Spillover effect in Asian financial markets: A VAR-structural GARCH analysis

2016 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 150-176 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yu Wang ◽  
Lei Liu
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Design Methodology ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Spillover Effect ◽  
Asian Financial Crisis ◽  
Financial Contagion ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Main Driver ◽  
The Usa

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to provide a method for computing the spillover index first proposed by Diebold and Yilmaz (2009), with empirical application on Asian stock markets. Design/methodology/approach – It is based on a VAR-structural-GARCH model. Findings – The results clearly show that the main driver of fluctuations in Asian financial markets is the USA, with China having little connection with other markets. Further, evidence of financial contagion is found during both the 1997 Asian financial crisis and the 2008 global financial crisis. Originality/value – The method has two advantages: it is both uniquely determined and dynamic.

Assessing foreign funds geographical focus timing skill

2016 ◽  
Vol 33 (2) ◽  
pp. 209-221
Author(s):  
Javier Rodríguez ◽  
Herminio Romero
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Mutual Funds ◽  
Hedge Funds ◽  
Design Methodology ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Market Timing ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Fund Managers ◽  
The Usa ◽  
Timing Models

Purpose This paper aims to study the market timing skill of USA-based foreign open-end mutual funds in their geographical focus market. Design/methodology/approach The authors use daily fund data and two multi-factor extensions of the Treynor-Mazuy (1966) and Henriksson-Merton (1981) timing models to measure US-based foreign funds’ market timing skill during 1999 to 2010. In particular, the authors study fund managers’ skill to time their geographical focus market. Findings The authors report that, in general, foreign funds do not accurately time their geographical focus market. However, during January 2008 to December 2010, the sub period that includes the 2008 global financial crisis, most foreign funds in this sample not only focused on their domestic market, the USA, but also demonstrated statistically significant, good timing skill. Originality/value Although US-based foreign funds’ market-timing skill is not an unexplored topic, this study is the first to consider these funds’ skill to time their geographical focus market, a skill that has been studied in the context of hedge funds.

Stricter microprudential supervision versus macroprudential supervision

2015 ◽  
Vol 23 (4) ◽  
pp. 354-368 ◽  
Author(s):  
Larry D Wall
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Design Methodology ◽  
Economic Damage ◽  
Financial Systems ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Depth Analysis ◽  
The Usa ◽  
Practical Implications

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to develop an explicitly macroprudential supervisory framework designed to identify threats to financial stability use existing mechanisms to reduce the risk of these threats and to provide information to the authorities to more efficiently mitigate any instability that does arise. Design/methodology/approach – This paper begins with an analysis of the limitations of microprudential regulation. It then develops a macroprudential surveillance framework focused on those financial markets that have the potential to undermine financial stability. It concludes with a discussion of how the surveillance results may be used to enhance financial stability. Findings – The current supervisory focus on microprudential supervision of systemically important institutions is insufficient; an explicitly macroprudential focus is required. Research limitations/implications – Although this paper’s conceptual framework is applicable to all advanced financial systems the discussion of specific regulatory structures focuses on the USA. Practical implications – An explicit supervisory focus on the threats posed by major financial markets is feasible and desirable. Social implications – The probability of a financial crisis and the economic damage caused by a crisis can be significantly reduced by redirecting some regulatory efforts toward in-depth analysis of major financial markets. Originality/value – The paper emphasizes that macroprudential supervision must include both quantitative and detailed analysis of the qualitative aspects of key markets.

Global financial crisis after ten years: a review of the causes and regulatory reactions

2019 ◽  
Vol 45 (7) ◽  
pp. 904-924 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ashrafee Tanvir Hossain ◽  
Lawrence Kryzanowski
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Design Methodology ◽  
Review Paper ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Relevant Literature ◽  
Main Reaction ◽  
Housing Crisis ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Usa ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to review the relevant literature on the causes of and regulatory reactions to the financial crisis of the last decade, popularly known as the “Global Financial Crisis (GFC)” or the “Housing Crisis” in the USA. Design/methodology/approach This review primarily focuses on the four main causes of the crisis, namely, excessive household leverage, securitization, corporate governance and credit ratings. The main reaction vis-à-vis recovery measures taken by most governments were quantitative easing (QE), bailouts and more stringent regulations of banks, though the discussion mainly focuses on QE. Findings In this paper, the authors summarize the literature on the causes and regulatory reactions to the GFC and propose future avenues of research for various topics. Originality/value Research on the GFC spans multiple disciplines as well as multiple facets of financial economics. A review paper such as this should help future researchers in generating ideas and gathering information for their research. Given that no review uncovers all worthy papers, the authors apologize in advance to the authors of any papers that the authors have inadvertently not reviewed in this paper.

