scholarly journals Devil in the details: growth, productivity, and extinction risk of a data-sparse devil ray

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sebastián A. Pardo ◽  
Holly K. Kindsvater ◽  
Elizabeth Cuevas-Zimbrón ◽  
Oscar Sosa-Nishizaki ◽  
Juan Carlos Pérez-Jiménez ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Growth Rate ◽  
Population Growth ◽  
Growth Rates ◽  
Population Growth Rate ◽  
Extinction Risk ◽  
Somatic Growth ◽  
Small Scale ◽  
Fishing Mortality ◽  
Population Growth Rates ◽  
Size At Age

Devil rays (Mobulaspp.) face rapidly intensifying fishing pressure to meet the ongoing international trade and demand for their gill plates. This has been exacerbated by trade regulation of manta ray gill plates following their 2014 CITES listing. Furthermore, the paucity of information on growth, mortality, and fishing effort for devil rays make quantifying population growth rates and extinction risk challenging. Here, we use a published size-at-age dataset for a large-bodied devil ray species, the Spinetail Devil Ray (Mobula japanica), to estimate somatic growth rates, age at maturity, maximum age and natural and fishing mortality. From these estimates, we go on to calculate a plausible distribution of the maximum intrinsic population growth rate (rmax) and place the productivity of this large devil ray in context by comparing it to 95 other chondrichthyan species. We find evidence that larger devil rays have low somatic growth rate, low annual reproductive output, and low maximum population growth rates, suggesting they have low productivity. Devil ray maximum intrinsic population growth ratermaxis very similar to that of manta rays, indicating devil rays can potentially be driven to local extinction at low levels of fishing mortality. We show that fishing rates of a small-scale artisanal Mexican fishery were up to three times greater than the natural mortality rate, and twice as high as our estimate ofrmax, and therefore unsustainable. Our approach can be applied to assess the limits of fishing and extinction risk of any species with indeterminate growth, even with sparse size-at-age data.

An Evaluation of RNA–DNA Ratio as a Measure of Long-Term Growth in Fish Populations

1973 ◽  
Vol 30 (2) ◽  
pp. 195-199 ◽  
Author(s):  
Terry A. Haines
Keyword(s):  
Growth Rate ◽  
Population Growth ◽  
Growth Rates ◽  
Population Growth Rate ◽  
Environmental Changes ◽  
Age Distribution ◽  
Smallmouth Bass ◽  
Fish Populations ◽  
Population Growth Rates

The value of RNA–DNA ratio as a measure of long-term growth of fish populations under semi-natural conditions and when subjected to environmental manipulations was determined. Populations of carp and smallmouth bass of known age distribution were established in artificial ponds maintained at two fertility levels. After 15 months, population growth rates (as percent increase in weight) and RNA–DNA ratios of muscle tissue from selected fish were measured. Each species exhibited a range of population growth rates. The relation between population growth rate and individual fish RNA–DNA ratio for each species was significant. When reproduction occurred, the relation was not significant unless young-of-the-year fish were excluded from population growth rate calculations. Age of fish was also found to have an important effect on RNA–DNA ratio, with the ratio being higher in younger fish.RNA–DNA ratio can be a reliable indicator of long-term population growth in fish when population age structure is known and recruitment is controlled. The method has potential for use in detecting response to environmental changes before growth rate changes become severe.

DETRITUS AS A FACTOR INFLUENCING POPULATION GROWTH RATES OF THREE TENEBRIONID BEETLES IN STORED CORN

1989 ◽  
Vol 24 (4) ◽  
pp. 454-459 ◽  
Author(s):  
Richard T. Arbogast
Keyword(s):  
Growth Rate ◽  
Population Growth ◽  
Tribolium Castaneum ◽  
Growth Rates ◽  
Population Growth Rate ◽  
Prime Factor ◽  
Fine Dust ◽  
Stored Grain ◽  
Population Growth Rates ◽  
Insect Activity

Experiments showed that changes in population growth rate due to detritus produced by insect activity in stored grain varies with species and is a prime factor determining ecological succession of secondary grain pests. Cynaeus angustus (LeConte), Latheticus oryzae Waterhouse, and Tribolium castaneum (Herbst) were reared on a 1:1 mixture of whole and cracked corn. On this diet, T. castaneum showed the highest rate of population growth and L. oryzae the lowest. Population growth of T. castaneum and L. oryzae was stimulated by adding fine dust (collected from infested corn) or dead moths to the diet, and this effect was much greater in L. oryzae than in T. castaneum. Population growth of C. angustus (as indicated by number of adults) was not affected by supplementation of the diet, but larger larval populations were produced on supplemented corn. The results are related to previously reported observations of succession in stored corn.

