Application of machine learning in predicting construction project profit in Ghana using Support Vector Regression Algorithm (SVRA)

PurposeKnowledge of the effect of various cash-flow factors on expected project profit is important to effectively manage productivity on construction projects. This study was conducted to develop and test the sensitivity of a Machine Learning Support Vector Regression Algorithm (SVRA) to predict construction project profit in Ghana.Design/methodology/approachThe study relied on data from 150 institutional projects executed within the past five years (2014–2018) in developing the model. Eighty percent (80%) of the data from the 150 projects was used at hyperparameter selection and final training phases of the model development and the remaining 20% for model testing. Using MATLAB for Support Vector Regression, the parameters available for tuning were the epsilon values, the kernel scale, the box constraint and standardisations. The sensitivity index was computed to determine the degree to which the independent variables impact the dependent variable.FindingsThe developed model's predictions perfectly fitted the data and explained all the variability of the response data around its mean. Average predictive accuracy of 73.66% was achieved with all the variables on the different projects in validation. The developed SVR model was sensitive to labour and loan.Originality/valueThe developed SVRA combines variation, defective works and labour with other financial constraints, which have been the variables used in previous studies. It will aid contractors in predicting profit on completion at commencement and also provide information on the effect of changes to cash-flow factors on profit.

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IMPLEMENTASI SUPPORT VECTOR MACHINE PADA PREDIKSI HARGA SAHAM GABUNGAN (IHSG)

Jurnal Ilmiah Teknologi dan Rekayasa ◽

10.35760/tr.2020.25i1.2571 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 25 (1) ◽

pp. 24-38

Author(s):

Eka Patriya

Keyword(s):

Machine Learning ◽

Support Vector Machine ◽

Support Vector Regression ◽

Support Vector

Saham adalah instrumen pasar keuangan yang banyak dipilih oleh investor sebagai alternatif sumber keuangan, akan tetapi saham yang diperjual belikan di pasar keuangan sering mengalami fluktuasi harga (naik dan turun) yang tinggi. Para investor berpeluang tidak hanya mendapat keuntungan, tetapi juga dapat mengalami kerugian di masa mendatang. Salah satu indikator yang perlu diperhatikan oleh investor dalam berinvestasi saham adalah pergerakan Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG). Tindakan dalam menganalisa IHSG merupakan hal yang penting dilakukan oleh investor dengan tujuan untuk menemukan suatu trend atau pola yang mungkin berulang dari pergerakan harga saham masa lalu, sehingga dapat digunakan untuk memprediksi pergerakan harga saham di masa mendatang. Salah satu metode yang dapat digunakan untuk memprediksi pergerakan harga saham secara akurat adalah machine learning. Pada penelitian ini dibuat sebuah model prediksi harga penutupan IHSG menggunakan algoritma Support Vector Regression (SVR) yang menghasilkan kemampuan prediksi dan generalisasi yang baik dengan nilai RMSE training dan testing sebesar 14.334 dan 20.281, serta MAPE training dan testing sebesar 0.211% dan 0.251%. Hasil penelitian ini diharapkan dapat membantu para investor dalam mengambil keputusan untuk menyusun strategi investasi saham.

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Remote sensing inversion of water quality in coastal sea area based on machine learning: a case study of Shenzhen bay, China

10.5194/egusphere-egu21-1972 ◽

2021 ◽

Author(s):

Xiaotong Zhu ◽

Jinhui Jeanne Huang

Keyword(s):

Machine Learning ◽

Remote Sensing ◽

Water Quality ◽

Predictive Accuracy ◽

Water Environment ◽

Quality Parameters ◽

Machine Learning Algorithms ◽

Dynamic Monitoring ◽

Support Vector ◽

Seawater Quality

Remote sensing monitoring has the characteristics of wide monitoring range, celerity, low cost for long-term dynamic monitoring of water environment. With the flourish of artificial intelligence, machine learning has enabled remote sensing inversion of seawater quality to achieve higher prediction accuracy. However, due to the physicochemical property of the water quality parameters, the performance of algorithms differs a lot. In order to improve the predictive accuracy of seawater quality parameters, we proposed a technical framework to identify the optimal machine learning algorithms using Sentinel-2 satellite and in-situ seawater sample data. In the study, we select three algorithms, i.e. support vector regression (SVR), XGBoost and deep learning (DL), and four seawater quality parameters, i.e. dissolved oxygen (DO), total dissolved solids (TDS), turbidity(TUR) and chlorophyll-a (Chla). The results show that SVR is a more precise algorithm to inverse DO (R2 = 0.81). XGBoost has the best accuracy for Chla and Tur inversion (R2 = 0.75 and 0.78 respectively) while DL performs better in TDS (R2 =0.789). Overall, this research provides a theoretical support for high precision remote sensing inversion of offshore seawater quality parameters based on machine learning.

