scholarly journals MO048MULTICENTRE PROSPECTIVE VALIDATION OF THE URINARY PEPTIDOME-BASED CLASSIFIER CKD273 AS A PREDICTOR OF RENAL FUNCTION DECLINE IN SUBJECTS WITH TYPE 2 DIABETES

2020 ◽  
Vol 35 (Supplement_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Morten Lindhardt ◽  
Nete Tofte ◽  
Gemma Currie ◽  
Marie Frimodt-Moeller ◽  
Heiko Von der Leyen ◽  
...  

Abstract Background and Aims In the PRIORITY study, it was recently demonstrated that the urinary peptidome-based classifier CKD273 was associated with increased risk for progression to microalbuminuria. As a prespecified secondary outcome, we aim to evaluate the classifier CKD273 as a determinant of relative reductions in eGFR (CKD-EPI) of 30% and 40% from baseline, at one timepoint without requirements of confirmation. Method The ‘Proteomic prediction and Renin angiotensin aldosterone system Inhibition prevention Of early diabetic nephRopathy In TYpe 2 diabetic patients with normoalbuminuria trial’ (PRIORITY) is the first prospective observational study to evaluate the early detection of diabetic kidney disease in subjects with type 2 diabetes (T2D) and normoalbuminuria using the CKD273 classifier. Setting 1775 subjects from 15 European sites with a mean follow-up time of 2.6 years (minimum of 7 days and a maximum of 4.3 years). Patients Subjects with T2D, normoalbuminuria and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) ≥ 45 ml/min/1.73m2. Participants were stratified into high- or low-risk groups based on their CKD273 score in a urine sample at screening (high-risk defined as score > 0.154). Results In total, 12 % (n = 216) of the subjects had a high-risk proteomic pattern. Mean (SD) baseline eGFR was 88 (15) ml/min/1.73m2 in the low-risk group and 81 (17) ml/min/1.73m2 in the high-risk group (p < 0.01). Baseline median (interquartile range) urinary albumin to creatinine ratio (UACR) was 5 (3-8) mg/g and 7 (4-12) mg/g in the low-risk and high-risk groups, respectively (p < 0.01). A 30 % reduction in eGFR from baseline was seen in 42 (19.4 %) subjects in the high-risk group as compared to 62 (3.9 %) in the low-risk group (p < 0.0001). In an unadjusted Cox-model the hazard ratio (HR) for the high-risk group was 5.7, 95 % confidence interval (CI) (3.9 to 8.5; p<0.0001). After adjustment for baseline eGFR and UACR, the HR was 5.2, 95 % CI (3.4 to 7.8; p<0.0001). A 40 % reduction in eGFR was seen in 15 (6.9 %) subjects in the high-risk group whereas 22 (1.4 %) in the low-risk group developed this endpoint (p<0.0001). In an unadjusted Cox-model the HR for the high-risk group was 5.0, 95 % CI (2.6 to 9.6; p<0.0001). After adjustment for baseline eGFR and UACR, the HR was 4.8, 95 % CI (2.4 to 9.7; p<0.0001). Conclusion In normoalbuminuric subjects with T2D, the urinary proteomic classifier CKD273 predicts renal function decline of 30 % and 40 %, independent of baseline eGFR and albuminuria.

Circulation ◽  
2012 ◽  
Vol 125 (suppl_10) ◽  
Author(s):  
Susan van Dieren ◽  
Andre Pascal Kengne ◽  
John Chalmers ◽  
Joline Beulens ◽  
Yvonne van der Schouw ◽  
...  

