P1803Refining the 2015 European guidelines risk assessment tool for pulmonary arterial hypertension in adult congenital heart disease

2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
A C Van Dissel ◽  
A P J Van Dijk ◽  
A L Duijnhouwer ◽  
B J M Mulder ◽  
B J Bouma
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Congenital Heart ◽  
Assessment Tool ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Risk Assessment Tool ◽  
Intermediate Risk ◽  
European Guidelines ◽  
Pulmonary Arterial

Abstract Background Current European guidelines advocate a goal-oriented treatment approach in pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH), based on a comprehensive risk assessment. However, this instrument has been based predominantly on patients with idiopathic PAH and its accuracy has not been well established for PAH associated with congenital heart disease (CHD)–a patient population known to be distinctly different for other PAH aetiologies. Purpose To investigate the discriminatory ability of the guidelines risk assessment tool and explore the benefit of including other cut-offs or variables in PAH-CHD. Methods and results Data from 112 PAH-CHD patients (age 42.1±16 years, 70% Eisenmenger, 38% Down syndrome) seen between 2004 and 2016 at two specialized adult PAH-CHD expert centres were prospectively collected. Patients were classified as “Low”, “Intermediate”, or “High” risk following the strategy proposed by Kylhammar (Eur Heart J, 2017) based on N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), 6-minute walk distance, functional class and imaging parameters and analysed by Kaplan-Meier method, truncated at 5 years. At baseline, 25% (28) of patients were classified as “Low risk”, 69% (77) as “Intermediate risk” and 6% (7) as “High risk”. Although survival was better (P=0.012) for patients with higher proportions of “Low risk” variables, this method did not discriminate well between the three risk groups (Figure 1A, P=0.371). One-year survival estimates corresponded moderately to those proposed by the guidelines, 96.4% in the “Low risk” (vs. >95%), 94.8% in the “Intermediate risk” (vs. 90–95%), and 85.7% in the “High risk” (vs. <90%) baseline cohorts, respectively. Analysis of different cut-off values for NT-proBNP (i.e., “Low”, “Intermediate”, “High” as <500, 500–1440 and >1400 ng/l, respectively) and use of tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion (TAPSE) measurements (“Low”, “Intermediate”, “High” as <1.6, 2.6–2.7 and >2.7 cm, respectively) as imaging parameter instead of right atrial area improved discrimination between the risk groups (Figure 1B). With these adjustments to the risk assessment tool, survival differed between all three risk groups (P<0.001). Figure 1 Conclusion Our preliminary findings suggest that an updated version of the European guidelines risk assessment tool–with different cut-off values for NT-proBNP and use of TAPSE–discriminates more accurately in the PAH-CHD population. Further analysis will be performed to estimate the prognostic benefit of reaching a “Low risk” profile, as this is the recommended treatment goal.

scholarly journals A pragmatic approach to risk assessment in pulmonary arterial hypertension using the 2015 European Society of Cardiology/European Respiratory Society guidelines

Open Heart ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. e001725
Author(s):  
Fabio Dardi ◽  
Alessandra Manes ◽  
Daniele Guarino ◽  
Elisa Zuffa ◽  
Alessandro De Lorenzis ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Intermediate Risk ◽  
Pragmatic Approach ◽  
European Respiratory Society ◽  
Pulmonary Arterial ◽  
European Society Of Cardiology

ObjectiveTo optimise treatment of patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH), the 2015 European Society of Cardiology/European Respiratory Society guidelines recommend using risk stratification, with the aim of patients achieving low-risk status. Previous analyses of registries made progress in using risk stratification approaches, however, the focus is often on patients with a low-risk prognosis, whereas most PAH patients are in intermediate-risk or high-risk categories. Using only six parameters with high prognostic relevance, we aimed to demonstrate a pragmatic approach to individual patient risk assessment to discriminate between patients at low risk, intermediate risk and high risk of death.MethodsRisk assessment was performed combining six parameters in four criteria: (1) WHO functional class, (2) 6 min walk distance, (3) N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (BNP)/BNP plasma levels or right atrial pressure and (4) cardiac index or mixed venous oxygen saturation. Assessments were made at baseline and at first follow-up after 3–4 months.Results725 PAH treatment-naive patients were analysed. Survival estimates between risk groups were statistically significant at baseline and first follow-up (p<0.001), even when the analysis was performed within PAH etiological subgroups. Similar results were observed in 208 previously treated PAH patients. Furthermore, patients who remained at or improved to low risk had a significantly better estimated survival compared with patients who remained at or worsened to intermediate risk or high risk (p≤0.005).ConclusionThe simplified risk-assessment method can discriminate idiopathic, connective-tissue-disease-associated and congenital-heart-disease-associated PAH patients into meaningful high-risk, intermediate-risk and low-risk groups at baseline and first follow-up. This pragmatic approach reinforces targeting a low-risk profile for PAH patients.