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Using Machine Learning to Identify Metabolomic Signatures of Pediatric Chronic Kidney Disease Etiology

Journal of the American Society of Nephrology ◽

10.1681/asn.2021040538 ◽

2022 ◽

pp. ASN.2021040538

Author(s):

Arthur M. Lee ◽

Jian Hu ◽

Yunwen Xu ◽

Alison G. Abraham ◽

Rui Xiao ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Machine Learning ◽

Chronic Kidney Disease ◽

Kidney Disease ◽

Gut Microbiome ◽

Support Vector ◽

Pathway Enrichment Analysis ◽

Disease Etiology ◽

Content Type ◽

Extreme Gradient Boosting ◽

Pediatric Ckd

BackgroundUntargeted plasma metabolomic profiling combined with machine learning (ML) may lead to discovery of metabolic profiles that inform our understanding of pediatric CKD causes. We sought to identify metabolomic signatures in pediatric CKD based on diagnosis: FSGS, obstructive uropathy (OU), aplasia/dysplasia/hypoplasia (A/D/H), and reflux nephropathy (RN).MethodsUntargeted metabolomic quantification (GC-MS/LC-MS, Metabolon) was performed on plasma from 702 Chronic Kidney Disease in Children study participants (n: FSGS=63, OU=122, A/D/H=109, and RN=86). Lasso regression was used for feature selection, adjusting for clinical covariates. Four methods were then applied to stratify significance: logistic regression, support vector machine, random forest, and extreme gradient boosting. ML training was performed on 80% total cohort subsets and validated on 20% holdout subsets. Important features were selected based on being significant in at least two of the four modeling approaches. We additionally performed pathway enrichment analysis to identify metabolic subpathways associated with CKD cause.ResultsML models were evaluated on holdout subsets with receiver-operator and precision-recall area-under-the-curve, F1 score, and Matthews correlation coefficient. ML models outperformed no-skill prediction. Metabolomic profiles were identified based on cause. FSGS was associated with the sphingomyelin-ceramide axis. FSGS was also associated with individual plasmalogen metabolites and the subpathway. OU was associated with gut microbiome–derived histidine metabolites.ConclusionML models identified metabolomic signatures based on CKD cause. Using ML techniques in conjunction with traditional biostatistics, we demonstrated that sphingomyelin-ceramide and plasmalogen dysmetabolism are associated with FSGS and that gut microbiome–derived histidine metabolites are associated with OU.

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Forecasting the risk at infractions: an ensemble comparison of machine learning approach

Industrial Management & Data Systems ◽

10.1108/imds-10-2020-0603 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽

Author(s):

Lei Li ◽

Desheng Wu

Keyword(s):

Machine Learning ◽

Prediction Models ◽

Short Term Memory ◽

Model Performance ◽

Large Data ◽

Support Vector ◽

Learning Approaches ◽

Content Type ◽

Day To Day Operations ◽

Prediction Approach

PurposeThe infraction of securities regulations (ISRs) of listed firms in their day-to-day operations and management has become one of common problems. This paper proposed several machine learning approaches to forecast the risk at infractions of listed corporates to solve financial problems that are not effective and precise in supervision.Design/methodology/approachThe overall proposed research framework designed for forecasting the infractions (ISRs) include data collection and cleaning, feature engineering, data split, prediction approach application and model performance evaluation. We select Logistic Regression, Naïve Bayes, Random Forest, Support Vector Machines, Artificial Neural Network and Long Short-Term Memory Networks (LSTMs) as ISRs prediction models.FindingsThe research results show that prediction performance of proposed models with the prior infractions provides a significant improvement of the ISRs than those without prior, especially for large sample set. The results also indicate when judging whether a company has infractions, we should pay attention to novel artificial intelligence methods, previous infractions of the company, and large data sets.Originality/valueThe findings could be utilized to address the problems of identifying listed corporates' ISRs at hand to a certain degree. Overall, results elucidate the value of the prior infraction of securities regulations (ISRs). This shows the importance of including more data sources when constructing distress models and not only focus on building increasingly more complex models on the same data. This is also beneficial to the regulatory authorities.

