Peru's Vizcarra faces grave challenges in final year

Significance It was his last such speech, as Peru is entering an election year and has single-term presidencies. Having recently reshuffled his cabinet, Vizcarra is seeking closer relations with business. His plans to reform the political and judicial systems remain far from complete. Impacts The COVID-19 pandemic will continue to affect Peru for at least several more months. Steps will probably be taken to streamline investment decisions in the mining sector. Conflicts between mining companies and communities over extractive operations will resurface as the COVID-19 shutdown is relaxed.

Subject Congo's new mining code. Significance After five years of deliberation, Congo’s parliament on January 27 adopted new legislation regulating the all-important mining sector. If signed by President Joseph Kabila, the sweeping overhaul will raise royalties, introduce new taxes and remove existing investor protections. International mining companies are planning to fight back, but the government appears unwilling to yield, betting on Congo’s position as the world’s largest source of cobalt. Impacts The authorities could threaten or execute expropriation of a major project to demonstrate their seriousness. New projects might be suspended or shelved. Investors might increase contacts with Kabila’s political opponents to raise pressure on the embattled president. The removal of investor protections will damage already-fragile confidence in Congo’s wider business environment.


Subject Zambian mining instability. Significance Copper miner First Quantum Minerals says it has not discovered material errors in its customs payments after bringing in external auditors to scrutinise transactions between 2013 and 2017. This follows claims by the Zambia Revenue Authority (ZRA) that Quantum underpaid the authorities by 76.50 billion kwacha (8.15 billion dollars). The Zambian government appears to be attempting to squeeze First Quantum and other mining companies -- whose transactions it also intends to audit -- to raise much-needed revenue amid ballooning government debt. Impacts The government’s pattern of implementing policy changes without meaningful consultation is likely to persist. Policy uncertainty and government efforts to squeeze more revenue from miners may deter large new mining investments in the short term. Much-needed spending on infrastructure and logistics will remain small, scattered and dependent on countries such as China and India.


Subject A profile of Pedro Castillo. Significance Pedro Castillo has emerged as the unexpected winner of Peru’s 2021 presidential election. A schoolteacher far removed from the political establishment, his victory had led to concerns about what his presidency would look like and, indeed, whether it would last a full term. His challenge to the status quo has the political class deeply rattled. Impacts A Castillo government can be expected to increase company taxation, especially in the all-important mining sector. Most businessmen will prefer to wait and see what his government will bring before seeking to subvert it. If he moves far to the centre, Castillo will open up space for criticism on the left, not least from his own party.


Significance The government is prioritising expansion of the mining sector, including attracting foreign investment, after many years of neglect. However, the military's increasing dominance of parts of the economy, including the mining sector, creates risks, especially for foreign investors. Impacts The Egyptian bureaucracy and lack of specialist service providers will create obstacles for private sector investors. There is no immediate prospect of a legal framework to govern business relations between the military and international mining companies. Investors will not face the same credit risk in the mining sector as operators in the petroleum sector face.


Significance The incumbent president, Almazbek Atambayev, is stepping aside as his single term is expiring. Jeenbekov is a strong contender as he comes from the president's Social Democratic Party of Kyrgyzstan (SDPK), but other leading politicians have reasonable chances in the October polls. Impacts This will be only the second democratic handover of presidential power anywhere in Central Asia; Atambayev's 2011 election was the first. The SDPK has presided over politics since 2010 but its continued dominance is less certain, although it is adept at coalition-building. Signs of fractures in SDPK and Ata-Jurt point to shifts in the political party landscape, affecting the parliamentary process.


Subject Outlook for the mining sector. Significance With tensions building up over mining concessions once again across southern Peru, President Martin Vizcarra's government is under growing pressure to produce formulae that attract investment without provoking the sort of social and environmental protests that have flourished over the last two decades. Some mining companies themselves have made strides in accommodating themselves to adverse local conditions. Impacts With minerals prices subject to volatile demand in China, investors may prefer to hedge their bets. The government lacks capacity to mediate conflict once it has arisen. Water shortages will become more acute with time.


