Hungarian Fidesz illiberalism will defy EU criticism

2017 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Rule Of Law ◽  
Political System ◽  
The Political ◽  
Member States ◽  
Content Type ◽  
To Come ◽  
Systematic Response ◽  
The Eu ◽  
Theory Lead

Significance The EP vote could in theory lead to sanctions under Article 7 of the EU Treaty (TEU). An 'illiberal state' has emerged in Hungary since 2010, profoundly and durably modifying the functioning of the political system, entrenching the power of the ruling Fidesz party and weakening the opposition. Impacts Fidesz will renew its strong majority in the 2018 elections and further consolidate its power in years to come. Member states are unlikely to agree on the deep reform of EU rule of law procedures that would allow a systematic response. Neighbouring states and candidate countries are likely to drift increasingly away from the liberal model.

Economic growth will boost Portugal’s government

2018 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Political System ◽  
Tourism Industry ◽  
Economic Recovery ◽  
The Political ◽  
Turn Of The Millennium ◽  
Government Bonds ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Mediterranean Countries ◽  
The Eu

Significance Portugal is set for the best five-year period of growth since the turn of the millennium, unemployment is falling and public finances are showing positive signs. The upswing is reflected in the remarkable stability of the political system. Impacts The economic recovery is likely to drive down yields on government bonds. Centeno’s appointment as Eurogroup president will raise Portugal’s standing in the EU. Security concerns in many Mediterranean countries are likely to boost Portugal’s tourism industry.

scholarly journals The political system of European Union after European Parliament Election of 2019

2019 ◽  
pp. 15-30
Author(s):  
Andrii Martynov
Keyword(s):  
European Union ◽  
European Integration ◽  
Political System ◽  
European Parliament ◽  
The Political ◽  
The European Union ◽  
National Parliaments ◽  
Member States ◽  
Eu Member States ◽  
The Eu

The politics of the European Union are different from other organizations and states due to the unique nature of the EU. The common institutions mix the intergovernmental and supranational aspects of the EU. The EU treaties declare the EU to be based on representative democracy and direct elections take place to the European Parliament. The Parliament, together with the European Council, works for the legislative arm of the EU. The Council is composed of national governments thus representing the intergovernmental nature of the European Union. The central theme of this research is the influence of the European Union Political system the Results of May 2019 European Parliament Election. The EU supranational legislature plays an important role as a producer of legal norms in the process of European integration and parliamentary scrutiny of the activities of the EU executive. The European Parliament, as a representative institution of the European Union, helps to overcome the stereotypical notions of a “Brussels bureaucracy” that limits the sovereignty of EU member states. The European Parliament is a political field of interaction between European optimists and European skeptics. The new composition of the European Parliament presents political forces focused on a different vision of the strategy and tactics of the European integration process. European federalists in the “European People’s Party” and “European Socialists and Democrats” consider the strategic prospect of creating a confederate “United States of Europe”. The Brexit withdrawal from the EU could help the federalists win over European skeptics. Critics of the supranational project of European integration do not have a majority in the new composition of the European Parliament. But they are widely represented in many national parliaments of EU Member States. The conflicting interaction between European liberals and far-right populists is the political backdrop for much debate in the European Parliament. The result of this process is the medium term development vector of the European Union.

Cambodian legal gaps could hit economy and society

2016 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Rule Of Law ◽  
Political System ◽  
Legal Reform ◽  
The Political ◽  
Social Unrest ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Rule Of Law ◽  
Legal Reforms

Significance A spate of recent judiciary-related controversies is raising questions about the political system and the rule of law in Cambodia. Impacts Lack of confidence in the judiciary will probably trigger incidents of politicised social unrest. Ineffective legal reform could reduce investors' appetite for Cambodia. Inadequate legal reforms could cause Cambodian business disadvantage, for instance in ASEAN integration.

Warsaw will not budge on its key agenda

2018 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
European Commission ◽  
Rule Of Law ◽  
Prime Minister ◽  
Member States ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Rule Of Law ◽  
Early Evidence ◽  
The Eu

Subject Polish/EU frictions. Significance The European Commission has taken the unprecedented step of warning of a "clear risk" of a serious breach of the rule of law in Poland. Many in Brussels and Poland hoped that the appointment of a young prime minister and a major cabinet reshuffle signalled a rapprochement. On early evidence, at least, they may be sorely disappointed. Impacts Poland’s position in the EU will become more constrained as the rule-of-law conflict is exploited in negotiations on unrelated issues. In openly censuring Poland, the EU sees an opportunity to prove its credentials as a bulwark against populism and extremism. If Poland is pushed too far, the EU’s actions may undesirably strengthen anti-EU sentiments in one of its largest member states.