Hemorrhage Risk Assessment on Admission: Utility for Prediction of Maternal Morbidity

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Homa K. Ahmadzia ◽  
Jaclyn M. Phillips ◽  
Rose Kleiman ◽  
Alexis C. Gimovsky ◽  
Susan Bathgate ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Blood Transfusion ◽  
Maternal Morbidity ◽  
Assessment Tool ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Risk Assessment Tool ◽  
Maternal Outcomes ◽  
Hemorrhage Risk ◽  
Low Risk Women

Objective Hemorrhage is a major cause of maternal morbidity and mortality prompting creation of innovative risk assessment tools to identify patients at highest risk. We aimed to investigate the association of hemorrhage risk assessment with maternal morbidity and to evaluate maternal outcomes after implementation of the risk assessment across hospital sites. Study Design We conducted a retrospective cohort analysis of a multicenter database including women admitted to labor and delivery from January 2015 to June 2018. The Association of Women's Health, Obstetric and Neonatal Nurses risk assessment tool was used to categorize patients as low, medium, or high risk for hemorrhage. Multivariate logistic regression was used to describe the association between hemorrhage risk score and markers of maternal morbidity and evaluate maternal outcomes before and after standardized implementations of the risk assessment tool. Results In this study, 14,861 women were categorized as low risk (26%), 26,080 (46%) moderate risk, and 15,730 (28%) high risk (N = 56,671 births). For women with high-risk scores, the relative risk (RR) ratio compared with low-risk women was 4.9 (RR: 95% confidence interval [CI]: 3.2–7.4) for blood transfusion and 5.2 (RR: 95% CI: 4.6–5.9) for estimated blood loss (EBL) ≥ 1,000 mL. For the second objective, 110,633 women were available for pre- and postimplementation analyses (39,027 and 71,606, respectively). A 20% reduction in rates of blood transfusion (0.5–0.4%, p = 0.02) and EBL ≥ 1,000 mL (6.3–5.9%, p = 0.014) was observed between pre- and postimplementations of the admission hemorrhage risk assessment tool. Conclusion Women who were deemed high risk for hemorrhage using a hemorrhage risk assessment tool had five times higher risk for blood transfusion and EBL ≥ 1,000 mL compared with low-risk women. Given the low incidence of the outcomes explored, the hemorrhage risk assessment works moderately well to identify patients at risk for peripartum morbidity. Key Points

scholarly journals Current Practice of Hospital Acquired Thrombosis (HAT) Prevention in an Acute Hospital (a single centre cross sectional study)

Blood ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 126 (23) ◽  
pp. 4459-4459 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dr. Muhammad Irfan Khan ◽  
Catriona O'Leary ◽  
Mary Ann Hayes ◽  
Patricia O'Flynn ◽  
Pauline Suzanne Chappell ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Assessment Tool ◽  
Drug Prescription ◽  
National Policy ◽  
Significant Risk ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Risk Assessment Tool ◽  
Risk Category ◽  
High Risk Category

