Comparative study on performance of different artificial neural network methods for prediction of the Covid19

foresight ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Alireza Sedighi Fard
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Polynomial Regression ◽  
World Health ◽  
Comparative Approach ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Current Time ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Artificial Neural

Purpose This study aims to compare many artificial neural network (ANN) methods to find out which method is better for the prediction of Covid19 number of cases in N steps ahead of the current time. Therefore, the authors can be more ready for similar issues in the future. Design/methodology/approach The authors are going to use many ANNs in this study including, five different long short-term memory (LSTM) methods, polynomial regression (from degree 2 to 5) and online dynamic unsupervised feedforward neural network (ODUFFNN). The authors are going to use these networks over a data set of Covid19 number of cases gathered by World Health Organization. After 1,000 epochs for each network, the authors are going to calculate the accuracy of each network, to be able to compare these networks by their performance and choose the best method for the prediction of Covid19. Findings The authors concluded that for most of the cases LSTM could predict Covid19 cases with an accuracy of more than 85% after LSTM networks ODUFFNN had medium accuracy of 45% but this network is highly flexible and fast computing. The authors concluded that polynomial regression cant is a good method for the specific purpose. Originality/value Considering the fact that Covid19 is a new global issue, less studies have been conducted with a comparative approach toward the prediction of Covid19 using ANN methods to introduce the best model of the prediction of this virus.

Moore-Penrose pseudo-inverse and artificial neural network modeling in performance prediction of switched reluctance machine

2020 ◽  
Vol 39 (6) ◽  
pp. 1411-1430
Author(s):  
Ana Camila Ferreira Mamede ◽  
José Roberto Camacho ◽  
Rui Esteves Araújo ◽  
Igor Santos Peretta
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Computational Cost ◽  
Neural Network Modeling ◽  
Switched Reluctance Machine ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Switched Reluctance ◽  
Reluctance Machine ◽  
Artificial Neural

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to present the Moore-Penrose pseudoinverse (PI) modeling and compare with artificial neural network (ANN) modeling for switched reluctance machine (SRM) performance. Design/methodology/approach In a design of an SRM, there are a number of parameters that are chosen empirically inside a certain interval, therefore, to find an optimal geometry it is necessary to define a good model for SRM. The proposed modeling uses the Moore-Penrose PI for the resolution of linear systems and finite element simulation data. To attest to the quality of PI modeling, a model using ANN is established and the two models are compared with the values determined by simulations of finite elements. Findings The proposed PI model showed better accuracy, generalization capacity and lower computational cost than the ANN model. Originality/value The proposed approach can be applied to any problem as long as experimental/computational results can be obtained and will deliver the best approximation model to the available data set.

Random Forest (RF) and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) Algorithms for LULC Mapping

2020 ◽  
Vol 38 (4A) ◽  
pp. 510-514
Author(s):  
Tay H. Shihab ◽  
Amjed N. Al-Hameedawi ◽  
Ammar M. Hamza
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Remote Sensing ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Random Forest ◽  
Satellite Image ◽  
Landsat 8 ◽  
Optical Remote Sensing ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann

In this paper to make use of complementary potential in the mapping of LULC spatial data is acquired from LandSat 8 OLI sensor images are taken in 2019.  They have been rectified, enhanced and then classified according to Random forest (RF) and artificial neural network (ANN) methods. Optical remote sensing images have been used to get information on the status of LULC classification, and extraction details. The classification of both satellite image types is used to extract features and to analyse LULC of the study area. The results of the classification showed that the artificial neural network method outperforms the random forest method. The required image processing has been made for Optical Remote Sensing Data to be used in LULC mapping, include the geometric correction, Image Enhancements, The overall accuracy when using the ANN methods 0.91 and the kappa accuracy was found 0.89 for the training data set. While the overall accuracy and the kappa accuracy of the test dataset were found 0.89 and 0.87 respectively.

