scholarly journals 1277Reasons for quarantine and positivity rate among quarantined Health Care Workers (HCWs) in North India

2021 ◽  
Vol 50 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Naveen Prashar ◽  
Rahuldeep Singh ◽  
Ritin Mohindra ◽  
Vikas Suri ◽  
Ashish Bhalla ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Assessment Tool ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
North India ◽  
Risk Exposure ◽  
P Value ◽  
Risk Category ◽  
Personal Protection Equipment

Abstract Background WHO has declared the COVID-19 as Pandemic on 11th March, 2020. It is important to break the chain of transmission by quarantining the persons with high-risk exposure. Understanding the reasons for quarantine will help in reducing the exposures and thus reducing the chances of quarantine. Methods A validated risk assessment tool based on National Centre for Disease Control guidelines was used for the risk assessment of HCWs. The forms of HCWs who underwent risk assessment between April-November, 2020 were analyzed for reasons of quarantine. The positivity rates among high-risk and low-risk groups were compared. Results Out of 1414 HCWs who were assessed, 345 were categorized as high-risk exposure and were quarantined. The most common reasons for quarantine were performance of aerosol generating procedure without recommended personal protection equipment (PPE) (34%), exposure to COVID-19 positive patient without mask for more than 20 minutes at the distance less than 1 m (30%) and having food/tea together (27%). The positivity rate was 8.4% among high-risk and 1.9% among low-risk exposure group (p-value: <0.001). The positivity among low risk category was more in the second half (19/466; 4.1%) as compared to first half (1/603; 0.2%) of the study period. This might be due to exposure from non-hospital sources as second half coincides with first wave of the pandemic. Conclusion Not using recommended PPE and having tea/food breaks together were the most common reasons for quarantine. Key messages Strict enforcement of recommended PPE and scattered tea and food breaks can reduce high-risk exposures.

scholarly journals Current Practice of Hospital Acquired Thrombosis (HAT) Prevention in an Acute Hospital (a single centre cross sectional study)

Blood ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 126 (23) ◽  
pp. 4459-4459 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dr. Muhammad Irfan Khan ◽  
Catriona O'Leary ◽  
Mary Ann Hayes ◽  
Patricia O'Flynn ◽  
Pauline Suzanne Chappell ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Assessment Tool ◽  
Drug Prescription ◽  
National Policy ◽  
Significant Risk ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Risk Assessment Tool ◽  
Risk Category ◽  
High Risk Category

