Prognostic impact of geriatric assessment in elderly patients with non-small cell lung cancer: an integrated analysis of two randomized phase III trials (JCOG1115-A)
Abstract Objective Patients’ actual age and performance status do not always accurately identify the ‘fit elderly’ for chemotherapy. This study aimed to determine whether four geriatric assessment tools could predict prognosis. Methods This study were analyzed using the data of two randomized phase III trials (JCOG0207 and JCOG0803/WJOG4307L) for elderly patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer and included all eligible patients who were assessed before treatment with four geriatric assessment tools: the Barthel activities of daily living index, Lawton instrumental activities of daily living scale, Mini-Mental State Examination, and Geriatric Depression Scale-15. Univariable and multivariable analyses for overall survival, adjusted for baseline factors, were performed using a stratified Cox regression model with treatment regimen as strata. Results This analysis included 330 patients aged 70–74, 75–79 or 80 or more (n = 95/181/54), with a performance status of 0 or 1 (n = 119/211). Patients were divided into three groups based on Mini-Mental State Examination and two groups based on Geriatric Depression Scale, but over 80% of patients had perfect scores for both activities of daily living and instrumental activities of daily living. In overall survival subgroup analyses by GA tool, only Mini-Mental State Examination scores were associated with substantial outcome differences (median survival times: 21.2, 13.5 and 12.2 months for scores 30, 29–24 and ≤23). After adjusting for baseline factors, the Mini-Mental State Examination, sex and performance status were tended to be worse overall survival. Conclusion MMSE scores, performance status and sex, but not chronological age, effectively predicted the prognosis of elderly patients. Further studies should confirm that the Mini-Mental State Examination is useful for determining the indication of chemotherapy in elderly patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer.