To Basel or not to Basel? Banking crises and contagion

2015 ◽  
Vol 23 (3) ◽  
pp. 298-318 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aristeidis Samitas ◽  
Stathis Polyzos
Keyword(s):  
Banking Sector ◽  
Object Oriented ◽  
Banking Crises ◽  
Basel Iii ◽  
Financial Assets ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Economic Agents ◽  
Behavioural Simulation ◽  
The Stability ◽  
Use Of An Object

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to propose an object-oriented model of financial simulations which aims to test the applicability and suitability of the proposed measures of Basel III with respect to the prevention of banking crises. Design/methodology/approach – The authors introduce an object-oriented model of financial simulations in the banking sector, namely, virtual banking (VBanking). The system is based on behavioural simulation of economic agents and allows for transactions between them, using various forms of financial assets. VBanking has been implemented as an automated stand-alone model, allowing for repetitive simulations under the same parameter sets, producing an efficient series of statistical data. Findings – Interpretation of the resulting data suggests that some of the criticism against the proposed measures is justified, as neither economic crises nor contagion are diminished under Basel III. At the same time, the authors’ findings support that the stability goal is met, at least in part. Research limitations/implications – The model encompasses a relatively small part of the banking sector, while the authors choose not to deal with the production part of the economy. However, these limitations do not hinder the validity and importance of the authors’ findings. Originality/value – The originality of this article lies in the use of an object-oriented behavioural model and in the resulting model application that is based on it. This enables the authors to run a series of simulations with different parameters, the results of which the authors can then compare. The authors’ findings can contribute to the authorities’ efforts to ameliorate the policies of Basel III.

Economic freedom, competition and bank stability in Sub-Saharan Africa

2020 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Emmanuel Sarpong-Kumankoma ◽  
Joshua Yindenaba Abor ◽  
Anthony Q. Q. Aboagye ◽  
Mohammed Amidu
Keyword(s):  
Economic Freedom ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Generalized Method Of Moments ◽  
Sub Saharan Africa ◽  
Bank Stability ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Show Evidence ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Sub Saharan ◽  
The Stability

PurposeThis study aims to analyze the potential implications of economic freedom and competition for bank stability.Design/methodology/approachUsing system generalized method of moments and data from 139 banks across 11 Sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries during the period 2006–2012, this study considers whether the degree of economic freedom affects the relationship between competition and bank stability.FindingsThe results show evidence of the competition-fragility hypothesis in SSA banking, but suggests that beyond a setting threshold, increases in market power may also be damaging to bank stability. Financial freedom has a negative effect on bank stability, suggesting that banks operating in environments with greater financial freedom generally tend to be less stable or more risky. The authors also find evidence of a conditional effect of economic freedom on the competition–stability relationship, implying that bank failure is more likely to occur in countries with greater economic freedom, but with low competition in the banking sector.Practical implicationsThe results suggests to policy makers that a moderate level of competition and economic freedom may be the appropriate policy to ensure the stability of banks.Originality/valueThe study provides insight on the competition–bank stability relationship, by providing new empirical evidence on the effect of economic freedom, which has not been previously considered.

scholarly journals Panel modeling of z-score: evidence from Islamic and conventional Saudi banks

2019 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Hassan Belkacem Ghassan ◽  
Abdelkrim Ahmed Guendouz
Keyword(s):  
Financial Stability ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Stability Index ◽  
Z Score ◽  
Strong Concentration ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Quarterly Data ◽  
Annual Frequency ◽  
Conventional Banks ◽  
The Stability

Purpose This paper aims to measure the stability extent of the banking sector in Saudi Arabia, including Islamic and conventional banks (CBs), using quarterly data. Design/methodology/approach The paper uses seemingly unrelated regressions to estimate the determinants of the z-score. Findings The panel data model shows that Islamic banks (IBs) reduce the financial stability index relatively; meanwhile, they contribute efficiently to enhance the financial stability through the diversification of their assets. The Saudi banking sector exhibits strong concentration affecting the financial stability negatively. Research limitations/implications The paper’s topic can be extended to cover the recent period. Practical implications The limited presence of IBs in the Saudi banking sector jeopardizes any effort to improve the financial stability. Social implications By attracting more clients, IBs would contribute more to the financial stability in the Saudi economy. Also, the monetary authority has to expand the share of IBs in the financial system at least 50-50 compared to CBs. Originality/value The z-score is mostly analyzed with yearly data; in this paper we use quarterly data to describe at infra-annual frequency the variability of the z-score index. Also, we consider in detail the statistical properties of the banks’ data.