scholarly journals Population growth rates: issues and an application

2002 ◽  
Vol 357 (1425) ◽  
pp. 1307-1319 ◽  
Author(s):  
H. Charles J. Godfray ◽  
Mark Rees
Keyword(s):  
Growth Rate ◽  
Population Dynamics ◽  
Population Growth ◽  
Growth Rates ◽  
Population Growth Rate ◽  
Population Change ◽  
Evolutionarily Stable Strategy ◽  
Model Systems ◽  
Population Growth Rates

Current issues in population dynamics are discussed in the context of The Royal Society Discussion Meeting 'Population growth rate: determining factors and role in population regulation'. In particular, different views on the centrality of population growth rates to the study of population dynamics and the role of experiments and theory are explored. Major themes emerging include the role of modern statistical techniques in bringing together experimental and theoretical studies, the importance of long-term experimentation and the need for ecology to have model systems, and the value of population growth rate as a means of understanding and predicting population change. The last point is illustrated by the application of a recently introduced technique, integral projection modelling, to study the population growth rate of a monocarpic perennial plant, its elasticities to different life-history components and the evolution of an evolutionarily stable strategy size at flowering.

Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Population Growth Rates Based on the Coalescent

Genetics ◽  
1998 ◽  
Vol 149 (1) ◽  
pp. 429-434 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mary K Kuhner ◽  
Jon Yamato ◽  
Joseph Felsenstein
Keyword(s):  
Growth Rate ◽  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Maximum Likelihood Estimation ◽  
Population Growth ◽  
Growth Rates ◽  
Population Growth Rate ◽  
Likelihood Estimation ◽  
Effective Population ◽  
Population Growth Rates ◽  
Neutral Mutation Rate

Abstract We describe a method for co-estimating 4Neμ (four times the product of effective population size and neutral mutation rate) and population growth rate from sequence samples using Metropolis-Hastings sampling. Population growth (or decline) is assumed to be exponential. The estimates of growth rate are biased upwards, especially when 4Neμ is low; there is also a slight upwards bias in the estimate of 4Neμ itself due to correlation between the parameters. This bias cannot be attributed solely to Metropolis-Hastings sampling but appears to be an inherent property of the estimator and is expected to appear in any approach which estimates growth rate from genealogy structure. Sampling additional unlinked loci is much more effective in reducing the bias than increasing the number or length of sequences from the same locus.

Relationship between body size and population growth rate in two opportunistic polychaetes

2002 ◽  
Vol 82 (3) ◽  
pp. 403-408 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. Prevedelli ◽  
R. Simonini
Keyword(s):  
Growth Rate ◽  
Body Size ◽  
Sex Ratio ◽  
Population Growth ◽  
Growth Rates ◽  
Life Histories ◽  
Population Growth Rate ◽  
Population Growth Rates ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Dinophilus Gyrociliatus

The relationship between body size and population growth rate λ has been studied in two species of opportunistic polychaetes, Dinophilus gyrociliatus and Ophryotrocha labronica, which colonize harbour environments. These species exhibit a semi-continuous iteroparous reproductive strategy, are phylogenetically closely-related but differ in body size and in some aspects of their sexuality. Ophryotrocha labronica is about 4 mm in body length, displays only slight sexual dimorphism and its sex ratio is biased towards the female sex in the ratio 2:1. Dinophilus gyrociliatus is about 1 mm in length, the males are extremely small and the sex ratio is strongly biased (3:1) in favour of the females. In spite of the considerable differences in all traits of their life histories and in many demographic parameters, the growth rates of the two populations are very similar. The analyses carried out have shown that the rapid attainment of sexual maturity of D. gyrociliatus gives it an advantage that offsets the greater fecundity of O. labronica. It is very likely that the reproductive peculiarities of D. gyrociliatus help to raise the population growth rates. The ‘saving’ on the male sex achieved both by the shift of the sex ratio in favour of the females and by the reduction in the males' body size would appear to enable D. gyrociliatus to grow at the same rate as O. labronica, a larger and more fecund species.

scholarly journals Why are population growth rate estimates of past and present hunter–gatherers so different?