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State of the Art Survey of Deep Learning and Machine Learning Models for Smart Cities and Urban Sustainability

10.31219/osf.io/gmuzk ◽

2020 ◽

Author(s):

Saeed Nosratabadi ◽

Amir Mosavi ◽

Ramin Keivani ◽

Sina Faizollahzadeh Ardabili ◽

Farshid Aram

Keyword(s):

Machine Learning ◽

Deep Learning ◽

State Of The Art ◽

Smart Cities ◽

Model Development ◽

Urban Sustainability ◽

Urban Transport ◽

Support Vector ◽

Neuro Fuzzy ◽

Vector Machines

Deep learning (DL) and machine learning (ML) methods have recently contributed to the advancement of models in the various aspects of prediction, planning, and uncertainty analysis of smart cities and urban development. This paper presents the state of the art of DL and ML methods used in this realm. Through a novel taxonomy, the advances in model development and new application domains in urban sustainability and smart cities are presented. Findings reveal that five DL and ML methods have been most applied to address the different aspects of smart cities. These are artificial neural networks; support vector machines; decision trees; ensembles, Bayesians, hybrids, and neuro-fuzzy; and deep learning. It is also disclosed that energy, health, and urban transport are the main domains of smart cities that DL and ML methods contributed in to address their problems.

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Support Vector Regression Method for Regional Economic Mid- and Long-Term Predictions Based on Wireless Network Communication

Wireless Communications and Mobile Computing ◽

10.1155/2021/1837681 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 2021 ◽

pp. 1-14

Author(s):

Lingyu Dong

Keyword(s):

Machine Learning ◽

Communication Network ◽

Support Vector Regression ◽

Wireless Network ◽

Regression Method ◽

Network Communication ◽

Support Vector ◽

Network Coverage ◽

Data Packets

In recent years, wireless sensor network technology has continued to develop, and it has become one of the research hotspots in the information field. People have higher and higher requirements for the communication rate and network coverage of the communication network, which also makes the problems of limited wireless mobile communication network coverage and insufficient wireless resource utilization efficiency become increasingly prominent. This article is aimed at studying a support vector regression method for long-term prediction in the context of wireless network communication and applying the method to regional economy. This article uses the contrast experiment method and the space occupancy rate algorithm, combined with the vector regression algorithm of machine learning. Research on the laws of machine learning under the premise of less sample data solves the problem of the lack of a unified framework that can be referred to in machine learning with limited samples. The experimental results show that the distance between AP1 and AP2 is 0.4 m, and the distance between AP2 and Client2 is 0.6 m. When BPSK is used for OFDM modulation, 2500 MHz is used as the USRP center frequency, and 0.5 MHz is used as the USRP bandwidth; AP1 can send data packets. The length is 100 bytes, the number of sent data packets is 100, the gain of Client2 is 0-38, the receiving gain of AP2 is 0, and the receiving gain of AP1 is 19. The support vector regression method based on wireless network communication for regional economic mid- and long-term predictions was completed well.

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Cereal yield forecasting combining satellite drought-based indices, regional climate and weather data using machine learning approaches in Morocco

10.5194/egusphere-egu21-14590 ◽

2021 ◽

Author(s):

El houssaine Bouras ◽

Lionel Jarlan ◽

Salah Er-Raki ◽

Riad Balaghi ◽

Abdelhakim Amazirh ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Machine Learning ◽

Regional Climate ◽

Model Development ◽

Machine Learning Algorithms ◽

Weather Data ◽

Drought Indices ◽

Support Vector ◽

Learning Approaches ◽

Climate Data ◽

Yield Forecasting

Cereals are the main crop in Morocco. Its production exhibits a high inter-annual due to uncertain rainfall and recurrent drought periods. Considering the importance of this resource to the country's economy, it is thus important for decision makers to have reliable forecasts of the annual cereal production in order to pre-empt importation needs. In this study, we assessed the joint use of satellite-based drought indices, weather (precipitation and temperature) and climate data (pseudo-oscillation indices including NAO and the leading modes of sea surface temperature -SST- in the mid-latitude and in the tropical area) to predict cereal yields at the level of the agricultural province using machine learning algorithms (Support Vector Machine -SVM-, Random forest -FR- and eXtreme Gradient Boost -XGBoost-) in addition to Multiple Linear Regression (MLR). Also, we evaluate the models for different lead times along the growing season from January (about 5 months before harvest) to March (2 months before harvest). The results show the combination of data from the different sources outperformed the use of a single dataset; the highest accuracy being obtained when the three data sources were all considered in the model development. In addition, the results show that the models can accurately predict yields in January (5 months before harvesting) with an R&#178; = 0.90 and RMSE about 3.4 Qt.ha-1. &#160;When comparing the model&#8217;s performance, XGBoost represents the best one for predicting yields. Also, considering specific models for each province separately improves the statistical metrics by approximately 10-50% depending on the province with regards to one global model applied to all the provinces. The results of this study pointed out that machine learning is a promising tool for cereal yield forecasting. Also, the proposed methodology can be extended to different crops and different regions for crop yield forecasting.

