Exchange Rate and Industry-Level Energy Import

2021 ◽  
pp. 71-86
Author(s):  
Abdul Sahib ◽  
Sergey Prosekov
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Supply And Demand ◽  
Exchange Rate Volatility ◽  
Trade Flows ◽  
Level Energy ◽  
Rate System ◽  
Domestic Prices ◽  
Floating Exchange Rate ◽  
Exchange Rate System ◽  
The Impact

After the Bretton Woods exchange rate system in 1973, the free-floating exchange rate, the rate determined by the forces of supply and demand, began, which developed an interest in the area of many researchers to investigate, theoretically and empirically, the impact of exchange rate volatility on the world trade flows. There are two channels, direct and indirect, through which the change in exchange rate affects domestic prices. Under the direct channel, a fall in exchange rate leads to increase in imports as well as increases the prices of inputs in domestic currency. Secondly, under the indirect channel, a decline in the exchange rate triggers the availability of domestic goods to foreign buyers at a cheaper rate, and the demand for domestic products increased. Thus, the change in exchange rate affects trade flows either positively or negatively.

MANAGING EXCHANGE RATE VOLATILITY: A COMPARATIVE COUNTERFACTUAL ANALYSIS OF SINGAPORE, 1994–2003

2009 ◽  
Vol 54 (04) ◽  
pp. 543-568 ◽  
Author(s):  
PETER WILSON ◽  
HENRY SHANG REN NG
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Exchange Rate Regime ◽  
East Asian ◽  
Exchange Rate Volatility ◽  
Rate System ◽  
The Us ◽  
Floating Exchange Rate ◽  
Effective Exchange ◽  
Exchange Rate System ◽  
Effective Exchange Rate

This paper looks at how Singapore's exchange rate regime has coped with exchange rate volatility, by comparing the performance of Singapore's actual regime in minimizing the volatility of the nominal effective exchange rate (NEER) and the bilateral rate against the US dollar with some counterfactual regimes and the corresponding performance of eight other East Asian countries. In contrast to previous counterfactual exercises, we apply a more disaggregated methodology for the trade weights, a larger number of trade partners and ARCH/GARCH techniques to capture the time-varying characteristics of volatility. Our findings confirm that Singapore's managed floating exchange rate system has delivered relatively low currency volatility. Although there are gains in volatility reduction for all countries in the sample from the adoption of either a unilateral or a common basket peg, particularly post-Asian crisis, these gains are relatively low for Singapore, largely because of low actual volatility. There are additional gains for non-dollar peggers from stabilizing intra-east Asian exchange rates against the dollar if they were to adopt a basket peg, especially post-crisis, but the gains for Singapore are again relatively modest. Finally, the conclusion from previous counterfactual studies that there is little difference between a unilateral basket peg and a common basket peg in terms of stability reduction is confirmed.

scholarly journals Volatility of Exchange Rate and Export Growth in Pakistan: The Structure and Interdependence in Regional Markets

2004 ◽  
Vol 43 (4II) ◽  
pp. 813-828 ◽  
Author(s):  
Khalid Mustafa ◽  
Mohammed Nishat
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Exchange Rate Volatility ◽  
The United States ◽  
West Germany ◽  
Export Demand ◽  
Fixed Rate ◽  
Rate System ◽  
Floating Exchange Rate ◽  
Managed Floating ◽  
The Impact

Pakistan follows the flexible exchange rate system since July 2000. Prior to this period it followed a managed floating exchange rate since 1982 and a fixed rate prior to 1982. Due to controlled exchange rate a little fluctuation in exchange rate was observed. It is empirical concluded that the Pakistan’s share of exports in world market did not indicate any significant change during fixed and managed floating exchange rate regimes [Kumar and Dhawan (1991)]. Pakistan’s share in world exports was stable during the last 24 years, ranging between a minimum of 0.12 percent in 1980 and a maximum of 0.18 percent in 1992. After introduction of floating exchange rate during 2002-2003 (the share was 0.17 percent) Pakistan’s exports performance was related to the volatility of exchange rate. Only one empirical study is available regarding to Pakistan’s context by Kumar and Dhawan (1991) who estimated the impact of exchange rate volatility on Pakistan exports to the developed world from 1974 to 1985. They found that volatility of exchange rate adversely effect on export demand. They also investigated the third country effect and suggested that Japan and West Germany act as the alternate market for Pakistan’s export to the United States and United Kingdom. The high degree of volatility and uncertainty of exchange movements observed in Pakistan is of great concern of policy-makers and researchers to investigate the nature and extent of the impact of such movements on Pakistan’s volume of trade. In many countries it is experienced that higher exchange rate volatility reduced the trade by creating uncertainty about future profit from exports.

scholarly journals PERBEDAAN MANAGED FLOAT EXCHANGE RATE SYSTEM DAN FREELY FLOATING EXCHANGE RATE SYSTEM DI INDONESIA

2003 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mudji Utami
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Relative Rate ◽  
Supply And Demand ◽  
Rate System ◽  
Float Exchange Rate ◽  
Significant Difference ◽  
Floating Exchange Rate ◽  
Floating System ◽  
Exchange Rate System

Consequence of the freely floating system and freely foreign exchange system, rupiah could he easily fluctuated, because exchange rate shift not in response but as governed by the interaction between supply and demand in the money markets. The supply and demand forces are influenced by the relative interest rate and relative of inflation. Thus this study examine whether there is a difference of magnitude in the influence of the relative interest rate and relative rate of inflation to the USD - IRD exchange rate when Indonesia adopts respectively the managed float exchange rate system and the freely floating exchange rate system. The finding shows at the level of confidence 95%, that there is no significant difference in the influence of the relative interest rate and relative rate of inflation to the USD - IRD exchange rates between both systems.

