Explaining French Elections

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael S. Lewis-Beck ◽  
Richard Nadeau
Keyword(s):  
Coming Out ◽  
Voting Behavior ◽  
Scientific Literature ◽  
Final Part ◽  
Short Term ◽  
French Elections ◽  
Electoral Choice ◽  
French Case

This chapter reviews research done on French elections, focusing on presidential contests. Initially, the scientific literature on voting behavior, coming out of the Michigan Model, is looked at. Then, we bear down specifically on the French case, comparing the perspectives of French scholars, such as exploration of “heavy variables,” to the perspectives of non-French scholars, for example the search for general models. Attention is given also to the search for a Michigan Model à la française. The final part of the chapter considers the convergence between the two traditions of studying French elections, from different sides of the Atlantic. In conclusion, we see a “meeting in the middle,” with each tradition contributing to the understanding of electoral choice in France, via consideration of long-term forces such as patrimony, and short-term forces such as leader image. Lastly, we offer specific recommendations for further enhancement of French election surveys.

Left-Right Orientations and Voting Behavior

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Willy Jou ◽  
Russell J. Dalton
Keyword(s):  
Political Parties ◽  
Voting Behavior ◽  
Policy Preferences ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Conservative Policy ◽  
Common Framework ◽  
Societal Influences ◽  
Voting Choice

One of the ways that citizens and elites orient themselves to politics is in reference to a Left-Right vocabulary. Left and Right, respectively, refer to a specific set of progressive and conservative policy preferences and political goals. Thus, Left-Right becomes a framework for positioning oneself, political figures, and political parties into a common framework. Most citizens identify themselves in Left-Right terms and their distribution of these orientations vary across nations. These orientations arise both from long-term societal influences and from the short-term issues of the day. Most people also place political parties in Left-Right terms. This leads citizens to use Left-Right comparisons as an important factor in their voting choice, although this impact varies considerably across nations. Most parties attract voters that broadly share their Left-Right orientations.

scholarly journals Economic internationalization and the decline of the left–right dimension

2019 ◽  
Vol 25 (1) ◽  
pp. 36-49
Author(s):  
Emiliano Grossman ◽  
Nicolas Sauger
Keyword(s):  
Voting Behavior ◽  
Western Europe ◽  
Two Dimensions ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Economic Openness ◽  
Foreign Investments ◽  
Economic Exchanges ◽  
European Election ◽  
The Impact

This article examines the continuing importance of the left–right dimension for voting behavior in Western Europe. We test the extent to which economic internationalization may affect the capacity of this dimension to structure party preferences. We explore two dimensions of internationalization, long-term openness and short-term changes, assessing, respectively, the impact of international trade and foreign investments on voters’ preference formation. To study the influence of changing context, we use four waves of the European Election Study (1999, 2004, 2009, and 2014). We show that openness to international economic exchanges tends to weaken the left–right cleavage. At the same time, long-term economic openness appears to soften the impact of short-term shocks for the relevance of left–right politics.

The Effect of Aggregate Economic Variables on Congressional Elections

1975 ◽  
Vol 69 (4) ◽  
pp. 1232-1239 ◽  
Author(s):  
Francisco Arcelus ◽  
Allan H. Meltzer
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Voting Behavior ◽  
Participation Rate ◽  
Congressional Elections ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Economic Variables ◽  
Principal Finding ◽  
Term Performance

This paper uses rational voting behavior as an organizing device to develop a framework within which to consider the effect of economic aggregates on voters. Unlike most previous studies, ours permits the voter to vote for candidates of either party or to abstain. A principal finding is that the effect of the main economic aggregates on the participation rate is much clearer than the effects on either party. Our results deny that an incumbent administration can affect the control of Congress by stimulating the economy. Voters appear to make judgments about inflation, unemployment and economic growth. We investigated on the basis of long-term, not short-term performance.

scholarly journals Function of Criminal Analysis in Modern Models of Police Activity

2021 ◽  
Vol 39 (68) ◽  
pp. 415-426
Author(s):  
Maksym V. Korniienko ◽  
Valentyna V. Horoshko ◽  
Igor M. Gorbanov ◽  
Karen Yu. Ismailov
Keyword(s):  
Organized Crime ◽  
Scientific Literature ◽  
Social Orientation ◽  
Street Crime ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Transnational Organized Crime ◽  
In Series ◽  
Police Activity

