization using these 6 variables, providing the opportunities for the implementation of strategies to reduce the incidence of HF among AF patients. FUNDunding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: None.


2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Y Hamatani ◽  
M Iguchi ◽  
Y Aono ◽  
K Ishigami ◽  
S Ikeda ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Atrial fibrillation (AF) increases the risk of death, stroke/systemic embolism and heart failure (HF). Plasma natriuretic peptide (NP) level is an important prognostic marker in HF patients. However, little is known regarding the prognostic significance of plasma NP level in AF patients without HF. Purpose The aim of this study is to investigate the relationship between plasma NP level and clinical outcomes such as all-cause death, stroke/systemic embolism and HF hospitalization during follow-up period in AF patients without HF. Methods The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective survey of AF patients in our city. The inclusion criterion of the registry is the documentation of AF at 12-lead electrocardiogram or Holter monitoring at any time, and there are no exclusion criteria. We started to enroll patients from March 2011, and follow-up data were available for 4,466 patients by the end of November 2019. From the registry, we excluded 1,220 patients without a pre-existing HF (defined as having one of the following; prior hospitalization for HF, New York Heart Association class ≥2, or left ventricular ejection fraction &lt;40%). Among 3,246 AF patients without HF, we investigated 1,189 patients with the data of plasma BNP (n=401) or N-terminal pro-BNP (n=788) level at the enrollment. We divided the patients according to the quartile of each plasma BNP or NT-pro BNP level and compared the backgrounds and outcomes between these 4 groups stratified by plasma NP level. Results Of 1,189 patients, the mean age was 72.1±10.2 years, 454 (38%) were female and 684 (58%) were paroxysmal AF. The mean CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc score were 1.6±1.1 and 2.9±1.5, respectively. Oral anticoagulants were prescribed in 671 (56%) at baseline. The median (interquartile range) BNP and N-terminal pro-BNP level were 84 (38, 176) and 500 (155, 984) pg/ml, respectively. Patients with high plasma NP level were older, and demonstrated lower prevalence of paroxysmal AF, higher CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores and higher prevalence of chronic kidney disease and oral anticoagulants prescription (all P&lt;0.01). A total of 165 all-cause death, 114 stroke/systemic embolism and 103 HF hospitalization occurred during the median follow-up period of 5.0 years. Kaplan-Meier curves demonstrated that higher plasma NP level was significantly associated with the incidences of all-cause death, stroke/systemic embolism and HF hospitalization in AF patients without HF (Figure 1A). Multivariable Cox regression analysis revealed that plasma NP level could stratify the risk of clinical outcomes even after adjustment by type of AF, CHA2DS2-VASc score, chronic kidney disease and oral anticoagulant prescription (Figure 1B). Conclusion Plasma NP level is a significant prognostic marker for all-cause death, stroke/systemic embolism and HF hospitalization in AF patients without HF, suggesting the importance of measuring plasma NP level in AF patients even without HF. Figure 1 Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: None


2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
S.L Xu ◽  
J Luo ◽  
H.Q Li ◽  
Z.Q Li ◽  
B.X Liu ◽  
...  

Abstract Background New-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) complicating acute myocardial infarction (AMI) has been associated with poor survival, but the clinical implication of NOAF on subsequent heart failure (HF) is still not well studied. We aimed to investigate the relationship between NOAF following AMI and HF hospitalization. Methods This retrospective cohort study was conducted between February 2014 and March 2018, using data from the New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation Complicating Acute Myocardial Infarction in ShangHai registry, where all participants did not have a documented AF history. Patients with AMI who discharged alive and had complete echocardiography and follow-up data were analyzed. The primary outcome was HF hospitalization, which was defined as a minimum of an overnight hospital stay of a participant who presented with symptoms and signs of HF or received intravenous diuretics. Results A total of 2075 patients were included, of whom 228 developed NOAF during the index AMI hospitalization. During up to 5 years of follow-up (median: 2.7 years), 205 patients (9.9%) experienced HF hospitalization and 220 patients (10.6%) died. The incidence rate of HF hospitalization among patients with NOAF was 18.4% per year compared with 2.8% per year for those with sinus rhythm. After adjustment for confounders, NOAF was significantly associated with HF hospitalization (hazard ratio [HR]: 3.14, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.30–4.28; p&lt;0.001). Consistent result was observed after accounting for the competing risk of all-cause death (subdistribution HR: 3.06, 95% CI: 2.18–4.30; p&lt;0.001) or performing a propensity score adjusted multivariable model (HR: 3.28, 95% CI: 2.39–4.50; p&lt;0.001). Furthermore, the risk of HF hospitalization was significantly higher in patients with persistent NOAF (HR: 5.81; 95% CI: 3.59–9.41) compared with that in those with transient NOAF (HR: 2.61; 95% CI: 1.84–3.70; p interaction = 0.008). Conclusion NOAF complicating AMI is strongly associated with an increased long-term risk of heart. Cumulative incidence of outcome Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): 1. National Natural Science Foundation of China, 2. Natural Science Foundation of Shanghai