Abstract Background Evidence based consensus guidelines for venous thromboembolism (VTE) prevention are broadly accepted to be effective and safe for more than three decades (Clagett GP et al, 1992). However VTE continues to be associated with a major global burden of disease with 3.9 million cases of HAT during one year among 1.1 billion citizens of high income countries (Jha AK et al, 2013). Therefore prevention is the key to reduce death and disability resulting from VTE (Kahn S et al, Gould MK et al & Falck-Yitter Y et al, 2012). Ireland like many other countries has yet to implement a mandatory risk assessment tool and thromboprophylaxis (TP) policy nationally. Aims The aim of this study was to calculate the proportion of inpatients who had a VTE risk assessment performed and received appropriate TP in a large tertiary referral hospital. This information will be vital for baseline data for implementation of a new national policy for prevention of HAT. Methods This audit was performed at Cork University Hospital on 4 pre specified days between November 2014 to February 2015. All adult inpatients (Medical and Surgical) excluding maternity and psychiatric were included. Patients on therapeutic anticoagulation were also excluded. The patients' medical chart and drug prescription chart were reviewed to determine whether or not a VTE risk assessment was documented for each patient and if they had received appropriate TP. If no risk assessment had been performed, trained researchers applied the National Institute for health and Care Excellence (NICE) guidelines 92 (Jan 2010) for VTE risk assessment and prevention. Following the risk assessment patients were divided into three categories, high risk of VTE with low risk of bleeding; high risk of VTE with significant risk of bleeding and low risk of VTE. From this the proportion of patients in each group that received appropriate TP were calculated. Results A total of 1019 patients were enrolled the majority were medical patients 63.5% (n=648). The mean age of patients was 69 years. Females accounted for 52% of patients. Average length of hospitalisation for each patient at the time of the audit was 6 days (range 1-664 days). Overall, a formal TP risk assessment was documented in only 24% (n=244) of all charts reviewed however TP was prescribed in 43.2% (n=441) of patients. See table.Table 1.High Risk of VTE low risk of bleedingHigh risk of VTE significant risk of bleedingLow risk of VTENo. of pts80.3% (n=819)16.6% (n=170)2.9% (n=30)VTE risk assessment documented21.9% (n=180)28.2% (n=55)30% (n=9)Received TP46.3% (n=380)28.8% (n=49)40% (n=12) Within the high risk category patients, 64.3% (n=526) medical. TP was only administered to 46.3% (n=380) of patients in the high risk category. This was almost evenly distributed between surgical 50.1% (n=147) and medical 43.4% (n=233) patients. Conclusion This audit was done as the initial step to develop a national policy to prevent HAT. As suspected, this audit highlights that a large proportion of hospitalised patients, both surgical and medical, continue to be at high risk for VTE despite the availability of preventative measures. There is clear illustration of under prescription of safe, effective and recommended means of VTE prevention. The current overall figure of less than 50% prescription of VTE thromboprophylaxis in high risk patients is a major patient safety concern. There are numerous recognised international guidelines for prevention of VTE, and an efficient method to implement these guidelines needs to be developed. Beyond developing national guidelines for TP, we need a co-ordinated approach to implement and monitor compliance with guidelines. Once the preliminary results of this audit were available to us in March 2015, urgent measures were taken to reduce the identified risk such as the establishment of a Hospital Thrombosis Group which developed a user friendly VTE risk assessment tool and TP policy. The VTE risk assessment tool was incorporated into the patients drug prescription chart and included a pre printed prescription for TP. It is now mandatory for the all patients to have a VTE risk assessment tool and TP prescribed if appropriate within 24hrs of admission. This was successfully piloted for four weeks in the acute medical assessment unit and is now incorporated into each patients drug chart throughout the hospital. This audit will be replicated in 6 months from introduction of this initiative, with an aim of >90% compliance. Disclosures No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.

scholarly journals 1277Reasons for quarantine and positivity rate among quarantined Health Care Workers (HCWs) in North India

2021 ◽  
Vol 50 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Naveen Prashar ◽  
Rahuldeep Singh ◽  
Ritin Mohindra ◽  
Vikas Suri ◽  
Ashish Bhalla ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Assessment Tool ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
North India ◽  
Risk Exposure ◽  
P Value ◽  
Risk Category ◽  
Personal Protection Equipment

Abstract Background WHO has declared the COVID-19 as Pandemic on 11th March, 2020. It is important to break the chain of transmission by quarantining the persons with high-risk exposure. Understanding the reasons for quarantine will help in reducing the exposures and thus reducing the chances of quarantine. Methods A validated risk assessment tool based on National Centre for Disease Control guidelines was used for the risk assessment of HCWs. The forms of HCWs who underwent risk assessment between April-November, 2020 were analyzed for reasons of quarantine. The positivity rates among high-risk and low-risk groups were compared. Results Out of 1414 HCWs who were assessed, 345 were categorized as high-risk exposure and were quarantined. The most common reasons for quarantine were performance of aerosol generating procedure without recommended personal protection equipment (PPE) (34%), exposure to COVID-19 positive patient without mask for more than 20 minutes at the distance less than 1 m (30%) and having food/tea together (27%). The positivity rate was 8.4% among high-risk and 1.9% among low-risk exposure group (p-value: &lt;0.001). The positivity among low risk category was more in the second half (19/466; 4.1%) as compared to first half (1/603; 0.2%) of the study period. This might be due to exposure from non-hospital sources as second half coincides with first wave of the pandemic. Conclusion Not using recommended PPE and having tea/food breaks together were the most common reasons for quarantine. Key messages Strict enforcement of recommended PPE and scattered tea and food breaks can reduce high-risk exposures.

