P468Pre-diabetes a new risk factor for stroke in non-valvular atrial fibrillation

EP Europace ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 22 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
L Kezerle ◽  
M A Tsadok ◽  
A Akriv ◽  
B Feldman ◽  
M Leventer-Roberts ◽  
...  

Abstract Funding Acknowledgements Pfizer Israel Background Diabetes mellitus is a well-established independent risk factor for embolic complications in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF). The association between prediabetes and risk of ischemic stroke, however, has not been studied separately in patients with NVAF. Purpose To evaluate whether pre-diabetes is associated with increased risk of stroke and death in patients with NVAF Methods We conducted a prospective, historical cohort study using the Clalit Health Services (CHS) electronic medical records database. The study population included all CHS members ≥ 21 years old, with a first diagnosis of NVAF between January 1 2010 to December 31 2016 and a minimal follow-up period of 1 year. We compared three groups of patients:  prediabetes, those with established DM, and normoglycemic individuals Results A total of 44,451 cases were identified. The median age was 75 years and 52.5% were women. During a mean follow up of 38 months, the incidence of stroke per 100 person-years in the three study groups was: 1.14 in non-diabetics, 1.40 in pre-diabetics and 2.15 in diabetics. In both univariate and multivariate analyses, pre-diabetes was associated with an increased risk of stroke compared with non-diabetics (Adjusted Hazard Ratio (HR) = 1.19 {95% CI 1.01-1.4}) even after adjusting for CHA2DS2-VASC individual risk factors and use of oral anti-coagulants while diabetes conferred an even higher risk (vs non-diabetics { HR = 1.56, 95% CI ;1.37 - 1.79}). The risk for mortality was higher for diabetics (HR =1.47,  95% CI ;1.41, 1.54}) but not for pre-diabetics (HR = 0.98 ,CI 95%; 0.92 - 1.03). Conclusion: In this observational cohort of patients with incident newly diagnosed patients with NVAF, pre-diabetes was associated with an increased risk of stroke even after accounting for other recognized risk factors. Abstract Figure. Kaplan-Meier for stroke-free survival

EP Europace ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 22 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
L Kezerle ◽  
M A Tsadok ◽  
A Akriv ◽  
B Feldman ◽  
M Leventer-Roberts ◽  
...  

Abstract Funding Acknowledgements Pfizer Israel Background Diabetes mellitus (DM) is associated with increased risk of embolic complications in non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF). Whether the risk of stroke in AF patients remains the same among the wide spectrum of disease is yet to be determined. Aim Among individuals with AF and DM, to assess the incidence rates and risk of ischemic stroke and mortality by baseline HbA1C levels. Methods We conducted a prospective, historical cohort study using the Clalit Health Services (CHS) electronic medical records database. The study population included all CHS members ≥ 21 years old, with a first diagnosis of NVAF between January 1, 2010 to December 31, 2016 and a minimal follow-up period of 1 year. Among those patients identified as diabetics, we compared three groups of patients according to HBA1C levels at the time of AF diagnosis: <7.0%, between 7-9% and ≥ 9%. Results A total of 44,451 cases were identified. The median age was 75 years (IQR 65-83) and 52.5% were women. During a mean follow up of 38 months, the incidence of stroke per 100 person-years in the three study groups was: 1.9 in patients with HBA1C <7%, 2.37 in the intermediary group and 2.72 in those with HBA1C >9%. In both univariate and multivariate analyses, higher levels of HBA1C were associated with an increased risk of stroke compared with a dose-dependent response when compared to individuals with HBA1C <7% (Adjusted Hazard Ratio (AHR) = 1.32 {95% CI 1.12-1.55}for levels between 7-9% and AHR 1.64 {95% CI 1.28-2.09}) even after adjusting for CHA2DS2-VASC individual risk factors and use of oral anti-coagulants. The risk for overall mortality did not differ significantly between groups, with a slight elevation in the HBA1C >9% group after adjusted analysis {aHR = 1.17 (1.07- 1.28)} Conclusion: In this observational cohort of patients with incident newly diagnosed nonvalvular atrial fibrillation, HBA1C levels were associated with an increased risk of stroke in a dose-dependent manner even after accounting for other recognized risk factors for stroke in this population. Abstract Figure. Kaplan-Meier for stroke-free survival


2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Roberto Lorbeer ◽  
Susanne Rospleszcz ◽  
Christopher L. Schlett ◽  
Sophia D. Rado ◽  
Barbara Thorand ◽  
...  