Dynamic prediction of Indian stock market: an artificial neural network approach

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Himanshu Goel ◽  
Narinder Pal Singh
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Institutional Investors ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Gradient Algorithm ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Indian Stock Market

Purpose Artificial neural network (ANN) is a powerful technique to forecast the time series data such as the stock market. Therefore, this study aims to predict the Indian stock market closing price using ANNs. Design/methodology/approach The input variables identified from the literature are some macroeconomic variables and a global stock market factor. The study uses an ANN with Scaled Conjugate Gradient Algorithm (SCG) to forecast the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) Sensex. Findings The empirical findings reveal that the ANN model is able to achieve 93% accuracy in predicting the BSE Sensex closing prices. Moreover, the results indicate that the Morgan Stanley Capital International world index is the most important variable and the index of industrial production is the least important in predicting Sensex. Research limitations/implications The findings of the study have implications for the investors of all categories such as foreign institutional investors, domestic institutional investors and investment houses. Originality/value The novelty of this study lies in the fact that there are hardly any studies that use ANN to forecast the Indian stock market using macroeconomic indicators.

Watermelon Sorting Process by Frequency Identification and Artificial Neural Network

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Komsan Wongkalasin ◽  
Teerapon Upachaban ◽  
Wacharawish Daosawang ◽  
Nattadon Pannucharoenwong ◽  
Phadungsak Ratanadecho
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Selection Process ◽  
Network Processor ◽  
Data Set ◽  
The Neural Network ◽  
Frequency Identification ◽  
Sorting Process ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Reasonable Prediction

This research aims to enhance the watermelon’s quality selection process, which was traditionally conducted by knocking the watermelon fruit and sort out by the sound’s character. The proposed method in this research is generating the sound spectrum through the watermelon and then analyzes the response signal’s frequency and the amplitude by Fast Fourier Transform (FFT). Then the obtained data were used to train and verify the neural network processor. The result shows that, the frequencies of 129 and 172 Hz were suit to be used in the comparison. Thirty watermelons, which were randomly selected from the orchard, were used to create a data set, and then were cut to manually check and match to the fruits’ quality. The 129 Hz frequency gave the response ranging from 13.57 and above in 3 groups of watermelons quality, including, not fully ripened, fully ripened, and close to rotten watermelons. When the 172 Hz gave the response between 11.11–12.72 in not fully ripened watermelons and those of 13.00 or more in the group of close to rotten and hollow watermelons. The response was then used as a training condition for the artificial neural network processor of the sorting machine prototype. The verification results provided a reasonable prediction of the ripeness level of watermelon and can be used as a pilot prototype to improve the efficiency of the tools to obtain a modern-watermelon quality selection tool, which could enhance the competitiveness of the local farmers on the product quality control.

Improving the electromagnetic compatibility of electronic products by using response surface methodology and artificial neural network

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ching-Hsiang Chen ◽  
Chien-Yi Huang ◽  
Yan-Ci Huang
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Response Surface Methodology ◽  
Response Surface ◽  
Electromagnetic Compatibility ◽  
Heat Dissipation ◽  
Optimal Parameter ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Early Stages ◽  
Artificial Neural

Purpose The purpose of this study is to use the Taguchi Method for parametric design in the early stages of product development. electromagnetic compatibility (EMC) issues can be considered in the early stages of product design to reduce counter-measure components, product cost and labor consumption increases due to a number of design changes in the R&D cycle and to accelerate the R&D process. Design/methodology/approach The three EMC characteristics, including radiated emission, conducted emission and fast transient impulse immunity of power, are considered response values; control factors are determined with respect to the relevant parameters for printed circuit board and mechanical design of the product and peripheral devices used in conjunction with the product are considered as noise factors. The optimal parameter set is determined by using the principal component gray relational analysis in conjunction with both response surface methodology and artificial neural network. Findings Market specifications and cost of components are considered to propose an optimal parameter design set with the number of grounded screw holes being 14, the size of the shell heat dissipation holes being 3 mm and the arrangement angle of shell heat dissipation holes being 45 degrees, to dispose of 390 O filters on the noise source. Originality/value The optimal parameter set can improve EMC effectively to accommodate the design specifications required by customers and pass test regulations.