Interbank financing and business cycle in Europe

2019 ◽  
Vol 46 (6) ◽  
pp. 1280-1291 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ly Kim Cuong ◽  
Vo Xuan Vinh
Keyword(s):  
Business Cycle ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Financial Structure ◽  
Policy Makers ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Level Data ◽  
The Business Cycle ◽  
The Stability ◽  
Liquidity Shock

Purpose The knowledge of the link between interbank financing and business cycle fluctuations is important in assessing the stability and soundness of the banking sector. The purpose of this paper is to investigate the simultaneous relationship between interbank financing and the business cycle with respect to the financial structure of the bank-based and market-based systems in European countries by using bank-level data from 2007 to 2011. Design/methodology/approach The study employs an innovative instrumenting technique with an instrument of the financial structure to address the simultaneous determination of interbank financing and the business cycle. Findings The results suggest that banks establish pro-cyclical interbank borrowing by increasing their interbank position during booms and reducing it during downturns. Bank-based system performs better in redistributing the liquidity in the economy than the market-based system when there are imperfectly correlated liquidity shocks across regions during the 2007–2009 financial crisis. Practical implications The improvement of banks’ liquidity risk management should be aligned with a specific financial system. The macro-prudential supervisor should require banks in the market-based system to disclose their interbank position on the extent of risk exposure during the liquidity shock period to stabilize the EU banking industry. Originality/value This study is the first to provide policy makers with some novel empirical results concerning the linkage among bank liquidity, the macroeconomic condition and financial structure.

scholarly journals Impact of the Basel III bank regulation on US agricultural lending

2020 ◽  
Vol 80 (3) ◽  
pp. 321-337 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kevin Nooree Kim ◽  
Ani L. Katchova
Keyword(s):  
Growth Rates ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Agricultural Sector ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Detailed Examination ◽  
Capital Requirements ◽  
Basel Iii ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Usa ◽  
The Impact

Purpose Following the recent global financial crisis, US regulatory agencies issued laws to implement the Basel III accords to ensure the resiliency of the US banking sector. Theories predict that enhanced regulations may alter credit issuance of the regulated banks due to increased capital requirements, but the direction of changes might not be straightforward especially with respect to the agricultural loans. A decrease in credit availability from banks might pose a serious problem for farmers who rely on bank credit especially during economic recessions. The paper aims to discuss these issues. Design/methodology/approach In this study, the impact of Basel III regulatory framework implementation on agricultural lending in the USA is examined. Using panel data of FDIC-insured banks from 2008 to 2017, the agricultural loan volume and growth rates are examined for agricultural banks and all US banks. Findings The results show that agricultural loan growth rates have slowed down, but the amount of agricultural loan volume issuance still remained positive. More detailed examination finds that regulated agricultural banks have decreased both the agricultural loan volume and their loan exposure to the agricultural sector, showing a possible sign of credit crunch. Originality/value This study examines whether the implementation of the Basel III regulation has resulted in changes in agricultural loan issuance by US banks as predicted by the lending channel theory.

South African banks' profits will wane

2015 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
South African ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Poor Performance ◽  
Technical Skills ◽  
Basel Iii ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Higher Education System ◽  
Labour Costs ◽  
Wage Negotiation ◽  
Big Four

Subject Outlook for South Africa's banking sector. Significance Insurance firm Discovery announced on September 10 that it will launch a full-service bank to compete with Standard Bank, Nedbank, Barclays Africa Group and FirstRand -- the 'big four' that dominate the sector. Despite a weak economy, South African banks have seen strong profit growth, according to a new PwC report. Impacts If the new mines minister fails to break the wage negotiation impasse, probable strikes could push the economy into recession. Banks' labour costs, already 58% of overall costs, will rise due to additional technical skills needed to implement Basel III requirements. Poor performance by the country's higher education system means qualified graduates will demand premium salaries.