Abstract Background Evidence based consensus guidelines for venous thromboembolism (VTE) prevention are broadly accepted to be effective and safe for more than three decades (Clagett GP et al, 1992). However VTE continues to be associated with a major global burden of disease with 3.9 million cases of HAT during one year among 1.1 billion citizens of high income countries (Jha AK et al, 2013). Therefore prevention is the key to reduce death and disability resulting from VTE (Kahn S et al, Gould MK et al & Falck-Yitter Y et al, 2012). Ireland like many other countries has yet to implement a mandatory risk assessment tool and thromboprophylaxis (TP) policy nationally. Aims The aim of this study was to calculate the proportion of inpatients who had a VTE risk assessment performed and received appropriate TP in a large tertiary referral hospital. This information will be vital for baseline data for implementation of a new national policy for prevention of HAT. Methods This audit was performed at Cork University Hospital on 4 pre specified days between November 2014 to February 2015. All adult inpatients (Medical and Surgical) excluding maternity and psychiatric were included. Patients on therapeutic anticoagulation were also excluded. The patients' medical chart and drug prescription chart were reviewed to determine whether or not a VTE risk assessment was documented for each patient and if they had received appropriate TP. If no risk assessment had been performed, trained researchers applied the National Institute for health and Care Excellence (NICE) guidelines 92 (Jan 2010) for VTE risk assessment and prevention. Following the risk assessment patients were divided into three categories, high risk of VTE with low risk of bleeding; high risk of VTE with significant risk of bleeding and low risk of VTE. From this the proportion of patients in each group that received appropriate TP were calculated. Results A total of 1019 patients were enrolled the majority were medical patients 63.5% (n=648). The mean age of patients was 69 years. Females accounted for 52% of patients. Average length of hospitalisation for each patient at the time of the audit was 6 days (range 1-664 days). Overall, a formal TP risk assessment was documented in only 24% (n=244) of all charts reviewed however TP was prescribed in 43.2% (n=441) of patients. See table.Table 1.High Risk of VTE low risk of bleedingHigh risk of VTE significant risk of bleedingLow risk of VTENo. of pts80.3% (n=819)16.6% (n=170)2.9% (n=30)VTE risk assessment documented21.9% (n=180)28.2% (n=55)30% (n=9)Received TP46.3% (n=380)28.8% (n=49)40% (n=12) Within the high risk category patients, 64.3% (n=526) medical. TP was only administered to 46.3% (n=380) of patients in the high risk category. This was almost evenly distributed between surgical 50.1% (n=147) and medical 43.4% (n=233) patients. Conclusion This audit was done as the initial step to develop a national policy to prevent HAT. As suspected, this audit highlights that a large proportion of hospitalised patients, both surgical and medical, continue to be at high risk for VTE despite the availability of preventative measures. There is clear illustration of under prescription of safe, effective and recommended means of VTE prevention. The current overall figure of less than 50% prescription of VTE thromboprophylaxis in high risk patients is a major patient safety concern. There are numerous recognised international guidelines for prevention of VTE, and an efficient method to implement these guidelines needs to be developed. Beyond developing national guidelines for TP, we need a co-ordinated approach to implement and monitor compliance with guidelines. Once the preliminary results of this audit were available to us in March 2015, urgent measures were taken to reduce the identified risk such as the establishment of a Hospital Thrombosis Group which developed a user friendly VTE risk assessment tool and TP policy. The VTE risk assessment tool was incorporated into the patients drug prescription chart and included a pre printed prescription for TP. It is now mandatory for the all patients to have a VTE risk assessment tool and TP prescribed if appropriate within 24hrs of admission. This was successfully piloted for four weeks in the acute medical assessment unit and is now incorporated into each patients drug chart throughout the hospital. This audit will be replicated in 6 months from introduction of this initiative, with an aim of >90% compliance. Disclosures No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.

P1803Refining the 2015 European guidelines risk assessment tool for pulmonary arterial hypertension in adult congenital heart disease

2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
A C Van Dissel ◽  
A P J Van Dijk ◽  
A L Duijnhouwer ◽  
B J M Mulder ◽  
B J Bouma
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Congenital Heart ◽  
Assessment Tool ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Risk Assessment Tool ◽  
Intermediate Risk ◽  
European Guidelines ◽  
Pulmonary Arterial

Abstract Background Current European guidelines advocate a goal-oriented treatment approach in pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH), based on a comprehensive risk assessment. However, this instrument has been based predominantly on patients with idiopathic PAH and its accuracy has not been well established for PAH associated with congenital heart disease (CHD)–a patient population known to be distinctly different for other PAH aetiologies. Purpose To investigate the discriminatory ability of the guidelines risk assessment tool and explore the benefit of including other cut-offs or variables in PAH-CHD. Methods and results Data from 112 PAH-CHD patients (age 42.1±16 years, 70% Eisenmenger, 38% Down syndrome) seen between 2004 and 2016 at two specialized adult PAH-CHD expert centres were prospectively collected. Patients were classified as “Low”, “Intermediate”, or “High” risk following the strategy proposed by Kylhammar (Eur Heart J, 2017) based on N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), 6-minute walk distance, functional class and imaging parameters and analysed by Kaplan-Meier method, truncated at 5 years. At baseline, 25% (28) of patients were classified as “Low risk”, 69% (77) as “Intermediate risk” and 6% (7) as “High risk”. Although survival was better (P=0.012) for patients with higher proportions of “Low risk” variables, this method did not discriminate well between the three risk groups (Figure 1A, P=0.371). One-year survival estimates corresponded moderately to those proposed by the guidelines, 96.4% in the “Low risk” (vs. >95%), 94.8% in the “Intermediate risk” (vs. 90–95%), and 85.7% in the “High risk” (vs. <90%) baseline cohorts, respectively. Analysis of different cut-off values for NT-proBNP (i.e., “Low”, “Intermediate”, “High” as <500, 500–1440 and >1400 ng/l, respectively) and use of tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion (TAPSE) measurements (“Low”, “Intermediate”, “High” as <1.6, 2.6–2.7 and >2.7 cm, respectively) as imaging parameter instead of right atrial area improved discrimination between the risk groups (Figure 1B). With these adjustments to the risk assessment tool, survival differed between all three risk groups (P<0.001). Figure 1 Conclusion Our preliminary findings suggest that an updated version of the European guidelines risk assessment tool–with different cut-off values for NT-proBNP and use of TAPSE–discriminates more accurately in the PAH-CHD population. Further analysis will be performed to estimate the prognostic benefit of reaching a “Low risk” profile, as this is the recommended treatment goal.