2020 ◽  
Vol 376 (1816) ◽  
pp. 20190708 ◽  
Author(s):  
Miikka Tallavaara ◽  
Erlend Kirkeng Jørgensen
Keyword(s):  
Growth Rate ◽  
Population Growth ◽  
Growth Rates ◽  
Human Population ◽  
Population Growth Rate ◽  
Theme Issue ◽  
Hunter Gatherers ◽  
Population Growth Rates ◽  
Ethnographic Data

Hunter–gatherer population growth rate estimates extracted from archaeological proxies and ethnographic data show remarkable differences, as archaeological estimates are orders of magnitude smaller than ethnographic and historical estimates. This could imply that prehistoric hunter–gatherers were demographically different from recent hunter–gatherers. However, we show that the resolution of archaeological human population proxies is not sufficiently high to detect actual population dynamics and growth rates that can be observed in the historical and ethnographic data. We argue that archaeological and ethnographic population growth rates measure different things; therefore, they are not directly comparable. While ethnographic growth rate estimates of hunter–gatherer populations are directly linked to underlying demographic parameters, archaeological estimates track changes in the long-term mean population size, which reflects changes in the environmental productivity that provide the ultimate constraint for forager population growth. We further argue that because of this constraining effect, hunter–gatherer populations cannot exhibit long-term growth independently of increasing environmental productivity. This article is part of the theme issue ‘Cross-disciplinary approaches to prehistoric demography’.

scholarly journals A POPULATION OF LYCHNOPHORA ERICOIDES MART. (ARNICA) (ASTERACEAE) IS PRONE TO EXTINCTION IN A SAVANNA OF CENTRAL BRAZIL

2017 ◽  
Vol 74 (3) ◽  
pp. 281-297 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Ribeiro-Silva ◽  
M. B. Medeiros ◽  
V. V. F. Lima ◽  
A. B. Giroldo ◽  
S. E. de Noronha ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Growth Rate ◽  
Population Growth ◽  
Plant Species ◽  
Population Growth Rate ◽  
Forest Products ◽  
Life Stages ◽  
Transition Matrices ◽  
Population Growth Rates ◽  
Central Brazil ◽  
Non Timber Forest Products

Lychnophora ericoides Mart. (Asteraceae), popularly known as arnica, is a plant species subjected to non-timber forest products extraction. Evidence is mounting that some local populations are on the brink of extinction. However, demographic studies of Lychnophora ericoides are rare. Therefore, as a step towards conservation, a remnant population of Lychnophora ericoides located in an area of the Cerrado (Brazilian Savanna) in Central Brazil was evaluated from 2010 through 2014. Disturbances such as wildfires and harvesting of Lychnophora ericoides were randomly distributed throughout the study period in this area. Four annual transition matrices (A1, A2, A3 and A4) were constructed, based on life stages. The main results of studies of population dynamics for this species are as follows: 1) population growth rates (λ) with 95% confidence intervals indicated a declining population in all periods from 2010 to 2014; 2) stochastic population growth rate considering the four matrices was < 1 with value λ = 0.358 and CI95% = (0.354–0.362); 3) survival with permanence at the same stage of reproductive adult individuals (46–80%) contributed most to population growth rate, based on elasticity analysis; 4) the population is much less likely to have increases in density, compared with reduction, for all intervals from 2010 to 2014, based on transient indices; 5) the low value of λ in the high-mortality year was caused by lower stasis of individuals in the seedling or sapling and juvenile life stages, as well as fecundity in the 2011–2012 and 2012–2013 intervals, as shown by a life table response experiment; and 6) 100% of the population will probably be extinct within 15 years. There is evidence that the main cause for local extinction of Lychnophora ericoides could be the effects of frequent wildfires. Based on these results, it is suggested that the time has come for significant conservation efforts to rescue this population, including monitoring, protection and education as the first steps towards protection of this vulnerable plant species.

scholarly journals Adaptation to Climate Change in Preindustrial Iceland

2012 ◽  
Vol 102 (3) ◽  
pp. 250-255 ◽  
Author(s):  
Matthew A Turner ◽  
Jeffrey S Rosenthal ◽  
Jian Chen ◽  
Chunyan Hao
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Growth Rate ◽  
Population Growth ◽  
19Th Century ◽  
Population Growth Rate ◽  
Annual Change ◽  
Adaptation To Climate Change ◽  
Temperature Changes ◽  
Population Growth Rates ◽  
Short Run

We investigate the effect of climate change on population growth in 18th and 19th century Iceland. We find that annual temperature changes help determine the population growth rate in pre-industrial Iceland: a year 1 degree Celsius cooler than average drives down population growth rates by 1.14%. We also find that 18th and 19th century Icelanders adapt to prolonged changes in climate after 20 years. These adaptations reduce the short run effect of annual change in temperature by about 60%. Finally, a 1 degree Celsius sustained decrease in temperature decreases the steady state population by 10% to 26%.