Turkey looks to ride out financial assets volatility

2016 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Investor Sentiment ◽  
Military Coup ◽  
Bond Markets ◽  
Financial Assets ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Inflation Rates ◽  
Government Bond Markets ◽  
Global Government

Significance The Central Bank is expected to keep its main interest rates on hold, despite the lira continuing to fall sharply against the dollar and headline and core inflation rates that are more than 2 percentage points above the TCMB's 5% target. The toxic combination of an escalation in the crackdown following the botched military coup in July and, crucially, a sharp deterioration in investor sentiment towards emerging markets (EMs) since Donald Trump's election as US president have put Turkish assets under renewed strain. Impacts EMs are currently on the sharp end of a fierce sell-off in global government bond markets. Investors are repositioning their portfolios in anticipation of more aggressive hikes in interest rates during a Trump presidency. The sell-off comes amid improving EM fundamentals, unlike the 'taper tantrum' after the Fed unexpectedly shrank asset purchases in 2013. Turkey's creditworthiness will continue to suffer after the botched military coup. Limiting the scope for a full-blown financial crisis is its banking sector, among the emerging world's best capitalised and most resilient.

Efficiency assessment of banking sector in Yemen using data envelopment window analysis

2015 ◽  
Vol 22 (6) ◽  
pp. 1115-1140 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fekri Ali Shawtari ◽  
Mohamed Ariff ◽  
Shaikh Hamzah Abdul Razak
Keyword(s):  
Panel Data ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Panel Data Analysis ◽  
Data Envelopment ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Window Analysis ◽  
Loan Financing ◽  
Using Data ◽  
Conventional Banks ◽  
The Stability

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to examine the banking industry’s efficiency using the case of Yemen. Design/methodology/approach – The paper utilises two-stage analysis to evaluate the efficiency adopting Data Envelopment Window Analysis (DEWA) in the first stage for the period 1996-2011. Furthermore, the paper addresses, in two-dimensional matrix, the stability and efficiency of the banking sector in order to assess their ability for survival. In the second stage, panel data analysis is applied to regress a set of bank-specific and macro-economic variables on the efficiency of the banking sector in Yemen in a comparative fashion between Islamic and conventional banks. Findings – The findings of the investigation indicate that the Yemeni banking industry in general was on a declining efficiency’s trend with increased instability during the later period of the investigation. In addition, the study shows that most conventional banks were relatively stable, though inefficient, while Islamic banks were more efficient over the time. The results of panel data regression further suggest that efficiency is related to a number of determinants. Loan/financing, and profitability are the common key determinants of efficiency for both Islamic and conventional banks. However, other determinants have impacted differently for Islamic and conventional banks, which could reflect the uniqueness of their operation and structure. Research limitations/implications – The present study provides a basis for the regulators and bankers to assess the viability of the banking sector and proposes policies to restructure the industry in order to enhance the performance of the whole industry. Originality/value – The paper presents new empirical findings on the efficiency of Islamic and conventional banks in Yemen.

Does capital adequacy ratio influence risk-taking behaviour of conventional and Islamic banks differently? Empirical evidence from dual banking system of Malaysia

2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (9) ◽  
pp. 1989-2015
Author(s):  
Rafik Harkati ◽  
Syed Musa Alhabshi ◽  
Salina Kassim
Keyword(s):  
Empirical Evidence ◽  
Risk Taking ◽  
Commercial Banks ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Ordinary Least Squares ◽  
Capital Adequacy ◽  
Basel Iii ◽  
Islamic Banks ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Capital Adequacy Ratio