Abstract Background The association of longitudinal trajectories of cardiovascular risk factors with cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR)-measures of cardiac structure and function in the community is not well known. Therefore we aimed to relate risk factor levels from different examination cycles to CMR-measures of the left ventricle (LV) and right ventricle in a population-based cohort. Methods We assessed conventional cardiovascular disease risk factors in 349 participants (143 women; aged 25–59 years) at three examination cycles (Exam 1 [baseline], at Exam 2 [7-years follow-up] and at Exam 3 [14-years follow-up]) of the KORA S4 cohort and related single-point measurements of individual risk factors and longitudinal trajectories of these risk factors to various CMR-measures obtained at Exam 3. Results High levels of diastolic blood pressure, waist circumference, and LDL-cholesterol at the individual exams were associated with worse cardiac function and structure. Trajectory clusters representing higher levels of the individual risk factors were associated with worse cardiac function and structure compared to low risk trajectory clusters of individual risk factors. Multivariable (combining different risk factors) trajectory clusters were associated with different cardiac parameters in a graded fashion (e.g. decrease of LV stroke volume for middle risk cluster β = − 4.91 ml/m2, 95% CI − 7.89; − 1.94, p < 0.01 and high risk cluster β = − 7.00 ml/m2, 95% CI − 10.73; − 3.28, p < 0.001 compared to the low risk cluster). The multivariable longitudinal trajectory clusters added significantly to explain variation in CMR traits beyond the multivariable risk profile obtained at Exam 3. Conclusions Cardiovascular disease risk factor levels, measured over a time period of 14 years, were associated with CMR-derived measures of cardiac structure and function. Longitudinal multivariable trajectory clusters explained a greater proportion of the inter-individual variation in cardiac traits than multiple risk factor assessed contemporaneous with the CMR exam.


2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
J Caro Codon ◽  
T Lopez-Fernandez ◽  
C Alvarez-Ortega ◽  
P Zamora Aunon ◽  
I Rodriguez Rodriguez ◽  
...  

Abstract Background The actual usefulness of CV risk factor assessment in the prognostic evaluation of cancer patients treated with cardiotoxic treatment remains largely unknown. Design Prospective multicenter study in patients scheduled to receive anticancer therapy related with moderate/high cardiotoxic risk. Methods A total of 1324 patients underwent follow-up in a dedicated cardio-oncology clinic from April 2012 to October 2017. Special care was given to the identification and control of CV risk factors. Clinical data, blood samples and echocardiographic parameters were prospectively collected according to protocol, at baseline before cancer therapy and then at 3 weeks, 3 months, 6 months, 1 year, 1.5 years and 2 years after initiation of cancer therapy. Results At baseline, 893 patients (67.4%) presented at least 1 risk factor, with a significant number of patients newly diagnosed during follow-up. Individual risk factors were not related with worse prognosis during a 2-year follow-up. However, a higher Systemic Coronary Risk Estimation (SCORE) was significantly associated with higher rates of severe cardiotoxicity and all-cause mortality [HR 1.79 (95% CI 1.16–2.76) for SCORE 5–9 and HR 4.90 (95% CI 2.44–9.82) for SCORE ≥10 when compared with patients with lower SCORE (0–4)]. Conclusions This large cohort of patients treated with a potentially cardiotoxic regimen showed a significant prevalence of CV risk factors at baseline and significant incidence during follow-up. Baseline cardiovascular risk assessment using SCORE predicted severe cardiotoxicity and all-cause mortality. Therefore, its use should be recommended in the evaluation of cancer patients. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): This study was partially funded by the Fondo Investigaciones Sanitarias (Spain), Centro de Investigaciόn Biomédica en Red Cardiovascular CIBER-CV (Spain)


2021 ◽  
Vol 28 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
C Verdicchio ◽  
A Elliott ◽  
R Mahajan ◽  
D Linz ◽  
D Lau ◽  
...  

