scholarly journals Forecasting type-specific seasonal influenza after 26 weeks in the United States using influenza activities in other countries

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. B. Choi ◽  
J. Kim ◽  
I. Ahn
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
Seasonal Influenza ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Time Lag ◽  
The United States ◽  
Surveillance Data ◽  
Influenza Surveillance ◽  
The U.S

AbstractTo identify countries that have seasonal patterns similar to the time series of influenza surveillance data in the United States and other countries, and to forecast the 2018–2019 seasonal influenza outbreak in the U.S. using linear regression, auto regressive integrated moving average, and deep learning. We collected the surveillance data of 164 countries from 2010 to 2018 using the FluNet database. Data for influenza-like illness (ILI) in the U.S. were collected from the Fluview database. This cross-correlation study identified the time lag between the two time-series. Deep learning was performed to forecast ILI, total influenza, A, and B viruses after 26 weeks in the U.S. The seasonal influenza patterns in Australia and Chile showed a high correlation with those of the U.S. 22 weeks and 28 weeks earlier, respectively. The R2 score of DNN models for ILI for validation set in 2015–2019 was 0.722 despite how hard it is to forecast 26 weeks ahead. Our prediction models forecast that the ILI for the U.S. in 2018–2019 may be later and less severe than those in 2017–2018, judging from the influenza activity for Australia and Chile in 2018. It allows to estimate peak timing, peak intensity, and type-specific influenza activities for next season at 40th week. The correlation for seasonal influenza among Australia, Chile, and the U.S. could be used to decide on influenza vaccine strategy six months ahead in the U.S.

scholarly journals Cluster Analysis of SARS-CoV-2 Gene using Deep Learning Autoencoder: Gene Profiling for Mutations and Transitions

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jun Miyake ◽  
Takaaki Sato ◽  
Shunsuke Baba ◽  
Hayato Nakamura ◽  
Hirohiko Niioka ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Cluster Analysis ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
The United States ◽  
Gene Profiling ◽  
Type B ◽  
Type D ◽  
Type C ◽  
The U.S ◽  
Over Time

We report on a method for analyzing the variant of coronavirus genes using autoencoder. Since coronaviruses have mutated rapidly and generated a large number of genotypes, an appropriate method for understanding the entire population is required. The method using autoencoder meets this requirement and is suitable for understanding how and when the variants emarge and disappear. For the over 30,000 SARS-CoV-2 ORF1ab gene sequences sampled globally from December 2019 to February 2021, we were able to represent a summary of their characteristics in a 3D plot and show the expansion, decline, and transformation of the virus types over time and by region. Based on ORF1ab genes, the SARS-CoV-2 viruses were classified into five major types (A, B, C, D, and E in the order of appearance): the virus type that originated in China at the end of 2019 (type A) practically disappeared in June 2020; two virus types (types B and C) have emerged in the United States and Europe since February 2020, and type B has become a global phenomenon. Type C is only prevalent in the U.S. and is suspected to be associated with high mortality, but this type also disappeared at the end of June. Type D is only found in Australia. Currently, the epidemic is dominated by types B and E.

scholarly journals Migration Fears in the United States and the Geopolitical Risk Index

2020 ◽  
Vol 10 ◽  
pp. 504-513
Author(s):  
Christopher Olds
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Time Series ◽  
International Relations ◽  
Risk Index ◽  
The United States ◽  
Intergroup Conflict ◽  
Academic Literature ◽  
Time Series Analyses ◽  
The U.S

This study contrasts a publicly available measure of migration fears in the United States with a publicly available measure of geopolitical risk, a barometer of concern about possible disruptions to peace in international relations. The time series analyses performed on information spanning between 1990 and 2019 suggest that a change in migration fears in the U.S. increases the level of geopolitical risk, such that the U.S. appears to perceive migrants as potentially threatening and responds with an aggressive posture in interactions with other nations. The findings of the study are aligned with theories in existing academic literature about fear-induced aggression and intergroup conflict.

scholarly journals Annual estimates of the burden of seasonal influenza in the United States: A tool for strengthening influenza surveillance and preparedness

2018 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 132-137 ◽  
Author(s):  
Melissa A. Rolfes ◽  
Ivo M. Foppa ◽  
Shikha Garg ◽  
Brendan Flannery ◽  
Lynnette Brammer ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Seasonal Influenza ◽  
The United States ◽  
Influenza Surveillance

scholarly journals Impact of economic conditions on (restricted) immigration to the United States: The Polish case

2021 ◽  
Vol 0 (0) ◽  
Author(s):  
Michał Schwabe
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Unemployment Rate ◽  
Ethnic Diversity ◽  
The United States ◽  
Time Series Regression ◽  
Polish Migration ◽  
Macroeconomic Indicators ◽  
Migration Flows ◽  
The U.S

Abstract Throughout the twentieth century, United States has been the most desirable destination for international migrants, primarily due to its economic performance and also to American values – work ethics and tolerance of ethnic diversity. This paper aims to test if selected economic indicators might influence international migration. To this end a time series analysis was performed with time series regression model, where lagged values of various macroeconomic indicators were tested for a significant impact on migration flows. This paper also cast a light on U.S. labour migration's legislation and history, as well as current migrant stock characteristics. It gives specific attention to Polish migrant population, as Polish Americans constitute the largest Polish diaspora worldwide. The results of the analysis show that U.S. immigration volumes are sensitive to American unemployment rate and American GDP growth (pull factors). However, analysing Polish migration volumes to the U.S. a significant correlation with selected American indicators was not revealed. On the contrary, Polish migration flows to the U.S. were correlated with Polish economic growth and the Polish unemployment rate fluctuations (push factors).

scholarly journals Characterizing COVID-19 case detection utilizing influenza surveillance data in the United States, January-March, 2020

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Micaela Sandoval ◽  
Adam Hair ◽  
Shreela Sharma ◽  
Catherine Troisi
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
State Level ◽  
The United States ◽  
Surveillance Data ◽  
Influenza Surveillance ◽  
Case Detection ◽  
Ecological Analysis ◽  
Local Case ◽  
The Us ◽  
State And Local

COVID-19 reached the US in January, 2020, but state and local case detection efforts varied in timing and scale. We conducted a state-level ecological analysis of COVID-19 epidemiology alongside CDC influenza surveillance data and policy timelines. Our findings show wide variation in COVID-19 case detection and influenza-like-illness activity between states.

An American Language

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rosina Lozano
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
National Policy ◽  
The United States ◽  
Spanish Language ◽  
Spanish Speakers ◽  
Language Recognition ◽  
Political Language ◽  
Political Issue ◽  
History Of ◽  
The U.S

An American Language is a political history of the Spanish language in the United States. The nation has always been multilingual and the Spanish language in particular has remained as an important political issue into the present. After the U.S.-Mexican War, the Spanish language became a language of politics as Spanish speakers in the U.S. Southwest used it to build territorial and state governments. In the twentieth century, Spanish became a political language where speakers and those opposed to its use clashed over what Spanish's presence in the United States meant. This book recovers this story by using evidence that includes Spanish language newspapers, letters, state and territorial session laws, and federal archives to profile the struggle and resilience of Spanish speakers who advocated for their language rights as U.S. citizens. Comparing Spanish as a language of politics and as a political language across the Southwest and noncontiguous territories provides an opportunity to measure shifts in allegiance to the nation and exposes differing forms of nationalism. Language concessions and continued use of Spanish is a measure of power. Official language recognition by federal or state officials validates Spanish speakers' claims to US citizenship. The long history of policies relating to language in the United States provides a way to measure how U.S. visions of itself have shifted due to continuous migration from Latin America. Spanish-speaking U.S. citizens are crucial arbiters of Spanish language politics and their successes have broader implications on national policy and our understanding of Americans.

Palestine Unbound

2018 ◽  
Vol 47 (3) ◽  
pp. 130-134
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Human Rights ◽  
Task Force ◽  
The United States ◽  
Donald Trump ◽  
Tel Aviv ◽  
The Us ◽  
Intention To Move ◽  
Arab Israeli Conflict ◽  
The U.S

This section, updated regularly on the blog Palestine Square, covers popular conversations related to the Palestinians and the Arab-Israeli conflict during the quarter 16 November 2017 to 15 February 2018: #JerusalemIstheCapitalofPalestine went viral after U.S. president Donald Trump recognized Jerusalem as the capital of Israel and announced his intention to move the U.S. embassy there from Tel Aviv. The arrest of Palestinian teenager Ahed Tamimi for slapping an Israeli soldier also prompted a viral campaign under the hashtag #FreeAhed. A smaller campaign protested the exclusion of Palestinian human rights from the agenda of the annual Creating Change conference organized by the US-based National LGBTQ Task Force in Washington. And, UNRWA publicized its emergency funding appeal, following the decision of the United States to slash funding to the organization, with the hashtag #DignityIsPriceless.

The French Way

2011 ◽  
Author(s):  
Richard F. Kuisel
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
The United States ◽  
French Language ◽  
French Cinema ◽  
Free Markets ◽  
Technology Sector ◽  
Aids Epidemic ◽  
Political Reality ◽  
Politics And Culture ◽  
The U.S

There are over 1,000 McDonald's on French soil. Two Disney theme parks have opened near Paris in the last two decades. And American-inspired vocabulary such as “le weekend” has been absorbed into the French language. But as former French president Jacques Chirac put it: “The U.S. finds France unbearably pretentious. And we find the U.S. unbearably hegemonic.” Are the French fascinated or threatened by America? They Americanize yet are notorious for expressions of anti-Americanism. From McDonald's and Coca-Cola to free markets and foreign policy, this book looks closely at the conflicts and contradictions of France's relationship to American politics and culture. The book shows how the French have used America as both yardstick and foil to measure their own distinct national identity. France has charted its own path: it has welcomed America's products but rejected American policies; assailed Americ's “jungle capitalism” while liberalizing its own economy; attacked “Reaganomics” while defending French social security; and protected French cinema, television, food, and language even while ingesting American pop culture. The book examines France's role as an independent ally of the United States, but he also considers the country's failures in influencing the Reagan, Bush, and Clinton administrations. Whether investigating France's successful information technology sector or its spurning of American expertise during the AIDS epidemic, the book asks if this insistence on a French way represents a growing distance between Europe and the United States or a reaction to American globalization. Exploring cultural trends, values, public opinion, and political reality, this book delves into the complex relationship between two modern nations.

Latino Catholicism

2011 ◽  
Author(s):  
Timothy Matovina
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Sixteenth Century ◽  
Catholic Church ◽  
Social Life ◽  
Social Issues ◽  
The United States ◽  
Societal Impact ◽  
Comprehensive Overview ◽  
Public Debates ◽  
The U.S

Most histories of Catholicism in the United States focus on the experience of Euro-American Catholics, whose views on social issues have dominated public debates. This book provides a comprehensive overview of the Latino Catholic experience in America from the sixteenth century to today, and offers the most in-depth examination to date of the important ways the U.S. Catholic Church, its evolving Latino majority, and American culture are mutually transforming one another. This book highlights the vital contributions of Latinos to American religious and social life, demonstrating in particular how their engagement with the U.S. cultural milieu is the most significant factor behind their ecclesial and societal impact.

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