Purpose The purpose of this study is to investigate the influence of capital adequacy ratio (CAR) prescribed in Basel III on the risk-taking behaviour of Islamic and conventional commercial banks in Malaysia. It also investigates the claim that the risk-taking behaviour of Islamic banks (IBs) and conventional banks (CBs) managers is identically influenced by CAR. Design/methodology/approach Secondary data for all CBs operating in the Malaysian banking sector are gathered from FitchConnect database for the 2011–2017 period. Both dynamic ordinary least squares and generalised method of moments techniques are used to estimate a panel data of 43 commercial banks, namely, 17 IBs and 26 CBs. Findings The findings of this study lend support to the favourable influence of CAR set in Basel III accord on risk-taking behaviour of both types of banks. CBs appeared to be remarkably better off in terms of capital buffers. Evidence is established on the identicality of the risk-taking behaviour of IBs and CBs managers under CAR influence. Practical implications Even though a high CAR is observed to hamper risk-taking of banks, the findings may serve as a signal to regulators to be mindful of the implications of holding a high CAR. Similarly, managers may capitalise on the findings in terms of strategising for efficient use of the considerable capital buffers. Shareholders are also concerned about managers’ use of the considerable capital buffers. Originality/value This study is among a few studies that endeavoured to provide empirical evidence on the claim that IBs mimic the conduct of CBs in light of the influence of CAR prescribed in Basel III on risk-taking behaviour, particularly banks operating within the same banking environment.

Household micro-data, regulation and financial stability: the case of Denmark in the 1950s

2016 ◽  
Vol 33 (2) ◽  
pp. 320-335 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kim Abildgren
Keyword(s):  
Financial Stability ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Micro Data ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Household Level ◽  
Household Sector ◽  
Level Data ◽  
The 1950S ◽  
The Stability ◽  
Stability Issues

Purpose The 1950s was characterised by pronounced stability of the banking sector in many countries, which the existing literature has attributed to tight regulation. However, other factors than regulation are important for financial stability. The purpose of this paper is to consider the case of Denmark and investigate whether the absence of banking crises was due to robustness of the banking sector’s customers rather than tight regulation. Design/methodology/approach The paper analyses the resilience of Danish wage and salary earners to adverse economic shocks in the 1950s based on household-level data on income, consumption, savings and wealth from the Danish Expenditure and Saving Survey of 1955. Findings The paper finds that the Danish household sector in the 1950s had a high debt payment ability and was very robust to even large income shocks. The results indicate that the stability of the Danish financial sector was not only due to tight regulation but also reflected a high credit quality of the banking sector’s loan portfolio. Originality/value During the past decade or so, a micro-data-based framework has become the “state of the art” approach among central banks to analyse the financial robustness of the household sector. However, such an approach has so far not been applied in studies on historical financial-stability issues. The paper adds to the literature by using granular household-level data to assess the financial resilience of the Danish household sector in the 1950s.

scholarly journals The productivity of GCC Islamic and conventional banks after Basel III announcement

2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (5) ◽  
pp. 770-792 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohammad Alsharif ◽  
Annuar Md. Nassir ◽  
Fakarudin Kamarudin ◽  
M.A. Zariyawati
Keyword(s):  
Banking Sector ◽  
Productivity Index ◽  
Scale Efficiency ◽  
Productivity Change ◽  
Basel Iii ◽  
Islamic Banks ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Conventional Banks ◽  
The Impact

Purpose This study aims to analyse Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) Islamic and conventional banks’ productivity and to investigate the impact of Basel III on their productivity change. This study is conducted on 73 GCC banks (45 conventional and 28 Islamic) over the period of 2005-2015. Design/methodology/approach This study uses the data envelopment analysis-type Malmquist productivity change index and its component indexes to obtain a deep insight into the source of productivity change. Findings The results show that Islamic banks are less productive than their conventional counterparts. Also, the results indicate that Basel III accord has impeded the GCC banks’ productivity and this negative effect is larger on Islamic banks. However, there is scale efficiency progress in the past years that offsets the production frontier deterioration, which leads to stagnation in total productivity change for both banks. Originality/value This study differs from the previous GCC banks’ productivity studies in several ways. Firstly, it covers a recent period that includes major events such as the global crisis and focuses on the influence of Basel III accord on GCC banks’ productivity. Secondly, as opposed to the previous studies, this study will estimate the GCC banks’ productivity index and its components based on separate frontiers for Islamic and conventional banks that will ensure the homogeneity in the sample and the robustness of the results. Thirdly, this study uses a combination of parametric and non-parametric tests to confirm and check the robustness of the findings. Lastly, to the best of the knowledge of the authors, this is the first study that tries to analyse the GCC banking sector productivity around the new Basel III announcement.

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