Abstract Funding Acknowledgements Type of funding sources: None. Introduction  Atrial Fibrillation (AF) is the most common sustained cardiac arrhythmia affecting 1-2% of the global population, with the prevalence of AF increasing dramatically over the past two decades. Although low levels of cardiorespiratory fitness (CRF) and physical activity are predictive of cardiovascular disease onset and mortality, only recently has this emerged as a potential risk factor for AF. Purpose The aim of this meta-analysis was therefore to quantify the relationship between CRF, measured by a symptom limited exercise stress test, and incident AF. We hypothesised that there would be an inverse relationship between CRF and the incidence of AF. Methods The systematic literature review was conducted using PUBMED, MEDLINE and EMBASE databases, with seven studies meeting the inclusion criteria. A random-effects meta-analysis was then used to compare the multivariate risk estimates of the lowest CRF group from each cohort with the group of the highest CRF. Results Data from 206,925 individuals (55.8% males) was used for analysis with a mean age of 55 ± 2.5 years and a mean follow-up period of 10.3 ± 5 years. The total number of AF events across the studies was 19,913. The overall pooled risk of AF in the high-CRF group versus the low-CRF group showed a significant lower risk of incident AF in those with high-CRF (OR: 0.52, 95% CI, 0.44-0.605, p &lt; 0.001). There was evidence of statistical heterogeneity between the studies (I2 = 81%, p &lt; 0.001). AF incidence rates demonstrated an overall decline in rates across the CRF quartiles from low to high. The mean incidence rate for low-CRF was 21 ± 13.4 compared to 6.9 ± 0.7 per 1000 person-years for the high CRF group (p = 0.03). Conclusion There is an inverse association between a lower CRF and an increased risk of AF, with a higher level of CRF protective against AF. This study highlights that low-CRF may be an additional risk factor for AF along with already other established lifestyle-based risk factors such as obesity and hypertension. Exercise interventions should be promoted as a primary prevention strategy in those at risk of developing AF with known risk factors. Future studies are warranted to identify the mechanism(s) through which improved CRF confers a reduction in AF incidence. Abstract Figure. AF risk between high and low-CRF


2015 ◽  
Vol 113 (01) ◽  
pp. 185-192 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chun-Cheng Wang ◽  
Cheng-Li Lin ◽  
Guei-Jane Wang ◽  
Chiz-Tzung Chang ◽  
Fung-Chang Sung ◽  
...  

SummaryWhether atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with an increased risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE) remains controversial. From Longitudinal Health Insurance Database 2000 (LHID2000), we identified 11,458 patients newly diagnosed with AF. The comparison group comprised 45,637 patients without AF. Both cohorts were followed up to measure the incidence of deep-vein thrombosis (DVT) and pulmonary embolism (PE). Univariable and multivariable competing-risks regression model and Kaplan-Meier analyses with the use of Aelon-Johansen estimator were used to measure the differences of cumulative incidences of DVT and PE, respectively. The overall incidence rates (per 1,000 person-years) of DVT and PE between the AF group and non-AF groups were 2.69 vs 1.12 (crude hazard ratio [HR] = 1.92; 95 % confidence interval [CI] = 1.54-2.39), 1.55 vs 0.46 (crude HR = 2.68; 95 % CI = 1.97-3.64), respectively. The baseline demographics indicated that the members of the AF group demonstrated a significantly older age and higher proportions of comorbidities than non-AF group. After adjusting for age, sex, and comorbidities, the risks of DVT and PE remained significantly elevated in the AF group compared with the non-AF group (adjusted HR = 1.74; 95 %CI = 1.36-2.24, adjusted HR = 2.18; 95 %CI = 1.51-3.15, respectively). The Kaplan-Meier curve with the use of Aelon-Johansen estimator indicated that the cumulative incidences of DVT and PE were both more significantly elevated in the AF group than in the non-AF group after a long-term follow-up period (p<0.01). In conclusion, the presence of AF is associated with increased risk of VTE after a long-term follow-up period.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alexandre Roux ◽  
Hichem Ammar ◽  
Alessandro Moiraghi ◽  
Sophie Peeters ◽  
Marwan Baroud ◽  
...  