Subject Tanzania metal ore export ban. Significance On March 2, the Tanzanian government announced it had banned export of metal ores by international mining companies, in what firms see as part of a continuing attack on the extractive industries sector. The government has attempted to negotiate increased tax bills, or settlement of unpaid ones, and has repeatedly threatened to take a greater slice of revenues. Impacts Donor criticisms of the ban will be muted but further restrictive measures would cause concern. Mining sector employment could be damaged in the short term as investment shifts to developing smelting capacity over expanding production. Magufuli’s popularity is likely to persist and he will be projected as a champion against exploitative foreign interests.


Significance Conde’s increasingly authoritarian rule had generated widespread resentment, particularly following his controversial third-term election victory in October 2020. The Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) condemned the coup and suspended Guinea’s membership until the return of “constitutional order” but did not call for Conde’s reinstatement. Impacts International fears over Guinea’s stability may hinder new investments in the country’s mining sector in the short and medium term. The junta will not interfere with existing mining concessions and contracts. ECOWAS’s soft acquiescence to the coup may encourage other regional coup attempts. The junta will likely invite members of the opposition to form a broad-based transitional government while it maintains overall control.


Subject Mining outlook. Significance On March 16, Ecuador’s National Assembly overturned a law that provided tax breaks for mining companies. The move was made in accordance with the results of February’s national referendum, which look set to complicate the prospects of Ecuador’s mining sector. The seven-question plebiscite, which President Lenin Moreno launched to demonstrate popular support for his political and economic programme, included two mining-related questions -- one on overturning the tax-break law and one seeking to place stricter limits on mining activities. Both were backed enthusiastically by the electorate. Impacts Rising world metal prices will increase the desire of mining firms to exploit Ecuador’s largely untapped mineral deposits. Mining will be a key issue in 2019 local elections, especially in southern highland provinces where large deposits are located. Mining concessions will face greater scrutiny as environmental organisations seek to ensure they do not contravene the constitution.


2016 ◽  
Vol 29 (6) ◽  
pp. 1038-1074 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sarah George Lauwo ◽  
Olatunde Julius Otusanya ◽  
Owolabi Bakre

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to contribute to the ongoing debate on governance, accountability, transparency and corporate social responsibility (CSR) in the mining sector of a developing country context. It examines the reporting practices of the two largest transnational gold-mining companies in Tanzania in order to draw attention to the role played by local government regulations and advocacy and campaigning by nationally organised non-governmental organisations (NGOs) with respect to promoting corporate social reporting practices. Design/methodology/approach – The paper takes a political economy perspective to consider the serious implications of the neo-liberal ideologies of the global capitalist economy, as manifested in Tanzania’s regulatory framework and in NGO activism, for the corporate disclosure, accountability and responsibility of transnational companies (TNCs). A qualitative field case study methodology is adopted to locate the largely unfamiliar issues of CSR in the Tanzanian mining sector within a more familiar literature on social accounting. Data for the case study were obtained from interviews and from analysis of documents such as annual reports, social responsibility reports, newspapers, NGO reports and other publicly available documents. Findings – Analysis of interviews, press clips and NGO reports draws attention to social and environmental problems in the Tanzanian mining sector, which are arguably linked to the manifestation of the broader crisis of neo-liberal agendas. While these issues have serious impacts on local populations in the mining areas, they often remain invisible in mining companies’ social disclosures. Increasing evidence of social and environmental ills raises serious questions about the effectiveness of the regulatory frameworks, as well as the roles played by NGOs and other pressure groups in Tanzania. Practical implications – By empowering local NGOs through educational, capacity building, technological and other support, NGOs’ advocacy, campaigning and networking with other civil society groups can play a pivotal role in encouraging corporations, especially TNCs, to adopt more socially and environmentally responsible business practices and to adhere to international and local standards, which in turn may help to improve the lives of many poor people living in developing countries in general, and Tanzania in particular. Originality/value – This paper contributes insights from gold-mining activities in Tanzania to the existing literature on CSR in the mining sector. It also contributes to political economy theory by locating CSR reporting within the socio-political and regulatory context in which mining operations take place in Tanzania. It is argued that, for CSR reporting to be effective, robust regulations and enforcement and stronger political pressure must be put in place.


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