A Model on the Correlation between Composition and Mechanical Properties of Mg-Al-Zn Alloys by Using Artificial Neural Network

2005 ◽  
Vol 488-489 ◽  
pp. 793-796 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hai Ding Liu ◽  
Ai Tao Tang ◽  
Fu Sheng Pan ◽  
Ru Lin Zuo ◽  
Ling Yun Wang
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Mechanical Properties ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Magnesium Alloys ◽  
Tensile Yield Strength ◽  
Data Set ◽  
The Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Prediction Of Mechanical Properties ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann

A model was developed for the analysis and prediction of correlation between composition and mechanical properties of Mg-Al-Zn (AZ) magnesium alloys by applying artificial neural network (ANN). The input parameters of the neural network (NN) are alloy composition. The outputs of the NN model are important mechanical properties, including ultimate tensile strength, tensile yield strength and elongation. The model is based on multilayer feedforward neural network. The NN was trained with comprehensive data set collected from domestic and foreign literature. A very good performance of the neural network was achieved. The model can be used for the simulation and prediction of mechanical properties of AZ system magnesium alloys as functions of composition.

Integrating artificial neural network and imperialist competitive algorithm (ICA), to predict the energy consumption for land leveling

2017 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 522-540 ◽  
Author(s):  
Isham Alzoubi ◽  
Mahmoud Delavar ◽  
Farhad Mirzaei ◽  
Babak Nadjar Arrabi
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Energy Consumption ◽  
Compressibility Factor ◽  
Imperialist Competitive Algorithm ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Competitive Algorithm ◽  
Land Leveling ◽  
Soil Compressibility ◽  
Artificial Neural

Purpose This work aims to determine the best linear model using an artificial neural network (ANN) with the imperialist competitive algorithm (ICA-ANN) and ANN to predict the energy consumption for land leveling. Design/methodology/approach Using ANN, integrating artificial neural network and imperialist competitive algorithm (ICA-ANN) and sensitivity analysis (SA) can lead to a noticeable improvement in the environment. In this research, effects of various soil properties such as embankment volume, soil compressibility factor, specific gravity, moisture content, slope, sand per cent and soil swelling index on energy consumption were investigated. Findings According to the results, 10-8-3-1, 10-8-2-5-1, 10-5-8-10-1 and 10-6-4-1 multilayer perceptron network structures were chosen as the best arrangements and were trained using the Levenberg–Marquardt method as the network training function. Sensitivity analysis revealed that only three variables, namely, density, soil compressibility factor and cut-fill volume (V), had the highest sensitivity on the output parameters, including labor energy, fuel energy, total machinery cost and total machinery energy. Based on the results, ICA-ANN had a better performance in the prediction of output parameters in comparison with conventional methods such as ANN or particle swarm optimization (PSO)-ANN. Statistical factors of root mean square error (RMSE) and correlation coefficient (R2) illustrate the superiority of ICA-ANN over other methods by values of about 0.02 and 0.99, respectively. Originality/value A limited number of research studies related to energy consumption in land leveling have been done on energy as a function of volume of excavation and embankment. However, in this research, energy and cost of land leveling are shown to be functions of all the properties of the land, including the slope, coefficient of swelling, density of the soil, soil moisture and special weight dirt. Therefore, the authors believe that this paper contains new and significant information adequate for justifying publication in an international journal.

scholarly journals PENDUGAAN FLUKS PANAS DAN EVAPOTRANSPIRASI DENGAN JARINGAN SYARAF TIRUANHEAT FLUX AND EVAPOTRANSPIRATION ESTIMATION USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK

Agromet ◽  
2011 ◽  
Vol 25 (1) ◽  
pp. 24
Author(s):  
Satyanto Krido Saptomo
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Latent Heat ◽  
Measurement Data ◽  
Heat Fluxes ◽  
Similar Process ◽  
Observation Data ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Dissipation Process ◽  
Artificial Neural

<em>Artificial neural network (ANN) approach was used to model energy dissipation process into sensible heat and latent heat (evapotranspiration) fluxes. The ANN model has 5 inputs which are leaf temperature T<sub>l</sub>, air temperature T<sub>a</sub>, net radiation R<sub>n</sub>, wind speed u<sub>c</sub> and actual vapor pressure e<sub>a</sub>. Adjustment of ANN was conducted using back propagation technique, employing measurement data of input and output parameters of the ANN. The estimation results using the adjusted ANN shows its capability in resembling the heat dissipation process by giving outputs of sensible and latent heat fluxes closed to its respective measurement values as the measured input values are given.  The ANN structure presented in this paper suits for modeling similar process over vegetated surfaces, but the adjusted parameters are unique. Therefore observation data set for each different vegetation and adjustment of ANN are required.</em>

scholarly journals Adaptation of the Diagnostic Artificial Neural Network Structure When New Training Examples Appear

2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (4) ◽  
pp. 120-126
Author(s):  
A. Malikov
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Information Security ◽  
Classification Problem ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Neural Network Structure ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Training Examples ◽  
Information Image

In this paper we can see that identified computer incidents are subject for diagnostics, during which the characteristics of information security violations are clarified (purpose, causes, consequences, etc.). To diagnose computer incidents, we can use methods of automation while collection and processing the events that occur as a result of the implementation of scenarios for information security violations. Artificial neural networks can be used to solve the classification problem of assigning diagnostic data set (information image of a computer incident) to one of the possible values of the violation characteristic. The purpose of this work is to adapt the structure of an artificial neural network that allows the accuracy diagnostics of computer incidents when new training examples appear.

scholarly journals Artificial Neural Network Modelling of Photodegradation in Suspension of Manganese Doped Zinc Oxide Nanoparticles under Visible-Light Irradiation

2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yadollah Abdollahi ◽  
Azmi Zakaria ◽  
Nor Asrina Sairi ◽  
Khamirul Amin Matori ◽  
Hamid Reza Fard Masoumi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Visible Light ◽  
Visible Light Irradiation ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Light Irradiation ◽  
Maximum Efficiency ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Artificial Neural

The artificial neural network (ANN) modeling ofm-cresol photodegradation was carried out for determination of the optimum and importance values of the effective variables to achieve the maximum efficiency. The photodegradation was carried out in the suspension of synthesized manganese doped ZnO nanoparticles under visible-light irradiation. The input considered effective variables of the photodegradation were irradiation time, pH, photocatalyst amount, and concentration ofm-cresol while the efficiency was the only response as output. The performed experiments were designed into three data sets such as training, testing, and validation that were randomly splitted by the software’s option. To obtain the optimum topologies, ANN was trained by quick propagation (QP), Incremental Back Propagation (IBP), Batch Back Propagation (BBP), and Levenberg-Marquardt (LM) algorithms for testing data set. The topologies were determined by the indicator of minimized root mean squared error (RMSE) for each algorithm. According to the indicator, the QP-4-8-1, IBP-4-15-1, BBP-4-6-1, and LM-4-10-1 were selected as the optimized topologies. Among the topologies, QP-4-8-1 has presented the minimum RMSE and absolute average deviation as well as maximum R-squared. Therefore, QP-4-8-1 was selected as final model for validation test and navigation of the process. The model was used for determination of the optimum values of the effective variables by a few three-dimensional plots. The optimum points of the variables were confirmed by further validated experiments. Moreover, the model predicted the relative importance of the variables which showed none of them was neglectable in this work.

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