Anti-French sentiment will increase in the Sahel

Significance This arises from years of frustration regarding the growing jihadist threat and perceptions of French neocolonial influence over regional leaders. Anti-French feeling ranges from resentment born of this frustration to outright conspiracy theories charging France with actively abetting jihadist groups. Impacts Further anti-French protests, including efforts to disrupt the French logistical chain, are likely. Sahelian protesters do not appear interested in targeting ordinary French nationals. Entrepreneurial politicians throughout the Sahel may look to instrumentalise anti-French rhetoric.

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Oluwole Owoye ◽  
Olugbenga A. Onafowora

PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to empirically examine whether the massive spreads and fatalities of the COVID-19 pandemic in the USA, the country with the most advanced medical technology in the world, are symptomatic of leadership failure. The authors posit that when political leaders, such as the President of the USA, in conjunction with a group of state governors and city mayors, employed conspiracy theories and disinformation to achieve their political goals, they contributed to the massive spreads and fatalities of the virus, and they also undermined the credibility of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) and the health-care professionals in providing the pertinent control guidelines and true scientific-based medical information.Design/methodology/approachThe authors conducted a review of current studies that address the handling of global infectious diseases to build a better understanding of the issue of pandemics. They then employed a theoretical framework to link the massive spreads and fatalities of the COVID-19 pandemic to political leaders, such as President Trump and the group of obsequious state governors and city mayors, who propagated conspiracy theories and disinformation through social media platforms to downplay the severity of the virus. The authors compared the massive spreads and fatalities of the COVID-19 pandemic in the USA under President Trump to President Obama who handled H1N1, Ebola, Zika and Dengue. More importantly, the authors compared President Trump's handling of the COVID-19 pandemic to other political leaders in advanced countries where there were no concerted efforts to spread conspiracy theories and disinformation about the health risks of COVID-19 pandemic.FindingsThe authors' theoretical analysis alluded to the fact that political leaders, such as President Trump, who are engulfed in self-deceptions, self-projections and self-aggrandizements would engage in self-promotion and avoid accountability for their missteps in handling global pandemic shocks. In contrast, political leaders in other advanced countries did not downplay the severity thus their ability to curtail the spreads and fatalities of the COVID-19 pandemic.Research limitations/implicationsThe theoretical viewpoints presented in this paper along with the derivations of the spreads–fatalities curtailment coefficients and the spread–fatality upsurge coefficients under Presidents Obama and Trump, respectively, may not be replicable. Given this plausible limitation, future research may need to provide a deep analysis of the amplifications of conspiracy theories and disinformation because they are now deeply rooted in the political economy of the USA. Furthermore, since scientists and medical professionals may not be able to forecast future epidemics or pandemics with pin-point accuracy nor predict how political leaders would disseminate health risks information associated with different pathogens, it is imperative that future research addresses the positive or adverse effects of conspiracy theories and disinformation that are now easily propagated simultaneously through different social media platforms, which are currently protected under Section 230 of the Communications Decency Act. The multiplier effects of conspiracy theories and disinformation will continue to amplify the division about the authenticity of COVID-19 pandemic and the emergence or reemergence of other pathogens in the foreseeable future.Originality/valueThe authors derived the unique spreads-fatalities curtailment coefficients to demonstrate how President Obama used effective collaboration and coordination at all levels of government in conjunction with medical experts to curtail the spreads and fatalities associated with H1N1, Ebola, Zika and Dengue. They further derived the spreads-fatalities upsurge coefficients to highlight how President Trump contributed to the spreads and fatalities of COVID-19 pandemic through his inability to collaborate and coordinate with state governors, city mayors and different health-care agencies at the national and international levels.


2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 35-59
Author(s):  
Jacques Lemmink

Abstract ‘Proved effective on trial, we can speak of an achieved ideal’ Abraham Kuyper and the mechanical voting machine, c. 1895-1905 During the latest presidential elections in the United States, unfounded conspiracy theories sprung up concerning alleged ballot box fraud by compromised voting machines. Although different voting machines had been used in the Netherlands since 1966, concerns over their reliability ended this in 2007. This article investigates the forgotten but ultimately failed attempt to introduce mechanical voting machines a century earlier. It focuses on the role played by prominent politician Abraham Kuyper, who personally visited the Standard Voting Machine Company in Rochester in 1898. The article illustrates how Kuyper’s transatlantic political and religious networks facilitated the voting machine’s transfer, rather than scientific connections. Paradoxically, the introduction of proportional representation in 1917 marked the end of tentative attempts to develop a Dutch version of the American mechanical voting machine. The implementation in the voting process turned out be too expensive, too early, and too complicated for the Dutch electoral system at the dawn of the twentieth century.