scholarly journals Obstetric hemorrhage risk assessment tool predicts composite maternal morbidity

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Emer L. Colalillo ◽  
Andrew D. Sparks ◽  
Jaclyn M. Phillips ◽  
Chinelo L. Onyilofor ◽  
Homa K. Ahmadzia
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Risk Prediction ◽  
Maternal Morbidity ◽  
Assessment Tool ◽  
The United States ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Risk Assessment Tool ◽  
Obstetric Hemorrhage ◽  
Hemorrhage Risk

AbstractObstetric hemorrhage is one of the leading preventable causes of maternal mortality in the United States. Although hemorrhage risk-prediction models exist, there remains a gap in literature describing if these risk-prediction tools can identify composite maternal morbidity. We investigate how well an established obstetric hemorrhage risk-assessment tool predicts composite hemorrhage-associated morbidity. We conducted a retrospective cohort analysis of a multicenter database including women admitted to Labor and Delivery from 2016 to 2018, at centers implementing the Association of Women’s Health, Obstetric, and Neonatal Nurses risk assessment tool on admission. A composite morbidity score incorporated factors including obstetric hemorrhage (estimated blood loss ≥ 1000 mL), blood transfusion, or ICU admission. Out of 56,903 women, 14,803 (26%) were categorized as low-risk, 26,163 (46%) as medium-risk and 15,937 (28%) as high-risk for obstetric hemorrhage. Composite morbidity occurred at a rate of 2.2%, 8.0% and 11.9% within these groups, respectively. Medium- and high-risk groups had an increased combined risk of composite morbidity (diagnostic OR 4.58; 4.09–5.13) compared to the low-risk group. This established hemorrhage risk-assessment tool predicts clinically-relevant composite morbidity. Future randomized trials in obstetric hemorrhage can incorporate these tools for screening patients at highest risk for composite morbidity.

scholarly journals Comparison of Diffusion Kurtosis Imaging and Amide Proton Transfer Imaging in the Diagnosis and Risk Assessment of Prostate Cancer

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Huijia Yin ◽  
Dongdong Wang ◽  
Ruifang Yan ◽  
Xingxing Jin ◽  
Ying Hu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Prostate Cancer ◽  
Risk Assessment ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Diagnostic Accuracy ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Amide Proton ◽  
Magnetization Transfer Ratio ◽  
Intermediate Risk ◽  
Apt Imaging

ObjectivesThis study aims to evaluate and compare the diagnostic value of DKI and APT in prostate cancer (PCa), and their correlation with Gleason Score (GS).Materials and MethodsDKI and APT imaging of 49 patients with PCa and 51 patients with benign prostatic hyperplasia (BPH) were collected and analyzed, respectively. According to the GS, the patients with PCa were divided into high-risk, intermediate-risk and low-risk groups. The mean kurtosis (MK), mean diffusion (MD) and magnetization transfer ratio asymmetry (MTRasym, 3.5 ppm) values among PCa, BPH, and different GS groups of PCa were compared and analyzed respectively. The diagnostic accuracy of each parameter was evaluated by using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. The correlation between each parameter and GS was analyzed by using Spearman’s rank correlation.ResultsThe MK and MTRasym (3.5 ppm) values were significantly higher in PCa group than in BPH group, while the MD value was significantly lower than in BPH group. The differences of MK/MD/MTRasym (3.5 ppm) between any two of the low-risk, intermediate-risk, and high-risk groups were all statistically significant (p &lt;0.05). The MK value showed the highest diagnostic accuracy in differentiating PCa and BPH, BPH and low-risk, low-risk and intermediate-risk, intermediate-risk and high-risk (AUC = 0.965, 0.882, 0.839, 0.836). The MK/MD/MTRasym (3.ppm) values showed good and moderate correlation with GS (r = 0.844, −0.811, 0.640, p &lt;0.05), respectively.ConclusionDKI and APT imaging are valuable in the diagnosis of PCa and demonstrate strong correlation with GS, which has great significance in the risk assessment of PCa.

scholarly journals Determinants of pulmonary vascular resistance reduction with upfront oral therapy in idiopathic pulmonary arterial hypertension: relevance in risk assessment