Background/Aim: Although patients with type 2 diabetes constitute a high risk group there is a gradation in cardiovascular risk which may lead to differences in outcomes and effects of treatment. The objective of this study was to assess for differences in treatment effects of the fixed combination of perindopril-indapamide across subgroups of cardiovascular risk. Methods: 11,140 patients with type 2 diabetes, participating in the ADVANCE trial, were randomized to perindopril-indapamide or matching placebo. The UKPDS risk engine was used to calculate baseline 5-year coronary heart disease risk and to stratify patients into three risk groups (0-10%; 10–15%; >15%). Endpoints were composites of major macrovascular and microvascular events. Homogeneity of treatment effects across risk subgroups were tested by adding interaction terms to the Cox models. Results: The median estimated 5-year coronary heart disease risk at baseline was 10% (IQR 7%−16%). 1000 macrovascular and 916 microvascular events were recorded during a median follow-up of 4.3 years. The relative treatment effects were similar across all risk groups for all endpoints, with no heterogeneity (all P -values for heterogeneity ≥ 0.38). The hazard ratios for combined macro- and microvascular events were 0.89 (95% confidence interval: 0.77–1.03) for the moderate-high risk group and 0.92 (0.81–1.03) for the very high risk group. The absolute risk reductions were greater in the highest risk groups, with numbers needed to treat ranging from 38 to 244. Conclusions: Reductions in relative risk achieved with the fixed combination of perindopril-indapamide among patients with type 2 diabetes were consistent across subgroups defined by baseline cardiovascular risk, but reductions in absolute risk were greatest in those with the highest initial risk. Acknowledgements: This research was supported by a program grant from the National Health and Medical Research Council of Australia, the Center for Translational Molecular Medicine (CTMM) and the Netherlands Heart Foundation, Dutch Diabetes Research Foundation and Dutch Kidney Foundation (PREDICCt).


2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (10) ◽  
pp. 3212
Author(s):  
Kirsten E. Peters ◽  
Jialin Xu ◽  
Scott D. Bringans ◽  
Wendy A. Davis ◽  
Timothy M.E. Davis ◽  
...  

The ability of current tests to predict chronic kidney disease (CKD) complicating diabetes is limited. This study investigated the prognostic utility of a novel blood test, PromarkerD, for predicting future renal function decline in individuals with type 2 diabetes from the CANagliflozin CardioVascular Assessment Study (CANVAS). PromarkerD scores were measured at baseline in 3568 CANVAS participants (n = 1195 placebo arm, n = 2373 canagliflozin arm) and used to predict incident CKD (estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) <60 mL/min/1.73m2 during follow-up in those above this threshold at baseline) and eGFR decline ≥30% during the 4 years from randomization. Biomarker concentrations (apolipoprotein A-IV (apoA4), CD5 antigen-like (CD5L/AIM) and insulin-like growth factor-binding protein 3 (IGFBP3) measured by mass spectrometry were combined with clinical data (age, serum high-density lipoprotein (HDL)-cholesterol, eGFR) using a previously defined algorithm to provide PromarkerD scores categorized as low-, moderate- or high-risk. The participants (mean age 63 years, 33% females) had a median PromarkerD score of 2.9%, with 70.5% categorized as low-risk, 13.6% as moderate-risk and 15.9% as high-risk for developing incident CKD. After adjusting for treatment, baseline PromarkerD moderate-risk and high-risk scores were increasingly prognostic for incident CKD (odds ratio 5.29 and 13.52 versus low-risk, respectively; both p < 0.001). Analysis of the PromarkerD test system in CANVAS shows the test can predict clinically significant incident CKD in this multi-center clinical study but had limited utility for predicting eGFR decline ≥30%.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-15
Author(s):  
Jianfeng Zheng ◽  
Benben Cao ◽  
Xia Zhang ◽  
Zheng Niu ◽  
Jinyi Tong

Cervical cancer (CC) is a common gynecological malignancy for which prognostic and therapeutic biomarkers are urgently needed. The signature based on immune-related lncRNAs (IRLs) of CC has never been reported. This study is aimed at establishing an IRL signature for patients with CC. A cohort of 326 CC and 21 normal tissue samples with corresponding clinical information was included in this study. Twenty-eight IRLs were collected according to the Pearson correlation analysis between the immune score and lncRNA expression ( p < 0.01 ). Four IRLs (BZRAP1-AS1, EMX2OS, ZNF667-AS1, and CTC-429P9.1) with the most significant prognostic values ( p < 0.05 ) were identified which demonstrated an ability to stratify patients into the low-risk and high-risk groups by developing a risk score model. It was observed that patients in the low-risk group showed longer overall survival (OS) than those in the high-risk group in the training set, valid set, and total set. The area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC curve) for the four-IRL signature in predicting the one-, two-, and three-year survival rates was larger than 0.65. In addition, the low-risk and high-risk groups displayed different immune statuses in GSEA. These IRLs were also significantly correlated with immune cell infiltration. Our results showed that the IRL signature had a prognostic value for CC. Meanwhile, the specific mechanisms of the four IRLs in the development of CC were ascertained preliminarily.


2015 ◽  
Vol 33 (3_suppl) ◽  
pp. 394-394
Author(s):  
Lavanniya Kumar Palani Velu ◽  
Vishnuvardhan Chandrabalan ◽  
Ross Carter ◽  
Colin McKay ◽  
Donald McMillan ◽  
...  

