Mali’s embattled president will limp through his term

2019 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Religious Leaders ◽  
The South ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Political Crises ◽  
The North ◽  
Public Scrutiny ◽  
Senior Officers ◽  
Electoral Calendar ◽  
Security Crises

Significance Indeed, more than a year into his second term, Keita confronts not just endemic insecurity in the north and centre of the country, but also a complicated set of political challenges in the south. These challenges include graft scandals and the politics of selective investigations; rumblings of discontent among ordinary soldiers, their families and even some senior officers; and a highly politicised set of religious leaders. Impacts The indirect implication of Keita’s son, Karim, in some scandals will make him a focus of greater public scrutiny. Security crises in the north and centre, and political crises in the south, will prove mutually reinforcing. In this lull in the electoral calendar, political players are positioning themselves for 2023 and beyond.

Strong win by Nigeria's Buhari may prove deceptive

2019 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
The South ◽  
North Central ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The North ◽  
South West ◽  
Public Pressure ◽  
Strategic Changes ◽  
Security Crises

Significance Buhari’s victory largely replicated the scope of his 2015 win, with high margins in northern states and victories across most of the south-west and parts of the north-central ‘Middle Belt’. However, the margins in the north are lopsided enough to raise serious questions about tampering by the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC), suggesting that Buhari’s mandate could be much weaker than at first glance. Impacts Buhari’s re-election could reduce the chances of widespread post-election clashes, although some gubernatorial contests could turn violent. Despite likely renewed public pressure for Buhari to address northern security crises, fundamental strategic changes may prove elusive. New divisions may appear in the APC, with south-western politicians pushing for a presidential pick from their zone for the 2023 polls.

Relative prosperity will prolong Libya's civil war

2016 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Civil War ◽  
The Other ◽  
Armed Groups ◽  
The South ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The North ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Local Dominance

Significance His comments are optimistic. The other two rival administrations that are based in Libya have resisted efforts to form a unified government, while armed groups (some associated with the administrations, others independent) compete for local dominance. As a result, intermittent escalations in fighting and sporadic attacks by fringe militias continue to occur in parts of the country. Concern has grown about the impact on civilians. Impacts Bombings and outbreaks of intense fighting will remain a risk in key contested locations in the north. Clashes between militias will recur sporadically in the south. The number of migrants working in Libya and seeking to travel to Europe may increase again.

Saleh’s death will intensify Yemen fighting

2017 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
The South ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The North

Significance The Huthi fighters behind Saleh’s killing on December 4, who control the north of the country, only allowed a few relatives to attend the burial. Saleh’s death followed an attempted coup against his former Huthi allies, which may have been inspired -- and was certainly welcomed -- by the Saudi-led military coalition supporting the internationally-recognised government of President Abd Rabbu Mansur Hadi, in the south. Impacts Whatever happens, the Huthis will keep their Sa’ada heartland, which will have to be taken into account in any future peace deal. Humanitarian and commercial food and fuel shipments are likely to remain largely blocked, especially if Hodeida comes under attack. The war could take on an increasingly sectarian character, potentially exacerbating Sunni-Shia tensions across the region.

Sri Lanka opposition will struggle in upcoming poll

2020 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Sri Lanka ◽  
Prime Minister ◽  
Parliamentary Election ◽  
National Party ◽  
The South ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The North ◽  
Main Challenge ◽  
Provincial Councils ◽  
To Come

Subject Outook for Sri Lanka's opposition ahead of a parliamentary election. Significance President Gotabaya Rajapaksa on March 2 dissolved parliament and called a parliamentary election for April 25. Interim Prime Minister Mahinda Rajapaksa, Gotabaya’s brother, will be aiming to return to power. The main challenge to the pro-Rajapaksa alliance, the Sri Lanka Nidahas Podujana Sandanaya (SLNPS), is set to come from an alliance formed by members of the opposition United National Party (UNP), the Samagi Jana Balawegaya (SJB). Impacts Concerns over COVID-19 are unlikely to disrupt the election. The SJB will likely win more votes in the north and east, where ethnic Tamil voters are concentrated, than in the south and west. Elections for provincial councils will probably be held after the parliamentary poll.