2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
R Badagliacca ◽  
M D'Alto ◽  
S Ghio ◽  
A Greco ◽  
S Papa ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension ◽  
Treatment Response ◽  
Oral Therapy ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Risk Scores ◽  
Intermediate Risk ◽  
Risk Status ◽  
Pulmonary Arterial ◽  
Response Score

Abstract Background In pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) upfront oral therapy represents the standard of care for naive patients at low and intermediate risk. However little is known about associated changes in risk assessment and prediction of low risk status achievement. Purpose To evaluate determinants of PVR reduction in patients treated with upfront oral therapy and to create a score to predict PVR reduction after upfront oral treatment and compared its additive value on top of the European and REVEAL scoring system in predicting treatment response. Methods One-hundred-eighty-one consecutive naive PAH patients treated with upfront therapy at 11 italian centers were retrospectively evaluated. Evaluation included clinical, hemodynamic and simple echocardiographic parameters, together with European and REVEAL 2.0 risk scores. Results At the time of diagnosis, the majority of the patients was idiopathic PAH (80.6%), female (66.3%), at intermediate risk, 71.8% and 55.2%, respectively, according to the European (average method) and the REVEAL 2.0 risk scores. Ambrisentan-Tadalafil was the most frequent combination used (62%). The median PVR reduction obtained after 180 days (IQR 79–394) was −40.4% (IQR −25.8; −45.3). Age ≥60 years, male-sex, baseline mPAP 48 mmHg associated with low CI (&lt;2.5 l/min/m2), and RV/LV ratio &gt;1 associated with low TAPSE (&lt;18 mm) emerged as independent predictors of poor PVR reduction, defined as the lower tertile of PVR changes (−25.8%). A treatment response score was created deriving weighted integers from the beta coefficient. At second evaluation 78 (43.1%) patients achieved or remained at European-derived low risk status, while 63 (34.8%) considering the REVEAL 2.0 score. Multivariate analysis for the prediction of treatment failure, defined as the absence of low-risk status at follow-up, demonstrated the incremental prognostic power of the models incorporating the treatment response score (≥3) on top of the European and REVEAL 2.0 scores, improving risk discrimination by 63.2% (IDI index 0.056) and 36.8% (IDI index 0.080), respectively. Conclusions A significant proportion of PAH patients treated with upfront oral combination are not able to achieve a low-risk status. The treatment response score helps clinicians in predicting treatment failure at the time of diagnosis. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: None

A Novel Risk Classification Model Predicts Overall Survival and Locoregional Surgery Benefit in Colorectal Patients with Distant Metastasis at the Initial Diagnosis

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mo Chen ◽  
Tian-en Li ◽  
Pei-zhun Du ◽  
Junjie Pan ◽  
Zheng Wang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Overall Survival ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Distant Metastasis ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
Risk Classification ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Classification Model ◽  
Intermediate Risk

Abstract Background and aims: In this research, we aimed to construct a risk classification model to predict overall survival (OS) and locoregional surgery benefit in colorectal cancer (CRC) patients with distant metastasis.Methods: We selected a cohort consisting of 12741 CRC patients diagnosed with distant metastasis between 2010 and 2014, from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database. Patients were randomly assigned into training group and validation group at the ratio of 2:1. Univariable and multivariable Cox regression models were applied to screen independent prognostic factors. A nomogram was constructed and assessed by the Harrell’s concordance index (C-index) and calibration plots. A novel risk classification model was further established based on the nomogram.Results: Ultimately 12 independent risk factors including race, age, marriage, tumor site, tumor size, grade, T stage, N stage, bone metastasis, brain metastasis, lung metastasis and liver metastasis were identified and adopted in the nomogram. The C-indexes of training and validation groups were 0.77 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.73-0.81) and 0.75 (95% CI 0.72-0.78), respectively. The risk classification model stratified patients into three risk groups (low-, intermediate- and high-risk) with divergent median OS (low-risk: 36.0 months, 95% CI 34.1-37.9; intermediate-risk: 18.0 months, 95% CI 17.4-18.6; high-risk: 6.0 months, 95% CI 5.3-6.7). Locoregional therapies including surgery and radiotherapy could prognostically benefit patients in the low-risk group (surgery: hazard ratio [HR] 0.59, 95% CI 0.50-0.71; radiotherapy: HR 0.84, 95% CI 0.72-0.98) and intermediate risk group (surgery: HR 0.61, 95% CI 0.54-0.68; radiotherapy: HR 0.86, 95% CI 0.77-0.95), but not in the high-risk group (surgery: HR 1.03, 95% CI 0.82-1.29; radiotherapy: HR 1.03, 95% CI 0.81-1.31). And all risk groups could benefit from systemic therapy (low-risk: HR 0.68, 95% CI 0.58-0.80; intermediate-risk: HR 0.50, 95% CI 0.47-0.54; high-risk: HR 0.46, 95% CI 0.40-0.53).Conclusion: A novel risk classification model predicting prognosis and locoregional surgery benefit of CRC patients with distant metastasis was established and validated. This predictive model could be further utilized by physicians and be of great significance for medical practice.