scholarly journals “Don’t Eat Me” Signals of Neuroblastoma by CD47 for Immune Escape: A Novel Prognostic Biomarker

Proceedings ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 2 (25) ◽  
pp. 1538
Author(s):  
Safiye Aktas ◽  
Ayse Pinar Ercetin Ozdemir ◽  
Efe Ozgur Serinan ◽  
Zekiye Altun ◽  
Nur Olgun
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Immune Escape ◽  
Prognostic Biomarker ◽  
Immunohistochemical Analysis ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
Genetic Alterations ◽  
High Risk Group ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
P Value ◽  
Mycn Amplification

Recent studies have shown that cancer cells can deceive phagocytosing macrophage cells through the CD47 protein which gives the message “don’t eat me” or “don’t kill me” to immune components. The efficacy of anti-CD47 treatment approach was shown in cancers such as, non-small cell lung cancer, non-Hodgkin lymphoma, ovarian cancer, and breast cancer. The studies on the immunobiology of neuroblastoma has increased as monoclonal antibody based immunotherapy has shown to be effective in high-risk patients such as anti disialoganglioside. Therefore, the aim of this study was to evaluate the levels of CD47 protein expression among neuroblastoma patients with different risk groups and genetic alterations. This study included paraffin-embedded tumor tissues of 66 neuroblastoma patients (28 girls, 38 boys) with an age range of 0.5 to 108 months with a mean value of 24.9 (±23.5). According to risk classifications 21 were at low risk (31, 8%), 24 were at intermediate risk (36, 4%) and 19 were at high-risk (28, 8%) groups. These samples were evaluated for MYCN amplification, 1p36 LOH, 11q23 deletion and 17q25 gain by real-time PCR. In addition, CD47 expression status (positive or negative) was detected by immunohistochemical analysis. All data was analyzed with Chi-Square and Mann-Whitney U non-parametric tests within SPSS program, version 22.0. p value lower than 0, 5 was found statistically significant. According to the results, patients at low risk did not express CD47, while patients at high-risk group were mostly expressing CD47 (p = 0.049). MYCN amplification positive patients were expressing CD47 protein (p = 0.046). Patients without 17q25 gain were found to be expressing CD47 protein (p = 0.006). In addition, CD47 expression was increasing as age was getting higher in terms of months (p = 0.018). The findings of this study suggest that positive expression pattern of CD47 may be a poor prognostic biomarker especially in high risk 17q gain negative neuroblastoma patients.

Validation of Postpartum Hemorrhage Admission Risk Factor Stratification in a Large Obstetrics Population

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Halley Ruppel ◽  
Vincent X. Liu ◽  
Neeru R. Gupta ◽  
Lauren Soltesz ◽  
Gabriel J. Escobar
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Risk Assessment ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Blood Loss ◽  
Postpartum Hemorrhage ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Hemorrhage Risk ◽  
Present On Admission