Abstract PurposeCarmustine wafers can be implanted in the surgical bed of high-grade gliomas, which can induce surgical bed cyst formation, leading to clinically relevant mass effect.MethodsAn observational retrospective monocentric study was conducted including 122 consecutive adult patients with a newly diagnosed supratentorial glioblastoma who underwent a surgical resection with Carmustine wafer implantation as first line treatment (2005–2018).FindingsTwenty-two patients (18.0%) developed a postoperative contrast-enhancing cyst within the surgical bed: 16 uninfected cysts and six bacterial abscesses. All patients with an uninfected surgical bed cyst were managed conservatively, all resolved on imaging follow-up, and no patient stopped the radiochemotherapy. Independent risk factors of formation of a postoperative uninfected surgical bed cyst were age ≥ 60 years (p = 0.019), number of Carmustine wafers implanted ≥ 8 (p = 0.040), and partial resection (p = 0.025). Compared to uninfected surgical bed cysts, the occurrence of a postoperative bacterial abscess requiring surgical management was associated more frequently with a shorter time to diagnosis from surgery (p = 0.009), new neurological deficit (p < 0.001), fever (p < 0.001), residual air in the cyst (p = 0.018), a cyst diameter greater than that of the initial tumor (p = 0.027), and increased mass effect and brain edema compared to early postoperative MRI (p = 0.024). Contrast enhancement (p = 0.473) and diffusion signal abnormalities (p = 0.471) did not differ between postoperative bacterial abscesses and uninfected surgical bed cysts.ConclusionsClinical and imaging findings help discriminate between uninfected surgical bed cysts and bacterial abscesses following Carmustine wafer implantation. Surgical bed cysts can be managed conservatively. Individual risk factors will help tailor their steroid therapy and imaging follow-up.


2010 ◽  
Vol 162 (6) ◽  
pp. 1147-1153 ◽  
Author(s):  
S Leboulleux ◽  
D Deandreis ◽  
A Al Ghuzlan ◽  
A Aupérin ◽  
D Goéré ◽  
...  

ContextPeritoneal carcinomatosis (PC) is a rare site of distant metastases in patients with adrenocortical cancer (ACC). One preliminary study suggests an increased risk of PC after laparoscopic adrenalectomy (LA) for ACC.ObjectiveThe objective of the study was to search for risk factors of PC including surgical approach.DesignThis was a retrospective cohort study conducted in an institutional practice.PatientsSixty-four consecutive patients with ACC seen at our institution between 2003 and 2009 were included. Mean tumor size was 132 mm. Patients had stage I disease in 2 cases, stage II disease in 32 cases, stage III disease in 7 cases, stage IV disease in 21 cases, and unknown stage disease in 2 cases. Surgery was open in 58 cases and laparoscopic in 6 cases.Main outcomeThe main outcome was the risk factors of PC.ResultsPC occurred in 18 (28%) patients. It was present at initial diagnosis in three cases and occurred during follow-up in 15 cases. The only risk factor of PC occurring during follow-up was the surgical approach with a 4-year rate of PC of 67% (95% confidence interval (CI), 30–90%) for LA and 27% (95% CI, 15–44%) for open adrenalectomy (P=0.016). Neither tumor size, stage, functional status, completeness of surgery, nor plasma level of op'DDD was associated with the occurrence of PC.ConclusionWe found an increased risk of PC after LA for ACC. Whether this is related to an inappropriate surgical approach or to insufficient experience in ACC surgery should be clarified by a prospective program.


2011 ◽  
Vol 5 (4) ◽  
pp. 199
Author(s):  
R. Navickas ◽  
L. Rimsevicius ◽  
L. Ryliskyte ◽  
Z. Visockienė ◽  
M. Ozary-Flato ◽  
...  

2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
M Proietti ◽  
M Vitolo ◽  
S Harrison ◽  
G.A Dan ◽  
A.P Maggioni ◽  
...  