394 Background: Pancreas-specific complications (PSC), comprising postoperative pancreatic fistula, post-pancreatectomy haemorrhage, and intra-abdominal collections, are drivers of morbidity following pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD). Intra-operatively derived pancreatic gland texture is a major determinant of postoperative PSC. We have previously demonstrated that a postoperative day 0 (PoD0) serum amylase ≥ 130 IU/L is an objective surrogate of pancreatic texture, and is associated with PSC. We sought to refine the PSC risk prediction model by including serial measurements of serum C-reactive protein (CRP). Methods: 230 consecutive patients undergoing PD between 2008 and 2014 were included in the study. Routine serum investigations, including amylase and CRP were performed from the pre-operative day. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to identify a threshold value of serum CRP associated with clinically significant PSC. Results: 95 (41.3%) patients experienced a clinically significant PSC. ROC analysis identified post-operative day 2 (PoD2) serum CRP of 180 mg/L as the optimal threshold (P=0.005) associated with clinically significant PSC, a prolonged stay in critical care (P =0.032), and a relaparotomy (P = 0.045). Patients with a PoD0 serum amylase ≥ 130 IU/L who then developed a PoD2 serum CRP ≥ 180 mg/L had a higher incidence of postoperative complications. Patients were categorised into high, intermediate and low risk groups based on PoD0 serum amylase and PoD2 serum CRP. Patients in the high risk group (PoD0 serum amylase ≥ 130 IU/L and PoD2 serum CRP ≥ 180 mg/l) had significantly higher incidence of PSC, a return to theatre, prolonged lengths stay (all P≤ 0.05) and a four-fold increase in perioperative mortality compared patients in the intermediate and low risk groups (7 deaths in the high risk group versus 2 and nil in the intermediate and low risk groups respectively). Conclusions: A high risk profile, defined as PoD0 serum amylase ≥ 130 IU/L and PoD2 serum CRP ≥ 180 mg/l, should raise the clinician’s awareness of the increased risk of clinically significant PSC and a complicated postoperative course following pancreaticoduodenectomy.


2017 ◽  
Vol 2017 ◽  
pp. 1-7
Author(s):  
Lingling He ◽  
Shuan Zhang ◽  
Xiaoli Liu ◽  
Yuyong Jiang ◽  
Xianbo Wang ◽  
...  

Aim. To establish a new score model to predict risk of death in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma and type 2 diabetes mellitus.Methods. This was a retrospective study of 147 patients with hepatocellular carcinoma and type 2 diabetes mellitus who came to Beijing Ditan Hospital between October 2008 and June 2013. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to obtain the independent factors associated with death risk. A new score model was devised according to these factors.Results. A prediction score model composed of HbA1c, NLR, age, and CTP class was devised, which ranged from 0 to 7. AUROC of the score was 0.853 (P<0.001, 95% CI: 0.791–0.915). Scores 0–2, 3-4, and 5–7 identified patients as low-, medium-, and high-risk categories. The cumulative survival rate was 93.6%, 83.0%, and 74.5% in the low-risk group in 1, 2, and 3 years, while it was 64.0%, 46.0%, and 26.0% in the medium-risk group, whereas it was 24.0%, 12.0%, and 6.0% in the high-risk group, respectively. The cumulative survival rate was significantly higher in the low-risk group than that in the medium-risk group and high-risk group (P<0.001).Conclusion. The HbA1c-based score model can be used to predict death risk in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma and type 2 diabetes mellitus.


Blood ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 132 (Supplement 1) ◽  
pp. 186-186 ◽  
Author(s):  
Inhye E. Ahn ◽  
Xin Tian ◽  
Maher Albitar ◽  
Sarah E. M. Herman ◽  
Erika M. Cook ◽  
...  