Balkan public distrust will endanger vaccine take-up

2021 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Public Health ◽  
Survey Data ◽  
Member States ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Eu Member States ◽  
Relative Safety ◽  
Balkan Countries ◽  
To Come ◽  
Clear Majority ◽  
The Eu

Significance Non-EU Balkan countries are lagging behind EU member states in securing access to vaccines. However, survey data show that a clear majority of citizens would refuse to accept a government-sanctioned vaccine, representing a possible risk to public health for years to come. Impacts Russia and China will try to boost their influence by offering their own vaccines more quickly and in quantity. The relative safety of Russian and Western vaccines will be an issue in Russian disinformation campaigns. The EU will lose ground in the geopolitical contest, with doses not available via the WHO-GAVI COVAX scheme until April.

Thai leader will battle hard to secure his position

2021 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Policy ◽  
Political System ◽  
Prime Minister ◽  
Humanitarian Aid ◽  
External Pressure ◽  
The Political ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Protest Movement ◽  
To Come

Significance Rebooting the economy is just one challenge facing Prime Minister Prayut Chan-o-cha. The junta leader-turned-civilian premier continues to come under pressure from a pro-democracy protest movement and faces tough choices on foreign policy. Impacts Bangkok will come under increasing external pressure to allow humanitarian aid to flow from Thailand into Myanmar. Prayut will likely cut ties with the ruling Phalang Pracharat Party if he brings forward the elections. Calls for reform of the political system will persist despite the increasingly severe clampdown on demonstrators by the authorities.

The EU will ramp up efforts to counter China’s BRI

2021 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
European Commission ◽  
Rule Of Law ◽  
High Impact ◽  
The Political ◽  
Political Will ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Us ◽  
Tackle Climate Change ◽  
The Eu

Significance Member states have asked the European Commission to spend the next nine months developing a plan containing “high impact and visible projects” to rival the BRI. While EU efforts to counter the BRI are not new, the political will has never been as strong as it is now. Impacts China will seek to make the BRI more attractive, such as by launching more initiatives to tackle climate change. Europe will remain distant from the US position on China, unless Germany gets a Green chancellor or Macron loses the 2022 election. The deterioration of the EU's relations with Hungary and Poland over rule-of-law issues could push those countries closer to China.

Somalia will mark transition in 2016, if not change

2016 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Federal Government ◽  
State Level ◽  
Political Transition ◽  
The Political ◽  
Member States ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Direct Elections ◽  
Political Turmoil ◽  
The Eu

Subject Outlook for Somalia's political transition. Significance Leaders of the federal government and member states will meet on January 10 in Kismayo to finalise the framework for the August-September 2016 political transition. This will involve state-level electoral colleges selecting parliamentarians based on clan and constituency-based representation, rather than direct elections. Impacts Any transition in 2016 would fulfil a key donor requirement and mark a break with the politics of the 2004-12 period. Insecurity will challenge the transition, as the political turmoil in Burundi threatens further strain on AMISOM coherence and troop levels. Donor backing for AMISOM is set to shift, with the EU reducing its support by 20% from January.

Move towards EU integration may split Central Europe

2017 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Central Europe ◽  
Rule Of Law ◽  
Member States ◽  
Fdi Inflows ◽  
The Czech Republic ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Eu Member States ◽  
Eu Integration ◽  
Visegrad Group ◽  
The Eu

Subject EU reform’s likely consequences for the four Central European member states. Significance The Visegrad Group (V4) -- the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Slovakia -- has become a powerful but toxic political brand: V4 intransigence on refugee relocation, and backsliding by Poland and Hungary on democratic and rule-of-law norms, have diminished Western Europe’s commitment to keeping Central Europe (CE) at the EU’s core. An EU reform tending towards deeper integration would aim for unity, but may not find room for Poland and Hungary. Impacts Western EU member states, led by Germany and France, will push ahead with EU reform regardless of V4 concerns. FDI inflows, particularly into Poland and Hungary, are likely to moderate until there is more certainty about CE’s trajectory. Russia will push CE, particularly Hungary, in a more Eurosceptic direction, with the aim of dividing and weakening the EU.

Czech EU commissioner will not let up on rule of law

2019 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Rule Of Law ◽  
Hate Speech ◽  
Vice Presidents ◽  
Member States ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Rule Of Law ◽  
East European ◽  
East And West ◽  
North And South ◽  
The Eu

Subject The appointment of a Czech commissioner to oversee the rule of law in the EU. Significance Vera Jourova has been nominated as one of the European Commission’s eight vice-presidents and as commissioner for the values and transparency portfolio. Doubts have been raised about her suitability for the post and about whether she will deal firmly with Central-East European (CEE) member states accused of rule-of-law violations and democratic backsliding. Impacts As one of the few CEE politicians in a senior position, Jourova has a chance to become more prominent in Brussels. Among her responsibilities will be tackling hate speech and disinformation, which have become salient issues recently. Jourova could use her position to build bridges between Europe’s east and west, and north and south.

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