Abstract Introduction Frailty is a major health determinant for cardiovascular disease. Thus far, data on frailty in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) are limited. Aims To evaluate frailty in a large contemporary cohort of European AF patients, the relationship with oral anticoagulant (OAC) prescription and with risk of all-cause death. Methods We analyzed patients enrolled in the ESC-EHRA EORP-AF General Long-Term Registry. A 38-items frailty index (FI) was derived from baseline characteristics according to the accumulation of deficits model proposed by Rockwood and Mitnitsky. All-cause mortality was the primary study outcome. Results Out of the 11096 AF enrolled patients, data for evaluating frailty were available for 6557 (59.1%) patients who have been included in this analysis (mean [SD] age 68.9 [11.5], 37.7% females). Baseline median [IQR] CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED were 3 [2–4] and 1 [1–2], respectively. At baseline, median [IQR] FI was 0.16 (0.12–0.23), with 1276 (19.5%) patients considered “not-frail” (FI&lt;0.10), 4033 (61.5%) considered “pre-frail” (FI 0.10–0.25) and 1248 (19.0%) considered “frail” (FI≥0.25). Age, female prevalence, CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED progressively increased across the FI classes (all p&lt;0.001). Use of OAC progressively increased among FI classes; after adjustments FI was not associated with OAC prescription (odds ratio [OR]: 1.09, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.98–1.19 for each 0.10 FI increase). Conversely, FI was directly associated with vitamin K antagonist (VKA) use (OR: 1.26, 95% CI: 1.18–1.34 for each 0.10 FI increase) and inversely associated with non-VKA OACs (NOACs) use (OR: 0.82, 95% CI: 0.77–0.88). FI was significantly correlated with CHA2DS2-VASc (Rho= 0.516, p&lt;0.001). Over a median [IQR] follow-up of 731 [704–749] days, there were 569 (8.7%) all-cause death events. Kaplan-Meier curves [Figure] showed an increasing cumulative risk for all-cause death according to FI categories. A Cox multivariable analysis, adjusted for age, sex, type of AF and use of OAC, found that increasing FI as a continuous variable was associated with an increased risk of all-cause death (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.56, 95% CI: 1.40–1.73 for each 0.10 FI increase). An association with all-cause death risk was found across the FI categories (HR: 1.71, 95% CI: 1.23–2.38 and HR: 2.88, 95% CI: 2.02–4.12, respectively for pre-frail and frail patients compared to non-frail ones). FI was also predictive of all-cause death (c-index: 0.660, 95% CI: 0.637–0.682; p&lt;0.001). Conclusions In a European contemporary cohort of AF patients the burden of frailty is significant, with almost 1 out of 5 patients found to be “frail”. Frailty influenced significantly the choice of OAC therapy and was associated with (and predictive of) all-cause death at follow-up. Kaplan-Meier Curves Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Private company. Main funding source(s): Since the start of EORP programme, several companies have supported it with unrestricted grants.


2020 ◽  
Vol 21 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
G Casas ◽  
G Oristrell ◽  
J Limeres ◽  
R Barriales ◽  
J R Gimeno ◽  
...  

Abstract BACKGROUND Left ventricular noncompaction (LVNC) is associated with an increased risk of systemic embolisms (SE). However, incidence and risk factors are not well established. PURPOSE To evaluate the rate of SE in LVNC and describe risk factors. METHODS LNVC patients were included in a multicentric registry. Those with SE were considered for the analysis. RESULTS 514 patients with LVNC from 10 Spanish centres were recruited from 2000 to 2018. During a median follow-up of 4.2 years (IQR 1.9-7.1), 23 patients (4.5%) had a SE. Patients with SE (Table 1) were older at diagnosis, with no differences in gender and had similar cardiovascular risk factors. They were more frequently under oral anticoagulation (OAC). Besides, they had a more reduced LVEF, and more dilated LV and left atrium (LA). Late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) was more frequent, altogether suggesting a more severe phenotype. Patients with SE had non-significantly higher rates of hospitalization for heart failure (33% Vs 24%, p = 0.31) and atrial fibrillation (35% Vs 19%, p = 0.10). In multivariate analysis, only LA diameter was an independent predictor of SE (OR 1.04, p = 0.04). A LA diameter &gt; 45 mm had an independent 3 fold increased risk of SE (OR 3.04, p = 0.02) (Image 1). CONCLUSIONS LVNC carries a moderate mid-term risk of SE, which appears to be irrespective of atrial fibrillation and associated with age, LV dilatation and systolic dysfunction and mainly LA dilatation. This subgroup of patients should be considered for oral anticoagulation in primary prevention. Table 1 Systemic embolisms (n = 23) No systemic embolisms (n = 491) p Men, n (%) 15 (65) 289 (56) 0.52 Median age at diagnosis (IQR) - yr 60 (48-76) 48 (30-64) 0.02 Median follow up (IQR) - yr 5.9 (3.1-7.8) 4.2 (1.8-7.1) 0.18 OAC, n (%) 19 (83) 118 (24) 0.01 LVEF (SD) - % 37 (15) 48 (17) 0.01 LVEDD (SD) - mm 58 (11) 54 (10) 0.04 LA diameter (SD) - mm 46 (9) 39 (9) 0.01 Characteristics of patients with and without systemic embolisms Abstract P1441 Figure. Image 1


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