Abstract Introduction: We previously reported a prognostic scoring system in CLL using pre-treatment factors in patients treated with ibrutinib [Ahn et al, 2016 ASH Annual Meeting]. Here we present long-term follow-up results and validation of the prognostic models in a large independent cohort of patients. We also determine the incidence of resistance-conferring mutations in BTK and PLCG2 genes in different clinical risk groups. Methods and Patients: The discovery cohort comprised 84 CLL patients on a phase II study with either TP53 aberration (deletion 17p or TP53 mutation) or age ≥65 years (NCT01500733). The validation cohort comprised 607 patients pooled from four phase II and III studies for ibrutinib in treatment-naïve or relapsed/refractory CLL (NCT01105247; NCT01578707; NCT01722487; NCT01744691). All patients received single-agent ibrutinib 420mg once daily. We used Cox regression models to identify independent predictors of PFS, Kaplan-Meier method to estimate probabilities of PFS, log-rank test to compare PFS, and Cochran-Armitage trend test to compare the incidence of mutation among subgroups. We used R version 3.5.0 or SAS® version 9.3 for statistical analyses. For biomarker correlation, we tested cellular DNA or cell-free DNA collected from patients in the discovery cohort with the targeted sequencing of BTK and PLCG2 genes. Result: At a median follow-up of 5.2 years, 28 (33.3%) of 84 patients in the discovery cohort progressed or died. 52 (61.9%) patients had treatment-naïve CLL. Independent factors of PFS on univariate analysis were; TP53 aberration, prior treatment, and β-2 microglobulin (B2M) >4mg/L (P<0.05 for all tests). Unmutated IGHV and advanced Rai stage (III/IV) showed a trend toward inferior outcome without reaching statistical significance. Because higher levels of B2M were associated with relapsed/refractory CLL, we performed two multivariate Cox regression models to assess B2M and prior treatment status separately. Risk groups were determined by the presence of TP53 aberration, advanced Rai stage, and B2M >4mg/L for Model 1, and TP53 aberration, advanced Rai stage, and relapsed/refractory CLL for Model 2 (Table 1). The high-risk group had all three adverse risk factors; the intermediate-risk group had two risk factors; and the low-risk group, none or one. The median PFS of the high-risk group was 38.9 months for Model 1 and 38.4 months for Model 2, and was significantly shorter than those of intermediate and low-risk groups. In the validation cohort, 254 (41.8%) of 607 patients progressed or died at a median follow-up of 4.2 years. 167 (27.5%) patients had treatment-naïve CLL. Both models showed statistically significant differences in PFS by risk groups (Table 1). For the high-risk group, 4-year PFS was 30.2% in Model 1 and 30.5% in Model 2, which were inferior to those of intermediate (53.4 and 52.4%) and low-risk groups (68.7 and 73.7%). Model 1 classified 20% of patients and Model 2 classified 28% of patients to the high-risk group. BTK and PLCG2 mutations are common genetic drivers of ibrutinib resistance in CLL. To determine whether the incidence of these mutations correlates with prognostic risk groups, we performed targeted sequencing of BTK and PLCG2 of samples collected from patients in the discovery cohort. We used cell-free DNA for patients who received long-term ibrutinib (≥3 years) and had low circulating tumor burden, and cellular DNA, for samples collected within 3 years on ibrutinib or at progression. Of 84 patients, 69 (82.1%) were tested at least once, and 37 (44.0%) were tested at least twice. The frequency of testing was similar across the risk groups by two models (P>0.05). The cumulative incidences of mutations at 5 years in the low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups were: 21.4%, 44.8% and 50%, respectively, by Model 1 (P=0.02); and 22.6%, 41.4% and 66.7%, respectively, by Model 2 (P=0.01). Conclusion: We developed and validated prognostic models to predict the risk of disease progression or death in CLL patients treated with ibrutinib. Risk groups classified by three commonly available pre-treatment factors showed statistically significant differences in PFS. The clinically-defined high-risk disease was linked to higher propensity to develop clonal evolution with BTK and/or PLCG2 mutations, which heralded ibrutinib resistance. Disclosures Albitar: Neogenomics Laboratories: Employment. Ma:Neogenomics Laboratories: Employment. Ipe:Pharmacyclics, an AbbVie Company: Employment, Other: Travel; AbbVie: Equity Ownership. Tsao:Pharmacyclics LLC, an AbbVie Company: Employment. Cheng:Pharmacyclics LLC, an AbbVie Company: Employment. Dean:CTI BioPharma Corp.: Employment, Equity Ownership; Pharmacyclics LLC, an AbbVie Company: Employment, Equity Ownership. Wiestner:Pharmacyclics LLC, an AbbVie Company: Research Funding.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peng-wei Cao ◽  
Lei Liu ◽  
Zi-Han Li ◽  
Feng Cao ◽  
Fu-Bao Liu