2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
M Polovina ◽  
I Milinkovic ◽  
G Krljanac ◽  
I Veljic ◽  
I Petrovic-Djordjevic ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Type 2 diabetes (T2DM) portends adverse prognosis in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). Whether T2DM independently increases the risk of incident heart failure (HF) in AF is uncertain. Also, HF phenotype developing in patients with vs. those without T2DM has not been characterised. Purpose In AF patients without a history of prior HF, we aimed to assess: 1) the impact of T2DM on the risk of new-onset HF; and 2) the association between T2DM and HF phenotype developing during the prospective follow-up. Methods We included diabetic and non-diabetic AF patients, without a history of HF. Baseline T2DM status was inferred from medical history, haemoglobin A1c levels and oral glucose tolerance test. Study outcome was the first hospital admission or emergency department treatment for new-onset HF during the prospective follow-up. The phenotype of new-onset HF was determined by echocardiographic exam performed following clinical stabilisation (at hospital discharge, or within a month after HF diagnosis). HF phenotype was defined as HFrEF (left ventricular ejection fraction [LVEF] <40%), HFmrEF (LVEF 40–49%) or HFpEF (LVEF≥50%). Cox regression analyses adjusted for age, sex, baseline LVEF, comorbidities, smoking status, alcohol intake, AF type (paroxysmal vs. non-paroxysmal) and T2DM treatment was used to analyse the association between T2DM and incident HF. Results Among 1,288 AF patients without prior HF (mean age: 62.1±12.7 years; 61% male), T2DM was present in 16.5%. Diabetic patients had higher mean baseline LVEF compared with nondiabetic patients (50.0±6.2% vs. 57.6±9.0%; P<0.001). During the median 5.5-year follow-up, new-onset HF occurred in 12.4% of patients (incidence rate, 2.9; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.5–3.3 per 100 patient-years). Compared with non-diabetic patients, those with T2DM had a hazard ratio of 2.1 (95% CI, 1.6–2.8; P<0.001) for new-onset HF, independent of baseline LVEF or other factors. In addition, diabetic patients had a significantly greater decline in covariate-adjusted mean LVEF (−10.4%; 95% CI, −9.8% to −10.8%) at follow-up, compared with nondiabetic patients (−4.0%; 95% CI, −3.8% to −4.2%), P<0.001. The distribution of HF phenotypes at follow-up is presented in Figure. Among patients with T2DM, HFrEF (56.9%) was the most common phenotype of HF, whereas in patients without T2DM, HF mostly took the phenotype of HFpEF (75.0%). Conclusions T2DM is associated with an independent risk of new-onset HF in patients with AF and confers a greater decline in LVEF compared to individuals without T2DM. HFrEF was the most prevalent presenting phenotype of HF in AF patients with T2DM.


