Inadequate policies will deepen Mexico COVID-19 blow
Significance A lack of testing may have led to an underestimation of infections, but with a population of 130 million, Mexico appears relatively unscathed by the pandemic so far. The virus nevertheless presents a major threat, exacerbated by the government’s reluctance to implement the drastic mitigation measures seen in other countries. Mexico is particularly vulnerable due to its proximity to the heavily affected United States and its economic reliance on oil and North American trade. Impacts Widespread informal working and a lack of unemployment insurance will amplify the impact of COVID-19 on the welfare of Mexico’s poorest. AMLO’s slow response may cause rifts with Washington, particularly if US President Donald Trump seeks electoral gains by attacking Mexico. A high death toll or deep recession could destroy AMLO’s public approval ratings if his policy responses are perceived as inadequate.