Abstract Objective This study aimed to evaluate the performance of the California Maternal Quality Care Collaborative (CMQCC) admission risk criteria for stratifying postpartum hemorrhage risk in a large obstetrics population. Study Design Using detailed electronic health record data, we classified 261,964 delivery hospitalizations from Kaiser Permanente Northern California hospitals between 2010 and 2017 into high-, medium-, and low-risk groups based on CMQCC criteria. We used logistic regression to assess associations between CMQCC risk groups and postpartum hemorrhage using two different postpartum hemorrhage definitions, standard postpartum hemorrhage (blood loss ≥1,000 mL) and severe postpartum hemorrhage (based on transfusion, laboratory, and blood loss data). Among the low-risk group, we also evaluated associations between additional present-on-admission factors and severe postpartum hemorrhage. Results Using the standard definition, postpartum hemorrhage occurred in approximately 5% of hospitalizations (n = 13,479), with a rate of 3.2, 10.5, and 10.2% in the low-, medium-, and high-risk groups. Severe postpartum hemorrhage occurred in 824 hospitalizations (0.3%), with a rate of 0.2, 0.5, and 1.3% in the low-, medium-, and high-risk groups. For either definition, the odds of postpartum hemorrhage were significantly higher in medium- and high-risk groups compared with the low-risk group. Over 40% of postpartum hemorrhages occurred in hospitalizations that were classified as low risk. Among the low-risk group, risk factors including hypertension and diabetes were associated with higher odds of severe postpartum hemorrhage. Conclusion We found that the CMQCC admission risk assessment criteria stratified women by increasing rates of severe postpartum hemorrhage in our sample, which enables early preparation for many postpartum hemorrhages. However, the CMQCC risk factors missed a substantial proportion of postpartum hemorrhages. Efforts to improve postpartum hemorrhage risk assessment using present-on-admission risk factors should consider inclusion of other nonobstetrical factors.

Prognostic Indices in Older DLBCL Patients Receiving R-CHOP: An Analysis of the U.S. Intergroup Study (E4494, CALGB 9793).

Blood ◽  
2006 ◽  
Vol 108 (11) ◽  
pp. 813-813
Author(s):  
R.H. Advani ◽  
H. Chen ◽  
T.M. Habermann ◽  
V.A. Morrison ◽  
E. Weller ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Overall Survival ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Univariate Analysis ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Risk Category ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
Prognostic Tool ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The U.S

Abstract Background: We reported that addition of rituximab (R) to chemotherapy significantly improves outcome in DLBCL patients (pt) &gt;60 years (JCO24:3121–27, 2006). Although the IPI is a robust clinical prognostic tool in DLBCL, Sehn et al (ASH 2005: abstract 492) reported that a revised (R) IPI more accurately predicted outcome in pt treated with rituximab-chemotherapy. Methods: We evaluated outcomes of the Intergroup study with respect to the standard IPI, R-IPI, age-adjusted (aa) IPI for evaluable pt treated with R-CHOP alone or with maintenance rituximab. We further assessed a modified IPI (mIPI) using age ≥ 70 y as a cutoff rather than age 60 y. Results: The 267 pt in this analysis were followed for a median of 4 y. Pt characteristics were: age &gt; 70 (48%) (median=69), male 52%, stage III/IV 75%, &gt;1 EN site 30%, LDH elevated 60%, PS ≥2 15%. On univariate analysis all of these characteristics were significant for 3 y failure-free survival (FFS) and overall survival (OS). The IPI provided additional discrimination of risk compared to the R-IPI with significant differences in FFS and OS for 3 vs 4–5 factors. The aa-IPI defined relatively few pt as low or high risk. The impact of age was studied using a cut-off of 70 years in a modified IPI, yielding 4 risk groups as shown below. Conclusions: For pt ≥ 60 treated with rituximab-chemotherapy the distinction between 3 vs 4,5 factors in the IPI was significant.The IPI also provided additional discrimination of risk compared to the R-IPI. In this older group of pt, use of an age cutoff ≥70 y placed more patients in the low risk category. It is of interest to apply the mIPI in other datasets with DLBCL pt &gt;60 y. Group # Factors # Pt % 3y FFS* % 3y OS* *All risk groups significantly different; logrank p &lt; 0.001 **95 % CI: FFS (0.46,0.66), OS (0.58,0.78) ***95 % CI: FFS (0.21,0.45), OS (0.31,0.55) L: Low, LI: Low Intermediate, HI: High Intermediate, H; High IPI L 0–1 12 78 83 LI 2 28 70 80 HI 3 33 56** 68** H 4–5 37 33*** 43*** R-IPI Very Good 0 0 - - Good 1–2 40 72 81 Poor 3–5 60 46 57 aa-IPI L 0 12 78 83 LI 1 35 68 78 HI 2 44 47 59 H 3 9 31 35 mIPI (age ≥ 70) L 0–1 27 77 86 LI 2 28 62 74 HI 3 29 47 58 H 4–5 16 28 36

scholarly journals Identification and Validation of m6A-Related lncRNA Signature as Potential Predictive Biomarkers in Breast Cancer