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The Influence of Inhomogeneous Input Data from Different Waves on Predictive Model Development for COVID-19 ICU Patients (Preprint)

10.2196/preprints.31539 ◽

2021 ◽

Author(s):

Sebastian Johannes Fritsch ◽

Konstantin Sharafutdinov ◽

Moein Einollahzadeh Samadi ◽

Gernot Marx ◽

Andreas Schuppert ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Machine Learning ◽

Convex Hull ◽

Prediction Models ◽

Model Development ◽

Predictive Performance ◽

Support Vector ◽

Good Prediction ◽

The Impact ◽

Second Wave ◽

Over Time

BACKGROUND During the course of the COVID-19 pandemic, a variety of machine learning models were developed to predict different aspects of the disease, such as long-term causes, organ dysfunction or ICU mortality. The number of training datasets used has increased significantly over time. However, these data now come from different waves of the pandemic, not always addressing the same therapeutic approaches over time as well as changing outcomes between two waves. The impact of these changes on model development has not yet been studied. OBJECTIVE The aim of the investigation was to examine the predictive performance of several models trained with data from one wave predicting the second wave´s data and the impact of a pooling of these data sets. Finally, a method for comparison of different datasets for heterogeneity is introduced. METHODS We used two datasets from wave one and two to develop several predictive models for mortality of the patients. Four classification algorithms were used: logistic regression (LR), support vector machine (SVM), random forest classifier (RF) and AdaBoost classifier (ADA). We also performed a mutual prediction on the data of that wave which was not used for training. Then, we compared the performance of models when a pooled dataset from two waves was used. The populations from the different waves were checked for heterogeneity using a convex hull analysis. RESULTS 63 patients from wave one (03-06/2020) and 54 from wave two (08/2020-01/2021) were evaluated. For both waves separately, we found models reaching sufficient accuracies up to 0.79 AUROC (95%-CI 0.76-0.81) for SVM on the first wave and up 0.88 AUROC (95%-CI 0.86-0.89) for RF on the second wave. After the pooling of the data, the AUROC decreased relevantly. In the mutual prediction, models trained on second wave´s data showed, when applied on first wave´s data, a good prediction for non-survivors but an insufficient classification for survivors. The opposite situation (training: first wave, test: second wave) revealed the inverse behaviour with models correctly classifying survivors and incorrectly predicting non-survivors. The convex hull analysis for the first and second wave populations showed a more inhomogeneous distribution of underlying data when compared to randomly selected sets of patients of the same size. CONCLUSIONS Our work demonstrates that a larger dataset is not a universal solution to all machine learning problems in clinical settings. Rather, it shows that inhomogeneous data used to develop models can lead to serious problems. With the convex hull analysis, we offer a solution for this problem. The outcome of such an analysis can raise concerns if the pooling of different datasets would cause inhomogeneous patterns preventing a better predictive performance.

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Identification of DNA-binding proteins via Hypergraph based Laplacian Support Vector Machine

Current Bioinformatics ◽

10.2174/1574893616666210806091922 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 16 ◽

Author(s):

Yuqing Qian ◽

Hao Meng ◽

Weizhong Lu ◽

Zhijun Liao ◽

Yijie Ding ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Machine Learning ◽

Dna Binding ◽

Large Scale ◽

Binding Proteins ◽

Predictive Accuracy ◽

Dna Binding Proteins ◽

Research Field ◽

Support Vector ◽

Data Sets ◽

Independent Test

Background: The identification of DNA binding proteins (DBP) is an important research field. Experiment-based methods are time-consuming and labor-intensive for detecting DBP. Objective: To solve the problem of large-scale DBP identification, some machine learning methods are proposed. However, these methods have insufficient predictive accuracy. Our aim is to develop a sequence-based machine learning model to predict DBP. Methods: In our study, we extract six types of features (including NMBAC, GE, MCD, PSSM-AB, PSSM-DWT, and PsePSSM) from protein sequences. We use Multiple Kernel Learning based on Hilbert-Schmidt Independence Criterion (MKL-HSIC) to estimate the optimal kernel. Then, we construct a hypergraph model to describe the relationship between labeled and unlabeled samples. Finally, Laplacian Support Vector Machines (LapSVM) is employed to train the predictive model. Our method is tested on PDB186, PDB1075, PDB2272 and PDB14189 data sets. Result: Compared with other methods, our model achieves best results on benchmark data sets. Conclusion: The accuracy of 87.1% and 74.2% are achieved on PDB186 (Independent test of PDB1075) and PDB2272 (Independent test of PDB14189), respectively.

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