Risk Factors in Equilibrium Models of Open Economies

2010 ◽  
pp. 23-28
Author(s):  
D. Kuz'min
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Household Consumption ◽  
Equilibrium Models ◽  
Government Consumption ◽  
Cyclic Processes ◽  
The Usa ◽  
Liquidity Crisis

World liquidity crisis, which started in the USA in 2007, is reputed to be the first full-fledged global financial crisis. The liquidity crisis became global exactly due to the influence of large economies' national financial markets on many small ones. The analysis of the crisis expansion and development in these states (the USA, China, Iceland, Mexico, CEE countries) demonstrated that not only working accounts and reserves, but also foreign and internal borrowings, and therefore, household consumption, investments and government consumption proved to be affected by cyclic processes.

Return and co-movement of major public real estate markets during global financial crisis

2017 ◽  
Vol 35 (5) ◽  
pp. 489-508 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kim Hiang Liow ◽  
Shao Yue Angela
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Real Estate ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Real Estate Markets ◽  
The Public ◽  
Movement Dynamics ◽  
The Usa ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Practical Implications

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to investigate the volatility spectral of five major public real estate markets, namely, the USA, the UK, Japan (JP), Hong Kong (HK), and Singapore (SG), during the pre- and post-global financial crisis (GFC) periods. Design/methodology/approach First, univariate spectral analysis is concerned with discovering price cycles for the respective real estate markets. Second, bivariate cross-spectral analysis seeks to uncover whether any two real estate price series share common cycles with regard to their relative magnitudes and lead-lag patterns of the cyclical variations. Finally, to test the contagion effects, the authors estimate the exact percentage change in co-spectral density (cyclical covariance) due to high frequencies (short run) after the GFC. Findings The authors find that whilst none of the public real estate markets examined are spared from the crisis, the three Asian markets were less severely affected by the GFC and were accompanied by a reversal in volatility increase three years post-global financial crisis. Additionally, the public real estate markets studied have become more cyclically linked in recent years. This is particularly true at longer frequencies. Finally, these increased cyclical co-movements measure the outcomes of contagion and indicate fairly strong contagious effects between the public real estate markets examined due to the crisis. Research limitations/implications The implication of this research is that benefits to investors from international real estate diversification may not be as great during the present time compared to previous periods because national public real estate markets have become more correlated. Nevertheless, the findings do not imply the complete absence of diversification benefits. This is because although cyclical correlations increase in the short run, many of the correlation values are still between low and moderate range, indicating that some diversification benefits may still be realized. Practical implications Given the significant market share and the highest levels of securitization in Asia-Pacific markets including JP, HK/China, and SG, this cyclical research including major public real estate markets has practical implications for ongoing international real estate investment strategies, particularly for the USA/UK and Asian portfolio managers. Originality/value This paper contributes to the limited research on the cyclical return and co-movement dynamics among major public real estate markets during financial/economic crisis in international finance. Moreover, the frequency-domain analysis conducted in this paper adds to better understanding regarding the impact of GFC on the cyclical return volatility and co-movement dynamics of major developed public real estate markets in international investing.

scholarly journals The Arab world amidst the global financial crisis of 2008–2009

2010 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 38-52
Author(s):  
Shalendra D. Sharma
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Arab World ◽  
The United States ◽  
Arab Countries ◽  
Financial Contagion ◽  
Poor Countries ◽  
Resource Poor ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis

When the problems in the United States housing sector mushroomed into a global financial crisis by September 2008, it was assumed that Arab countries would remain immune: the oil-rich Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries because of their massive financial reserves, and the resource-poor countries because of their limited linkages to the global economic system – in particular, the global financial markets. However, this assumption has proven to be false. The US subprime mortgage collapse not only pushed the advanced economies into recession, but also it shattered global economic confidence, resulting in a massive financial contagion around the world. What explains the Arab World's vulnerability to the crisis? How has the crisis impacted both the resource rich and the resource poor? How have Arab countries responded to the crisis, and what must they do to insulate their economies better from the vagaries of global financial markets? This paper addresses these questions.