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wenchang Lv ◽  
Yichen Wang ◽  
Chongru Zhao ◽  
Yufang Tan ◽  
Mingchen Xiong ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Breast Cancer ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Assessment Tool ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Screening Method ◽  
Predictive Biomarkers ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Main Challenge

The metastasis and poor prognosis are still regarded as the main challenge in the clinical treatment of breast cancer (BC). Both N6-methyladenosine (m6A) modification and lncRNAs play vital roles in the carcinogenesis and evolvement of BC. Considering the unknown association of m6A and lncRNAs in BC, this study therefore aims to discern m6A-related lncRNAs and explore their prognostic value in BC patients. Firstly, a total of 6 m6A-related lncRNAs were screened from TCGA database and accordingly constructed a prognostic-predicting model. The BC patients were then divided into high-risk and low-risk groups dependent on the median cutoff of risk score based on this model. Then, the predictive value of this model was validated by the analyses of cox regression, Kaplan-Meier curve, ROC curve, and the biological differences in the two groups were validated by PCA, KEGG, GSEA, immune status as well as in vitro assay. Finally, we accordingly constructed a risk prognostic model based on the 6 identified m6A-related lncRNAs, including Z68871.1, AL122010.1, OTUD6B-AS1, AC090948.3, AL138724.1, EGOT. Interestingly, the BC patients were divided into the low-risk and high-risk groups with different prognoses according to the risk score. Notably, the risk score of the model was an excellent independent prognostic factor. In the clinical sample validation, m6A regulatory proteins were differentially expressed in patients with different risks, and the markers of tumor-associated macrophages and m6A regulators were co-localized in high-risk BC tissues. This well-validated risk assessment tool based on the repertoire of these m6A-related genes and m6A-related lncRNAs, is of highly prognosis-predicting ability, and might provide a supplemental screening method for precisely judging BC prognosis.

Immunoscore clinical utility to identify good prognostic colon cancer stage II patients with high-risk clinico-pathological features for whom adjuvant treatment may be avoided.

2019 ◽  
Vol 37 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 487-487 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jerome Galon ◽  
Fabienne Hermitte ◽  
Bernhard Mlecnik ◽  
Florence Marliot ◽  
Carlo Bruno Bifulco ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Colon Cancer ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Assessment Tool ◽  
Tnm Classification ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Stage Ii ◽  
Pathological Feature ◽  
Prognostic Features ◽  
Risk Patients

487 Background: Immunoscore Colon is an IVD test predicting the risk of relapse in early-stage colon cancer (CC) patients, by measuring the host immune response at the tumor site. It is a risk-assessment tool providing independent and superior prognostic value than the usual tumor risk parameters and is intended to be used as an adjunct to the TNM classification. Risk assessment is particularly important to decide when to propose an adjuvant (adj.) treatment for stage (St) II CC patients. High-risk stage II patients defined as those with poor prognostic features including T4, lymph nodes < 12, poor differentiation, VELIPI, bowel obstruction/perforation can be considered for adj. chemotherapy (CT). However, additional risk factors are needed to guide treatment decisions. Methods: A subgroup analysis was performed on the St II untreated patients (n = 1130) from the Immunoscore international validation study (Pagès The Lancet 2018). The high-risk patients (with at least 1 clinico-pathological high-risk feature) were classified in 2 categories using pre-defined cutoffs: Low Immunoscore versus High Immunoscore and their five-year time to recurrence (5Y TTR) was compared to the TTR of the low-risk patients (without any clinico-pathological high-risk feature). Results: Among the patients with high-risk features (n = 630), 438 (69.5%) had a High Immunoscore with a corresponding 5Y TTR of 87.4 (95% CI 83.9-91.0), statistically similar (logrank pv not stratified p > 0.42, wald pv stratified by center p > 0.20) to the TTR 89.1 (95% CI 86.1-92.1) observed for the 500 low-risk patients (with no clinico-pathological feature). Furthermore, 5Y TTR for these patients were statistically similar to those of St II patients with high-risk features and a High Immunoscore (n = 438), who received adj. CT (n = 162) (5Y TTR of 83.4 (95% CI 77.6-89.9). Conclusions: These data show that despite the presence of high-risk features that usually trigger adj. treatment, when not treated with CT, a significant part of these patients (69.5%) have a recurrence risk similar to the low risk patients. Therefore, the Immunoscore test could be a good tool for adj. treatment decision in St II patients.