The objective of the article is to conduct a study of the role of criminal analysis in modern models of police activity. To achieve this objective, several methods were used, namely: analysis of official documentation, scientific literature, logical analysis, concrete-historical, dialectic, or empirical methods. The article presents the most common classifications of police models today, as well as the interpretation of criminal analysis in them. It is concluded that a relatively new model of intelligence-led surveillance needs to be implemented in the police. Within the police model of social orientation, specific ways of solving various problems are carried out by carefully and detailed analysis of the causes of such problems, actors, and characteristics of the area, as well as the prevention of serious crimes through the approach of police work in places of concentration of minor infringements (model of "broken windows"). It was noted that Comp Stat focuses on street crime and in series with short-term responsibility for addressing new criminal challenges; for its part, the intelligence-led surveillance (ILP) model includes a long-term strategic component that can be applied to transnational organized crime operations.

A Simultaneous Equation Model of Canadian Voting Behaviour

1987 ◽  
Vol 20 (3) ◽  
pp. 553-572 ◽  
Author(s):  
Keith Archer
Keyword(s):  
Party Identification ◽  
Simultaneous Equation ◽  
Equation Model ◽  
Least Squares Regression ◽  
Short Term ◽  
National Election Study ◽  
Electoral Choice ◽  
Complex Models ◽  
Voting Choice

AbstractRecent research on voting in United States presidential elections has begun to disentangle long-term and short-term components of electoral choice. This has been achieved through the use of complex models involving instrumental variables and two-stage or three-stage least squares regression. These techniques are particularly appropriate to understanding the voting decision in Canada because of the short-term variability of partisan identifications. Modelling voting choice, using simultaneous equations and data from the 1979 Canadian National Election Study, it was found that the major attitudinal determinants of voting—party identification and attitudes towards issues and party leaders—were strongly related to one another and to the direction of vote whereas sociodemographic characteristics were only weakly related to political attitudes and behaviour. In addition, the strength of these variables may vary across the major parties in any given election.

Weather: Creating the Perfect Storm

Tap ◽  
2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anindya Ghose
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Scientific Literature ◽  
Business Success ◽  
Purchase Decisions ◽  
Mobile Advertising ◽  
Medium Term ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Success Stories ◽  
Perfect Storm

This chapter examines one of nine critical forces behind purchase decisions that make mobile advertising so powerful: weather. Weather is ubiquitous and omnipresent. Scientific literature tells us just how strongly weather can influence our behavior, our moods, and our short-term, medium-term, and long-term decision making. One study showed that when our moods change, weather can account for as much as 40 percent of that change. Weather also offers that special ingredient that helps improve our understanding and find ways to make advertising a lucrative win-win for businesses and customers: lots and lots of data. The chapter introduces a mix of academic studies and business success stories, which show that the value of weather as a very influential driver of behavior. It discusses how weather affects mobile purchases and drives sales of big-ticket items.

scholarly journals APPLICATION OF RESILIENT DENTURE LINING MATERIALS: LITERATURE REVIEW

2021 ◽  
Vol 27 (2) ◽  
pp. 3676-3681
Author(s):  
Mariana Yankova ◽  
◽  
Todor Peev ◽  
Bozhidar Yordanov ◽  
Mariana Dimova-Gabrovska ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Scientific Literature ◽  
Complete Dentures ◽  
Crucial Importance ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Electronic Search ◽  
Limited Application ◽  
Indications For Use ◽  
Selection Of ◽  
Number Of Authors

Clinical cases of excessive bone resorption, presented thin, non-pliable mucosa, exostosis or painful neurogenic points require more specific methods for treatment with removable dentures. Specialized scientific literature discusses various materials and technologies for solving these problems. The use of resilient lining materials (RLMs) for partial and complete dentures is a possible solution if there are clear clinical indications and appropriate selection of the type of material. The purpose of this review is to provide and analyze up-to-date literature data on the use of resilient materials for partial and complete denture lining. Material and Methods: An electronic search in PubMed, Google, EBSCOhost and Science Direct databases was conducted from January to December 2019. Results: Resilient lining materials have a variety of applications. They can be used in complete and all types of partial edentation, i.e. Classes I, II, IV and VI by Kennedy - Popov. The indications for use are different for the two RLMs groups, i.e. temporary (short-term) and permanent (long-term) lining materials. A number of authors have identified them as materials for the limited application. They consider that their use is justified only in the case of the severely atrophied alveolar ridge, in obturators and epitheses. Conclusion: Resilient lining needs to be considered and planned in advance. It should not be used to compensate for errors in denture design. Appropriate selection of a material for the particular clinical case is of crucial importance.