Road mortality reduces survival and population growth rates of tammar wallabies on Garden Island, Western Australia

2010 ◽  
Vol 37 (7) ◽  
pp. 588 ◽  
Author(s):  
Brian Chambers ◽  
Roberta Bencini
Keyword(s):  
Growth Rate ◽  
Population Growth ◽  
Western Australia ◽  
Growth Rates ◽  
Survival Rates ◽  
Habitat Modification ◽  
Road Mortality ◽  
Population Growth Rates ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Naval Base

Context Although road mortality has the potential to affect the fate of populations, it is often confounded with other forms of environmental change. Therefore determining its impact separately from other factors is difficult because it requires an understanding of how road mortalities affect age- and sex-specific survival rates. Aims We determined the impact of high numbers of road-kills and habitat modification on the growth and survival of the population of tammar wallabies (Macropus eugenii) on Garden Island, off the coast of Western Australia. The increased supply of food from large areas of fertilised and irrigated lawns on a naval base was expected to increase the population growth rate (λ) and the road-kills were expected to offset the population response. Methods We conducted a mark-and-recapture study over three years to estimate rates of survival, reproduction and population growth rates in areas of the island that were either heavily affected by the presence of a naval base that included a network of roads and buildings, close enough to the naval base that animals could be affected by the disturbance there, and completely unaffected and lacking major roads or buildings. All road-kills were collected to estimate the impact of road mortality on the survival and growth rates of the population. Key results The growth rate, λ, for the population on the naval base was 1.02 ± 0.083 (s.e.) per year, which was much higher than in an area of adjacent bushland at 0.92 ± 0.065 per year and in undisturbed bushland at 0.93 ± 0.100 per year. When the impact of road mortality was removed, λ increased to 1.15 ± 0.101 per year on the naval base and 0.96 ± 0.076 per year in the bushland adjacent to the naval base. On the naval base road mortality reduced survival rates of one-year-old and adult animals by 0.14 ± 0.087 and 0.12 ± 0.012 per year (mean ± s.e.). Conclusions Road mortality counteracted the increase in the size of the tammar population caused by the habitat modification on the naval base. The impact of road mortality on the adjacent bushland population may result in its long-term decline, as the population may not be able to recover from the reduction in survival rates. Implications Road mortality has the potential to threaten susceptible populations but its impact should be quantified so that mitigation measures can be implemented where they will achieve the greatest benefits.

present state of the country's statistical and economic system, such exercises are impracticable, and we will therefore focus on the wider distributional features of teh DTYP. Also excluded is any discussion or test of the feasibility fo the DTYP targets in narrow technical terms. In keeping with our mild scepticism over the officially adopted population growth rates, we will assume a growth rate of population of 3.0 per cent per year over the period. This does not alter any of our arguments in a significant fashion. One other statistic has been altered: the growth rate for agriculture. In the DTYP, this is pegged at 4.5 per cent per annum. However, this includes the rapidly expanding export sector which carries a base-year weight of about 12 per cent, and which has a target growth rate of ten per cent per annum. This implies a growth rate of 3.5 per cent for the non-export domestic agricultural sector, and we will utilise this rate in our calculations. Let us return then to the simple analytical device used in our discussion of the inflationary process and compute the * warranted' levels, y*, n* and e*, and compare these with the targets for y, n and e. This is done in Table 12 which offers some strategic insights into the possible distributional dilemmas and implications of the DTYP. With n = 3.5 per cent, y* = 3.8 per cent, implying a warranted per capita GDP growth of under one per cent per annum, in contrast to the targeted 4.5 per cent or more. If we set y = 7.5 per cent, then n* = 5.7 per cent.

2013 ◽  
pp. 179-180
Keyword(s):  
Growth Rate ◽  
Population Growth ◽  
Growth Rates ◽  
Agricultural Sector ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Per Capita Gdp ◽  
Population Growth Rates ◽  
Export Sector ◽  
Per Capita ◽  
Analytical Device
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