Apalutamide (APA) for metastatic castration-sensitive prostate cancer (mCSPC) in TITAN: Outcomes in patients (pts) with low- and high-risk disease.

2020 ◽  
Vol 38 (6_suppl) ◽  
pp. 87-87 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mustafa Ozguroglu ◽  
Simon Chowdhury ◽  
Anders Bjartell ◽  
Hirotsugu Uemura ◽  
Byung Ha Chung ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Safety Profile ◽  
Treatment Duration ◽  
Radiographic Progression ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Bone Lesions ◽  
Risk Category ◽  
Risk Of Death

87 Background: TITAN showed that APA + androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) improves radiographic progression-free survival (rPFS) and overall survival (OS) in a broad group of pts with mCSPC (Chi et al. NEJM 2019). This post hoc analysis evaluates APA + ADT based on baseline (BL) prognostic risk as defined in LATITUDE (Fizazi et al. Lancet Oncol 2019). Methods: 1052 pts with mCSPC receiving ADT were randomized 1:1 to APA (240 mg/d; n = 525) or placebo (PBO; n = 527). Treatment cycles were 28 days. Risk included Gleason score ≥ 8, ≥ 3 bone lesions, or visceral metastasis. High risk was ≥ 2 risk factors, low risk was ≤ 1. Cox proportional hazards model was used to estimate HR and 95% CI for rPFS and OS. Results: Pt demographic and BL disease characteristics were similar between treatment groups (high risk: APA n = 289, PBO n = 286; low risk: APA n = 236, PBO n = 241). Median treatment duration was similar in the low-risk group with APA or PBO (21.8 mo and 20.3 mo, respectively). For the high-risk groups, treatment duration was longer with APA (APA 19.5 mo, PBO 14.7 mo). APA significantly reduced the risk of radiographic progression relative to PBO in both groups (Table). Risk of death (OS) was reduced by 38% in high-risk pts and 26% in low-risk pts with APA (Table). 24-mo survival rates: high risk, 76% APA, 63% PBO; low risk, 90% APA, 85% PBO. There were few deaths (≤ 33) in low-risk groups. Second PFS in APA pts: high risk, HR 1.9 (95% CI 1.2-3.0), p = 0.004; low risk, HR 2.2 (95% CI 1.5-3.2), p < 0.0001. Regardless of risk category, the safety profile of APA remained consistent with previously reported overall results. Conclusions: Addition of APA to ADT for pts with mCSPC prolonged rPFS and OS with a consistent safety profile compared with PBO + ADT regardless of BL risk. Clinical trial information: NCT02489318. [Table: see text]

scholarly journals Predicting complication risk in spine surgery: a prospective analysis of a novel risk assessment tool

2017 ◽  
Vol 27 (1) ◽  
pp. 81-91 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anand Veeravagu ◽  
Amy Li ◽  
Christian Swinney ◽  
Lu Tian ◽  
Adrienne Moraff ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Risk Stratification ◽  
Spine Surgery ◽  
Assessment Tool ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
High Risk Group ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Acs Nsqip ◽  
Medium Risk