CHINA’S EXCHANGE RATE SYSTEM REFORM: TWO POTENTIAL MISTAKES AND THE RECOMMENDED LONG-TERM SYSTEM

2016 ◽  
Vol 61 (02) ◽  
pp. 1640025
Author(s):  
PAUL S. L. YIP
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Capital Mobility ◽  
Exchange Rate Policy ◽  
Chinese Economy ◽  
System Reform ◽  
Rate System ◽  
Floating Exchange Rate ◽  
Rate Policy ◽  
Exchange Rate System

Further to the author’s recommended transitory and medium-term exchange rate system reforms that was implemented in China since July 2005, this paper explains that: (1) a long-term reform towards a floating exchange rate system with free capital mobility will cause huge damages to the Chinese economy. It then proposes a long-term exchange rate system that would probably benefit China the most; and (2) there is a serious mistake in China’s latest exchange rate policy: The Chinese central bank has mistakenly allowed the renminbi exchange rate to rise with the strong rebound of the US dollar. This will cause not only a substantial drag in China’s export and GDP growth, but will also eventually make China’s financial and economic system vulnerable to a highly disruptive correction in the renminbi exchange rate.

scholarly journals Exchange Rate Volatility and Trade Flows: Evidence from China, Pakistan and India

2015 ◽  
Vol 7 (11) ◽  
pp. 121 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sarfaraz Ahmed Shaikh ◽  
Ouyang Hongbing
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Exchange Rate Volatility ◽  
Trade Flows ◽  
Series Data ◽  
General Level ◽  
Negatively Associated ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
The Impact

This study examines the impact of exchange rate fluctuations on trade flows in case of China, Pakistan and India by using the time series data from 1980 to 2013. Most of the researchers have advocated that exchange rate volatility is negatively associated with general level of trade. In this study we have used the standard deviation of the moving average of the logarithm of the exchange rate as a proxy for volatility. And to investigate this relationship, we have applied the Autoregressive Distributive Lag (ARDL) approach for co-integration which estimates the short and long run relationship among the variables for the said period. The results of this empirical work have suggested that exchange rate volatility is negatively associated with Chinese exports in short run while positively associated in long run. However, in the case of Pakistan and India both in the short run and long run, the exchange rate volatility is negatively associated with total volume of trade.

عائد الإصدار النقدي في ظل نظام سعر الصرف المرن في العراق للمدة (1990-2003)

2021 ◽  
Vol 2020 (67) ◽  
pp. 132-153
Author(s):  
رسل كاظم جعفر ◽  
أ. م. د. عبد الرسول علي حسين
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Flexible Exchange Rate ◽  
Rate System ◽  
The Third ◽  
Exchange Rate System ◽  
Monetary Issue ◽  
Monetary Return ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship

This study deals with the relationship between the flexible exchange rate system and the return on the monetary issue, in other words, it tries to clarify the extent of the impact of adopting the flexible exchange rate system on the monetary return that the government can get. Therefore, this study came divided into three sections, the first topic dealt with the concept of the flexible exchange rate, while the second topic dealt with the concept of the return on the cash issue and methods of measuring it, and the third section reviews the size of the return on the cash issue achieved by the government if it follows the flexible exchange rate system. Keywords: yield on the cash issue, flexible exchange rate system, inflation tax, opportunity cost.

Effects of exchange rate and income on the US bilateral trade with China under Chinese managed floating exchange rate system

2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 236-246 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yongqing Wang
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Bilateral Trade ◽  
Trade Deficit ◽  
Rate System ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Us ◽  
Floating Exchange Rate ◽  
Exchange Rate System ◽  
Us Dollar

Purpose China’s exchange rate system remains a public concern. This paper aims to investigate the effects of the appreciation of the US dollar (or depreciation of Chinese Yuan) under China’s “managed floating exchange rate system” on the US bilateral trade deficit with China, the US exports to China and the US imports from China. Design/methodology/approach The author uses quarterly data from 2005Q3 to 2017Q3 and applies autoregressive distributed lags model to carry out the empirical analysis. Findings The results suggest that both the US and Chinese income are important determinants of the US bilateral trade deficit with China, the US exports to China and the US imports from China. Further, the appreciation of the US dollar with respect to Chinese currency may discourage the US exports to China, but will not considerably promote the US imports from China in the long run. Finally, the appreciation of the US dollar does not contribute significantly to the US trade deficit with China in the long run. Originality/value Policymakers may want to pay attention to the results of currency depreciation on bilateral trade flows and trade balance in both the short and the long run. The results are different. Policymakers may also want to keep the following in mind: both the US and Chinese income are vital factors of bilateral trade balance, exports and imports.

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