Abstract Background: The role of N6-methyladenosine (m6A)-associated long-stranded non-coding RNA (lncRNA) in pancreatic cancer is unclear. Therefore, we analysed the characteristics and tumour microenvironment in pancreatic cancer and determined the value of m6A-related lncRNAs for prognosis and drug target prediction.Methods: An m6A-lncRNA co-expression network was constructed using The Cancer Genome Atlas database to screen m6A-related lncRNAs. Prognosis-related lncRNAs were screened using univariate Cox regression; patients were divided into high- and low-risk groups and randomised into training and test groups. In the training group, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) was used for regression analysis and to construct a prognostic model, which was validated in the test group. Tumour mutational burden (TMB), immune evasion, and immune function of risk genes were analysed using R; drug sensitivity and potential drugs were examined using the Genomics of Drug Sensitivity in Cancer database.Results: We screened 129 m6A-related lncRNAs; 17 prognosis-related m6A-related lncRNAs were obtained using multivariate analysis and three m6A-related lncRNAs (AC092171.5, MEG9, AC002091.1) were screened using LASSO regression. Survival rates were significantly higher (P < 0.05) in the low-risk than in the high-risk group. Risk score was an independent predictor affecting survival (P < 0.001), with the highest risk score being obtained by calculating the c-index. The TMB significantly differed between the high- and low-risk groups (P < 0.05). In the high- and low-risk groups, mutations were detected in 61 of 70 samples and 49 of 71 samples, respectively, with KRAS, TP53, and SMAD4 showing the highest mutation frequencies in both groups. A lower survival rate was observed in patients with a high versus low TMB. Immune function HLA, Cytolytic activity, and Inflammation-promoting, T cell co-inhibition, Check-point, and T cell co-stimulation significantly differed in different subgroups (P < 0.05). Immune evasion scores were significantly higher in the high-risk group than in the low-risk group. Eight sensitive drugs were screened: ABT.888, ATRA, AP.24534, AG.014699, ABT.263, axitinib, A.443654, and A.770041.Conclusions: We screened m6A-related lncRNAs using bioinformatics, constructed a prognosis-related model, explored TMB and immune function differences in pancreatic cancer, and identified potential therapeutic agents, providing a foundation for further studies of pancreatic cancer diagnosis and treatment.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jiaman Lin ◽  
Zihe Guo ◽  
Shuo Wang ◽  
Xinyu Zheng

Abstract Background: Previous randomized studies have assessed the possibility of omission of chemotherapy in some hormone receptor (HR)-positive and HER2-negative (HR+/HER2-) breast cancers (BC) based on gene profiling test, e.g., Oncotype DX. The goal of this study was to evaluate if combination of six proliferation related biomarkers by immunohistochemistry (6-IHC) could be a cost-effective option in determining the necessity of adjuvant chemotherapy in HR+/HER2- BC.Methods: A retrospective analysis of HR+/HER2- BC patients was conducted in the First Affiliated Hospital of China Medical University from 2010 to 2016. The expression of 6 BC-related proliferation and invasion genes (Cathepsin L2, MMP11, CyclinB1, Aurora A, Survivin and Ki67) from Oncotype DX were analyzed through IHC (designated as 6-IHC). All the included patients were divided randomly at a 7:3 ratio into training and testing cohorts. The cutoff prognosis index (PI) of 6-IHC was determined by multivariate Cox risk regression analysis after calculating the PI of each patient in training cohort and confirmed in testing cohort. The patients were classified into “Low” and “High” risk groups based on the PI value. Kaplan-Meier (KM) method was used to analyze Disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS). 6-IHC score and other factors associated with survival benefit of adjuvant chemotherapy were compared with Ki67 index.Results: A total of 330 patients were included and divided into training cohort (n = 231) and validation cohort (n = 99). The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis showed that the patients can be divided into 6-IHC score “High” and “Low” risk groups using the cut-off PI of 2.16. The 8-year DFS and OS were 54.6% and 69.2%, respectively in the 6-IHC score “High” risk group; 85.5% and 92.5%, respectively in the 6-IHC score “Low” risk group. The 8-year DFS and OS were 70.8% and 80.9%, respectively in the Ki67 “High” risk group, 77.7% and 87.6%, respectively in the Ki67 “Low” risk group. The KM curves showed that chemotherapy did not significantly improve the DFS in the 6-IHC score “Low” risk group (p = 0.830), but significantly improved the DFS in the 6-IHC score “High” risk group (P = 0.012).Conclusions: Combined 6-IHC score could be a reliable tool in predicting cancer-specific recurrences and survival in HR+/HER2- BC patients and identifying patients who could benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy regardless of the involvement of axillary lymph node (ALN).


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