2021 ◽  
Vol 42 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
T Nishimura ◽  
K Senoo ◽  
I Hibiki ◽  
T Okura ◽  
T Miki ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with increased risks of stroke and heart failure. AF risk prediction can facilitate the efficient deployment of diagnosis or interventions to prevent AF. Purpose We sought to assess the combination prediction value of Holter electrocardiogram (Holter ECG) and the CHARGE-AF score (Cohorts for Aging and Research in Genomic Epidemiology-AF) for the new-onset of AF in a single center study. We also investigated the association between clinical findings and the new-onset of cerebral cardiovascular events. Methods From January 2008 and May 2014, 1246 patients with aged≥20 undergoing Holter ECG for palpitations, dizziness, or syncope were recruited. Among them, 350 patients were enrolled in this study after exclusion of 1) AF history at the time of inspection or before, 2) post cardiac device implantation, 3) follow-up duration &lt;1 year, and 4) no 12-lead ECG records within 6 months around Holter ECG. Results During the 5.9-year follow-up, 40 patients (11.4%) developed AF incidence. Multivariate cox regression analysis revealed that CHARGE-AF score (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.59, 95% confidence interval (95% CI): 1.13–2.26, P&lt;0.01), BMI (HR: 0.91, 95% CI: 0.83–0.99, P=0.03), frequent supraventricular extrasystoles (SVEs) ≥1000 beats/day (HR: 4.87, 95% CI: 2.59–9.13, P&lt;0.001) and first-degree AV block (HR: 3.52, 95% CI: 1.63–7.61, P&lt;0.01) were significant independent predictors for newly AF. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) of the combination of the CHARGE-AF score and frequent SVEs (≥1000) was greater than the CHARGE-AF score alone (0.73, 95% CI: 0.64–0.82 vs 0.66, 95% CI: 0.56–0.75, respectively). On the ROC curve, the CHARGE-AF score of 12.9 was optimum cut-off value for newly AF. Patients with both the CHARGE-AF score≥12.9 and SVEs≥1000 developed AF at 129.0/1000 person-years, compared with those with the CHARGE-AF score&lt;12.9 and SVEs≥1000 (48.9), the CHARGE-AF score≥12.9 and SVEs&lt;1000 (40.0) and the CHARGE-AF score&lt;12.9 and SVEs&lt;1000 (7.4), respectively. In multivariate cox regression analysis, age, past history of congestive heart failure and myocardial infarction, and antihypertensive medication were significant predictors of cerebral cardiovascular events (n=43), all of which signifying the components of the CHARGE-AF score. The AUC of the combination of the CHARGE-AF score and frequent SVEs (≥1000) was not different from the CHARGE-AF score alone (0.73, 95% CI: 0.64–0.81 vs 0.73, 95% CI: 0.64–0.82, respectively). Conclusion CHARGE-AF score has higher predictive power of both the new incident AF and cerebral cardiovascular events. The combination of CHARGE-AF score and SVEs≥1000 beats/day in Holter ECG can demonstrate the additional effect of prediction ability for the new incident AF, but not for cerebral cardiovascular events. FUNDunding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: None.


Circulation ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 130 (suppl_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Parin J Patel ◽  
Yuliya Borovskiy ◽  
Anthony Killian ◽  
Francis E Marchlinski ◽  
Rajat Deo

Introduction: Clinical studies have demonstrated that blacks have a lower prevalence and incidence of atrial fibrillation (AF) compared with whites. Given the strong biologic associations between AF and congestive heart failure (CHF), we hypothesized that the racial disparity for incident AF is attenuated in CHF patients. Methods: The University of Pennsylvania Atrial Fibrillation Free-Congestive Heart Failure (PAFF-CHF) Cohort is a large, multi-hospital retrospective cohort of individuals with clinical CHF and without AF at index visit. Baseline demographic and clinical parameters were obtained, and medical records were queried for incident outcomes. The primary outcome was incident AF, which was defined as a clinical or ECG diagnosis of AF on any follow up encounter. Results: Of 5,131 patients in PAFF-CHF, there were 2,037 blacks (40%) and 3,094 whites (60%). Median follow up time was 4.5 years (1.8, 5.9), with blacks having significantly longer follow up (4.7 v 4.2 yr, p < 0.001). During this follow-up, 851 subjects (16%) developed AF, with rates of 5.1 per 100 person years in whites and 4.9 per 100 person years in blacks (p = 0.8). Time independent risk factors for developing AF included male gender (OR 1.42 [95% CI 1.22 - 1.65], p < 0.001); LBBB on index ECG (1.32 [1.01 - 1.72], p = 0.04); and black race (OR 1.31 [1.13 - 1.52], p < 0.001). In a regression model of traditional risk factors for AF including age, gender, hypertension, coronary artery disease, diabetes, and renal insufficiency, black race remained an independent risk factor for AF (OR 1.45 [1.23 - 1.70], p < 0.001). Finally, time to event analysis showed no difference in freedom from AF and no difference in freedom from AF or death (Figure). Conclusions: In a large cohort of HF patients, incident AF was similar in blacks and whites. Although prior studies have indicated a low prevalence and incidence of AF in blacks compared with whites, the development of AF appears to be a common finding in both races after a diagnosis of CHF.


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