Trump victory threatens East Asian economies

Headline EAST ASIA: Trump victory threatens region's economy

1999 ◽  
Vol 16 (4) ◽  
pp. v-xvii
Author(s):  
M. A. Muqtedar Khan

in PerspectiveThis editorial seeks to identify the missing dimensions of Islamic economicsand the Islamic dimensions of East Asian economies. In doing so,it advances a critical review of the present discourse on Islamic economicsand highlights some of its oversights. At the outset, it must be clearlyunderstood that I am not critical of the very idea of an Islamic economics.I think that at a time when global intellectual leadership has been usurpedby those who consciously subvert the idea of the divine and the role ofdivine mandates in the organization and governance of human affairs,Islamic economics, like Islamic philosophy and Islamic social sciences, hassucceeded in at least presenting a paradigmatic alternative that still maintainesthe centrality of transcendence in human existence.While I am all for sustaining the resistance to secularization of all knowledges,I am critical of the current discourse on Islamic economics becauseof its disconnection between theory and practice and because, for reasonsthat have not been explored systematically but are intuitively discernable,it has made Islamic economics synonymous with' interest-free banking.Many important elements of Islamic economics are completely ignored oreven suppressed. Perhaps this may be a reason why Islamic economieshave not really materialized. The importance of these less studied principlescan be discerned by studying how they have played a cardinal role inthe world's fastest growing region, East Asia. I intend to show how EastAsian economies have institutionalized Islamic principles in their contemporaryeconomic practices and are harvesting great benefits. It is ironic that ...


Subject Implications of a US rates hike for South-east Asian economies. Significance Stress from the dollar's rapid appreciation could spill into ASEAN economies if a US Federal Reserve (Fed) interest-rate hike goes ahead in September. Fears of capital flight are already being realised in South-east Asia as foreign investors lose confidence in the growth prospects of key economies and withdraw their funds from stock and bond markets. The devaluation of the yuan last week has further destabilised ASEAN currencies by removing an anchor of stability. Commodity exporters Malaysia and Indonesia will suffer the deepest impacts, but market contagion could drag other industrialised South-east Asian economies into a currency crisis. Impacts Financial systems have adequate safeguards against market volatility, but liquidity would suffer. Capital controls could be employed if conditions deteriorate in foreign-exchange markets. Rising repayment costs on dollar loans could trigger debt defaults.


Significance With Trump within striking distance of catching Clinton in popular polls, though not yet the Electoral College, South-east Asian leaders and diplomats have privately expressed concern about the next US administration and the outlook for South-east Asia-US relations. Impacts A Trump presidency could destabilise South-east Asian economies and regional security. Maritime frictions could soon flare if China 'tests' the incoming US president. If the TPP is delayed or fails, Vietnamese labour rights and state-owned enterprise reform will likely founder.


1998 ◽  
Vol 01 (03) ◽  
pp. 419-435
Author(s):  
H. Peter Gray ◽  
Thomas A. Fetherston

The economic success of the East Asian economies has been undisputable. In analyses of these accomplishments, attention has been given to virtually everything but the role of what are broadly interpreted as financial variables. This paper develops the contributions of financial phenomena to the East Asian success and argues that favorable financial conditions are necessary, but not sufficient for good long-term economic performance.


Subject Prospects for South-east Asian economies in 2018. Significance Stronger global demand for ASEAN’s goods and services exports and higher prices for commodity exports are fuelling faster South-east Asian GDP growth across the region; the international organisations expect growth to accelerate to at least 5.2% in 2018, picking up from close to 5.0% in 2017 and nearer 4.5% in 2014-16.


Author(s):  
Ordean Olson

The effects of fluctuations in the yen/dollar exchange rate on the business cycle of the smaller East Asian economies are examined in this paper. The cointegration error-correction model is employed to examine the nature of the interrelationship between the yen/dollar exchange rate and the economic stability of the East Asian countries. The empirical results reveal strong and lasting effects of changes in the yen/dollar exchange rate on the economic income and exchange rate stability of the East Asian countries. The results also indicate that stabilizing the yen/dollar exchange rate with the East Asian business cycle would benefit Japan as well as the economies of East Asia.


2019 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 171-186 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shaomin Li ◽  
Seung Ho Park ◽  
Rosey Shuji Bao

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to use the framework of rule-based and relation-based governance to examine the evolution of governance environment in the East Asian region including China, South Korea and Taiwan. Design/methodology/approach Both qualitative and quantitative evidences are presented to demonstrate the paths these East Asian countries take in their transitions from relation-based governance to rule-based governance. Based on the framework, this analysis sheds light on the debate on whether East Asian economies will eventually move away from relation-based governance to rule-based societies. Findings The authors find that relation-based governance has helped East Asian countries achieve rapid economic growth in the early stages of their development. However, as the scale and scope of East Asian economies expand, continuing to rely on it may hinder their further development and therefore these countries should adopt a rule-based governance system in order to be efficient and competitive in the world market. While South Korea and Taiwan have made substantial progress in this transition, China has just embarked on the process. Originality/value This paper is among the first to systematically review the theories and evidence of the transition and the challenges East Asian countries face during the process.


Subject Saudi oil investments in South-east Asia. Significance Saudi Arabia sees the South-east Asian downstream sectors as a key frontier for investment in the energy industry, with the region being one of the most promising in terms of growing oil demand. As the global oil glut intensifies competition between oil-exporting countries, Saudi Arabia aims to forge stronger energy links with growing South-east Asian economies in order to safeguard its demand security in the long run. Impacts Saudi Aramco is likely to face competition for investment in the region from other oil-exporting countries, such as Russia. An IPO of Saudi Aramco could see revisions to some of the projects it is pursuing in South-east Asia. Saudi investments in South-east Asia could be downscaled if fiscal pressures continue.


Subject China's currency depreciation and the effect on South-east Asian economies. Significance South-east Asian economies are coming under pressure from a global stock market sell-off triggered by concern that China's economy may be slowing faster than expected. The People's Bank of China has made efforts to manage the market instability, including devaluing the renminbi by 4% since August 11 and cutting interest rates on August 25. Nonetheless, regional confidence has been shaken. Impacts External debt repayments could become unsustainable if regional currencies weaken further. South-east Asia's tourism industry will suffer as outbound travel becomes more expensive for Chinese. Chinese investment in ASEAN will probably slow.


Subject Microfinance in South-east Asia. Significance Microfinance lending in Cambodia rose 45% last year, while the number of borrowers has doubled since 2010, a national summit on the industry was told in Phnom Penh last month. Other emerging South-east Asian economies will seek to emulate Cambodia's success as intra-regional financial ties heighten credit gaps, especially for small business. Most funding will come from abroad, but foreign investors are worried about regulatory shortcomings and high borrowing costs in some markets. Impacts Cambodia will see the fastest microfinance industry growth among South-east Asian countries. However, larger markets such as Indonesia have greater long-term potential microfinance demand. Microfinance could increase SMEs' viability by paying for efficiencies and boost their presence in exports and supply chains.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document