Conceptual short-term memory (CSTM) supports core claims of Christiansen and Chater

2016 ◽  
Vol 39 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mary C. Potter
Keyword(s):  
Working Memory ◽  
Rapid Serial Visual Presentation ◽  
Language Comprehension ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Visual Presentation ◽  
Long Term Memory ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Term Memory ◽  
Use Of Knowledge

AbstractRapid serial visual presentation (RSVP) of words or pictured scenes provides evidence for a large-capacity conceptual short-term memory (CSTM) that momentarily provides rich associated material from long-term memory, permitting rapid chunking (Potter 1993; 2009; 2012). In perception of scenes as well as language comprehension, we make use of knowledge that briefly exceeds the supposed limits of working memory.

Ultrastructural investigations of MDL 19,660-induced effects on the canine platelet and megakaryocyte

1990 ◽  
Vol 48 (3) ◽  
pp. 374-375
Author(s):  
D.E. Loudy ◽  
J. Sprinkle-Cavallo ◽  
J.T. Yarrington ◽  
F.Y. Thompson ◽  
J.P. Gibson
Keyword(s):  
Antidepressant Drug ◽  
Beagle Dogs ◽  
Long Term Effects ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Platelet Counts ◽  
Toxicological Studies ◽  
Induced Aggregation ◽  
Internal Architecture

Previous short term toxicological studies of one to two weeks duration have demonstrated that MDL 19,660 (5-(4-chlorophenyl)-2,4-dihydro-2,4-dimethyl-3Hl, 2,4-triazole-3-thione), an antidepressant drug, causes a dose-related thrombocytopenia in dogs. Platelet counts started to decline after two days of dosing with 30 mg/kg/day and continued to decrease to their lowest levels by 5-7 days. The loss in platelets was primarily of the small discoid subpopulation. In vitro studies have also indicated that MDL 19,660: does not spontaneously aggregate canine platelets and has moderate antiaggregating properties by inhibiting ADP-induced aggregation. The objectives of the present investigation of MDL 19,660 were to evaluate ultrastructurally long term effects on platelet internal architecture and changes in subpopulations of platelets and megakaryocytes.Nine male and nine female beagle dogs were divided equally into three groups and were administered orally 0, 15, or 30 mg/kg/day of MDL 19,660 for three months. Compared to a control platelet range of 353,000- 452,000/μl, a doserelated thrombocytopenia reached a maximum severity of an average of 135,000/μl for the 15 mg/kg/day dogs after two weeks and 81,000/μl for the 30 mg/kg/day dogs after one week.

Comparison of Auditory, Language, Memory, and Attention Abilities in Children With and Without Listening Difficulties

2020 ◽  
Vol 29 (4) ◽  
pp. 710-727
Author(s):  
Beula M. Magimairaj ◽  
Naveen K. Nagaraj ◽  
Alexander V. Sergeev ◽  
Natalie J. Benafield
Keyword(s):  
Auditory Processing ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Group Differences ◽  
Long Term Memory ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Significant Group ◽  
Term Memory ◽  
Memory And Attention ◽  
Speed And Accuracy

Objectives School-age children with and without parent-reported listening difficulties (LiD) were compared on auditory processing, language, memory, and attention abilities. The objective was to extend what is known so far in the literature about children with LiD by using multiple measures and selective novel measures across the above areas. Design Twenty-six children who were reported by their parents as having LiD and 26 age-matched typically developing children completed clinical tests of auditory processing and multiple measures of language, attention, and memory. All children had normal-range pure-tone hearing thresholds bilaterally. Group differences were examined. Results In addition to significantly poorer speech-perception-in-noise scores, children with LiD had reduced speed and accuracy of word retrieval from long-term memory, poorer short-term memory, sentence recall, and inferencing ability. Statistically significant group differences were of moderate effect size; however, standard test scores of children with LiD were not clinically poor. No statistically significant group differences were observed in attention, working memory capacity, vocabulary, and nonverbal IQ. Conclusions Mild signal-to-noise ratio loss, as reflected by the group mean of children with LiD, supported the children's functional listening problems. In addition, children's relative weakness in select areas of language performance, short-term memory, and long-term memory lexical retrieval speed and accuracy added to previous research on evidence-based areas that need to be evaluated in children with LiD who almost always have heterogenous profiles. Importantly, the functional difficulties faced by children with LiD in relation to their test results indicated, to some extent, that commonly used assessments may not be adequately capturing the children's listening challenges. Supplemental Material https://doi.org/10.23641/asha.12808607

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