Decision-making based on decision tree for ball bearing monitoring

Author(s):  
Riadh Euldji ◽  
Mouloud Boumahdi ◽  
Mourad Bachene

Lubricant condition monitoring (LCM), part of condition monitoring techniques under Condition Based Maintenance, monitors the condition and state of the lubricant which reveal the condition and state of the equipment. LCM has proved and evidenced to represent a key concept driving maintenance decision making involving sizeable number of parameter (variables) tests requiring classification and interpretation based on the lubricant’s condition. Reduction of the variables to a manageable and admissible level and utilization for prediction is key to ensuring optimization of equipment performance and lubricant condition. This study advances a methodology on feature selection and predictive modelling of in-service oil analysis data to assist in maintenance decision making of critical equipment. Proposed methodology includes data pre-processing involving cleaning, expert assessment and standardization due to the different measurement scales. Limits provided by the Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEM) are used by the analysts to manually classify and indicate samples with significant lubricant deterioration. In the last part of the methodology, Random Forest (RF) is used as a feature selection tool and a Decision Tree-based (DT) classification of the in-service oil samples. A case study of a thermal power plant is advanced, to which the framework is applied. The selection of admissible variables using Random Forest exposes critical used oil analysis (UOA) variables indicative of lubricant/machine degradation, while DT model, besides predicting the classification of samples, offers visual interpretability of parametric impact to the classification outcome. The model evaluation returned acceptable predictive, while the framework renders speedy classification with insights for maintenance decision making, thus ensuring timely interventions. Moreover, the framework highlights critical and relevant oil analysis parameters that are indicative of lubricant degradation; hence, by addressing such critical parameters, organizations can better enhance the reliability of their critical operable equipment.


2012 ◽  
Vol 591-593 ◽  
pp. 704-707 ◽  
Author(s):  
Siew Hong Ding ◽  
Teing Tien Goh ◽  
Pei Sze Tan ◽  
Siew Ching Wee ◽  
Shahrul Kamaruddin

Suitable maintenance policy implemented in particular machine able to improve the machine performance as well as the product quality. However, selecting a suitable maintenance policy is a vital and hard work because it has to be decided from analysis of various criteria including failure mechanism and resources limitation. Thus, decision tree is suggested in this paper to provide assistance for maintenance crew in conducting a systematic and efficient decision making process in determining the suitable maintenance policy. In the end of the paper, a case study in semiconductor industry is conducted to illustrate the practicability of developed decision tree.


Author(s):  
Tyler Swanger ◽  
Kaitlyn Whitlock ◽  
Anthony Scime ◽  
Brendan P. Post

This chapter data mines the usage patterns of the ANGEL Learning Management System (LMS) at a comprehensive college. The data includes counts of all the features ANGEL offers its users for the Fall and Spring semesters of the academic years beginning in 2007 and 2008. Data mining techniques are applied to evaluate which LMS features are used most commonly and most effectively by instructors and students. Classification produces a decision tree which predicts the courses that will use the ANGEL system based on course specific attributes. The dataset undergoes association mining to discover the usage of one feature’s effect on the usage of another set of features. Finally, clustering the data identifies messages and files as the features most commonly used. These results can be used by this institution, as well as similar institutions, for decision making concerning feature selection and overall usefulness of LMS design, selection and implementation.


Author(s):  
Malcolm J. Beynonm

The seminal work of Zadeh (1965), namely fuzzy set theory (FST), has developed into a methodology fundamental to analysis that incorporates vagueness and ambiguity. With respect to the area of data mining, it endeavours to find potentially meaningful patterns from data (Hu & Tzeng, 2003). This includes the construction of if-then decision rule systems, which attempt a level of inherent interpretability to the antecedents and consequents identified for object classification (See Breiman, 2001). Within a fuzzy environment this is extended to allow a linguistic facet to the possible interpretation, examples including mining time series data (Chiang, Chow, & Wang, 2000) and multi-objective optimisation (Ishibuchi & Yamamoto, 2004). One approach to if-then rule construction has been through the use of decision trees (Quinlan, 1986), where the path down a branch of a decision tree (through a series of nodes), is associated with a single if-then rule. A key characteristic of the traditional decision tree analysis is that the antecedents described in the nodes are crisp, where this restriction is mitigated when operating in a fuzzy environment (Crockett, Bandar, Mclean, & O’Shea, 2006). This chapter investigates the use of fuzzy decision trees as an effective tool for data mining. Pertinent to data mining and decision making, Mitra, Konwar and Pal (2002) succinctly describe a most important feature of decision trees, crisp and fuzzy, which is their capability to break down a complex decision-making process into a collection of simpler decisions and thereby, providing an easily interpretable solution.


2020 ◽  
Vol 175 ◽  
pp. 104860 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Pilar Romero ◽  
Yu-Mei Chang ◽  
Lucy A. Brunton ◽  
Jessica Parry ◽  
Alison Prosser ◽  
...  

Entropy ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 22 (3) ◽  
pp. 279 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tongle Zhou ◽  
Mou Chen ◽  
Yuhui Wang ◽  
Jianliang He ◽  
Chenguang Yang

To improve the effectiveness of air combat decision-making systems, target intention has been extensively studied. In general, aerial target intention is composed of attack, surveillance, penetration, feint, defense, reconnaissance, cover and electronic interference and it is related to the state of a target in air combat. Predicting the target intention is helpful to know the target actions in advance. Thus, intention prediction has contributed to lay a solid foundation for air combat decision-making. In this work, an intention prediction method is developed, which combines the advantages of the long short-term memory (LSTM) networks and decision tree. The future state information of a target is predicted based on LSTM networks from real-time series data, and the decision tree technology is utilized to extract rules from uncertain and incomplete priori knowledge. Then, the target intention is obtained from the predicted data by applying the built decision tree. With a simulation example, the results show that the proposed method is effective and feasible for state prediction and intention recognition of aerial targets under uncertain and incomplete information. Furthermore, the proposed method can make contributions in providing direction and aids for subsequent attack decision-making.


2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 1025-1034 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gyula Nagy ◽  
György Vida ◽  
Lajos Boros ◽  
Danijela Ćirić

Abstract Environmental justice is a normative framework for the analysis of environmental impacts on the wellbeing of individuals and social groups. According to the framework, the deprived social groups and ethnic minorities are often more exposed to environmental risks and hazards due to their disadvantaged situation, and due to the lack of representation and political power. To manage the impacts of injustices and to include the citizen in the decision-making processes, proper information is needed on local attitudes and decision-making processes. Therefore, this study sought to (i) identify the main factors shaping the attitudes towards environmental injustices and (ii) to analyse the attitudes and perception of the various social groups and (iii) to identify the main factors which are shaping the attitudes and actions of those who were affected by the floods of 2001 and 2010 through the use of decision tree method. The data for the predictive model was acquired from a questionnaire survey conducted in two disadvantaged and flood-hit Hungarian regions. Based on the survey data, a principal component analysis (PCA) was conducted, which resulted in three principal components; fear, social change, and change in the built environment. The study focused only on the elements of the “fear principal component”, due to the decision tree tool homogenous groups identified in relation to this component. Our analysis showed that ethnicity has a determinative role in the emergence and the level of fear from floods; the Roma respondents expressed a significantly higher level of fear than others.


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