Market efficiency and the global financial crisis: evidence from developed markets

2018 ◽  
Vol 35 (3) ◽  
pp. 362-385 ◽  
Author(s):  
Omid Sabbaghi ◽  
Navid Sabbaghi
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Market Efficiency ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Weak Form ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Developed Markets ◽  
The Usa ◽  
Econometric Tests ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Empirical Investigations

Purpose This study aims to provide one of the first empirical investigations of market efficiency for developed markets during the recent global financial crisis. Design/methodology/approach Using the Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) country indices as proxies for national stock markets, the study conducts a battery of econometric tests in assessing weak-form market efficiency for the developed markets. Findings The inferential outcomes are consistent among the different tests. Specifically, the study finds that the majority of developed markets are weak-form efficient while the USA is the sole equity market to be commonly diagnosed as weak-form inefficient across the different tests when using full period data spanning the January 2008-November 2011 period. However, when basing the analysis on one-year subsamples over the identical time period, this study fails to reject weak-form market efficiency for all of the developed markets and presents evidence consistent with the Adaptive Market Hypothesis as described by Urquhart and Hudson (2013). When applying technical analysis for the case of the USA over the full study period, the results indicate that the return predictabilities can be exploited for some horizon of variable length moving average (VMA) trading rules. Originality/value This study provides one of the first empirical investigations of market efficiency for developed markets during the recent global financial crisis using an extended set of econometric tests. The study contributes to the existing body of empirical research that formally assesses the impact of a financial crisis on stock market efficiency and underlines the significance and relevance of examining market efficiency through subsample analysis.

Taking the ethical lead

2020 ◽  
Vol 34 (4) ◽  
pp. 37-39
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Oil Spill ◽  
Design Methodology ◽  
Reading Time ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Lehman Brothers ◽  
Pertinent Information ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Practical Implications

Purpose This paper aims to review the latest management developments across the globe and pinpoint practical implications from cutting-edge research and case studies. Design/methodology/approach This briefing is prepared by an independent writer who adds his/her own impartial comments and places the articles in context. Findings Take any financial or environmental scandal perpetrated by a major company – and unfortunately, there are quite a few to choose from – and people will tend to remember what went wrong and some of the fallout from the scandal, but it is unlikely they will know much about why something went wrong. For example, people will remember that Lehman Brothers went bust during the global financial crisis (GFC) in 2008 and can picture its employees leaving its offices with Iron Mountain boxes. They will also perhaps remember the Exxon Valdez oil spill in Alaska in 1989, and the devastation it caused the local wildlife. But does anyone remember exactly why these events occurred? Practical implications This paper provides strategic insights and practical thinking that have influenced some of the world’s leading organizations. Originality/value The briefing saves busy executives and researchers hours of reading time by selecting only the very best, most pertinent information and presenting it in a condensed and easy-to-digest format.

Housing markets and policy in the UK and the USA

2014 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 129-144 ◽  
Author(s):  
Colin Jones ◽  
Harry W. Richardson
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Home Ownership ◽  
House Price ◽  
Housing Markets ◽  
Detailed Comparison ◽  
Exogenous Shock ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Usa ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis

Purpose – This paper aims to examine how the exogenous shock of the global financial crisis has had a differential impact on the housing markets of the USA and UK. Design/methodology/approach – The paper begins by examining the nature and dynamics of the global financial crisis. It presents a detailed comparison of institutional and housing market characteristics in each country. A particular focus is the differences in mortgage funding and subprime lending trends over the decade leading up to the financial crisis. Findings – The analysis demonstrates the distinctiveness of the recent housing cycles and the geography of the downward price adjustments. Relative unemployment rates play a key role in these outcomes. Despite the different dynamics of the boom and bust, there is a common legacy in terms of the collapse of house building, repossessions/foreclosures and falling home ownership rates. The short-term policy responses by both governments addressed the same target issues in alternative ways but with different outcomes. Longer-term solutions are still being debated in both countries. Originality/value – Innovatory insights are provided by the comparison of the sub-national spatial pattern of the recent house price cycle in two countries.

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