OBJECTIVEThe ability to assess the risk of adverse events based on known patient factors and comorbidities would provide more effective preoperative risk stratification. Present risk assessment in spine surgery is limited. An adverse event prediction tool was developed to predict the risk of complications after spine surgery and tested on a prospective patient cohort.METHODSThe spinal Risk Assessment Tool (RAT), a novel instrument for the assessment of risk for patients undergoing spine surgery that was developed based on an administrative claims database, was prospectively applied to 246 patients undergoing 257 spinal procedures over a 3-month period. Prospectively collected data were used to compare the RAT to the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) and the American College of Surgeons National Surgery Quality Improvement Program (ACS NSQIP) Surgical Risk Calculator. Study end point was occurrence and type of complication after spine surgery.RESULTSThe authors identified 69 patients (73 procedures) who experienced a complication over the prospective study period. Cardiac complications were most common (10.2%). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were calculated to compare complication outcomes using the different assessment tools. Area under the curve (AUC) analysis showed comparable predictive accuracy between the RAT and the ACS NSQIP calculator (0.670 [95% CI 0.60–0.74] in RAT, 0.669 [95% CI 0.60–0.74] in NSQIP). The CCI was not accurate in predicting complication occurrence (0.55 [95% CI 0.48–0.62]). The RAT produced mean probabilities of 34.6% for patients who had a complication and 24% for patients who did not (p = 0.0003). The generated predicted values were stratified into low, medium, and high rates. For the RAT, the predicted complication rate was 10.1% in the low-risk group (observed rate 12.8%), 21.9% in the medium-risk group (observed 31.8%), and 49.7% in the high-risk group (observed 41.2%). The ACS NSQIP calculator consistently produced complication predictions that underestimated complication occurrence: 3.4% in the low-risk group (observed 12.6%), 5.9% in the medium-risk group (observed 34.5%), and 12.5% in the high-risk group (observed 38.8%). The RAT was more accurate than the ACS NSQIP calculator (p = 0.0018).CONCLUSIONSWhile the RAT and ACS NSQIP calculator were both able to identify patients more likely to experience complications following spine surgery, both have substantial room for improvement. Risk stratification is feasible in spine surgery procedures; currently used measures have low accuracy.

Hemorrhage Risk Assessment on Admission: Utility for Prediction of Maternal Morbidity

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Homa K. Ahmadzia ◽  
Jaclyn M. Phillips ◽  
Rose Kleiman ◽  
Alexis C. Gimovsky ◽  
Susan Bathgate ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Blood Transfusion ◽  
Maternal Morbidity ◽  
Assessment Tool ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Risk Assessment Tool ◽  
Maternal Outcomes ◽  
Hemorrhage Risk ◽  
Low Risk Women

Objective Hemorrhage is a major cause of maternal morbidity and mortality prompting creation of innovative risk assessment tools to identify patients at highest risk. We aimed to investigate the association of hemorrhage risk assessment with maternal morbidity and to evaluate maternal outcomes after implementation of the risk assessment across hospital sites. Study Design We conducted a retrospective cohort analysis of a multicenter database including women admitted to labor and delivery from January 2015 to June 2018. The Association of Women's Health, Obstetric and Neonatal Nurses risk assessment tool was used to categorize patients as low, medium, or high risk for hemorrhage. Multivariate logistic regression was used to describe the association between hemorrhage risk score and markers of maternal morbidity and evaluate maternal outcomes before and after standardized implementations of the risk assessment tool. Results In this study, 14,861 women were categorized as low risk (26%), 26,080 (46%) moderate risk, and 15,730 (28%) high risk (N = 56,671 births). For women with high-risk scores, the relative risk (RR) ratio compared with low-risk women was 4.9 (RR: 95% confidence interval [CI]: 3.2–7.4) for blood transfusion and 5.2 (RR: 95% CI: 4.6–5.9) for estimated blood loss (EBL) ≥ 1,000 mL. For the second objective, 110,633 women were available for pre- and postimplementation analyses (39,027 and 71,606, respectively). A 20% reduction in rates of blood transfusion (0.5–0.4%, p = 0.02) and EBL ≥ 1,000 mL (6.3–5.9%, p = 0.014) was observed between pre- and postimplementations of the admission hemorrhage risk assessment tool. Conclusion Women who were deemed high risk for hemorrhage using a hemorrhage risk assessment tool had five times higher risk for blood transfusion and EBL ≥ 1,000 mL compared with low-risk women. Given the low incidence of the outcomes explored, the hemorrhage risk assessment works moderately well to identify patients at risk for peripartum morbidity. Key Points

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