Single-center prognostic validation of the risk assessment of the 2015 ESC/ERS guidelines in patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension in Japan

2020 ◽  
Vol 98 (9) ◽  
pp. 653-658 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ryo Imai ◽  
Shiro Adachi ◽  
Masahiro Yoshida ◽  
Shigetake Shimokata ◽  
Yoshihisa Nakano ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Arterial Hypertension ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
World Health ◽  
Right Atrial ◽  
Walking Distance ◽  
Pulmonary Arterial

The 2015 European Society of Cardiology/European Respiratory Society guidelines for the diagnosis and treatment of pulmonary hypertension include a multidimensional risk assessment for patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). However, prognostic validations of this risk assessment are limited, especially outside Europe. Here, we validated the risk assessment strategy in PAH patients in our institution in Japan. Eighty consecutive PAH patients who underwent right heart catheterization between November 2006 and December 2018 were analyzed. Patients were classified as low, intermediate, or high risk by using a simplified version of the risk assessment that included seven variables: World Health Organization functional class, 6-min walking distance, peak oxygen consumption, brain natriuretic peptide, right atrial pressure, mixed venous oxygen saturation, and cardiac index. The high-risk group showed significantly higher mortality than the low- or intermediate-risk group at baseline (P < 0.001 for both comparisons), and the mortalities in the intermediate- and low-risk groups were both low (P = 0.989). At follow-up, patients who improved to or maintained a low-risk status showed better survival than those who did not (P = 0.041). Our data suggest that this risk assessment can predict higher mortality risk and long-term survival in PAH patients in Japan.

Validation of Postpartum Hemorrhage Admission Risk Factor Stratification in a Large Obstetrics Population

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Halley Ruppel ◽  
Vincent X. Liu ◽  
Neeru R. Gupta ◽  
Lauren Soltesz ◽  
Gabriel J. Escobar
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Risk Assessment ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Blood Loss ◽  
Postpartum Hemorrhage ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Hemorrhage Risk ◽  
Present On Admission

Abstract Objective This study aimed to evaluate the performance of the California Maternal Quality Care Collaborative (CMQCC) admission risk criteria for stratifying postpartum hemorrhage risk in a large obstetrics population. Study Design Using detailed electronic health record data, we classified 261,964 delivery hospitalizations from Kaiser Permanente Northern California hospitals between 2010 and 2017 into high-, medium-, and low-risk groups based on CMQCC criteria. We used logistic regression to assess associations between CMQCC risk groups and postpartum hemorrhage using two different postpartum hemorrhage definitions, standard postpartum hemorrhage (blood loss ≥1,000 mL) and severe postpartum hemorrhage (based on transfusion, laboratory, and blood loss data). Among the low-risk group, we also evaluated associations between additional present-on-admission factors and severe postpartum hemorrhage. Results Using the standard definition, postpartum hemorrhage occurred in approximately 5% of hospitalizations (n = 13,479), with a rate of 3.2, 10.5, and 10.2% in the low-, medium-, and high-risk groups. Severe postpartum hemorrhage occurred in 824 hospitalizations (0.3%), with a rate of 0.2, 0.5, and 1.3% in the low-, medium-, and high-risk groups. For either definition, the odds of postpartum hemorrhage were significantly higher in medium- and high-risk groups compared with the low-risk group. Over 40% of postpartum hemorrhages occurred in hospitalizations that were classified as low risk. Among the low-risk group, risk factors including hypertension and diabetes were associated with higher odds of severe postpartum hemorrhage. Conclusion We found that the CMQCC admission risk assessment criteria stratified women by increasing rates of severe postpartum hemorrhage in our sample, which enables early preparation for many postpartum hemorrhages. However, the CMQCC risk factors missed a substantial proportion of postpartum hemorrhages. Efforts to improve postpartum hemorrhage risk assessment using present-on-admission risk factors should consider inclusion of other nonobstetrical factors.

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