Subject East Africa road construction. Significance In late November, the last mile of pavement linking Kenya and Ethiopia’s national highways was completed at the border post of Moyale. With the completion of this final stretch, metalled roads now link all major East African cities. In recent years, governments across the region have placed an emphasis on road-building projects as a tool for achieving economic growth, improving national and regional integration, and gaining political advantage. Impacts Successful road schemes can bolster the political support of regional leaders. Chinese involvement in vital road construction provides Beijing with leverage over East African governments. The African Development Bank has championed a continent-wide highway; East Africa is leading the way with regional developments. Constructing new roads brings political benefits, but maintenance of existing roads may receive lower priority.


Significance The Kremlin is saying nothing, but seems unlikely to approve an extension and has not initiated the legislation needed for this. Ending the treaty will annul Tatarstan's claim to unique political and economic sovereignty, although its real autonomy has been greatly eroded over the last decade. Impacts Abandoning the Tatarstan treaty may signal a new Kremlin impetus for greater centralisation and a unitary state. Tatarstan will retain its position as a wealthy donor region. Regional leaders will resent the special treatment given to Crimea and Chechnya at the other end of the economic spectrum.


Subject African politics and security to end-2017. Significance Key regional leaders are set to step down from national and party presidencies in Angola and South Africa, presidents in Nigeria and Zimbabwe are in ill health, while growing displacement crises in the Central African Republic (CAR) and the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) could worsen without increased international funding and support. Although famine risks have lessened in South Sudan, conflict and instability will persist in Nigeria and Somalia as renewed insurgency threats grow.


Subject Pressures facing Sudan's transition. Significance Prime Minister Abdalla Hamdok on March 9 survived an alleged assassination attempt. Nobody has yet claimed responsibility, though authorities have made multiple arrests. The incident comes amid increasing pressures on the transitional government, which could stoke tensions in civilian-military relations and burden the transition process. Impacts The transition will likely be delayed beyond the projected three-year horizon. Speculation over the attack will foster conspiracy theories, no matter the final official explanation. International actors may feel pressure to support the civilian side of government more actively.


Significance However, the Constitutional Court must still approve the contested electoral register and rule on the eligibility of candidates, including former President Francois Bozize. Impacts Bozize's exclusion may prompt the main opposition platform, the Coalition for Democratic Opposition (COD-2020), to boycott the polls. Instability may compromise the deployment of international, independent experts to observe or provide technical support to elections. Dissatisfaction among the political opposition, armed groups and regional leaders over the lack of dialogue may grow after the elections.


Significance Both had been in office since 2006, and Mijalkov was seen as indispensable for his control over the country. Along with Gruevski, both are heavily implicated in the wiretap scandal that Social Democratic Party of Macedonia (SDSM) leader Zoran Zaev has publicised since February. The opposition described the resignations as Gruevski panicking to postpone his own departure, and vowed to continue protests until he resigns. Impacts Macedonia continues to overflow with conspiracy theories about Kumanovo. It is unclear who may have been double-crossing whom -- the government or the 'terrorists' or both. The incident will play into fears of a Greater Albania project to unite all Albanian communities in the Balkans.


Significance NAS alleges that the government’s South Sudan People’s Defence Forces (SSPDF) and the peace deal’s other main signatory, Riek Machar’s Sudan People’s Liberation Army-in Opposition (SPLA-IO), are taking part in the ongoing fighting. Reports of an imminent offensive had been circulating for weeks; allegations are now emerging of abuses against civilians. Impacts Criticism from regional leaders, who have already threatened to designate non-signatories as ‘spoilers’, may be muted. The signatories will hope that the offensive will prompt defections, boosting their share of the balance of power. Plans to establish cantonment sites in the areas affected by fighting, for troops party to the deal, could prove a flashpoint.


Subject The Ebola response in the Democratic Republic of the Congo. Significance Ebola cases in eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) are steadily rising and violence against healthcare workers has reached alarming levels, severely hampering the response. Impacts Protracted violence in the Beni area, even if unrelated to the response, will severely complicate humanitarian access. The fragmented political and military landscape around Butembo is conducive to conspiracy theories about the identities of perpetrators. The imperfect character of community engagement has entrenched distrust, and further violent episodes are likely.


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