Unmasking the factors behind income inequalities in Ghana

2017 ◽  
Vol 44 (7) ◽  
pp. 884-899 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael Danquah ◽  
Williams Ohemeng
Keyword(s):  
Junior High School ◽  
Community Level ◽  
The South ◽  
Economic Activities ◽  
Public And Private ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Sustainable Development ◽  
Community Factors ◽  
The North ◽  
Nationally Representative

Purpose The purpose of the paper is to examine the extent and trends of income inequality as well as the contribution of household and community-level factors in explaining inequality within north and south in Ghana. Design/methodology/approach The study employs both descriptive and regression methods. The study adopts the methodology by Fields (2002) to assess the importance of household and community attributes in explaining the level of inequality within the north and the south. Findings The findings of the study show that household characteristics such as urban location, no education, public and private formal economic activities, and not covered by National Health Insurance Scheme are major determinants of inequality within the north and the south. Specifically, within the north, the 20-34 year age group is the most prominent contributor to inequality. Within the south, the most important determinant of inequality is the completion of junior high school. The contribution of community-level features shows that, within the north, access to banks is the most vital factor to inequality, whereas within the south, access to electricity and public transport is the most important community factor. Practical implications The study provides an understanding of the underlying household and community factors driving the observed inequality patterns within the north and the south in Ghana. Policy options are identified for achieving the sustainable development goals. Originality/value The study uses the latest round of the Ghana Living Standards survey, GLSS 6, which covers new data on a nationally representative sample of 18,000 households in 1,200 enumeration areas.

scholarly journals The impact of climate change on food and human security in Nigeria

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Kelechi Johnmary Ani ◽  
Vincent Okwudiba Anyika ◽  
Emmanuel Mutambara
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Focus Group ◽  
Qualitative Data ◽  
Human Security ◽  
Primary Data ◽  
The South ◽  
Focus Group Discussions ◽  
Group Discussions ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The North

Purpose The purpose of this study is to unravel the changing nature of climate change impact on the food and human security sector of the Nigerian State. Design/methodology/approach This study is an in-depth case study that involves the use of both quantitative and qualitative data. Statistical data on climate variability in Nigeria obtained from reliable databases were use in the making of analysis. Also, data derived from semi-structure interviews and special reports from International Non-governmental organizations on the subject matter were also used in the study. The findings of the study were based on an in-depth analysis of both primary and secondary sources of data. The secondary data were derived from existing published academic works. The primary data was developed using qualitative data that were collected from January to November, 2018 to 2019 in the different regions of Nigeria. For the South East, primary data was collected from Abakaliki, Ebonyi State. In the South-South, primary data was collected from Asaba, Delta State. In the South West, primary data was collected from Barutin, Kwara State. In the North East, primary data was collected from Maiduguri, while in North West, data was collected from Gusau, Zamfara State. In the North Central, data was collected from Markurdi, Benue State. During the data collection, 48 semi-structured Key Informant Interviews (KIIs) were carried out in the six selected research areas that represented their geo-political zones. Six Focus Group Discussions (FGDs) were carried out, one for each of these six selected cities. Each of the Focus Group Discussions comprised between five and seven respondents. The idea of KIIs and FGDs is to allow the respondents to freely express their ideas comprehensively. Again, in other to get varied forms of responses, the respondents are mainly farmers however, a number of NGOs, civil servants, fertilizer sellers, government officials, transporters and aged men and women/retirees. It should be noted that the respondents cut across male and female gender of all ages and ethnic configuration. The respondents were also randomly selected through social networking. To avoid having people of similar The KIIs were three academics; two community leaders; two small scale fish farmers; rice, cassava, fish, livestock and crop farmers. All KIIs ad TIs were transcribed and analysed using thematic content analysis. Findings The findings revealed that climate change has negatively affected food security in Nigeria. it has also led to continuous armed confrontations over natural resources thereby undermining human security in the country. Originality/value This study is 100% original and can be assessed through turn it in evaluation.

North-south divide will ease Syria rebel tensions

2015 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Saudi Arabia ◽  
Islamic State ◽  
The South ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The North ◽  
Rebel Groups ◽  
Euphrates Valley ◽  
State Group

Significance Syria's beleaguered mainstream rebel movement suffered numerous territorial losses in 2014 at the hands of Islamic State group (ISG) and the regime. Partly in response to these losses, a wider realignment of rebel alliances is now underway. Rebel groups are shifting away from overambitious schemes to unify under one national umbrella or on an ideological basis, and are moving towards more pragmatic local coalitions that are creating a de facto geographical 'north-south' divide among the rebels. Impacts Any international fightback against ISG requires the overcoming of US and Saudi objections to LF and other Islamist rebels. A nationwide Syrian rebel army will only materialise in the event of a US-led ground campaign against ISG. Recruiting tribal militias will probably prove a cheaper and more practical option. Saudi Arabia will prioritise the rebel scene in the south and Euphrates valley, leaving Qatar and Turkey to dominate the north. Dire military conditions will reinforce the drive for pragmatic cooperation among Damascus rebels.

West Africa's Fulanis face mounting pressures

2019 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Human Rights ◽  
Civil Society ◽  
Burkina Faso ◽  
Ethnic Group ◽  
The South ◽  
Community Members ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Civil Society Organisation ◽  
The North ◽  
Southern Nigeria

Subject Problems facing Fulani communities in the Sahel. Significance In July, the Northern Elders' Forum of Nigeria, a prominent civil society organisation, called for Fulani herders to leave southern Nigeria and return to their historical homelands in the north, reflecting a sense among some northerners that the south has become too dangerous for the Fulani ethnic group. Amid a marked increase in jihadist violence in Mali, Burkina Faso, Niger and Nigeria since the early 2010s, the Fulani have found themselves targets of widespread ethnic profiling and even collective punishment. Impacts Tensions surrounding the Fulani in Mali are spreading into Burkina Faso and Niger as community members feel stigmatised more generally. Government will find it difficult to disarm former partner militias, such as the ethnic Dogon militia Dan Na Ambassagou in Mali. Respect for human rights would help stem radical recruitment among young Fulanis.

Sri Lanka tourism growth will slow

2019 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Sri Lanka ◽  
South Asia ◽  
Credit Ratings ◽  
Tourism Industry ◽  
Tourist Industry ◽  
The South ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The North ◽  
International Credit

Subject Sri Lanka's ambitions for its tourist industry. Significance Sri Lanka is aiming to attract 3 million tourists this year. The sector was, surprisingly, not much affected by the country’s constitutional crisis last October-December. However, Chinese tourist numbers dipped in 2018 for the second consecutive year. Impacts Sri Lanka will likely open the tourism industry to labour from the rest of South Asia and possibly further afield. There will be fewer tourists visiting the north and east compared to the south and west. The country’s poor international credit ratings will make fresh borrowing even more expensive.

Impacts of climate change on net crop revenue in North and South China

2014 ◽  
Vol 6 (3) ◽  
pp. 358-378 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jinxia Wang ◽  
Jikun Huang ◽  
Lijuan Zhang ◽  
Yumin Li
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Climate Change Impacts ◽  
Climate Data ◽  
The South ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The North ◽  
Precipitation Variation ◽  
The Impact ◽  
North And South ◽  
Impacts Of Climate Change

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to explore the impacts of climate change on crop net revenue by region. Particularly, the authors focus on the impact differences between north and south regions. Design/methodology/approach – The authors applied the Ricardian approach which assumes that each farmer wishes to maximize revenue subject to the exogenous conditions of their farm. The climate data are based on actual measurements in 753 national meteorological stations and the socio-economic data covers 8,405 farms across 28 provinces in China. Findings – On average, the rise of annual temperature will hurt farms both in the north or south. The impacts of climate change on both precipitation and temperatures have different seasonal impacts on producers in the north and the south of China. As a consequence, the impact on net farm revenues varies with farms in the north and the south being adversely affected (to different degrees) by a rise in the temperature, but both benefiting from an anticipated increase in rainfall. The results also reveal that irrigation is one key adaption measure to dealing with climate change. Whether in the north or south of China, increasing temperature is beneficial to irrigated farms, while for rainfed farms, higher temperature will result in a reduction in net revenues. The results also reveal that farms in the north are more vulnerable to temperature and precipitation variation than that in the south. Irrigated farms in the south are more vulnerable to precipitation variation than that in the north; but rainfed farms in the north are more vulnerable to precipitation variation than that in the south. Originality/value – Applying empirical analysis to identify the differences of climate change impacts between north and south regions will help policy makers to design reasonable adaptation policies for various regions.

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